What Pass TD is

Passing touchdowns: scoring plays that came on a completed pass. It is scoring production through the air, and it leans on red-zone chances as much as on the quarterback.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2019 the Ravens led at 2.31; the league average was 1.56.

League snapshot — 2019

League leader

BAL · 2.31

League average

1.56

Best to worst

1.31

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	BAL	2.31	16
2	NO	2.25	16
3	TB	2.06	16
4	SEA	1.94	16
5	DAL	1.88	16
6	KC	1.88	16
7	NYG	1.88	16
8	ATL	1.81	16
9	TEN	1.81	16
10	DET	1.75	16
11	SF	1.75	16
12	HOU	1.69	16
13	PHI	1.69	16
14	GB	1.63	16
15	MIN	1.63	16
16	NE	1.56	16
17	JAX	1.50	16
18	LAC	1.50	16
19	CLE	1.38	16
20	IND	1.38	16
21	LAR	1.38	16
22	LV	1.38	16
23	MIA	1.38	16
24	BUF	1.31	16
25	ARI	1.25	16
26	CHI	1.25	16
27	NYJ	1.19	16
28	CIN	1.13	16
29	PIT	1.13	16
30	WAS	1.13	16
31	CAR	1.06	16
32	DEN	1	16

At a glance — 2019

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BAL · 2.31

League laggard

DEN · 1

League average

1.56

Spread (max − min)

1.31

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BAL	2.31	0.76	100%
2	NO	2.25	0.69	96.8%
3	TB	2.06	0.51	93.5%
4	SEA	1.94	0.38	90.3%
5	DAL	1.88	0.32	87.1%
6	KC	1.88	0.32	83.9%
7	NYG	1.88	0.32	80.6%
8	ATL	1.81	0.26	77.4%
9	TEN	1.81	0.26	74.2%
10	DET	1.75	0.19	71%
11	SF	1.75	0.19	67.7%
12	HOU	1.69	0.13	64.5%
13	PHI	1.69	0.13	61.3%
14	GB	1.63	0.07	58.1%
15	MIN	1.63	0.07	54.8%
16	NE	1.56	0.01	51.6%
17	JAX	1.50	-0.06	48.4%
18	LAC	1.50	-0.06	45.2%
19	CLE	1.38	-0.18	41.9%
20	IND	1.38	-0.18	38.7%
21	LAR	1.38	-0.18	35.5%
22	LV	1.38	-0.18	32.3%
23	MIA	1.38	-0.18	29%
24	BUF	1.31	-0.24	25.8%
25	ARI	1.25	-0.31	22.6%
26	CHI	1.25	-0.31	19.4%
27	NYJ	1.19	-0.37	16.1%
28	CIN	1.13	-0.43	12.9%
29	PIT	1.13	-0.43	9.7%
30	WAS	1.13	-0.43	6.5%
31	CAR	1.06	-0.49	3.2%
32	DEN	1	-0.56	0%

Does Pass TD matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 869–709–37 ATS (55.1%) across 2020–2025, #70 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (144–110, 56.7%); its worst 2023 (134–124, 51.9%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	144–110–2	56.7%
2021	272	153–117–2	56.7%
2022	271	145–119–7	54.9%
2023	272	134–124–14	51.9%
2024	272	146–117–9	55.5%
2025	272	147–122–3	54.6%

Pass TD in 2019 vs 2018

Ravens lead at 2.31 — they ranked #26 last year. Broncos are last at 1 — #24 last year.

The league average is 1.56, down 0.10 from 1.65 last year.

Biggest riser: Ravens, #26 → #1. Biggest faller: Steelers, #5 → #29.

