NET: Xpm (Off − Def)
What Xpm (Off − Def) is
Extra points made minus extra points opponents made. Near-automatic both ways, so it tracks touchdowns.
Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
In 2018 the Chiefs led at 1.75; the league average was 0.
League snapshot — 2018
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | 1.75 | 16 |
| 2 | CHI | 1.25 | 16 |
| 3 | NO | 1.25 | 16 |
| 4 | SEA | 1.06 | 16 |
| 5 | NE | 0.94 | 16 |
| 6 | LAR | 0.75 | 16 |
| 7 | HOU | 0.63 | 16 |
| 8 | BAL | 0.56 | 16 |
| 9 | IND | 0.50 | 16 |
| 10 | MIN | 0.50 | 16 |
| 11 | LAC | 0.38 | 16 |
| 12 | PIT | 0.38 | 16 |
| 13 | PHI | 0.31 | 16 |
| 14 | DAL | 0.06 | 16 |
| 15 | ATL | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | DEN | 0 | 16 |
| 17 | TEN | -0.19 | 16 |
| 18 | CAR | -0.31 | 16 |
| 19 | CIN | -0.31 | 16 |
| 20 | DET | -0.31 | 16 |
| 21 | JAX | -0.44 | 16 |
| 22 | CLE | -0.50 | 16 |
| 23 | NYG | -0.50 | 16 |
| 24 | GB | -0.56 | 16 |
| 25 | WAS | -0.56 | 16 |
| 26 | BUF | -0.69 | 16 |
| 27 | TB | -0.69 | 16 |
| 28 | MIA | -0.75 | 16 |
| 29 | NYJ | -0.75 | 16 |
| 30 | SF | -1.13 | 16 |
| 31 | ARI | -1.19 | 16 |
| 32 | LV | -1.44 | 16 |
At a glance — 2018
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2018
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | 1.75 | 1.75 | 100% |
| 2 | CHI | 1.25 | 1.25 | 96.8% |
| 3 | NO | 1.25 | 1.25 | 93.5% |
| 4 | SEA | 1.06 | 1.06 | 90.3% |
| 5 | NE | 0.94 | 0.94 | 87.1% |
| 6 | LAR | 0.75 | 0.75 | 83.9% |
| 7 | HOU | 0.63 | 0.63 | 80.6% |
| 8 | BAL | 0.56 | 0.56 | 77.4% |
| 9 | IND | 0.50 | 0.50 | 74.2% |
| 10 | MIN | 0.50 | 0.50 | 71% |
| 11 | LAC | 0.38 | 0.38 | 67.7% |
| 12 | PIT | 0.38 | 0.38 | 64.5% |
| 13 | PHI | 0.31 | 0.31 | 61.3% |
| 14 | DAL | 0.06 | 0.06 | 58.1% |
| 15 | ATL | 0 | 0 | 54.8% |
| 16 | DEN | 0 | 0 | 51.6% |
| 17 | TEN | -0.19 | -0.19 | 48.4% |
| 18 | CAR | -0.31 | -0.31 | 45.2% |
| 19 | CIN | -0.31 | -0.31 | 41.9% |
| 20 | DET | -0.31 | -0.31 | 38.7% |
| 21 | JAX | -0.44 | -0.44 | 35.5% |
| 22 | CLE | -0.50 | -0.50 | 32.3% |
| 23 | NYG | -0.50 | -0.50 | 29% |
| 24 | GB | -0.56 | -0.56 | 25.8% |
| 25 | WAS | -0.56 | -0.56 | 22.6% |
| 26 | BUF | -0.69 | -0.69 | 19.4% |
| 27 | TB | -0.69 | -0.69 | 16.1% |
| 28 | MIA | -0.75 | -0.75 | 12.9% |
| 29 | NYJ | -0.75 | -0.75 | 9.7% |
| 30 | SF | -1.13 | -1.13 | 6.5% |
| 31 | ARI | -1.19 | -1.19 | 3.2% |
| 32 | LV | -1.44 | -1.44 | 0% |
