Atlanta Falcons

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

32.51

#23

Def EXP

-58.96

#16

Net EXP

-26.45

Record

8-9

Pythag 7.2 (+0.8)

Power Rating

99.4

#19

SRS

−3.11

#21

SoS Rank

#20

pts: −0.3 (#21)

#20

Pts / Game

20.8

Home 21.3 · Road 20.3

#24

Net Pts / G

−2.8

#21

Pts Allowed / G

23.6

Home 25.8 · Road 21.7

#19

Yds / Play

5.40

#13

Yds/Play Allowed

5.30

#17

3rd Down %

33.3%

#30

3rd Down % Allowed

39.9%

#18

Showing the 2025 season — the most recent with complete stats. 2026 appears here as its weeks complete.

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	353	391.22	-38.22	#24
Total Yards	5661	5,552.97	+108.03	#14
Yds / Play	5.40	5.33	+0.08	#13
1st Downs	330	328.63	+1.38	#19
Turnovers	18	19.66	-1.66	#14
Fumbles Lost	10	7.78	+2.22	#25
EXP Pts	32.51	58.31	-25.80	#23

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	401	391.22	+9.78	#19
Total Yards	5553	5,552.97	+0.03	#15
Yds / Play	5.30	5.33	-0.03	#17
1st Downs	325	328.63	-3.63	#15
Turnovers	23	19.66	+3.34	#7
Fumbles Lost	7	7.78	-0.78	#18
EXP Pts	-58.96	-58.31	-0.65	#16

Scoring Composition

Where Atlanta Falcons's points come from. Total = 353 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.


Drives	183	177.88	+5.13	#6
Plays / Drive	5.90	6.05	-0.15	#21
Yds / Drive	30.90	31.19	-0.29	#19
Points / Drive	1.90	2.11	-0.21	#25
Score %	37.20	39.55	-2.35	#21
Turnover %	8.70	10.49	-1.79	#9

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Rush Att	477	456.28	+20.72	#12
Rush Yds	2138	1,988.06	+149.94	#8
Rush Y/A	4.50	4.34	+0.16	#10
Rush TD	17	15.94	+1.06	#14
EXP Pts Rush	-2.22	11.49	-13.71	#25

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	545	544.97	+0.03	#19
Pass Cmp	332	350.53	-18.53	#21
Cmp %	60.90	64.35	-3.45	#28
Pass Yds	3523	3,564.91	-41.91	#19
Yds / Att	6.50	6.56	-0.06	#16
Yds / Cmp	10.60	10.16	+0.44	#14
Adj Y/A	6.50	6.49	+0.01	#14
Adj NY/A	6.20	6.05	+0.15	#14
Pass TD	19	25.34	-6.34	#26
TD %	3.50	4.66	-1.16	#28
Pass Int	8	11.88	-3.88	#8
Int %	1.50	2.21	-0.71	#8
Sack %	4.60	6.91	-2.31	#5
Pass Rating	85.30	89.31	-4.01	#24
EXP Pts Pass	51.97	60.56	-8.59	#19

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.


3rd Down Att	207	214.38	-7.38	#22
3rd Down Made	69	84.69	-15.69	#30
4th Down Att	28	27.69	+0.31	#17
4th Down Made	14	15.28	-1.28	#17
Red Zone Att	50	54.41	-4.41	#22
Red Zone Scores	31	31.16	-0.16	#16

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.


Drives	176	177.88	-1.88	#12
Plays / Drive	6.20	6.05	+0.15	#24
Yds / Drive	31.50	31.21	+0.29	#16
Points / Drive	2.13	2.12	+0.02	#15
Score %	41.50	39.58	+1.92	#20
Turnover %	11.90	10.46	+1.44	#9

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Rush Att	466	456.28	+9.72	#20
Rush Yds	2146	1,988.06	+157.94	#24
Rush Y/A	4.60	4.35	+0.25	#25
Rush TD	12	15.94	-3.94	#7
EXP Pts Rush	-30.84	-11.49	-19.35	#27

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	529	544.97	-15.97	#20
Pass Cmp	331	350.53	-19.53	#8
Cmp %	62.60	64.33	-1.73	#10
Pass Yds	3407	3,564.91	-157.91	#13
Yds / Att	7.10	7.02	+0.08	#20
Yds / Cmp	11.40	10.92	+0.48	#25
Adj Y/A	6.80	6.98	-0.18	#15
Adj NY/A	5.50	6.06	-0.56	#11
Pass TD	27	25.34	+1.66	#20
TD %	5.10	4.66	+0.44	#22
Pass Int	16	12.26	+3.74	#6
Int %	3	2.24	+0.76	#5
Sack %	9.70	6.91	+2.79	#4
Pass Rating	88.40	91.44	-3.04	#12
EXP Pts Pass	-39.03	-60.56	+21.53	#13

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.


