What Opp Fumble Rec is

Opponent fumbles recovered by this team. The forcing of a fumble is skill; the recovery is close to chance, so this number bounces season to season.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2023 the Broncos led at 0.88; the league average was 0.55.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader

DEN · 0.88

League average

0.55

Best to worst

0.71

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	DEN	0.88	17
2	BAL	0.76	17
3	NYG	0.76	17
4	BUF	0.71	17
5	LAC	0.71	17
6	MIA	0.71	17
7	TB	0.71	17
8	GB	0.65	17
9	JAX	0.65	17
10	MIN	0.65	17
11	NO	0.65	17
12	PIT	0.65	17
13	CLE	0.59	17
14	HOU	0.59	17
15	NYJ	0.59	17
16	WAS	0.59	17
17	CIN	0.53	17
18	DAL	0.53	17
19	IND	0.53	17
20	KC	0.53	17
21	LV	0.53	17
22	ATL	0.47	17
23	NE	0.47	17
24	PHI	0.47	17
25	SEA	0.47	17
26	TEN	0.47	17
27	ARI	0.35	17
28	CHI	0.35	17
29	DET	0.35	17
30	SF	0.35	17
31	LAR	0.29	17
32	CAR	0.18	17

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

DEN · 0.88

League laggard

CAR · 0.18

League average

0.55

Spread (max − min)

0.71

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	DEN	0.88	0.33	100%
2	BAL	0.76	0.21	96.8%
3	NYG	0.76	0.21	93.5%
4	BUF	0.71	0.15	90.3%
5	LAC	0.71	0.15	87.1%
6	MIA	0.71	0.15	83.9%
7	TB	0.71	0.15	80.6%
8	GB	0.65	0.09	77.4%
9	JAX	0.65	0.09	74.2%
10	MIN	0.65	0.09	71%
11	NO	0.65	0.09	67.7%
12	PIT	0.65	0.09	64.5%
13	CLE	0.59	0.03	61.3%
14	HOU	0.59	0.03	58.1%
15	NYJ	0.59	0.03	54.8%
16	WAS	0.59	0.03	51.6%
17	CIN	0.53	-0.02	48.4%
18	DAL	0.53	-0.02	45.2%
19	IND	0.53	-0.02	41.9%
20	KC	0.53	-0.02	38.7%
21	LV	0.53	-0.02	35.5%
22	ATL	0.47	-0.08	32.3%
23	NE	0.47	-0.08	29%
24	PHI	0.47	-0.08	25.8%
25	SEA	0.47	-0.08	22.6%
26	TEN	0.47	-0.08	19.4%
27	ARI	0.35	-0.20	16.1%
28	CHI	0.35	-0.20	12.9%
29	DET	0.35	-0.20	9.7%
30	SF	0.35	-0.20	6.5%
31	LAR	0.29	-0.26	3.2%
32	CAR	0.18	-0.38	0%

Does Opp Fumble Rec matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 827–751–37 ATS (52.4%) across 2020–2025, #158 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (155–109, 58.7%); its worst 2023 (126–132, 48.8%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	135–119–2	53.1%
2021	272	135–135–2	50.0%
2022	271	155–109–7	58.7%
2023	272	126–132–14	48.8%
2024	272	137–126–9	52.1%
2025	272	139–130–3	51.7%

Opp Fumble Rec in 2023 vs 2022

Broncos lead at 0.88 — they ranked #22 last year. Panthers are last at 0.18 — #24 last year.

The league average is 0.55, up 0.01 from 0.54 last year.

Biggest riser: Dolphins, #29 → #6. Biggest faller: Lions, #11 → #29.

