What Xpm (Off − Def) is

Extra points made minus extra points opponents made. Near-automatic both ways, so it tracks touchdowns.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2023 the 49ers led at 2.18; the league average was 0.00.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader

SF · 2.18

League average

0.00

Best to worst

3.88

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	SF	2.18	17
2	BAL	1.94	17
3	BUF	1.41	17
4	DAL	1.06	17
5	MIA	0.76	17
6	NO	0.65	17
7	KC	0.59	17
8	DET	0.53	17
9	GB	0.41	17
10	TB	0.41	17
11	CIN	0.24	17
12	HOU	0.24	17
13	MIN	0.24	17
14	LAR	0.18	17
15	PIT	0.18	17
16	PHI	0	17
17	TEN	-0.06	17
18	LV	-0.12	17
19	IND	-0.24	17
20	CHI	-0.35	17
21	ATL	-0.41	17
22	JAX	-0.41	17
23	NE	-0.41	17
24	LAC	-0.53	17
25	SEA	-0.59	17
26	CLE	-0.65	17
27	DEN	-0.71	17
28	NYJ	-0.88	17
29	NYG	-1.06	17
30	WAS	-1.24	17
31	CAR	-1.65	17
32	ARI	-1.71	17

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

SF · 2.18

League laggard

ARI · -1.71

League average

0.00

Spread (max − min)

3.88

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	SF	2.18	2.18	100%
2	BAL	1.94	1.94	96.8%
3	BUF	1.41	1.41	93.5%
4	DAL	1.06	1.06	90.3%
5	MIA	0.76	0.76	87.1%
6	NO	0.65	0.65	83.9%
7	KC	0.59	0.59	80.6%
8	DET	0.53	0.53	77.4%
9	GB	0.41	0.41	74.2%
10	TB	0.41	0.41	71%
11	CIN	0.24	0.24	67.7%
12	HOU	0.24	0.24	64.5%
13	MIN	0.24	0.24	61.3%
14	LAR	0.18	0.18	58.1%
15	PIT	0.18	0.18	54.8%
16	PHI	0	0.00	51.6%
17	TEN	-0.06	-0.06	48.4%
18	LV	-0.12	-0.12	45.2%
19	IND	-0.24	-0.24	41.9%
20	CHI	-0.35	-0.35	38.7%
21	ATL	-0.41	-0.41	35.5%
22	JAX	-0.41	-0.41	32.3%
23	NE	-0.41	-0.41	29%
24	LAC	-0.53	-0.53	25.8%
25	SEA	-0.59	-0.59	22.6%
26	CLE	-0.65	-0.65	19.4%
27	DEN	-0.71	-0.71	16.1%
28	NYJ	-0.88	-0.88	12.9%
29	NYG	-1.06	-1.06	9.7%
30	WAS	-1.24	-1.24	6.5%
31	CAR	-1.65	-1.65	3.2%
32	ARI	-1.71	-1.71	0%

Does Xpm (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 960–618–37 ATS (60.8%) across 2020–2025, #6 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2024 (171–92, 65.0%); its worst 2023 (147–111, 57.0%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	162–92–2	63.8%
2021	272	156–114–2	57.8%
2022	271	162–102–7	61.4%
2023	272	147–111–14	57.0%
2024	272	171–92–9	65.0%
2025	272	162–107–3	60.2%

Xpm (Off − Def) in 2023 vs 2022

49ers lead at 2.18 — they ranked #1 last year. Cardinals are last at -1.71 — #32 last year.

The league average is 0.00, down 0.00 from 0.00 last year.

Biggest riser: Buccaneers, #28 → #10. Biggest faller: Jaguars, #8 → #22.

