What Rec 1stD is

Receiving first downs: catches that gained a first down. It separates the completions that moved the chains from the ones that didn't.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2020 the Chiefs led at 16; the league average was 12.83.

League snapshot — 2020

League leader

KC · 16

League average

12.83

Best to worst

7.06

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	KC	16	16
2	ATL	15.31	16
3	BUF	15	16
4	TB	14.88	16
5	DAL	14.44	16
6	LAC	14.13	16
7	HOU	14	16
8	DET	13.81	16
9	CHI	13.63	16
10	SEA	13.63	16
11	GB	13.56	16
12	SF	13.56	16
13	ARI	13.31	16
14	MIN	13.25	16
15	PIT	13	16
16	MIA	12.94	16
17	JAX	12.88	16
18	LAR	12.88	16
19	LV	12.88	16
20	TEN	12.69	16
21	CIN	12.56	16
22	IND	12.56	16
23	NO	12.50	16
24	CLE	12.19	16
25	CAR	12.06	16
26	WAS	11.50	16
27	NYG	11.13	16
28	PHI	11.13	16
29	DEN	11.06	16
30	NE	9.94	16
31	NYJ	9.13	16
32	BAL	8.94	16

At a glance — 2020

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

KC · 16

League laggard

BAL · 8.94

League average

12.83

Spread (max − min)

7.06

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	KC	16	3.17	100%
2	ATL	15.31	2.49	96.8%
3	BUF	15	2.17	93.5%
4	TB	14.88	2.05	90.3%
5	DAL	14.44	1.61	87.1%
6	LAC	14.13	1.30	83.9%
7	HOU	14	1.17	80.6%
8	DET	13.81	0.99	77.4%
9	CHI	13.63	0.80	74.2%
10	SEA	13.63	0.80	71%
11	GB	13.56	0.74	67.7%
12	SF	13.56	0.74	64.5%
13	ARI	13.31	0.49	61.3%
14	MIN	13.25	0.42	58.1%
15	PIT	13	0.17	54.8%
16	MIA	12.94	0.11	51.6%
17	JAX	12.88	0.05	48.4%
18	LAR	12.88	0.05	45.2%
19	LV	12.88	0.05	41.9%
20	TEN	12.69	-0.14	38.7%
21	CIN	12.56	-0.26	35.5%
22	IND	12.56	-0.26	32.3%
23	NO	12.50	-0.33	29%
24	CLE	12.19	-0.64	25.8%
25	CAR	12.06	-0.76	22.6%
26	WAS	11.50	-1.33	19.4%
27	NYG	11.13	-1.70	16.1%
28	PHI	11.13	-1.70	12.9%
29	DEN	11.06	-1.76	9.7%
30	NE	9.94	-2.89	6.5%
31	NYJ	9.13	-3.70	3.2%
32	BAL	8.94	-3.89	0%

Does Rec 1stD matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 838–740–37 ATS (53.1%) across 2020–2025, #130 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (144–120, 54.5%); its worst 2021 (136–134, 50.4%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	137–117–2	53.9%
2021	272	136–134–2	50.4%
2022	271	144–120–7	54.5%
2023	272	140–118–14	54.3%
2024	272	138–125–9	52.5%
2025	272	143–126–3	53.2%

Rec 1stD in 2020 vs 2019

Chiefs lead at 16 — they ranked #9 last year. Ravens are last at 8.94 — #26 last year.

The league average is 12.83, up 0.70 from 12.13 last year.

Biggest riser: Bills, #29 → #3. Biggest faller: Panthers, #4 → #25.

Spread between first and last: 7.06; 22 teams are within 1.62 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2020 vs 2019

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

BUF · +4.88

Biggest faller

NE · −2.44

Most consistent

DAL · +0.13

League trend 2020 vs 2019

▲ 0.70

Rank	Team	2020	2019	Δ
1	BUF	15	10.13	+4.88
2	PIT	13	9.19	+3.81
3	KC	16	13.19	+2.81
4	CHI	13.63	11.13	+2.50
5	MIN	13.25	10.75	+2.50
6	ARI	13.31	11	+2.31
7	IND	12.56	10.31	+2.25
8	WAS	11.50	9.63	+1.88
9	SEA	13.63	11.88	+1.75
10	GB	13.56	11.94	+1.63
11	DET	13.81	12.25	+1.56
12	TEN	12.69	11.13	+1.56
13	JAX	12.88	11.44	+1.44
14	SF	13.56	12.19	+1.38
15	HOU	14	12.69	+1.31
16	CLE	12.19	11.25	+0.94
17	DEN	11.06	10.19	+0.88
18	LV	12.88	12.13	+0.75
19	CIN	12.56	11.94	+0.63
20	LAC	14.13	13.88	+0.25
21	DAL	14.44	14.31	+0.13
22	MIA	12.94	13.19	−0.25
23	TB	14.88	15.25	−0.38
24	NYG	11.13	11.69	−0.56
25	ATL	15.31	16.13	−0.81
26	LAR	12.88	13.88	−1
27	NYJ	9.13	10.13	−1
28	BAL	8.94	10.69	−1.75
29	NO	12.50	14.50	−2
30	CAR	12.06	14.38	−2.31
31	PHI	11.13	13.44	−2.31
32	NE	9.94	12.38	−2.44

