NFL Lines Week 7 Picks, Odds & Spreads

NFL Odds for Every Game of NFL Week 7

Welcome to Week 7!

Holy Unders Batman!  We saw unders go 13-2 in week 6.  This was preceeded by many huge drops in the early point totals.  Someone knew something.  Well if you missed out on the line movement tell on the unders, its back again this week.

Out of the 13 games on the slate this week, 12 of them had the over/under total move down in the early action.  The only game to move up, Rams vs Steelers, moved up 0.5 points.  Meanwhile early action saw:

• Bears/Raiders over/under -8 points
• Saints/Jaguars over/under -4.5 points
• Raven/Lions over/under -3.5 points
• Colts/Browns over/under -3 points
• Every other game, save Rams/Steelers, moved down 1 – 2 points on the point total.

If this plays out like it did last week, there is money to be made on the unders.  The Algorithm, blind to such matters, and others such as injuries and weather, goes out on a limb for every game this week.  Be sure you use you own handicapping knowledge in addition to any info you see here to make the final determination on what teams and outcomes to back.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New Orleans Saints Odds

• Opening point spread: Saints +1.5
• Opening total: Over/Under 43.5 points scored
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Thursday (Prime)
• Calculated Line: SAINTS -4.92
• Opening Line Error: 6.42
• Tues Line Error: 1.92
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 39.36
• Opening Over/Under Error: 4.14
• Tues Over/Under Error: 0.36

ALGORITHM PICK – SAINTS UNDER

FLIPPED PICK – SAINTS OVER

Detroit Lions vs Baltimore Ravens Odds

• Opening point spread: Ravens -2.5
• Opening total: Over/Under 45 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
• Calculated Line: RAVENS -3.58
• Opening Line Error: 1.08
• Tues Line Error: 0.58
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 42.11
• Opening Over/Under Error: 2.89
• Tues Over/Under Error: 0.61

ALGORITHM PICK – RAVENS UNDER

FLIPPED PICK – RAVENS OVER

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Odds

• Opening point spread: Bills -8.5
• Opening total: Over/Under 44.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
• Calculated Line: BILLS -9.30
• Opening Line Error: 0.80
• Tues Line Error: 0.80
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 42.21
• Opening Over/Under Error: 2.29
• Tues Over/Under Error: 0.71
• RB Rhamondre Stevenson In

ALGORITHM PICK – BILLS UNDER

FLIPPED PICK – BILLS OVER

Cleveland Browns vs Indianapolis Colts Odds

• Opening point spread: Browns -2.5
• Opening total: Over/Under 42.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
• Calculated Line: COLTS -1.17
• Opening Line Error: 3.67
• Tues Line Error: 3.67
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 37.30
• Opening Over/Under Error: 5.20
• Tues Over/Under Error: 2.20
• Deshaun Watson Status Uncertain

ALGORITHM PICK – COLTS UNDER

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds

• Opening point spread: Buccaneers -2.5
• Opening total: Over/Under 40.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
• Calculated Line: BUCS -5.10
• Opening Line Error: 2.60
• Tues Line Error: 2.60
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 41.70
• Opening Over/Under Error: 1.20
• Tues Over/Under Error: 3.20

ALGORITHM PICK – BUCS OVER

Las Vegas Raiders vs Chicago Bears Odds

• Opening point spread: Raiders -1.5
• Opening total: Over/Under 45.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
• Calculated Line: BEARS -2.61
• Opening Line Error: 4.11
• Tues Line Error: 5.61
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 48.58
• Opening Over/Under Error: 3.08
• Tues Over/Under Error: 11.08
• Bagent in for Bears
• Raiders to start Hoyer

ALGORITHM PICK – BEARS OVER

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Odds

• Opening point spread: Commanders -1.5
• Opening total: Over/Under 41.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
• Calculated Line: COMMANDERS -2.77
• Opening Line Error: 1.27
• Tues Line Error: 1.27
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 45.65
• Opening Over/Under Error: 4.15
• Tues Over/Under Error: 5.15
• Daniel Jones status uncertain

ALGORITHM PICK – COMMANDERS OVER

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks Odds

• Opening point spread: Seahawks -7
• Opening total: Over/Under 46.5 points scored
• Time: 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
• Calculated Line: SEAHAWKS -7.10
• Opening Line Error: 0.10
• Tues Line Error: 0.40
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 48.24
• Opening Over/Under Error: 1.74
• Tues Over/Under Error: 3.74
• D.K. Metcalf Questionable

ALGORITHM PICK – SEAHAWKS OVER

FLIPPED PICK – CARDINALS OVER

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Rams Odds

• Opening point spread: Rams -3
• Opening total: Over/Under 43 points scored
• Time: 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
• Calculated Line: RAMS -6.10
• Opening Line Error: 3.10
• Tues Line Error: 3.10
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 43.99
• Opening Over/Under Error: 0.99
• Tues Over/Under Error: 0.49
• Freiermuth Out
• K Williams Out

ALGORITHM PICK – RAMS OVER

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds

• Opening point spread: Chiefs -6
• Opening total: Over/Under 51.5 points scored
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
• Calculated Line: CHIEFS -6.85
• Opening Line Error: 0.85
• Tues Line Error: 0.85
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 50.42
• Opening Over/Under Error: 1.08
• Tues Over/Under Error: 0.08

ALGORITHM PICK – CHIEFS UNDER

DENVER BRONCOS vs GREEN BAY PACKERS Odds

• Opening point spread: Packers -2
• Opening total: Over/Under 46 points scored
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
• Calculated Line: PACKERS -2.58
• Opening Line Error: 0.58
• Tues Line Error: 1.08
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 50.47
• Opening Over/Under Error: 4.47
• Tues Over/Under Error: 5.47
• Aaron Jones Doubtful

ALGORITHM PICK – PACKERS OVER

Miami Dolphins vs Philadelphia Eagles Odds

• Opening point spread: Eagles -2.5
• Opening total: Over/Under 53.5 points scored
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday (NBC)
• Calculated Line: EAGLES -0.56
• Opening Line Error: 1.94
• Tues Line Error: 1.94
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 54.88
• Opening Over/Under Error: 1.38
• Tues Over/Under Error: 2.38
• Lane Johnson probable

ALGORITHM PICK – DOLPHINS OVER

San Francisco 49ers vs Minnesota Vikings Odds

• Opening point spread: 49ers -7.5
• Opening total: Over/Under 45.5 points scored
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Monday (ABC/ESPN)
• Calculated Line: 49ERS -7.29
• Opening Line Error: 0.21
• Tues Line Error: 0.29
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 46.98
• Opening Over/Under Error: 4.39
• Tues Over/Under Error: 8.39
• McCaffery & Samuel Questionable/Doubtful

ALGORITHM PICK – VIKINGS OVER

FLIPPED PICK – 49ERS OVER