3rd Down Att	218	214.38	+3.63	#20
3rd Down Made	87	84.69	+2.31	#21
4th Down Att	32	27.69	+4.31	#26
4th Down Made	19	15.28	+3.72	#24
Red Zone Att	51	54.41	-3.41	#13
Red Zone Scores	28	31.16	-3.16	#15

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for ATL 2025. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

82.0%

#23 of 32

PAT%

94.0%

#24 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#9 of 32

Return Yards

1,699

#28 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

56 yd

FG %

82.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	3	0	100.0%
30-39	11	0	100.0%
40-49	10	2	83.3%
50-59	8	2	80.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–29262729(3)

30–393333333536383838383838(11)

40–4940404141434343454549(10)

50–595151525254545656(8)

Missed FG distances

40–494449(2)

50–595055(2)

Blocked FG distances

30–393737(2)

50–5950(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

94.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

40–4943(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

168

Punt avg

7.0

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

1531

Kickoff avg

22.9

Total return yds

1699

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2889

Gross avg

45.1

Net yards

2598

Net avg

40.6

Long

69 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

53.1%

Touchbacks

TB %

4.7%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

231

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for ATL 2025.

#15 of 32

#8 of 32

#4 of 32

#10 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for ATL 2025. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+4.2

#22 of 32

Rush EPA

-19.2

#22 of 32

Recv EPA

+65.4

#25 of 32

CPOE

-3.22

#28 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for ATL 2025 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,170

#19 of 32

Pass YAC

1,871

#11 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,170

#19 of 32

Recv YAC

1,871

#11 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for ATL 2025. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

108

#16 of 32

Penalty Yds

819

#13 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#6 of 32

Yds / Game

48.2

#13 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2025 vs 2024.


Punt Net Yds	1802	2598	796
Kick Ret Yds	791	1531	740
Punt Yds	2209	2889	680

5-Year Trajectory

ATL Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2021 through 2025. Trending up, down, or holding steady?


2021	-18.4	-136.7	-155.1
2022	73.7	-123.5	-49.8
2023	-32.5	6.9	-25.7
2024	99.6	-85.9	+13.8
2025	32.5	-59.0	-26.5

Last game — Week 18, 2025

W vs NO · 19–17

ATL failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for ATL 2025.

Cmp %

60.9%

#28

Pass Yds/G

207.2

#19

Pass Rating

85.3

#24

Pass TD

#26

Pass Int

Sack Rate

4.6%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. ATL has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	8-9	9-8	52.9%	8-9	47.1%	-2.8	-2.0	16	+19.5
Home	8	4-4	3-5	37.5%	4-4	50.0%	-4.5	-4.4	10	+13.5
Away	9	4-5	6-3	66.7%	4-5	44.4%	-1.3	+0.2	16	+19.5
As favorite	7	3-4	2-5	28.6%	3-4	42.9%	-6.3	-10.5	7	+4.5
As underdog	10	5-5	7-3	70.0%	5-5	50.0%	-0.4	+4.0	16	+19.5
Division games	6	3-3	2-4	33.3%	2-4	33.3%	-3.2	-4.1	14	+15.5
Non-division	11	5-6	7-4	63.6%	6-5	54.5%	-2.6	-0.8	16	+19.5
Pick-em (≤3)	6	3-3	3-3	50.0%	2-4	33.3%	+2.0	+1.4	14	+15.5
Small favorite (3-7)	3	1-2	0-3	—	1-2	—	-10.3	-15.2	2	-2.5
Large favorite (7+)	1	0-1	0-1	—	0-1	—	-24.0	-31.0	—	-31.0
Small underdog (3-7)	5	3-2	5-0	100.0%	3-2	60.0%	+4.0	+9.0	16	+19.5
Large underdog (7+)	2	1-1	1-1	—	2-0	—	-12.5	-5.2	3	+10.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2025. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	-1.0	+2.8
CAR	Carolina Panthers	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	-16.5	-21.5
NO	New Orleans Saints	2	2-0	1-1	0-2	+8.0	+6.5
MIN	Minnesota Vikings	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+16.0	+19.5
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+7.0	+4.5
BUF	Buffalo Bills	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+10.0	+13.5
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-10.0	-8.5
MIA	Miami Dolphins	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-24.0	-31.0
NE	New England Patriots	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-1.0	+4.5
IND	Indianapolis Colts	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-6.0	+0.5
NYJ	New York Jets	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-3.0	-6.0
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-28.0	-21.0
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+7.0	+4.5
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+3.0	+10.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	4	2-2	2-2	1-3	50%
Oct	3	1-2	1-2	0-3	33%
Nov	5	1-4	3-2	4-1	60%
Dec	4	3-1	3-1	3-1	75%
Jan	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Sun	14	5-9	6-8	6-8	43%
Mon	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	3-5	4-4	2-6	50%
Second half (W10+)	9	5-4	5-4	6-3	56%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	5	2-3	3-2	2-3	60%
Turf	12	6-6	6-6	6-6	50%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	3-3	2-4	2-4	33%
Same conference	6	4-2	4-2	3-3	67%
Inter-conference	5	1-4	3-2	3-2	60%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	4	1-3	3-1	4-0	75%
Mild (60-74°F)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Warm (75°F+)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Indoor	11	7-4	6-5	4-7	55%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	5	1-4	2-3	3-2	40%
Indoor	11	7-4	6-5	4-7	55%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	4
ATS	L	1
O/U	U	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	4
Longest SU loss streak	5
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	2
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	3