Spread between first and last: 1.31; 22 teams are within 0.34 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

BAL · +1.19

Biggest faller

KC · −1.25

Most consistent

GB · +0.06

League trend 2019 vs 2018

▼ -0.10

Rank	Team	2019	2018	Δ
1	BAL	2.31	1.13	+1.19
2	TEN	1.81	1	+0.81
3	JAX	1.50	0.94	+0.56
4	BUF	1.31	0.81	+0.50
5	DAL	1.88	1.38	+0.50
6	NYG	1.88	1.44	+0.44
7	DET	1.75	1.38	+0.38
8	ARI	1.25	0.94	+0.31
9	LV	1.38	1.19	+0.19
10	NO	2.25	2.06	+0.19
11	SF	1.75	1.63	+0.13
12	WAS	1.13	1	+0.13
13	GB	1.63	1.56	+0.06
14	HOU	1.69	1.63	+0.06
15	NYJ	1.19	1.13	+0.06
16	PHI	1.69	1.81	−0.13
17	DEN	1	1.19	−0.19
18	TB	2.06	2.25	−0.19
19	MIA	1.38	1.63	−0.25
20	MIN	1.63	1.88	−0.25
21	NE	1.56	1.81	−0.25
22	SEA	1.94	2.19	−0.25
23	ATL	1.81	2.25	−0.44
24	CLE	1.38	1.81	−0.44
25	CHI	1.25	1.75	−0.50
26	LAC	1.50	2	−0.50
27	CIN	1.13	1.69	−0.56
28	LAR	1.38	2	−0.63
29	CAR	1.06	1.75	−0.69
30	IND	1.38	2.44	−1.06
31	PIT	1.13	2.19	−1.06
32	KC	1.88	3.13	−1.25

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

GB · 1.99

Multi-year laggard

NYG · 1.06

Biggest improver

CAR · +0.19/yr

Biggest decliner

TB · −0.24/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	GB	1.99	−0.16	3	2.29	1.59	1.88	1.65	1.53	2
2	CIN	1.99	+0.12	1.19	2.12	2.19	1.59	2.53	2.12	2.20
3	KC	1.98	−0.12	2.50	2.18	2.41	1.65	1.53	1.35	2.25
4	BUF	1.91	−0.16	2.50	2.12	2.19	1.71	1.76	1.71	1.40
5	DET	1.89	+0.15	1.69	1.35	1.71	1.76	2.29	2.06	2.40
6	TB	1.87	−0.24	2.63	2.53	1.53	1.65	2.41	1.53	0.80
7	SF	1.81	+0.13	1.56	1.53	1.76	1.94	1.35	1.94	2.60
8	DAL	1.81	−0.02	1.56	2.35	1.65	2.12	1.35	1.82	1.80
9	SEA	1.76	−0.07	2.50	1.76	1.76	1.35	1.24	1.47	2.20
10	LAR	1.70	+0.09	1.25	2.41	0.94	1.53	1.29	2.71	1.80
11	MIN	1.69	−0.18	2.19	2	1.76	1.76	2.06	1.06	1
12	LAC	1.57	−0.16	1.94	2.24	1.53	1.41	1.35	1.53	1
13	BAL	1.57	+0.05	1.69	1.24	1.12	1.59	2.41	1.35	1.60
14	NO	1.52	−0.04	1.75	1.71	1.41	1.65	1.24	1.12	1.80
15	LV	1.52	+0.04	1.75	1.35	1.65	1.18	1.12	1.18	2.40
16	ARI	1.44	+0.03	1.69	1.59	1	1.06	1.24	1.71	1.80
17	PHI	1.43	+0.05	1.38	1.18	1.47	1.41	1.41	1.53	1.60
18	JAX	1.41	+0.11	1.56	0.71	1.47	1.29	1.12	1.71	2
19	HOU	1.41	−0.08	2.06	1.24	1.18	1.59	1.18	1.41	1.20
20	PIT	1.40	+0.01	2.19	1.35	0.71	0.76	1.24	1.53	2
21	DEN	1.38	+0.03	1.31	1.18	1.06	1.65	1.76	1.47	1.20
22	WAS	1.35	+0.07	1	1.24	1.41	1.41	1.71	1.12	1.60
23	MIA	1.33	−0.13	1.50	1.24	1.76	1.76	1.29	1.35	0.40
24	CLE	1.27	−0.05	1.69	1.24	1.12	1.41	1.12	0.94	1.40
25	NE	1.24	+0.12	0.75	1.41	1.12	0.94	1.06	1.82	1.60
26	CAR	1.21	+0.19	1	0.82	0.94	0.76	1.29	1.41	2.25
27	CHI	1.20	−0.04	1.63	0.94	1.12	1.12	1.18	1.65	0.80
28	IND	1.20	−0.10	1.50	1.59	1	1.06	1.18	1.47	0.60
29	ATL	1.15	−0.09	1.69	1.18	1	1	1.24	1.12	0.80
30	TEN	1.13	−0.17	2.06	1.29	0.94	0.82	1.29	0.88	0.60
31	NYJ	1.09	+0.03	1	1.18	0.88	0.65	1.82	0.88	1.20
32	NYG	1.06	+0.13	0.75	0.88	1	0.88	0.88	1.24	1.80