Spread between first and last: 3.88; 24 teams are within 0.89 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

BAL · +1.76

Biggest faller

CAR · −1.29

Most consistent

KC · 0

League trend 2023 vs 2022

▼ 0.00

Rank	Team	2023	2022	Δ
1	BAL	1.94	0.18	+1.76
2	HOU	0.24	-1.18	+1.41
3	TB	0.41	-0.71	+1.12
4	CHI	-0.35	-1.35	+1
5	IND	-0.24	-1.06	+0.82
6	SF	2.18	1.41	+0.76
7	MIA	0.76	0.18	+0.59
8	PIT	0.18	-0.35	+0.53
9	LAR	0.18	-0.29	+0.47
10	GB	0.41	0.06	+0.35
11	NO	0.65	0.35	+0.29
12	LV	-0.12	-0.29	+0.18
13	MIN	0.24	0.06	+0.18
14	DET	0.53	0.41	+0.12
15	BUF	1.41	1.31	+0.10
16	KC	0.59	0.59	0
17	TEN	-0.06	0	−0.06
18	DAL	1.06	1.29	−0.24
19	ARI	-1.71	-1.41	−0.29
20	NE	-0.41	-0.06	−0.35
21	ATL	-0.41	0	−0.41
22	DEN	-0.71	-0.29	−0.41
23	LAC	-0.53	0	−0.53
24	WAS	-1.24	-0.65	−0.59
25	CIN	0.24	0.88	−0.64
26	CLE	-0.65	0	−0.65
27	SEA	-0.59	0.12	−0.71
28	JAX	-0.41	0.35	−0.76
29	NYJ	-0.88	-0.06	−0.82
30	NYG	-1.06	-0.12	−0.94
31	PHI	0	1.12	−1.12
32	CAR	-1.65	-0.35	−1.29

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 1.07

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · -0.99

Biggest improver

JAX · +0.44/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −0.37/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	1.07	−0.24	1.56	1.47	1.31	1.41	1.12	0.82	-0.20
2	BAL	0.99	+0.08	1.69	-0.41	0.18	1.94	1.65	0.47	1.40
3	SF	0.85	+0.14	0.06	0.35	1.41	2.18	-0.24	0.18	2
4	KC	0.68	+0.06	0.63	0.82	0.59	0.59	0.41	0	1.75
5	SEA	0.59	−0.02	1.44	0.76	0.12	-0.59	0.24	1.35	0.80
6	LAR	0.51	+0.15	0.38	0.71	-0.29	0.18	-0.24	1.82	1
7	GB	0.46	−0.21	1.50	0.65	0.06	0.41	0.76	0.47	-0.60
8	DET	0.43	+0.41	-0.94	-0.94	0.41	0.53	1.88	0.88	1.20
9	PHI	0.39	+0.20	-1.31	0.47	1.12	0	1.47	0.76	0.20
10	TB	0.29	−0.18	0.88	1.29	-0.71	0.41	0.94	-0.76	0
11	CIN	0.24	+0.08	-0.69	0.59	0.88	0.24	0.29	-0.82	1.20
12	MIN	0.21	+0.15	-0.31	-0.12	0.06	0.24	0.82	0	0.80
13	NO	0.13	−0.32	1.50	0.06	0.35	0.65	-0.24	-0.41	-1
14	NE	0.09	+0.08	-0.44	0.88	-0.06	-0.41	-0.94	1.18	0.40
15	DAL	0.08	−0.17	-0.75	1.06	1.29	1.06	-1.12	-0.35	-0.60
16	PIT	0.07	+0.04	0.56	-0.65	-0.35	0.18	0.24	0.53	0
17	DEN	-0.09	+0.09	-1	0.29	-0.29	-0.71	1.18	0.88	-1
18	LAC	-0.18	−0.02	-0.25	-0.18	0	-0.53	0.24	0.24	-0.80
19	IND	-0.21	−0.14	0.13	0.88	-1.06	-0.24	-0.41	0.24	-1
20	CHI	-0.25	+0.25	-0.06	-0.88	-1.35	-0.35	-0.41	-0.06	1.40
21	ATL	-0.27	+0.08	-0.63	-0.53	0	-0.41	-0.12	-0.24	0
22	JAX	-0.32	+0.44	-1.69	-1.71	0.35	-0.41	-0.82	1.06	1
23	MIA	-0.32	−0.23	-0.19	-0.24	0.18	0.76	-0.24	-0.53	-2
24	TEN	-0.33	−0.37	0.56	0.82	0	-0.06	-1.29	-1.35	-1
25	HOU	-0.36	+0.23	-0.75	-1.12	-1.18	0.24	-0.12	0.18	0.20
26	CLE	-0.43	−0.20	0.31	0.24	0	-0.65	-1.94	-0.76	-0.20
27	ARI	-0.46	−0.19	0.56	0.71	-1.41	-1.71	0.06	-0.65	-0.80
28	LV	-0.62	−0.16	0.06	-0.82	-0.29	-0.12	-1	-1.35	-0.80
29	CAR	-0.70	−0.07	-0.25	-0.35	-0.35	-1.65	-1.24	-0.82	-0.25
30	WAS	-0.73	−0.11	-0.19	-1.06	-0.65	-1.24	0.59	-0.76	-1.80
31	NYG	-0.76	+0.03	-0.50	-1.47	-0.12	-1.06	-1.29	-0.29	-0.60
32	NYJ	-0.99	+0.13	-1.88	-1.59	-0.06	-0.88	-0.24	-1.88	-0.40

