What Pass rating is

Passer rating: the NFL's traditional quarterback formula, built from completion percentage, yards per attempt, touchdown rate and interception rate on a scale that tops out at 158.3. Familiar, and heavily weighted toward completion percentage, so it flatters short-passing offenses.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2021 the Packers led at 102.22; the league average was 85.65.

League snapshot — 2021

League leader

GB · 102.22

League average

85.65

Best to worst

38.04

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	GB	102.22	17
2	DAL	99.85	17
3	LAR	98.35	17
4	TB	98.23	17
5	CIN	97.03	17
6	ARI	96.28	17
7	MIN	96.21	17
8	KC	96.20	17
9	SEA	95.57	17
10	SF	95.57	17
11	LAC	93.18	17
12	NE	91.24	17
13	LV	88.51	17
14	IND	88.42	17
15	BUF	87.92	17
16	DEN	86.25	17
17	TEN	85.23	17
18	PHI	84.11	17
19	DET	82.82	17
20	PIT	82.14	17
21	MIA	81.13	17
22	WAS	80.79	17
23	NO	80.67	17
24	ATL	80.21	17
25	HOU	80.18	17
26	CLE	80.12	17
27	BAL	75.47	17
28	JAX	68.90	17
29	NYJ	68.84	17
30	CHI	68.78	17
31	NYG	66.12	17
32	CAR	64.18	17

At a glance — 2021

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

GB · 102.22

League laggard

CAR · 64.18

League average

85.65

Spread (max − min)

38.04

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	GB	102.22	16.57	100%
2	DAL	99.85	14.20	96.8%
3	LAR	98.35	12.70	93.5%
4	TB	98.23	12.58	90.3%
5	CIN	97.03	11.38	87.1%
6	ARI	96.28	10.63	83.9%
7	MIN	96.21	10.56	80.6%
8	KC	96.20	10.55	77.4%
9	SEA	95.57	9.92	74.2%
10	SF	95.57	9.92	71%
11	LAC	93.18	7.53	67.7%
12	NE	91.24	5.59	64.5%
13	LV	88.51	2.86	61.3%
14	IND	88.42	2.77	58.1%
15	BUF	87.92	2.27	54.8%
16	DEN	86.25	0.61	51.6%
17	TEN	85.23	-0.41	48.4%
18	PHI	84.11	-1.54	45.2%
19	DET	82.82	-2.83	41.9%
20	PIT	82.14	-3.51	38.7%
21	MIA	81.13	-4.51	35.5%
22	WAS	80.79	-4.86	32.3%
23	NO	80.67	-4.98	29%
24	ATL	80.21	-5.44	25.8%
25	HOU	80.18	-5.47	22.6%
26	CLE	80.12	-5.52	19.4%
27	BAL	75.47	-10.18	16.1%
28	JAX	68.90	-16.75	12.9%
29	NYJ	68.84	-16.81	9.7%
30	CHI	68.78	-16.87	6.5%
31	NYG	66.12	-19.52	3.2%
32	CAR	64.18	-21.47	0%

Does Pass rating matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 881–697–37 ATS (55.8%) across 2020–2025, #45 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2024 (160–103, 60.8%); its worst 2020 (136–118, 53.5%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	136–118–2	53.5%
2021	272	145–125–2	53.7%
2022	271	151–113–7	57.2%
2023	272	139–119–14	53.9%
2024	272	160–103–9	60.8%
2025	272	150–119–3	55.8%

Pass rating in 2021 vs 2020

Packers lead at 102.22 — they ranked #1 last year. Panthers are last at 64.18 — #23 last year.

The league average is 85.65, down 2.72 from 88.36 last year.

Biggest riser: Bengals, #26 → #5. Biggest faller: Texans, #3 → #25.