Spread between first and last: 0.71; 23 teams are within 0.15 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

PIT · +0.47

Biggest faller

DAL · −0.47

Most consistent

KC · 0

League trend 2023 vs 2022

▲ 0.01

Rank	Team	2023	2022	Δ
1	PIT	0.65	0.18	+0.47
2	DEN	0.88	0.47	+0.41
3	MIA	0.71	0.35	+0.35
4	NYJ	0.59	0.24	+0.35
5	GB	0.65	0.41	+0.24
6	NO	0.65	0.41	+0.24
7	LAC	0.71	0.59	+0.12
8	LV	0.53	0.41	+0.12
9	TB	0.71	0.59	+0.12
10	TEN	0.47	0.35	+0.12
11	BAL	0.76	0.65	+0.12
12	BUF	0.71	0.63	+0.08
13	ATL	0.47	0.41	+0.06
14	CLE	0.59	0.53	+0.06
15	MIN	0.65	0.59	+0.06
16	WAS	0.59	0.53	+0.06
17	KC	0.53	0.53	0
18	NYG	0.76	0.76	0
19	HOU	0.59	0.65	−0.06
20	LAR	0.29	0.35	−0.06
21	JAX	0.65	0.76	−0.12
22	IND	0.53	0.65	−0.12
23	PHI	0.47	0.59	−0.12
24	CIN	0.53	0.69	−0.16
25	ARI	0.35	0.53	−0.18
26	CHI	0.35	0.53	−0.18
27	NE	0.47	0.65	−0.18
28	SEA	0.47	0.65	−0.18
29	CAR	0.18	0.41	−0.24
30	DET	0.35	0.59	−0.24
31	SF	0.35	0.59	−0.24
32	DAL	0.53	1	−0.47

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 0.66

Multi-year laggard

TEN · 0.35

Biggest improver

LV · +0.08/yr

Biggest decliner

IND · −0.08/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	0.66	−0.01	0.69	0.65	0.63	0.71	0.94	0.41	0.60
2	PIT	0.62	+0.07	0.56	0.53	0.18	0.65	0.94	0.71	0.80
3	TB	0.61	−0.03	0.63	0.71	0.59	0.71	0.65	0.59	0.40
4	MIN	0.61	+0.06	0.44	0.47	0.59	0.65	0.53	0.76	0.80
5	ARI	0.59	−0.00	0.63	0.82	0.53	0.35	0.47	0.53	0.80
6	CIN	0.58	+0.06	0.38	0.47	0.69	0.53	0.59	0.41	1
7	DAL	0.58	−0.06	0.75	0.47	1	0.53	0.53	0.35	0.40
8	NYG	0.57	−0.04	0.69	0.41	0.76	0.76	0.59	0.35	0.40
9	BAL	0.56	−0.02	0.75	0.35	0.65	0.76	0.29	0.53	0.60
10	SF	0.55	+0.02	0.50	0.65	0.59	0.35	0.35	0.59	0.80
11	CHI	0.54	+0.03	0.50	0.47	0.53	0.35	0.76	0.59	0.60
12	HOU	0.54	+0.03	0.38	0.47	0.65	0.59	0.53	0.59	0.60
13	IND	0.54	−0.08	0.63	0.82	0.65	0.53	0.53	0.41	0.20
14	CAR	0.54	+0.00	0.94	0.41	0.41	0.18	0.47	0.35	1
15	LAC	0.53	+0.01	0.44	0.59	0.59	0.71	0.35	0.24	0.80
16	KC	0.52	−0.01	0.38	0.82	0.53	0.53	0.41	0.24	0.75
17	LV	0.52	+0.08	0.31	0.53	0.41	0.53	0.18	0.47	1.20
18	NYJ	0.52	+0.05	0.56	0.41	0.24	0.59	0.59	0.24	1
19	GB	0.51	+0.01	0.44	0.47	0.41	0.65	0.82	0.41	0.40
20	MIA	0.51	−0.05	0.63	0.71	0.35	0.71	0.35	0.65	0.20
21	NO	0.51	+0.04	0.50	0.41	0.41	0.65	0.18	0.59	0.80
22	SEA	0.51	+0.02	0.50	0.41	0.65	0.47	0.29	0.41	0.80
23	WAS	0.50	+0.02	0.44	0.41	0.53	0.59	0.59	0.12	0.80
24	CLE	0.48	−0.02	0.63	0.35	0.53	0.59	0.47	0.41	0.40
25	ATL	0.47	−0.00	0.56	0.47	0.41	0.47	0.35	0.41	0.60
26	PHI	0.47	−0.05	0.69	0.24	0.59	0.47	0.76	0.53	0
27	DEN	0.46	−0.00	0.38	0.35	0.47	0.88	0.53	0.24	0.40
28	NE	0.46	+0.03	0.25	0.41	0.65	0.47	0.29	0.53	0.60
29	DET	0.42	−0.00	0.31	0.47	0.59	0.35	0.47	0.35	0.40
30	JAX	0.42	+0.02	0.31	0.12	0.76	0.65	0.18	0.53	0.40
31	LAR	0.38	−0.02	0.50	0.35	0.35	0.29	0.41	0.53	0.20
32	TEN	0.35	−0.05	0.50	0.35	0.35	0.47	0.35	0.41	0

