What Opp Fumble Rec is

Opponent fumbles recovered by this team. The forcing of a fumble is skill; the recovery is close to chance, so this number bounces season to season.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2024 the Bills led at 0.94; the league average was 0.49.

League snapshot — 2024

League leader

BUF · 0.94

League average

0.49

Best to worst

0.76

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	BUF	0.94	17
2	PIT	0.94	17
3	GB	0.82	17
4	CHI	0.76	17
5	PHI	0.76	17
6	TB	0.65	17
7	CIN	0.59	17
8	NYG	0.59	17
9	NYJ	0.59	17
10	WAS	0.59	17
11	DAL	0.53	17
12	DEN	0.53	17
13	HOU	0.53	17
14	IND	0.53	17
15	MIN	0.53	17
16	ARI	0.47	17
17	CAR	0.47	17
18	CLE	0.47	17
19	DET	0.47	17
20	KC	0.41	17
21	LAR	0.41	17
22	ATL	0.35	17
23	LAC	0.35	17
24	MIA	0.35	17
25	SF	0.35	17
26	TEN	0.35	17
27	BAL	0.29	17
28	NE	0.29	17
29	SEA	0.29	17
30	JAX	0.18	17
31	LV	0.18	17
32	NO	0.18	17

At a glance — 2024

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BUF · 0.94

League laggard

NO · 0.18

League average

0.49

Spread (max − min)

0.76

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BUF	0.94	0.45	100%
2	PIT	0.94	0.45	96.8%
3	GB	0.82	0.33	93.5%
4	CHI	0.76	0.27	90.3%
5	PHI	0.76	0.27	87.1%
6	TB	0.65	0.15	83.9%
7	CIN	0.59	0.10	80.6%
8	NYG	0.59	0.10	77.4%
9	NYJ	0.59	0.10	74.2%
10	WAS	0.59	0.10	71%
11	DAL	0.53	0.04	67.7%
12	DEN	0.53	0.04	64.5%
13	HOU	0.53	0.04	61.3%
14	IND	0.53	0.04	58.1%
15	MIN	0.53	0.04	54.8%
16	ARI	0.47	-0.02	51.6%
17	CAR	0.47	-0.02	48.4%
18	CLE	0.47	-0.02	45.2%
19	DET	0.47	-0.02	41.9%
20	KC	0.41	-0.08	38.7%
21	LAR	0.41	-0.08	35.5%
22	ATL	0.35	-0.14	32.3%
23	LAC	0.35	-0.14	29%
24	MIA	0.35	-0.14	25.8%
25	SF	0.35	-0.14	22.6%
26	TEN	0.35	-0.14	19.4%
27	BAL	0.29	-0.20	16.1%
28	NE	0.29	-0.20	12.9%
29	SEA	0.29	-0.20	9.7%
30	JAX	0.18	-0.32	6.5%
31	LV	0.18	-0.32	3.2%
32	NO	0.18	-0.32	0%

Does Opp Fumble Rec matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 827–751–37 ATS (52.4%) across 2020–2025, #158 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (155–109, 58.7%); its worst 2023 (126–132, 48.8%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	135–119–2	53.1%
2021	272	135–135–2	50.0%
2022	271	155–109–7	58.7%
2023	272	126–132–14	48.8%
2024	272	137–126–9	52.1%
2025	272	139–130–3	51.7%

Opp Fumble Rec in 2024 vs 2023

Bills lead at 0.94 — they ranked #4 last year. Saints are last at 0.18 — #11 last year.

The league average is 0.49, down 0.06 from 0.55 last year.

Biggest riser: Bears, #28 → #4. Biggest faller: Ravens, #2 → #27.