Spread between first and last: 38.04; 19 teams are within 10.52 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2021 vs 2020

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

CIN · +20.63

Biggest faller

HOU · −22.37

Most consistent

LAC · −0.89

League trend 2021 vs 2020

▼ -2.72

Rank	Team	2021	2020	Δ
1	CIN	97.03	76.39	+20.63
2	PHI	84.11	64.66	+19.45
3	DEN	86.25	67.09	+19.16
4	NE	91.24	75.16	+16.08
5	DAL	99.85	84.67	+15.19
6	LAR	98.35	86.21	+12.13
7	SF	95.57	85.77	+9.80
8	WAS	80.79	73.65	+7.14
9	ARI	96.28	90.99	+5.29
10	LAC	93.18	94.07	−0.89
11	TB	98.23	99.15	−0.92
12	SEA	95.57	96.95	−1.38
13	MIN	96.21	98.04	−1.83
14	NYJ	68.84	70.75	−1.91
15	DET	82.82	87.14	−4.33
16	IND	88.42	93.36	−4.94
17	NYG	66.12	72.65	−6.53
18	MIA	81.13	88.33	−7.20
19	ATL	80.21	87.48	−7.27
20	KC	96.20	103.75	−7.55
21	LV	88.51	96.19	−7.68
22	PIT	82.14	91.50	−9.36
23	JAX	68.90	79.09	−10.19
24	CLE	80.12	92.29	−12.17
25	CHI	68.78	81.97	−13.19
26	BAL	75.47	89.11	−13.64
27	BUF	87.92	101.89	−13.96
28	GB	102.22	116.76	−14.54
29	TEN	85.23	100.58	−15.34
30	NO	80.67	96.43	−15.77
31	CAR	64.18	83.04	−18.86
32	HOU	80.18	102.55	−22.37

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

GB · 98.28

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · 74.60

Biggest improver

BAL · +4.65/yr

Biggest decliner

LAC · −3.94/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	GB	98.28	−2.67	116.76	102.22	88.91	93.23	97.82	96.04	92.98
2	SF	97.35	+2.62	85.77	95.57	98.79	105.01	87.53	93.32	115.47
3	DET	96.26	+3.81	87.14	82.82	94.56	94.28	108.48	99.79	106.77
4	BUF	93.53	−0.33	101.89	87.92	90.06	88.60	100.42	95.45	90.35
5	BAL	93.13	+4.65	89.11	75.47	78.01	94.00	114.99	89.51	110.80
6	KC	93.13	−2.19	103.75	96.20	101.38	85.84	85.26	79.96	99.50
7	SEA	92.28	−0.45	96.95	95.57	93.31	84.55	84.70	94.75	96.16
8	CIN	91.82	+2.03	76.39	97.03	95.32	86.93	100.32	85.18	101.59
9	DAL	90.92	+0.54	84.67	99.85	85.75	96.11	80.55	94.62	94.91
10	TB	90.05	−3.26	99.15	98.23	86.70	88.30	100.02	84.56	73.40
11	LAR	89.06	+0.95	86.21	98.35	74.37	84.74	89.39	104.14	86.24
12	MIN	87.23	−3.56	98.04	96.21	87.09	85.15	95.46	67.64	81.03
13	NO	86.32	−1.68	96.43	80.67	87.58	92.50	83.23	83.67	80.18
14	HOU	86.28	−0.23	102.55	80.18	72.15	89.71	78.84	86.71	93.80
15	LAC	85.95	−3.94	94.07	93.18	89.86	84.96	93.63	83.46	62.48
16	ARI	84.59	−1.60	90.99	96.28	74.06	77.12	90.79	84.73	78.18
17	PIT	84.40	+0.17	91.50	82.14	75.24	81.46	86.64	89.54	84.31
18	PHI	83.97	+1.87	64.66	84.11	91.37	84.34	95.95	92.27	75.11
19	LV	83.82	−1.31	96.19	88.51	81.39	74.69	77.03	73.44	95.48
20	MIA	83.64	−2.88	88.33	81.13	89.90	95.52	86.81	81.60	62.16
21	JAX	83.56	+3.01	79.09	68.90	88.58	84.93	78.53	85.33	99.59
22	NE	82.83	+1.57	75.16	91.24	81.13	67.91	77.30	105.42	81.67
23	DEN	81.19	+1.49	67.09	86.25	75.65	87.37	90.20	84.36	77.38
24	IND	80.61	−2.45	93.36	88.42	71.05	81.79	70.36	88.89	70.41
25	ATL	80.44	−1.34	87.48	80.21	81.65	75.92	81.90	82.74	73.21
26	WAS	80.33	+1.75	73.65	80.79	76.58	72.24	94.62	79.84	84.60
27	TEN	79.23	−3.89	100.58	85.23	74.10	76.20	73.41	71.34	73.77
28	CAR	77.42	+2.53	83.04	64.18	75.37	67.51	75.45	80.73	95.63
29	CHI	76.71	+1.36	81.97	68.78	68.16	74.60	77.07	86.61	79.79
30	CLE	76.38	−2.48	92.29	80.12	79.36	69.39	64.37	64.60	84.53
31	NYG	75.93	+1.56	72.65	66.12	84.62	72.59	74.79	78.58	82.15
32	NYJ	74.60	+2.74	70.75	68.84	72.46	62.81	87.89	67.21	92.26