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SF	0.06	0.35	1.41	2.18	-0.24	0.18	2
BAL	1.69	-0.41	0.18	1.94	1.65	0.47	1.40
BUF	1.56	1.47	1.31	1.41	1.12	0.82	-0.20
DAL	-0.75	1.06	1.29	1.06	-1.12	-0.35	-0.60
MIA	-0.19	-0.24	0.18	0.76	-0.24	-0.53	-2
NO	1.50	0.06	0.35	0.65	-0.24	-0.41	-1
KC	0.63	0.82	0.59	0.59	0.41	0	1.75
DET	-0.94	-0.94	0.41	0.53	1.88	0.88	1.20
GB	1.50	0.65	0.06	0.41	0.76	0.47	-0.60
TB	0.88	1.29	-0.71	0.41	0.94	-0.76	0
CIN	-0.69	0.59	0.88	0.24	0.29	-0.82	1.20
HOU	-0.75	-1.12	-1.18	0.24	-0.12	0.18	0.20
MIN	-0.31	-0.12	0.06	0.24	0.82	0	0.80
LAR	0.38	0.71	-0.29	0.18	-0.24	1.82	1
PIT	0.56	-0.65	-0.35	0.18	0.24	0.53	0
PHI	-1.31	0.47	1.12	0	1.47	0.76	0.20
TEN	0.56	0.82	0	-0.06	-1.29	-1.35	-1
LV	0.06	-0.82	-0.29	-0.12	-1	-1.35	-0.80
IND	0.13	0.88	-1.06	-0.24	-0.41	0.24	-1
CHI	-0.06	-0.88	-1.35	-0.35	-0.41	-0.06	1.40
ATL	-0.63	-0.53	0	-0.41	-0.12	-0.24	0
JAX	-1.69	-1.71	0.35	-0.41	-0.82	1.06	1
NE	-0.44	0.88	-0.06	-0.41	-0.94	1.18	0.40
LAC	-0.25	-0.18	0	-0.53	0.24	0.24	-0.80
SEA	1.44	0.76	0.12	-0.59	0.24	1.35	0.80
CLE	0.31	0.24	0	-0.65	-1.94	-0.76	-0.20
DEN	-1	0.29	-0.29	-0.71	1.18	0.88	-1
NYJ	-1.88	-1.59	-0.06	-0.88	-0.24	-1.88	-0.40
NYG	-0.50	-1.47	-0.12	-1.06	-1.29	-0.29	-0.60
WAS	-0.19	-1.06	-0.65	-1.24	0.59	-0.76	-1.80
CAR	-0.25	-0.35	-0.35	-1.65	-1.24	-0.82	-0.25
ARI	0.56	0.71	-1.41	-1.71	0.06	-0.65	-0.80

Xpm (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (1.75), 2019 Ravens (2.25), 2020 Ravens (1.69), 2021 Bills (1.47), 2022 49ers (1.41), 2023 49ers (2.18).

Ravens have led this stat 2 of 6 seasons.

The best season on record is Ravens 2019 at 2.25; the worst Jets 2020 at -1.88.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_xpm
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Stat-page only: this stat is not available in the Algorithm Builder.