NFL Game Spread Results 2018 -2023
NFL game spread results from 2018 -2023. The chart shows the results for each year, the 6 year totals, and a breakdown for home vs away, & favorites vs underdogs.
As you can tell by the summaries at the bottom, betting favorites all the time would appear to be the worst strategy. Betting underdogs on the moneyline is the best option if the goal is to be profitable.
| Outcome | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2018 – 2023 Total | ||||||||
| Away Favorite Covered |
40 | 15.63% | 51 | 19.92% | 47 | 18.36% | 52 | 19.12% | 42 | 15.50% | 52 | 19.12% | 284 | 17.94% | |
| Away Underdog Covered | 37 | 14.45% | 30 | 11.72% | 29 | 11.33% | 26 | 9.56% | 32 | 11.81% | 28 | 10.29% | 182 | 11.50% | |
| Away Underdog Outright | 50 | 19.53% | 56 | 21.88% | 52 | 20.31% | 61 | 22.43% | 54 | 19.93% | 51 | 18.75% | 324 | 20.47% | |
| Home Favorite Covered | 74 | 28.91% | 59 | 23.05% | 67 | 26.17% | 77 | 28.31% | 77 | 28.41% | 83 | 30.51% | 437 | 27.61% | |
| Home Underdog Covered | 10 | 3.91% | 12 | 4.69% | 29 | 11.33% | 15 | 5.51% | 15 | 5.54% | 10 | 3.68% | 91 | 5.75% | |
| Home Underdog Outright | 35 | 13.67% | 33 | 12.89% | 31 | 12.11% | 35 | 12.87% | 38 | 14.02% | 35 | 12.87% | 207 | 13.08% | |
|
Neutral Favorite Covered
|
1 | 0.39% | 3 | 1.17% | 0 | 0.00% | 1 | 0.37% | 3 | 1.11% | 4 | 1.47% | 12 | 0.76% | |
|
Neutral Underdog Covered
|
1 | 0.39% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 1 | 0.37% | 0 | 0.00% | 2 | 0.13% | |
|
Neutral Underdog Outright
|
0 | 0.00% | 2 | 0.78% | 0 | 0.00% | 2 | 0.74% | 2 | 0.74% | 1 | 0.37% | 7 | 0.44% | |
| Push | 8 | 3.13% | 10 | 3.91% | 1 | 0.39% | 3 | 1.10% | 7 | 2.58% | 8 | 2.94% | 37 | 2.34% | |
| Total | 256 | 100.00% | 256 | 100.00% | 256 | 100.00% | 272 | 100.00% | 271 | 100.00% | 272 | 100.00% | 1583 | 100.00% | |
| Favorite Covered | 46.30% | Home | 46.43% | Underdog | 51.36% | Outright | 80.29% | ||||||||
| Underdog Covered | 17.37% | Away | 49.91% | Favorite | 46.30% | Needed Points | 17.37% | ||||||||
| Underdog Outright | 33.99% | Neutral | 1.33% | Push | 2.34% | Push | 2.34% | ||||||||
| Push | 2.34% | Push | 2.34% | ||||||||||||