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

KC · 13.71

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · 9.96

Biggest improver

CAR · +0.45/yr

Biggest decliner

TB · −1.06/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	KC	13.71	−0.92	16	15.71	16.06	12.71	12.88	11.12	11.50
2	DET	13.47	+0.27	13.81	11.41	13.41	13.41	14.24	13.24	14.80
3	DAL	13.30	−0.10	14.44	14.59	11.41	13.59	11.35	13.53	14.20
4	CIN	13.20	+0.22	12.56	12.24	13.81	12.29	14.94	12.53	14
5	LAR	12.91	+0.35	12.88	13.71	10.65	12.12	11.35	13.88	15.80
6	TB	12.68	−1.06	14.88	16.12	14.12	11.06	13.18	10.24	9.20
7	BUF	12.44	−0.75	15	14.24	13.25	11.76	10.65	11.59	10.60
8	SF	12.35	+0.00	13.56	11.76	11.06	12.24	12.06	13.94	11.80
9	LAC	12.15	−0.99	14.13	15.12	13.71	12	10.41	10.88	8.80
10	ARI	12.01	−0.05	13.31	12.65	11.12	10.24	11.24	12.71	12.80
11	GB	11.93	−0.45	13.56	13.94	11	12.41	10.06	10.71	11.80
12	LV	11.90	−0.10	12.88	12.76	11.35	10.71	12.29	9.53	13.80
13	MIN	11.80	−0.78	13.25	11.94	14.35	13	12.41	9.24	8.40
14	SEA	11.70	−0.08	13.63	9.76	12.12	11.12	12.41	10.65	12.20
15	MIA	11.63	−0.77	12.94	12.12	12.94	13.18	13	10.24	7
16	HOU	11.45	−0.04	14	9.59	9.41	12.65	11.65	10.88	12
17	JAX	11.43	−0.22	12.88	10.53	12.29	11.71	10.24	11.59	10.80
18	NO	11.28	+0.16	12.50	9.82	10.71	11.71	9.88	10.76	13.60
19	ATL	11.14	−0.62	15.31	11.65	8.71	10.71	11.71	10.88	9
20	IND	10.76	−0.23	12.56	9.88	11.35	10.47	9.47	11.76	9.80
21	CAR	10.74	+0.45	12.06	10.24	8.12	8.94	10.06	10	15.75
22	WAS	10.66	−0.25	11.50	10.65	10.82	11.18	11.29	9.41	9.80
23	PIT	10.66	−0.51	13	12	11.18	9.06	9.29	9.47	10.60
24	CHI	10.54	−0.02	13.63	10.59	6.47	9.94	10.18	11.18	11.80
25	NE	10.39	+0.20	9.94	11	9.82	9	9.82	12.18	11
26	BAL	10.38	+0.12	8.94	12.35	8.94	10.59	11.71	8.35	11.80
27	PHI	10.33	−0.34	11.13	9.88	11.47	11.59	9.88	9.76	8.60
28	CLE	10.16	−0.50	12.19	10.41	10.71	10.18	10.59	7.88	9.20
29	DEN	10.16	−0.14	11.06	10.53	9.76	9.12	10.12	11.53	9
30	NYG	10.03	−0.03	11.13	10.06	10	8.29	10.06	9.47	11.20
31	TEN	9.97	−0.57	12.69	11.41	9	9.29	9.65	9.18	8.60
32	NYJ	9.96	−0.26	9.13	11.47	11.29	9.18	11.82	8	8.80

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
KC	16	15.71	16.06	12.71	12.88	11.12	11.50
ATL	15.31	11.65	8.71	10.71	11.71	10.88	9
BUF	15	14.24	13.25	11.76	10.65	11.59	10.60
TB	14.88	16.12	14.12	11.06	13.18	10.24	9.20
DAL	14.44	14.59	11.41	13.59	11.35	13.53	14.20
LAC	14.13	15.12	13.71	12	10.41	10.88	8.80
HOU	14	9.59	9.41	12.65	11.65	10.88	12
DET	13.81	11.41	13.41	13.41	14.24	13.24	14.80
CHI	13.63	10.59	6.47	9.94	10.18	11.18	11.80
SEA	13.63	9.76	12.12	11.12	12.41	10.65	12.20
GB	13.56	13.94	11	12.41	10.06	10.71	11.80
SF	13.56	11.76	11.06	12.24	12.06	13.94	11.80
ARI	13.31	12.65	11.12	10.24	11.24	12.71	12.80
MIN	13.25	11.94	14.35	13	12.41	9.24	8.40
PIT	13	12	11.18	9.06	9.29	9.47	10.60
MIA	12.94	12.12	12.94	13.18	13	10.24	7
JAX	12.88	10.53	12.29	11.71	10.24	11.59	10.80
LV	12.88	12.76	11.35	10.71	12.29	9.53	13.80
LAR	12.88	13.71	10.65	12.12	11.35	13.88	15.80
TEN	12.69	11.41	9	9.29	9.65	9.18	8.60
CIN	12.56	12.24	13.81	12.29	14.94	12.53	14
IND	12.56	9.88	11.35	10.47	9.47	11.76	9.80
NO	12.50	9.82	10.71	11.71	9.88	10.76	13.60
CLE	12.19	10.41	10.71	10.18	10.59	7.88	9.20
CAR	12.06	10.24	8.12	8.94	10.06	10	15.75
WAS	11.50	10.65	10.82	11.18	11.29	9.41	9.80
NYG	11.13	10.06	10	8.29	10.06	9.47	11.20
PHI	11.13	9.88	11.47	11.59	9.88	9.76	8.60
DEN	11.06	10.53	9.76	9.12	10.12	11.53	9
NE	9.94	11	9.82	9	9.82	12.18	11
NYJ	9.13	11.47	11.29	9.18	11.82	8	8.80
BAL	8.94	12.35	8.94	10.59	11.71	8.35	11.80

Rec 1stD since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Buccaneers (16.56), 2019 Falcons (16.13), 2020 Chiefs (16).

The best season on record is Buccaneers 2018 at 16.56; the worst Bills 2018 at 8.50.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2020.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_receiving_rec_first_downs
Side: offensive
Family: Receiving
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.