What Pass rating is

Passer rating: the NFL's traditional quarterback formula, built from completion percentage, yards per attempt, touchdown rate and interception rate on a scale that tops out at 158.3. Familiar, and heavily weighted toward completion percentage, so it flatters short-passing offenses.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2023 the 49ers led at 105.01; the league average was 83.13.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader

SF · 105.01

League average

83.13

Best to worst

42.20

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	SF	105.01	17
2	DAL	96.11	17
3	MIA	95.52	17
4	DET	94.28	17
5	BAL	94.00	17
6	GB	93.23	17
7	NO	92.50	17
8	HOU	89.71	17
9	BUF	88.60	17
10	TB	88.30	17
11	DEN	87.37	17
12	CIN	86.93	17
13	KC	85.84	17
14	MIN	85.15	17
15	LAC	84.96	17
16	JAX	84.93	17
17	LAR	84.74	17
18	SEA	84.55	17
19	PHI	84.34	17
20	IND	81.79	17
21	PIT	81.46	17
22	ARI	77.12	17
23	TEN	76.20	17
24	ATL	75.92	17
25	LV	74.69	17
26	CHI	74.60	17
27	NYG	72.59	17
28	WAS	72.24	17
29	CLE	69.39	17
30	NE	67.91	17
31	CAR	67.51	17
32	NYJ	62.81	17

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

SF · 105.01

League laggard

NYJ · 62.81

League average

83.13

Spread (max − min)

42.20

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	SF	105.01	21.88	100%
2	DAL	96.11	12.97	96.8%
3	MIA	95.52	12.38	93.5%
4	DET	94.28	11.14	90.3%
5	BAL	94.00	10.86	87.1%
6	GB	93.23	10.10	83.9%
7	NO	92.50	9.37	80.6%
8	HOU	89.71	6.58	77.4%
9	BUF	88.60	5.46	74.2%
10	TB	88.30	5.16	71%
11	DEN	87.37	4.24	67.7%
12	CIN	86.93	3.79	64.5%
13	KC	85.84	2.70	61.3%
14	MIN	85.15	2.02	58.1%
15	LAC	84.96	1.83	54.8%
16	JAX	84.93	1.79	51.6%
17	LAR	84.74	1.60	48.4%
18	SEA	84.55	1.42	45.2%
19	PHI	84.34	1.21	41.9%
20	IND	81.79	-1.34	38.7%
21	PIT	81.46	-1.68	35.5%
22	ARI	77.12	-6.02	32.3%
23	TEN	76.20	-6.93	29%
24	ATL	75.92	-7.22	25.8%
25	LV	74.69	-8.45	22.6%
26	CHI	74.60	-8.53	19.4%
27	NYG	72.59	-10.54	16.1%
28	WAS	72.24	-10.89	12.9%
29	CLE	69.39	-13.74	9.7%
30	NE	67.91	-15.22	6.5%
31	CAR	67.51	-15.62	3.2%
32	NYJ	62.81	-20.32	0%

Does Pass rating matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 881–697–37 ATS (55.8%) across 2020–2025, #45 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2024 (160–103, 60.8%); its worst 2020 (136–118, 53.5%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	136–118–2	53.5%
2021	272	145–125–2	53.7%
2022	271	151–113–7	57.2%
2023	272	139–119–14	53.9%
2024	272	160–103–9	60.8%
2025	272	150–119–3	55.8%

Pass rating in 2023 vs 2022

49ers lead at 105.01 — they ranked #2 last year. Jets are last at 62.81 — #29 last year.

The league average is 83.13, down 0.13 from 83.27 last year.

Biggest riser: Texans, #30 → #8. Biggest faller: Seahawks, #5 → #18.

