NFL 2023 – Week 11 – Free Picks Odds Lines Spreads Over Under Totals
![NFL 2023 - Week 11 Picks Odds Lines Spreads Over Under Totals](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-11-Picks-Odds-Lines-Spreads-Over-Under-Totals.png)
![NFL 2023 - Week 11 Expected Points Matrix](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Week-11-Expected-Points-Matrix.png)
NFL Odds for Every Game of NFL Week 11
Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Ravens vs Bengals |
-3.5 (-110) +3.5 (-110) |
o46 (-110) u46 (-110) |
-194 +162 |
- Opening point spread: Ravens -3.5
- Opening moneyline: Ravens -195/Bengals +165
- Opening total: Over/Under 45.5 points scored
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Thursday (Prime)
- Calculated Line: Ravens -13.37
- Opening Line Error: 9.87
- Tues Line Error: 9.87
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 40.87
- Opening Over/Under Error: 4.63
- Tues Over/Under Error: 5.13
![NFL 2023 Drive Charts Bengals Ravens](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Drive-Charts-Bengals-Ravens.png)
![NFL 2023 Radar Charts Bengals Ravens](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Radar-Charts-Bengals-Ravens.png)
Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Jaguars vs Titans |
-6.5 (-110) +6.5 (-110) |
o40.5 (-105) u40.5 (-115) |
-290 +235 |
- Opening point spread: Jaguars -6.5
- Opening moneyline: Jaguars – 300/Titans +240
- Opening total: Over/Under 40.5 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
- Calculated Line: Jaguars -4.37
- Opening Line Error: 2.13
- Tues Line Error: 2.13
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 40.65
- Opening Over/Under Error: 0.15
- Tues Over/Under Error: 0.15
![NFL 2023 Drive Charts Titans Jaguars](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Drive-Charts-Titans-Jaguars.png)
![NFL 2023 Radar Charts Titans Jaguars](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Radar-Charts-Titans-Jaguars.png)
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Browns vs Steelers |
-4 (-110) +4 (-110) |
o36.5 (-110) u36.5 (-110) |
-196 +164 |
- Opening point spread: Browns -4
- Opening moneyline: Browns -195/Steelers +165
- Opening total: Over/Under 37.5 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
- Calculated Line: Browns -7.32
- Opening Line Error: 3.32
- Tues Line Error: 3.32
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 31.03
- Opening Over/Under Error: 6.43
- Tues Over/Under Error: 5.43
![NFL 2023 Drive Charts Steelers Browns](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Drive-Charts-Steelers-Browns.png)
![NFL 2023 Radar Charts Steelers Browns](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Radar-Charts-Steelers-Browns.png)
Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Lions vs Bears |
-9.5 (-110) +9.5 (-110) |
o46.5 (-114) u46.5 (-106) |
-430 +340 |
- Opening point spread: Lions -10
- Opening moneyline: Lions -550/Bears +400
- Opening total: Over/Under 46.5 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
- Calculated Line: Lions -8.00
- Opening Line Error: 2.00
- Tues Line Error: 31.50
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 47.07
- Opening Over/Under Error: 0.57
- Tues Over/Under Error: 0.57
![NFL 2023 Drive Charts Bears Lions](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Drive-Charts-Bears-Lions.png)
![NFL 2023 Radar Charts Bears Lions](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Radar-Charts-Bears-Lions.png)
Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Dolphins vs Raiders |
-11.5 (-114) +11.5 (-106) |
o46.5 (-110) u46.5 (-110) |
-650 +480 |
- Opening point spread: Dolphins -10.5
- Opening moneyline: Dolphins -500/Raiders +375
- Opening total: Over/Under 47.5 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
- Calculated Line: Dolphins -12.48
- Opening Line Error: 1.98
- Tues Line Error: 0.98
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 46.45
- Opening Over/Under Error: 1.05
- Tues Over/Under Error: 0.05
