NFL 2023 – Week 12 – Free Picks Odds Lines Spreads Over Under Totals
![NFL 2023 - Week 12 Picks Odds Lines Spreads Over-Under Totals](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Picks-Odds-Lines-Spreads-Over-Under-Totals-1.png)
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Expected Point Matrix](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/Screen-Shot-11-26-23-at-11.04-AM.png)
NFL Week 12 Picks
NOTE: Please ignore the “Yardage” stat in the drive charts. It is used to figure out how far into opponent territory average drives end, and shouldnt have been in the chart. I forgot to hide the column before screen capping the charts this week.
The NFL 2023 week 12 picks are in. The Expected Point Matrix sees a beautiful clash of games in the late window on Sunday. Browns @ Broncos features an all red Expected Point Matrix, meaning both defenses can stop both the run and pass of the other team.
Meanwhile in Philadelphia, we have an all green Expected Points Matrix signalling that neither defense is going to be able to the stop the run or pass of the opposing team.
And the Algorithm is going to ride the Texans & Vikings all the way to silicon valley where it plans to buy a 65 degree closet with scenic views using the cash its won on those two teams this year. Best of luck to everyone this week!
UPDATE 11/26 – Sheet updated with 1pm final scores.
NFL Odds for Every Game of NFL Week 12
Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Lions vs Packers |
-7.5 (-110) +7.5 (-110) |
o46.5 (-114) u46.5 (-106) |
-370 +295 |
- Opening point spread: Lions -7.5
- Opening total: Over/Under 46.5 points scored
- Time: 12:30 p.m. ET Thursday (FOX)
- Calculated Line: Lions -5.83
- Opening Line Error: 1.67
- Tues Line Error: 1.67
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 49.07
- Opening Over/Under Error: 2.57
- Tues Over/Under Error: 2.57
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Radar Chart Packers Lions](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Radar-Chart-Packers-Lions.png)
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Drive Chart Packers Lions](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Drive-Chart-Packers-Lions.png)
Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Cowboys vs Commanders |
-10.5 (-112) +10.5 (-108) |
o48.5 (-110) u48.5 (-110) |
-590 +430 |
- Opening point spread: Cowboys -10.5
- Opening total: Over/Under 46.5 points scored
- Time: 4:30 p.m. ET Thursday (CBS)
- Calculated Line: Cowboys -11.86
- Opening Line Error: 1.36
- Tues Line Error: 1.36
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 45.96
- Opening Over/Under Error: 0.54
- Tues Over/Under Error: 2.54
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Radar Chart Cowboys Commanders](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Radar-Chart-Cowboys-Commanders.png)
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Drive Chart Cowboys Commanders](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Drive-Chart-Cowboys-Commanders.png)
San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Seahawks vs 49ers |
+7 (-118) -7 (-104) |
o42.5 (-112) u42.5 (-108) |
+240 -295 |
- Opening point spread: 49ers -7
- Opening moneyline: 49ers TBA/Seahawks TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 43.5 points scored
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Thursday (NBC)
- Calculated Line: 49ers -4.19
- Opening Line Error: 2.81
- Tues Line Error: 2.81
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 47.07
- Opening Over/Under Error: 3.57
- Tues Over/Under Error: 4.57
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Radar Chart 49ers Seahawks](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Radar-Chart-49ers-Seahawks.png)
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Drive Chart 49ers Seahawks](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Drive-Chart-49ers-Seahawks.png)
Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Jets vs Dolphins |
+9.5 (-110) -9.5 (-110) |
o40.5 (-105) u40.5 (-115) |
+360 -460 |
- Opening point spread: Dolphins -7.5
- Opening total: Over/Under 42 points scored
- Time: 3 p.m. ET Friday (Prime)
- Calculated Line: Dolphins -9.96
- Opening Line Error: 2.46
- Tues Line Error: 0.46
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 39.15
- Opening Over/Under Error: 2.85
- Tues Over/Under Error: 1.35
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Radar Chart Dolphins Jets](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Radar-Chart-Dolphins-Jets.png)
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Drive Chart Dolphins Jets](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Drive-Chart-Dolphins-Jets.png)
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Texans vs Jaguars |