Spread between first and last: 0.76; 21 teams are within 0.20 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2024 vs 2023

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

CHI · +0.41

Biggest faller

NO · −0.47

Most consistent

DAL · 0

League trend 2024 vs 2023

▼ -0.06

Rank	Team	2024	2023	Δ
1	CHI	0.76	0.35	+0.41
2	CAR	0.47	0.18	+0.29
3	PHI	0.76	0.47	+0.29
4	PIT	0.94	0.65	+0.29
5	BUF	0.94	0.71	+0.24
6	GB	0.82	0.65	+0.18
7	ARI	0.47	0.35	+0.12
8	DET	0.47	0.35	+0.12
9	LAR	0.41	0.29	+0.12
10	CIN	0.59	0.53	+0.06
11	DAL	0.53	0.53	0
12	IND	0.53	0.53	0
13	NYJ	0.59	0.59	0
14	SF	0.35	0.35	0
15	WAS	0.59	0.59	0
16	HOU	0.53	0.59	−0.06
17	TB	0.65	0.71	−0.06
18	ATL	0.35	0.47	−0.12
19	TEN	0.35	0.47	−0.12
20	CLE	0.47	0.59	−0.12
21	KC	0.41	0.53	−0.12
22	MIN	0.53	0.65	−0.12
23	NYG	0.59	0.76	−0.18
24	NE	0.29	0.47	−0.18
25	SEA	0.29	0.47	−0.18
26	DEN	0.53	0.88	−0.35
27	LV	0.18	0.53	−0.35
28	LAC	0.35	0.71	−0.35
29	MIA	0.35	0.71	−0.35
30	BAL	0.29	0.76	−0.47
31	JAX	0.18	0.65	−0.47
32	NO	0.18	0.65	−0.47

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 0.66

Multi-year laggard

TEN · 0.35

Biggest improver

LV · +0.08/yr

Biggest decliner

IND · −0.08/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	0.66	−0.01	0.69	0.65	0.63	0.71	0.94	0.41	0.60
2	PIT	0.62	+0.07	0.56	0.53	0.18	0.65	0.94	0.71	0.80
3	TB	0.61	−0.03	0.63	0.71	0.59	0.71	0.65	0.59	0.40
4	MIN	0.61	+0.06	0.44	0.47	0.59	0.65	0.53	0.76	0.80
5	ARI	0.59	−0.00	0.63	0.82	0.53	0.35	0.47	0.53	0.80
6	CIN	0.58	+0.06	0.38	0.47	0.69	0.53	0.59	0.41	1
7	DAL	0.58	−0.06	0.75	0.47	1	0.53	0.53	0.35	0.40
8	NYG	0.57	−0.04	0.69	0.41	0.76	0.76	0.59	0.35	0.40
9	BAL	0.56	−0.02	0.75	0.35	0.65	0.76	0.29	0.53	0.60
10	SF	0.55	+0.02	0.50	0.65	0.59	0.35	0.35	0.59	0.80
11	CHI	0.54	+0.03	0.50	0.47	0.53	0.35	0.76	0.59	0.60
12	HOU	0.54	+0.03	0.38	0.47	0.65	0.59	0.53	0.59	0.60
13	IND	0.54	−0.08	0.63	0.82	0.65	0.53	0.53	0.41	0.20
14	CAR	0.54	+0.00	0.94	0.41	0.41	0.18	0.47	0.35	1
15	LAC	0.53	+0.01	0.44	0.59	0.59	0.71	0.35	0.24	0.80
16	KC	0.52	−0.01	0.38	0.82	0.53	0.53	0.41	0.24	0.75
17	LV	0.52	+0.08	0.31	0.53	0.41	0.53	0.18	0.47	1.20
18	NYJ	0.52	+0.05	0.56	0.41	0.24	0.59	0.59	0.24	1
19	GB	0.51	+0.01	0.44	0.47	0.41	0.65	0.82	0.41	0.40
20	MIA	0.51	−0.05	0.63	0.71	0.35	0.71	0.35	0.65	0.20
21	NO	0.51	+0.04	0.50	0.41	0.41	0.65	0.18	0.59	0.80
22	SEA	0.51	+0.02	0.50	0.41	0.65	0.47	0.29	0.41	0.80
23	WAS	0.50	+0.02	0.44	0.41	0.53	0.59	0.59	0.12	0.80
24	CLE	0.48	−0.02	0.63	0.35	0.53	0.59	0.47	0.41	0.40
25	ATL	0.47	−0.00	0.56	0.47	0.41	0.47	0.35	0.41	0.60
26	PHI	0.47	−0.05	0.69	0.24	0.59	0.47	0.76	0.53	0
27	DEN	0.46	−0.00	0.38	0.35	0.47	0.88	0.53	0.24	0.40
28	NE	0.46	+0.03	0.25	0.41	0.65	0.47	0.29	0.53	0.60
29	DET	0.42	−0.00	0.31	0.47	0.59	0.35	0.47	0.35	0.40
30	JAX	0.42	+0.02	0.31	0.12	0.76	0.65	0.18	0.53	0.40
31	LAR	0.38	−0.02	0.50	0.35	0.35	0.29	0.41	0.53	0.20
32	TEN	0.35	−0.05	0.50	0.35	0.35	0.47	0.35	0.41	0