Spread between first and last: 42.20; 20 teams are within 9.65 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

HOU · +17.56

Biggest faller

KC · −15.54

Most consistent

DET · −0.28

League trend 2023 vs 2022

▼ -0.13

Rank	Team	2023	2022	Δ
1	HOU	89.71	72.15	+17.56
2	BAL	94.00	78.01	+15.99
3	DEN	87.37	75.65	+11.72
4	IND	81.79	71.05	+10.74
5	LAR	84.74	74.37	+10.37
6	DAL	96.11	85.75	+10.36
7	CHI	74.60	68.16	+6.44
8	SF	105.01	98.79	+6.22
9	PIT	81.46	75.24	+6.21
10	MIA	95.52	89.90	+5.61
11	NO	92.50	87.58	+4.92
12	GB	93.23	88.91	+4.33
13	ARI	77.12	74.06	+3.06
14	TEN	76.20	74.10	+2.10
15	TB	88.30	86.70	+1.60
16	DET	94.28	94.56	−0.28
17	BUF	88.60	90.06	−1.46
18	MIN	85.15	87.09	−1.94
19	JAX	84.93	88.58	−3.65
20	WAS	72.24	76.58	−4.34
21	LAC	84.96	89.86	−4.89
22	ATL	75.92	81.65	−5.73
23	LV	74.69	81.39	−6.71
24	PHI	84.34	91.37	−7.03
25	CAR	67.51	75.37	−7.86
26	CIN	86.93	95.32	−8.39
27	SEA	84.55	93.31	−8.76
28	NYJ	62.81	72.46	−9.64
29	CLE	69.39	79.36	−9.96
30	NYG	72.59	84.62	−12.03
31	NE	67.91	81.13	−13.21
32	KC	85.84	101.38	−15.54

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

GB · 98.28

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · 74.60

Biggest improver

BAL · +4.65/yr

Biggest decliner

LAC · −3.94/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	GB	98.28	−2.67	116.76	102.22	88.91	93.23	97.82	96.04	92.98
2	SF	97.35	+2.62	85.77	95.57	98.79	105.01	87.53	93.32	115.47
3	DET	96.26	+3.81	87.14	82.82	94.56	94.28	108.48	99.79	106.77
4	BUF	93.53	−0.33	101.89	87.92	90.06	88.60	100.42	95.45	90.35
5	BAL	93.13	+4.65	89.11	75.47	78.01	94.00	114.99	89.51	110.80
6	KC	93.13	−2.19	103.75	96.20	101.38	85.84	85.26	79.96	99.50
7	SEA	92.28	−0.45	96.95	95.57	93.31	84.55	84.70	94.75	96.16
8	CIN	91.82	+2.03	76.39	97.03	95.32	86.93	100.32	85.18	101.59
9	DAL	90.92	+0.54	84.67	99.85	85.75	96.11	80.55	94.62	94.91
10	TB	90.05	−3.26	99.15	98.23	86.70	88.30	100.02	84.56	73.40
11	LAR	89.06	+0.95	86.21	98.35	74.37	84.74	89.39	104.14	86.24
12	MIN	87.23	−3.56	98.04	96.21	87.09	85.15	95.46	67.64	81.03
13	NO	86.32	−1.68	96.43	80.67	87.58	92.50	83.23	83.67	80.18
14	HOU	86.28	−0.23	102.55	80.18	72.15	89.71	78.84	86.71	93.80
15	LAC	85.95	−3.94	94.07	93.18	89.86	84.96	93.63	83.46	62.48
16	ARI	84.59	−1.60	90.99	96.28	74.06	77.12	90.79	84.73	78.18
17	PIT	84.40	+0.17	91.50	82.14	75.24	81.46	86.64	89.54	84.31
18	PHI	83.97	+1.87	64.66	84.11	91.37	84.34	95.95	92.27	75.11
19	LV	83.82	−1.31	96.19	88.51	81.39	74.69	77.03	73.44	95.48
20	MIA	83.64	−2.88	88.33	81.13	89.90	95.52	86.81	81.60	62.16
21	JAX	83.56	+3.01	79.09	68.90	88.58	84.93	78.53	85.33	99.59
22	NE	82.83	+1.57	75.16	91.24	81.13	67.91	77.30	105.42	81.67
23	DEN	81.19	+1.49	67.09	86.25	75.65	87.37	90.20	84.36	77.38
24	IND	80.61	−2.45	93.36	88.42	71.05	81.79	70.36	88.89	70.41
25	ATL	80.44	−1.34	87.48	80.21	81.65	75.92	81.90	82.74	73.21
26	WAS	80.33	+1.75	73.65	80.79	76.58	72.24	94.62	79.84	84.60
27	TEN	79.23	−3.89	100.58	85.23	74.10	76.20	73.41	71.34	73.77
28	CAR	77.42	+2.53	83.04	64.18	75.37	67.51	75.45	80.73	95.63
29	CHI	76.71	+1.36	81.97	68.78	68.16	74.60	77.07	86.61	79.79
30	CLE	76.38	−2.48	92.29	80.12	79.36	69.39	64.37	64.60	84.53
31	NYG	75.93	+1.56	72.65	66.12	84.62	72.59	74.79	78.58	82.15
32	NYJ	74.60	+2.74	70.75	68.84	72.46	62.81	87.89	67.21	92.26