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
DEN	0.38	0.35	0.47	0.88	0.53	0.24	0.40
BAL	0.75	0.35	0.65	0.76	0.29	0.53	0.60
NYG	0.69	0.41	0.76	0.76	0.59	0.35	0.40
BUF	0.69	0.65	0.63	0.71	0.94	0.41	0.60
LAC	0.44	0.59	0.59	0.71	0.35	0.24	0.80
MIA	0.63	0.71	0.35	0.71	0.35	0.65	0.20
TB	0.63	0.71	0.59	0.71	0.65	0.59	0.40
GB	0.44	0.47	0.41	0.65	0.82	0.41	0.40
JAX	0.31	0.12	0.76	0.65	0.18	0.53	0.40
MIN	0.44	0.47	0.59	0.65	0.53	0.76	0.80
NO	0.50	0.41	0.41	0.65	0.18	0.59	0.80
PIT	0.56	0.53	0.18	0.65	0.94	0.71	0.80
CLE	0.63	0.35	0.53	0.59	0.47	0.41	0.40
HOU	0.38	0.47	0.65	0.59	0.53	0.59	0.60
NYJ	0.56	0.41	0.24	0.59	0.59	0.24	1
WAS	0.44	0.41	0.53	0.59	0.59	0.12	0.80
CIN	0.38	0.47	0.69	0.53	0.59	0.41	1
DAL	0.75	0.47	1	0.53	0.53	0.35	0.40
IND	0.63	0.82	0.65	0.53	0.53	0.41	0.20
KC	0.38	0.82	0.53	0.53	0.41	0.24	0.75
LV	0.31	0.53	0.41	0.53	0.18	0.47	1.20
ATL	0.56	0.47	0.41	0.47	0.35	0.41	0.60
NE	0.25	0.41	0.65	0.47	0.29	0.53	0.60
PHI	0.69	0.24	0.59	0.47	0.76	0.53	0
SEA	0.50	0.41	0.65	0.47	0.29	0.41	0.80
TEN	0.50	0.35	0.35	0.47	0.35	0.41	0
ARI	0.63	0.82	0.53	0.35	0.47	0.53	0.80
CHI	0.50	0.47	0.53	0.35	0.76	0.59	0.60
DET	0.31	0.47	0.59	0.35	0.47	0.35	0.40
SF	0.50	0.65	0.59	0.35	0.35	0.59	0.80
LAR	0.50	0.35	0.35	0.29	0.41	0.53	0.20
CAR	0.94	0.41	0.41	0.18	0.47	0.35	1

Opp Fumble Rec since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Browns (0.88), 2019 Steelers (1.13), 2020 Panthers (0.94), 2021 Cardinals (0.82), 2022 Cowboys (1), 2023 Broncos (0.88).

The best season on record is Steelers 2019 at 1.13; the worst Jaguars 2021 at 0.12.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_stats_fum_rec_opp
Side: offensive
Family: Team Stats
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.