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
BUF	0.69	0.65	0.63	0.71	0.94	0.41	0.60
PIT	0.56	0.53	0.18	0.65	0.94	0.71	0.80
GB	0.44	0.47	0.41	0.65	0.82	0.41	0.40
CHI	0.50	0.47	0.53	0.35	0.76	0.59	0.60
PHI	0.69	0.24	0.59	0.47	0.76	0.53	0
TB	0.63	0.71	0.59	0.71	0.65	0.59	0.40
CIN	0.38	0.47	0.69	0.53	0.59	0.41	1
NYG	0.69	0.41	0.76	0.76	0.59	0.35	0.40
NYJ	0.56	0.41	0.24	0.59	0.59	0.24	1
WAS	0.44	0.41	0.53	0.59	0.59	0.12	0.80
DAL	0.75	0.47	1	0.53	0.53	0.35	0.40
DEN	0.38	0.35	0.47	0.88	0.53	0.24	0.40
HOU	0.38	0.47	0.65	0.59	0.53	0.59	0.60
IND	0.63	0.82	0.65	0.53	0.53	0.41	0.20
MIN	0.44	0.47	0.59	0.65	0.53	0.76	0.80
ARI	0.63	0.82	0.53	0.35	0.47	0.53	0.80
CAR	0.94	0.41	0.41	0.18	0.47	0.35	1
CLE	0.63	0.35	0.53	0.59	0.47	0.41	0.40
DET	0.31	0.47	0.59	0.35	0.47	0.35	0.40
KC	0.38	0.82	0.53	0.53	0.41	0.24	0.75
LAR	0.50	0.35	0.35	0.29	0.41	0.53	0.20
ATL	0.56	0.47	0.41	0.47	0.35	0.41	0.60
LAC	0.44	0.59	0.59	0.71	0.35	0.24	0.80
MIA	0.63	0.71	0.35	0.71	0.35	0.65	0.20
SF	0.50	0.65	0.59	0.35	0.35	0.59	0.80
TEN	0.50	0.35	0.35	0.47	0.35	0.41	0
BAL	0.75	0.35	0.65	0.76	0.29	0.53	0.60
NE	0.25	0.41	0.65	0.47	0.29	0.53	0.60
SEA	0.50	0.41	0.65	0.47	0.29	0.41	0.80
JAX	0.31	0.12	0.76	0.65	0.18	0.53	0.40
LV	0.31	0.53	0.41	0.53	0.18	0.47	1.20
NO	0.50	0.41	0.41	0.65	0.18	0.59	0.80

Opp Fumble Rec since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Browns (0.88), 2019 Steelers (1.13), 2020 Panthers (0.94), 2021 Cardinals (0.82), 2022 Cowboys (1), 2023 Broncos (0.88), 2024 Bills (0.94).

The best season on record is Steelers 2019 at 1.13; the worst Jaguars 2021 at 0.12.

The league average has fallen from 0.54 in 2018 to 0.49 in 2024.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2024.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_stats_fum_rec_opp
Side: offensive
Family: Team Stats
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.