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SF	85.77	95.57	98.79	105.01	87.53	93.32	115.47
DAL	84.67	99.85	85.75	96.11	80.55	94.62	94.91
MIA	88.33	81.13	89.90	95.52	86.81	81.60	62.16
DET	87.14	82.82	94.56	94.28	108.48	99.79	106.77
BAL	89.11	75.47	78.01	94.00	114.99	89.51	110.80
GB	116.76	102.22	88.91	93.23	97.82	96.04	92.98
NO	96.43	80.67	87.58	92.50	83.23	83.67	80.18
HOU	102.55	80.18	72.15	89.71	78.84	86.71	93.80
BUF	101.89	87.92	90.06	88.60	100.42	95.45	90.35
TB	99.15	98.23	86.70	88.30	100.02	84.56	73.40
DEN	67.09	86.25	75.65	87.37	90.20	84.36	77.38
CIN	76.39	97.03	95.32	86.93	100.32	85.18	101.59
KC	103.75	96.20	101.38	85.84	85.26	79.96	99.50
MIN	98.04	96.21	87.09	85.15	95.46	67.64	81.03
LAC	94.07	93.18	89.86	84.96	93.63	83.46	62.48
JAX	79.09	68.90	88.58	84.93	78.53	85.33	99.59
LAR	86.21	98.35	74.37	84.74	89.39	104.14	86.24
SEA	96.95	95.57	93.31	84.55	84.70	94.75	96.16
PHI	64.66	84.11	91.37	84.34	95.95	92.27	75.11
IND	93.36	88.42	71.05	81.79	70.36	88.89	70.41
PIT	91.50	82.14	75.24	81.46	86.64	89.54	84.31
ARI	90.99	96.28	74.06	77.12	90.79	84.73	78.18
TEN	100.58	85.23	74.10	76.20	73.41	71.34	73.77
ATL	87.48	80.21	81.65	75.92	81.90	82.74	73.21
LV	96.19	88.51	81.39	74.69	77.03	73.44	95.48
CHI	81.97	68.78	68.16	74.60	77.07	86.61	79.79
NYG	72.65	66.12	84.62	72.59	74.79	78.58	82.15
WAS	73.65	80.79	76.58	72.24	94.62	79.84	84.60
CLE	92.29	80.12	79.36	69.39	64.37	64.60	84.53
NE	75.16	91.24	81.13	67.91	77.30	105.42	81.67
CAR	83.04	64.18	75.37	67.51	75.45	80.73	95.63
NYJ	70.75	68.84	72.46	62.81	87.89	67.21	92.26

Pass rating since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (108.78), 2019 Saints (105.23), 2020 Packers (116.76), 2021 Packers (102.22), 2022 Chiefs (101.38), 2023 49ers (105.01).

Chiefs have led this stat 2 of 6 seasons.

The best season on record is Packers 2020 at 116.76; the worst Bills 2018 at 61.78.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_passing_pass_rating
Side: offensive
Family: Passing
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.