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
GB	116.76	102.22	88.91	93.23	97.82	96.04	92.98
DAL	84.67	99.85	85.75	96.11	80.55	94.62	94.91
LAR	86.21	98.35	74.37	84.74	89.39	104.14	86.24
TB	99.15	98.23	86.70	88.30	100.02	84.56	73.40
CIN	76.39	97.03	95.32	86.93	100.32	85.18	101.59
ARI	90.99	96.28	74.06	77.12	90.79	84.73	78.18
MIN	98.04	96.21	87.09	85.15	95.46	67.64	81.03
KC	103.75	96.20	101.38	85.84	85.26	79.96	99.50
SEA	96.95	95.57	93.31	84.55	84.70	94.75	96.16
SF	85.77	95.57	98.79	105.01	87.53	93.32	115.47
LAC	94.07	93.18	89.86	84.96	93.63	83.46	62.48
NE	75.16	91.24	81.13	67.91	77.30	105.42	81.67
LV	96.19	88.51	81.39	74.69	77.03	73.44	95.48
IND	93.36	88.42	71.05	81.79	70.36	88.89	70.41
BUF	101.89	87.92	90.06	88.60	100.42	95.45	90.35
DEN	67.09	86.25	75.65	87.37	90.20	84.36	77.38
TEN	100.58	85.23	74.10	76.20	73.41	71.34	73.77
PHI	64.66	84.11	91.37	84.34	95.95	92.27	75.11
DET	87.14	82.82	94.56	94.28	108.48	99.79	106.77
PIT	91.50	82.14	75.24	81.46	86.64	89.54	84.31
MIA	88.33	81.13	89.90	95.52	86.81	81.60	62.16
WAS	73.65	80.79	76.58	72.24	94.62	79.84	84.60
NO	96.43	80.67	87.58	92.50	83.23	83.67	80.18
ATL	87.48	80.21	81.65	75.92	81.90	82.74	73.21
HOU	102.55	80.18	72.15	89.71	78.84	86.71	93.80
CLE	92.29	80.12	79.36	69.39	64.37	64.60	84.53
BAL	89.11	75.47	78.01	94.00	114.99	89.51	110.80
JAX	79.09	68.90	88.58	84.93	78.53	85.33	99.59
NYJ	70.75	68.84	72.46	62.81	87.89	67.21	92.26
CHI	81.97	68.78	68.16	74.60	77.07	86.61	79.79
NYG	72.65	66.12	84.62	72.59	74.79	78.58	82.15
CAR	83.04	64.18	75.37	67.51	75.45	80.73	95.63

Pass rating since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (108.78), 2019 Saints (105.23), 2020 Packers (116.76), 2021 Packers (102.22).

Packers have led this stat 2 of 4 seasons.

The best season on record is Packers 2020 at 116.76; the worst Bills 2018 at 61.78.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2021.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_passing_pass_rating
Side: offensive
Family: Passing
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.