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	7	4-3	3-4	2-5	43%
After a loss	9	4-5	6-3	6-3	67%
On 2+ winning streak	3	2-1	1-2	1-2	33%
On 2+ losing streak	5	2-3	4-1	4-1	80%
vs winning opp.	9	5-4	7-2	6-3	78%
vs losing opp.	6	3-3	2-4	1-5	33%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	6	1-5	3-3	4-2	50%
Dome	2	2-0	2-0	0-2	100%
Retractable (closed)	9	5-4	4-5	4-5	44%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	4-4	3-5	4-4	38%
Domestic road	8	4-4	5-3	3-5	62%
International	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	4-4	3-5	4-4	38%
Short (<500)	3	2-1	2-1	1-2	67%
Medium (500-1500)	3	1-2	2-1	2-1	67%
Long (1500+)	3	1-2	2-1	1-2	67%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Standard (5-7d)	12	4-8	5-7	6-6	42%
Long week (8-10d)	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	100%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-24 G

OctATS 1-23 G

NovATS 3-25 G

DecATS 3-14 G

JanATS 0-11 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SunATS 6-814 G

MonATS 2-02 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 4-48 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 5-49 G

By surface

GrassATS 3-25 G

TurfATS 6-612 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-46 G

Same conferenceATS 4-26 G

Inter-conferenceATS 3-25 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 3-36 G

DomeATS 2-02 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 4-59 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 3-58 G

Domestic roadATS 5-38 G

InternationalATS 1-01 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 3-58 G

Short (<500)ATS 2-13 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 2-13 G

Long (1500+)ATS 2-13 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 5-712 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 2-02 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 3-25 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-02 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-34 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 3-36 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 11.4 ptsBias -2.0 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	8-9	0.495 #20	20.8	23.6	32.51	-58.96
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	8-9	0.522 #9	18.3	22.4	4.49	-95.32
New Orleans Saints (NO)	6-11	0.495 #19	18.0	22.5	-19.68	4.59
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	8-9	0.529 #6	22.4	24.2	44.21	-55.34

Insights

A look at how the 2025 Atlanta Falcons ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive yac over expected allowed (2nd of 32), defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (2nd of 32), and defensive avg time to pressure (3rd of 32). Weaknesses: defensive ryoe per attempt allowed (31st of 32), defensive yards before contact per carry allowed (31st of 32), and defensive epa per rush allowed (27th of 32).

Rivalries

Atlanta Falcons and Carolina Panthers have met 16 times in the regular season. Atlanta Falcons leads the series 9 to 7. The most lopsided meeting was a 30-point win for Carolina Panthers in 2025.
Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints have met 16 times in the regular season. New Orleans Saints leads the series 10 to 6. The most lopsided meeting was a 31-point win for New Orleans Saints in 2023.
Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers have met 16 times in the regular season. The series is even at 8 apiece. The most lopsided meeting was a 23-point win for Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2021.

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Rivalries

Other teams in NFC South

Neighboring teams in Power Rankings