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SF	1.56	1.53	1.76	1.94	1.35	1.94	2.60
DET	1.69	1.35	1.71	1.76	2.29	2.06	2.40
LV	1.75	1.35	1.65	1.18	1.12	1.18	2.40
CAR	1	0.82	0.94	0.76	1.29	1.41	2.25
KC	2.50	2.18	2.41	1.65	1.53	1.35	2.25
CIN	1.19	2.12	2.19	1.59	2.53	2.12	2.20
SEA	2.50	1.76	1.76	1.35	1.24	1.47	2.20
GB	3	2.29	1.59	1.88	1.65	1.53	2
JAX	1.56	0.71	1.47	1.29	1.12	1.71	2
PIT	2.19	1.35	0.71	0.76	1.24	1.53	2
ARI	1.69	1.59	1	1.06	1.24	1.71	1.80
DAL	1.56	2.35	1.65	2.12	1.35	1.82	1.80
LAR	1.25	2.41	0.94	1.53	1.29	2.71	1.80
NO	1.75	1.71	1.41	1.65	1.24	1.12	1.80
NYG	0.75	0.88	1	0.88	0.88	1.24	1.80
BAL	1.69	1.24	1.12	1.59	2.41	1.35	1.60
NE	0.75	1.41	1.12	0.94	1.06	1.82	1.60
PHI	1.38	1.18	1.47	1.41	1.41	1.53	1.60
WAS	1	1.24	1.41	1.41	1.71	1.12	1.60
BUF	2.50	2.12	2.19	1.71	1.76	1.71	1.40
CLE	1.69	1.24	1.12	1.41	1.12	0.94	1.40
DEN	1.31	1.18	1.06	1.65	1.76	1.47	1.20
HOU	2.06	1.24	1.18	1.59	1.18	1.41	1.20
NYJ	1	1.18	0.88	0.65	1.82	0.88	1.20
LAC	1.94	2.24	1.53	1.41	1.35	1.53	1
MIN	2.19	2	1.76	1.76	2.06	1.06	1
ATL	1.69	1.18	1	1	1.24	1.12	0.80
CHI	1.63	0.94	1.12	1.12	1.18	1.65	0.80
TB	2.63	2.53	1.53	1.65	2.41	1.53	0.80
IND	1.50	1.59	1	1.06	1.18	1.47	0.60
TEN	2.06	1.29	0.94	0.82	1.29	0.88	0.60
MIA	1.50	1.24	1.76	1.76	1.29	1.35	0.40

Pass TD since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (3.13), 2019 Ravens (2.31).

The best season on record is Chiefs 2018 at 3.13; the worst Bills 2018 at 0.81.

The league average has fallen from 1.65 in 2018 to 1.56 in 2019.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_passing_pass_td
Side: offensive
Family: Passing
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.