![NFL 2023 Drive Charts Raiders Dolphins](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Drive-Charts-Raiders-Dolphins.png)
![NFL 2023 Radar Charts Raiders Dolphins](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Radar-Charts-Raiders-Dolphins.png)
Dallas Cowboys vs Carolina Panthers Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Panthers vs Cowboys |
+10.5 (-105) -10.5 (-115) |
o41.5 (-115) u41.5 (-105) |
+460 -620 |
- Opening point spread: Cowboys -10.5
- Opening moneyline: Cowboys -650/Panthers +450
- Opening total: Over/Under 41.5 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
- Calculated Line: Cowboys -7.69
- Opening Line Error: 2.81
- Tues Line Error: 2.81
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 39.82
- Opening Over/Under Error: 1.68
- Tues Over/Under Error: 1.68
![NFL 2023 Drive Charts Cowboys Panthers](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Drive-Charts-Cowboys-Panthers.png)
![NFL 2023 Radar Charts Cowboys Panthers](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Radar-Charts-Cowboys-Panthers.png)
Arizona Cardinals vs Houston Texans Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Texans vs Cardinals |
-4.5 (-105) +4.5 (-115) |
o47.5 (-110) u47.5 (-110) |
-200 +168 |
- Opening point spread: Texans -4.5
- Opening moneyline: Texans -200/Cardinals +170
- Opening total: Over/Under 47.5 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
- Calculated Line: Texans -9.33
- Opening Line Error: 4.83
- Tues Line Error: 4.83
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 46.69
- Opening Over/Under Error: 0.81
- Tues Over/Under Error: 0.81
![NFL 2023 Drive Charts Cardinals Texans](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Drive-Charts-Cardinals-Texans.png)
![NFL 2023 Radar Charts Cardinals Texans](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Radar-Charts-Cardinals-Texans.png)
Los Angeles Chargers vs Green Bay Packers Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Packers vs Chargers |
+3 (-110) -3 (-110) |
o43.5 (-115) u43.5 (-105) |
+138 -164 |
- Opening point spread: Chargers -3
- Opening moneyline: Chargers -170/Packers +145
- Opening total: Over/Under 43.5 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
- Calculated Line: Packers -3.15
- Opening Line Error: 6.15
- Tues Line Error: 6.15
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 49.27
- Opening Over/Under Error: 5.77
- Tues Over/Under Error: 5.77
![NFL 2023 Drive Charts Chargers Packers](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Drive-Charts-Chargers-Packers.png)
![NFL 2023 Radar Charts Chargers Packers](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Radar-Charts-Chargers-Packers.png)
New York Giants vs Washington Commanders Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Commanders vs Giants |
-9.5 (-115) +9.5 (-105) |
o36.5 (-115) u36.5 (-105) |
-500 +385 |
- Opening point spread: Commanders -9.5
- Opening moneyline: Commanders -500/Giants +375
- Opening total: Over/Under 36.5 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
- Calculated Line: Commanders -8.58
- Opening Line Error: 0.92
- Tues Line Error: 0.92
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 40.20
- Opening Over/Under Error: 3.70
- Tues Over/Under Error: 3.70
![NFL 2023 Drive Charts Commanders Giants](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Drive-Charts-Commanders-Giants.png)
![NFL 2023 Radar Charts Commanders Giants](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Radar-Charts-Commanders-Giants.png)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
49ers vs Buccaneers |
-10.5 (-115) +10.5 (-105) |
o41.5 (-110) u41.5 (-110) |
-670 +490 |
- Opening point spread: 49ers -10.5
- Opening moneyline: 49ers -650/Buccaneers +450
- Opening total: Over/Under 41.5 points scored
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
- Calculated Line: 49ers -10.96
- Opening Line Error: 0.46
- Tues Line Error: 0.46
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 45.55
- Opening Over/Under Error: 4.05
- Tues Over/Under Error: 4.05