Does Xpm (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 960–618–37 ATS (60.8%) across 2020–2025, #6 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2024 (171–92, 65.0%); its worst 2023 (147–111, 57.0%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 162–92–2 | 63.8% |
| 2021 | 272 | 156–114–2 | 57.8% |
| 2022 | 271 | 162–102–7 | 61.4% |
| 2023 | 272 | 147–111–14 | 57.0% |
| 2024 | 272 | 171–92–9 | 65.0% |
| 2025 | 272 | 162–107–3 | 60.2% |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 1.07 | −0.24 | 1.56 | 1.47 | 1.31 | 1.41 | 1.12 | 0.82 | -0.20 |
| 2 | BAL | 0.99 | +0.08 | 1.69 | -0.41 | 0.18 | 1.94 | 1.65 | 0.47 | 1.40 |
| 3 | SF | 0.85 | +0.14 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 1.41 | 2.18 | -0.24 | 0.18 | 2 |
| 4 | KC | 0.68 | +0.06 | 0.63 | 0.82 | 0.59 | 0.59 | 0.41 | 0 | 1.75 |
| 5 | SEA | 0.59 | −0.02 | 1.44 | 0.76 | 0.12 | -0.59 | 0.24 | 1.35 | 0.80 |
| 6 | LAR | 0.51 | +0.15 | 0.38 | 0.71 | -0.29 | 0.18 | -0.24 | 1.82 | 1 |
| 7 | GB | 0.46 | −0.21 | 1.50 | 0.65 | 0.06 | 0.41 | 0.76 | 0.47 | -0.60 |
| 8 | DET | 0.43 | +0.41 | -0.94 | -0.94 | 0.41 | 0.53 | 1.88 | 0.88 | 1.20 |
| 9 | PHI | 0.39 | +0.20 | -1.31 | 0.47 | 1.12 | 0 | 1.47 | 0.76 | 0.20 |
| 10 | TB | 0.29 | −0.18 | 0.88 | 1.29 | -0.71 | 0.41 | 0.94 | -0.76 | 0 |
| 11 | CIN | 0.24 | +0.08 | -0.69 | 0.59 | 0.88 | 0.24 | 0.29 | -0.82 | 1.20 |
| 12 | MIN | 0.21 | +0.15 | -0.31 | -0.12 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.82 | 0 | 0.80 |
| 13 | NO | 0.13 | −0.32 | 1.50 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.65 | -0.24 | -0.41 | -1 |
| 14 | NE | 0.09 | +0.08 | -0.44 | 0.88 | -0.06 | -0.41 | -0.94 | 1.18 | 0.40 |
| 15 | DAL | 0.08 | −0.17 | -0.75 | 1.06 | 1.29 | 1.06 | -1.12 | -0.35 | -0.60 |
| 16 | PIT | 0.07 | +0.04 | 0.56 | -0.65 | -0.35 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.53 | 0 |
| 17 | DEN | -0.09 | +0.09 | -1 | 0.29 | -0.29 | -0.71 | 1.18 | 0.88 | -1 |
| 18 | LAC | -0.18 | −0.02 | -0.25 | -0.18 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.24 | 0.24 | -0.80 |
| 19 | IND | -0.21 | −0.14 | 0.13 | 0.88 | -1.06 | -0.24 | -0.41 | 0.24 | -1 |
| 20 | CHI | -0.25 | +0.25 | -0.06 | -0.88 | -1.35 | -0.35 | -0.41 | -0.06 | 1.40 |
| 21 | ATL | -0.27 | +0.08 | -0.63 | -0.53 | 0 | -0.41 | -0.12 | -0.24 | 0 |
| 22 | JAX | -0.32 | +0.44 | -1.69 | -1.71 | 0.35 | -0.41 | -0.82 | 1.06 | 1 |
| 23 | MIA | -0.32 | −0.23 | -0.19 | -0.24 | 0.18 | 0.76 | -0.24 | -0.53 | -2 |
| 24 | TEN | -0.33 | −0.37 | 0.56 | 0.82 | 0 | -0.06 | -1.29 | -1.35 | -1 |
