NFL 2023 – Week 9 – Picks Odds Lines Spreads Over Under Totals

NFL Odds for Every Game of NFL Week 9

NFL Week 9 Picks

Welcome to week 9 of the NFL season.  After this week we will be halfway through the 18 week schedule.  That means next week it will be time for Quarterback Mid-Term Report Cards using QB Score and other advanced passing metrics.  But for this week, let’s concentrate on what the trade deadline has meant to different teams, and therefore their expected performances this week and going forward.

NFL 2023 Trade Grades – Winners & Losers

The intent of this post is to warn anyone using the algorithm or power ratings, that both are completely blind to the results of this weeks’ trades.   You should definitely take this information into account before/after looking at the generated stat info for each game.  If the game involves a team that made trades this week, please take that/those trades into consideration, even to the point of completely disregarding the algorithm picks or power ratings for a particular team.

Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds

• Opening point spread: Chiefs -2.5
• Opening total: Over/Under 50.5 points scored
• Time: 9:30 a.m. ET Sunday (NFL Network)
• Calculated Line: Chiefs -0.68
• Opening Line Error: 1.82
• Tues Line Error: 1.82
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 54.01
• Opening Over/Under Error: 3.51
• Tues Over/Under Error: 3.51

Tennessee Titans vs Pittsburgh Steelers Odds

• Opening point spread: Steelers -3 (even)
• Opening total: Over/Under 36.5 points scored
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Thursday (Prime)
• Calculated Line: Steelers -0.37
• Opening Line Error: -2.63
• Tues Line Error: 2.13
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 40.95
• Opening Over/Under Error: 4.45
• Tues Over/Under Error: 4.45

Seattle Seahawks vs Baltimore Ravens Odds

• Opening point spread: Ravens -5.5
• Opening total: Over/Under 42.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
• Calculated Line: Ravens -6.95
• Opening Line Error: 1.45
• Tues Line Error:1.45
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 40.52
• Opening Over/Under Error: 1.98
• Tues Over/Under Error: 1.98

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons Odds

• Opening point spread: Falcons -4.5
• Opening total: Over/Under 37.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
• Calculated Line: Falcons -3.13
• Opening Line Error: 1.37
• Tues Line Error: 1.37
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 43.03
• Opening Over/Under Error: 5.53
• Tues Over/Under Error: 6.03

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Houston Texans Odds

• Opening point spread: Texans -3
• Opening total: Over/Under 40 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
• Calculated Line: Texans -5.06
• Opening Line Error: 2.06
• Tues Line Error: 2.06
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 45.62
• Opening Over/Under Error: 5.62
• Tues Over/Under Error: 5.62

Arizona Cardinals vs Cleveland Browns Odds

• Opening point spread: Browns -7.5
• Opening total: Over/Under 37.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
• Calculated Line: Browns -3.77
• Opening Line Error: 3.73
• Tues Line Error: 3.73
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 31.91
• Opening Over/Under Error: 5.59
• Tues Over/Under Error: 5.59

Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers Odds

• Opening point spread: Packers -3
• Opening total: Over/Under 39.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
• Calculated Line: Packers – 0.51
• Opening Line Error: 2.49
• Tues Line Error: 2.49
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 46.13
• Opening Over/Under Error: 6.63
• Tues Over/Under Error: 6.63

Washington Commanders vs New England Patriots Odds

• Opening point spread: Patriots -3
• Opening total: Over/Under 39.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
• Calculated Line: Patriots -2.76
• Opening Line Error: 0.24
• Tues Line Error: 0.74
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 41.01
• Opening Over/Under Error: 1.51
• Tues Over/Under Error: 0.51

Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints Odds

• Opening point spread: Saints -7
• Opening total: Over/Under 41 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
• Calculated Line: Saints -7.02
• Opening Line Error: 0.02
• Tues Line Error: 0.48
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 43.93
• Opening Over/Under Error: 2.93
• Tues Over/Under Error: 2.93

Indianapolis Colts vs Carolina Panthers Odds

• Opening point spread: Colts -3
• Opening total: Over/Under 45.5 points scored
• Time: 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
• Calculated Line: Colts -1.87
• Opening Line Error: 1.13
• Tues Line Error: 0.63
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 44.40
• Opening Over/Under Error: 1.10
• Tues Over/Under Error: 0.10

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles Odds

• Opening point spread: Eagles -3
• Opening total: Over/Under 46.5 points scored
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
• Calculated Line: Eagles -2.81
• Opening Line Error: 0.19
• Tues Line Error: 0.19
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 46.25
• Opening Over/Under Error: 0.25
• Tues Over/Under Error: 0.25

New York Giants vs Las Vegas Raiders Odds

• Opening point spread: Raiders -3
• Opening total: Over/Under 39 points scored
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
• Calculated Line: Raiders -5.81
• Opening Line Error: 2.81
• Tues Line Error: 3.31
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 39.86
• Opening Over/Under Error: 0.86
• Tues Over/Under Error: 2.36

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals Odds

• Opening point spread: Bengals -2.5
• Opening total: Over/Under 48.5 points scored
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday (NBC)
• Calculated Line: Bills -5.86
• Opening Line Error: 8.36
• Tues Line Error: 8.36
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 48.47
• Opening Over/Under Error: 0.03
• Tues Over/Under Error: 0.03

Los Angeles Chargers vs New York Jets Odds

• Opening point spread: Chargers -3
• Opening moneyline: Chargers TBA/Jets TBA
• Opening total: Over/Under 41.5 points scored
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Monday (ABC/ESPN)
• Calculated Line: Chargers -2.32
• Opening Line Error: 0.68
• Tues Line Error: 0.68
• Estimated Over/Under Total: 44.30
• Opening Over/Under Error: 2.80
• Tues Over/Under Error: 2.80