![NFL 2023 Drive Charts Buccaneers 49ers](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Drive-Charts-Buccaneers-49ers.png)
![NFL 2023 Radar Charts Buccaneers 49ers](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Radar-Charts-Buccaneers-49ers.png)
New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Bills vs Jets |
-6.5 (-122) +6.5 (-100) |
o40 (-105) u40 (-115) |
-335 +270 |
- Opening point spread: Bills -7
- Opening moneyline: Bills -310/Jets +250
- Opening total: Over/Under 40.5 points scored
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
- Calculated Line: Bills -8.71
- Opening Line Error: 1.71
- Tues Line Error: 2.21
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 38.78
- Opening Over/Under Error: 1.72
- Tues Over/Under Error: 1.22
![NFL 2023 Drive Charts Jets Bills](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Drive-Charts-Jets-Bills.png)
![NFL 2023 Radar Charts Jets Bills](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Radar-Charts-Jets-Bills.png)
Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Rams vs Seahawks |
+1 (-110) -1 (-110) |
o46 (-110) u46 (-110) |
-102 -116 |
- Opening point spread: Seahawks -1.5
- Opening moneyline: Seahawks -140/Rams +120
- Opening total: Over/Under 44 points scored
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
- Calculated Line: Rams -2.26
- Opening Line Error: 3.76
- Tues Line Error: 3.26
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 44.52
- Opening Over/Under Error: 0.52
- Tues Over/Under Error: 1.48
![NFL 2023 Drive Charts Seahawks Rams](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Drive-Charts-Seahawks-Rams.png)
![NFL 2023 Radar Charts Seahawks Rams](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Radar-Charts-Seahawks-Rams.png)
Minnesota Vikings vs Denver Broncos Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Broncos vs Vikings |
-2.5 (-105) +2.5 (-115) |
o43.5 (-108) u43.5 (-112) |
-130 +110 |
- Opening point spread: Broncos -1.5
- Opening moneyline: Broncos -130/Vikings +110
- Opening total: Over/Under 42.5 points scored
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday (NBC)
- Calculated Line: Vikings -4.40
- Opening Line Error: 5.90
- Tues Line Error: 6.90
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 48.55
- Opening Over/Under Error: 6.05
- Tues Over/Under Error: 5.05
![NFL 2023 Drive Charts Vikings Broncos](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Drive-Charts-Vikings-Broncos.png)
Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds
MATCHUP | SPREAD | TOTAL | MONEYLINE |
---|---|---|---|
Chiefs vs Eagles |
-3 (-110) +3 (-110) |
o46.5 (-105) u46.5 (-115) |
-154 +130 |
- Opening point spread: Chiefs -3
- Opening moneyline: Chiefs -150/Eagles +130
- Opening total: Over/Under 46.5 points scored
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Monday (ABC/ESPN)
- Calculated Line: Chiefs -4.93
- Opening Line Error: 1.93
- Tues Line Error: 1.93
- Estimated Over/Under Total: 47.05
- Opening Over/Under Error: 0.55
- Tues Over/Under Error: 0.55
Monday Update
Wind (10mph) and rain expected. Rain expected to stop in second half, but wind looks like it will remain.
Expected Points saw Cheifs passing offense against Eagles Pass defense as a huge mismatch. Conversely, it also saw Eagles rush offense against Chiefs rush defense as a mismatch. Weather might negate the Chiefs best option.
Algorithm(10-3 this week) has the Chiefs -5 (47) but the weather may severely impact both numbers.
Expected Points Matrix Week 11
In Week 11, teams with a Net Rush EP over 19 went 4(Ravens, Bears, Cowboys, Bills) – 1(Dolphins) ATS
Teams with a positive(0.00 or higher) Net Rush EP went 6 – 2 ATS (Covered – Above + Rams, Vikings Loss – Dolphins & Commanders)
Eagles Net Rush Ep tonight vs Chief = 31.16
![NFL 2023 Drive Charts Eagles Chiefs](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Drive-Charts-Eagles-Chiefs.png)
![NFL 2023 Radar Charts Eagles Chiefs](https://nfllines.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/NFL-2023-Radar-Charts-Eagles-Chiefs.png)