+1.5 (-115) -1.5 (-105) |
o47.5 (-115) u47.5 (-105) |
-102 -116 |
- Opening point spread: Pick
- Opening total: Over/Under 46 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
- Calculated Line: Texans -4.61
- Opening Line Error: 4.61
- Tues Line Error: 6.11
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 45.34
- Opening Over/Under Error: 0.66
- Tues Over/Under Error: 2.16
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Radar Chart Jaguars Texans](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Radar-Chart-Jaguars-Texans.png)
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Drive Chart Jaguars Texans](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Drive-Chart-Jaguars-Texans.png)
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Bengals vs Steelers |
+1.5 (-120) -1.5 (-102) |
o34.5 (-110) u34.5 (-110) |
-108 -108 |
- Opening point spread: Pick
- Opening total: Over/Under 34.5 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
- Calculated Line: Steelers -2.27
- Opening Line Error: 2.27
- Tues Line Error: 0.77
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 41.86
- Opening Over/Under Error: 7.36
- Tues Over/Under Error: 7.36
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Radar Chart Steelers Bengals](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Radar-Chart-Steelers-Bengals.png)
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Drive Chart Steelers Bengals](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Drive-Chart-Steelers-Bengals.png)
New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Falcons vs Saints |
-1.5 (-102) +1.5 (-120) |
o42.5 (-110) u42.5 (-110) |
-116 -102 |
- Opening point spread: Pick
- Opening total: Over/Under 40 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
- Calculated Line: Falcons -1.96
- Opening Line Error: 1.96
- Tues Line Error: 0.46
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 38.13
- Opening Over/Under Error: 1.87
- Tues Over/Under Error: 4.37
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Radar Chart Saints Falcons](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Radar-Chart-Saints-Falcons.png)
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Drive Chart Saints Falcons](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Drive-Chart-Saints-Falcons.png)
New England Patriots vs New York Giants Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Giants vs Patriots |
+3.5 (-115) -3.5 (-105) |
o33.5 (-110) u33.5 (-110) |
+140 -166 |
- Opening point spread: Patriots -3.5
- Opening total: Over/Under 35 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
- Calculated Line: Patriots -1.27
- Opening Line Error: 2.23
- Tues Line Error: 2.23
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 33.17
- Opening Over/Under Error: 1.83
- Tues Over/Under Error: 0.33
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Radar Chart Patriots Giants](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Radar-Chart-Patriots-Giants.png)
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Drive Chart Patriots Giants](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Drive-Chart-Patriots-Giants.png)
Tampa Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Colts vs Buccaneers |
-2.5 (-110) +2.5 (-110) |
o43.5 (-110) u43.5 (-110) |
-134 +114 |
- Opening point spread: Colts -1.5
- Opening total: Over/Under 42 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
- Calculated Line: Colts -4.43
- Opening Line Error: 2.93
- Tues Line Error: 1.93
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 42.72
- Opening Over/Under Error: -0.72
- Tues Over/Under Error: +0.78
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Radar Chart Bucs Colts](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Radar-Chart-Bucs-Colts.png)
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Drive Chart Bucs Colts](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Drive-Chart-Bucs-Colts.png)
Carolina Panthers vs Tennessee Titans Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Titans vs Panthers |
-4 (-110) +4 (-110) |
o37 (-105) u37 (-115) |
-196 +164 |
- Opening point spread: Titans -4
- Opening total: Over/Under 37 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Saturday (FOX)
- Calculated Line: Titans -6.27
- Opening Line Error: 2.27
- Tues Line Error: 2.27
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 42.67
- Opening Over/Under Error: 5.67
- Tues Over/Under Error: 5.67
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Radar Chart Panthers Titans](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Radar-Chart-Panthers-Titans.png)
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Drive Chart Panthers Titans](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Drive-Chart-Panthers-Titans.png)
Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Broncos vs Browns |
-2.5 (-110) +2.5 (-110) |
o35.5 (-110) u35.5 (-110) |
-136 +116 |
- Opening point spread: Broncos -2
- Opening total: Over/Under 36.5 points scored
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
- Calculated Line: Browns -2.94
- Opening Line Error: 4.94
- Tues Line Error: 5.44
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 37.05
- Opening Over/Under Error: 0.55
- Tues Over/Under Error: 1.55
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Radar Chart Browns Broncos](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Radar-Chart-Browns-Broncos.png)
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Drive Chart Browns Broncos](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Drive-Chart-Browns-Broncos.png)
Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Cardinals vs Rams |
-1.5 (-102) +1.5 (-120) |
o44.5 (-110) u44.5 (-110) |
-112 -104 |
- Opening point spread: Rams -2
- Opening total: Over/Under 46.5 points scored
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
- Calculated Line: Rams -1.25
- Opening Line Error: -0.75
- Tues Line Error: +2.75
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 45.07
- Opening Over/Under Error: -1.43
- Tues Over/Under Error: +0.57
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Radar Chart Rams Cardinals](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Radar-Chart-Rams-Cardinals.png)
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Drive Chart Rams Cardinals](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Drive-Chart-Rams-Cardinals.png)
Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Eagles vs Bills |
-3.5 (-105) +3.5 (-115) |
o47.5 (-110) u47.5 (-110) |
-174 +148 |
- Opening point spread: Eagles -3 (-120)
- Opening total: Over/Under 47.5 points scored
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
- Calculated Line: Eagles -0.56
- Opening Line Error: 2.44
- Tues Line Error: 2.94
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 51.93
- Opening Over/Under Error: 4.43
- Tues Over/Under Error: 5.13
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Drive Chart Bills Eagles](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Drive-Chart-Bills-Eagles.png)
Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Raiders vs Chiefs |
+9 (-110) -9 (-110) |
o44.5 (-110) u44.5 (-110) |
+320 -405 |
- Opening point spread: Chiefs -9.5
- Opening moneyline: Chiefs TBA/Raiders TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 43.5 points scored
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Thursday (Prime)
- Calculated Line: Chiefs -4.66
- Opening Line Error: 4.84
- Tues Line Error: 4.34
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 40.06
- Opening Over/Under Error: 3.44
- Tues Over/Under Error: 4.44
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Radar Chart Chiefs Raiders](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Radar-Chart-Chiefs-Raiders.png)
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Drive Chart Chiefs Raiders](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Drive-Chart-Chiefs-Raiders.png)
Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Chargers vs Ravens |
+4 (-110) -4 (-110) |
o46.5 (-110) u46.5 (-110) |
+154 -184 |
- Opening point spread: Ravens -4.5
- Opening total: Over/Under 46 points scored
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday (NBC)
- Calculated Line: Ravens -4.66
- Opening Line Error: 0.16
- Tues Line Error: 0.66
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 48.87
- Opening Over/Under Error: 2.87
- Tues Over/Under Error: 2.37
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Radar Chart Ravens Chargers](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Radar-Chart-Ravens-Chargers.png)
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Drive Chart Ravens Chargers](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Drive-Chart-Ravens-Chargers.png)
Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Vikings vs Bears |
-3.5 (-105) +3.5 (-115) |
o45 (-110) u45 (-110) |
-174 +146 |
- Opening point spread: Vikings -3.5
- Opening total: Over/Under 45.5 points scored
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Monday
- Calculated Line: Vikings -7.65
- Opening Line Error: 4.15
- Tues Line Error: 4.15
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 46.27
- Opening Over/Under Error: 0.77
- Tues Over/Under Error: 1.27
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Radar Chart Bears Vikings](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Radar-Chart-Bears-Vikings.png)
![NFL 2023 Week 12 Drive Chart Bears Vikings](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-12-Drive-Chart-Bears-Vikings.png)