| 25 | HOU | -0.36 | +0.23 | -0.75 | -1.12 | -1.18 | 0.24 | -0.12 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| 26 | CLE | -0.43 | −0.20 | 0.31 | 0.24 | 0 | -0.65 | -1.94 | -0.76 | -0.20 |
| 27 | ARI | -0.46 | −0.19 | 0.56 | 0.71 | -1.41 | -1.71 | 0.06 | -0.65 | -0.80 |
| 28 | LV | -0.62 | −0.16 | 0.06 | -0.82 | -0.29 | -0.12 | -1 | -1.35 | -0.80 |
| 29 | CAR | -0.70 | −0.07 | -0.25 | -0.35 | -0.35 | -1.65 | -1.24 | -0.82 | -0.25 |
| 30 | WAS | -0.73 | −0.11 | -0.19 | -1.06 | -0.65 | -1.24 | 0.59 | -0.76 | -1.80 |
| 31 | NYG | -0.76 | +0.03 | -0.50 | -1.47 | -0.12 | -1.06 | -1.29 | -0.29 | -0.60 |
| 32 | NYJ | -0.99 | +0.13 | -1.88 | -1.59 | -0.06 | -0.88 | -0.24 | -1.88 | -0.40 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 0.06 | 0.35 | 1.41 | 2.18 | -0.24 | 0.18 | 2 |
| KC | 0.63 | 0.82 | 0.59 | 0.59 | 0.41 | 0 | 1.75 |
| BAL | 1.69 | -0.41 | 0.18 | 1.94 | 1.65 | 0.47 | 1.40 |
| CHI | -0.06 | -0.88 | -1.35 | -0.35 | -0.41 | -0.06 | 1.40 |
| CIN | -0.69 | 0.59 | 0.88 | 0.24 | 0.29 | -0.82 | 1.20 |
| DET | -0.94 | -0.94 | 0.41 | 0.53 | 1.88 | 0.88 | 1.20 |
| JAX | -1.69 | -1.71 | 0.35 | -0.41 | -0.82 | 1.06 | 1 |
| LAR | 0.38 | 0.71 | -0.29 | 0.18 | -0.24 | 1.82 | 1 |
| MIN | -0.31 | -0.12 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.82 | 0 | 0.80 |
| SEA | 1.44 | 0.76 | 0.12 | -0.59 | 0.24 | 1.35 | 0.80 |
| NE | -0.44 | 0.88 | -0.06 | -0.41 | -0.94 | 1.18 | 0.40 |
| HOU | -0.75 | -1.12 | -1.18 | 0.24 | -0.12 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| PHI | -1.31 | 0.47 | 1.12 | 0 | 1.47 | 0.76 | 0.20 |
| ATL | -0.63 | -0.53 | 0 | -0.41 | -0.12 | -0.24 | 0 |
| PIT | 0.56 | -0.65 | -0.35 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.53 | 0 |
| TB | 0.88 | 1.29 | -0.71 | 0.41 | 0.94 | -0.76 | 0 |
| BUF | 1.56 | 1.47 | 1.31 | 1.41 | 1.12 | 0.82 | -0.20 |
| CLE | 0.31 | 0.24 | 0 | -0.65 | -1.94 | -0.76 | -0.20 |
| CAR | -0.25 | -0.35 | -0.35 | -1.65 | -1.24 | -0.82 | -0.25 |
| NYJ | -1.88 | -1.59 | -0.06 | -0.88 | -0.24 | -1.88 | -0.40 |
| DAL | -0.75 | 1.06 | 1.29 | 1.06 | -1.12 | -0.35 | -0.60 |
| GB | 1.50 | 0.65 | 0.06 | 0.41 | 0.76 | 0.47 | -0.60 |
| NYG | -0.50 | -1.47 | -0.12 | -1.06 | -1.29 | -0.29 | -0.60 |
| ARI | 0.56 | 0.71 | -1.41 | -1.71 | 0.06 | -0.65 | -0.80 |
| LV | 0.06 | -0.82 | -0.29 | -0.12 | -1 | -1.35 | -0.80 |
| LAC | -0.25 | -0.18 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.24 | 0.24 | -0.80 |
| DEN | -1 | 0.29 | -0.29 | -0.71 | 1.18 | 0.88 | -1 |
| IND | 0.13 | 0.88 | -1.06 | -0.24 | -0.41 | 0.24 | -1 |
| NO | 1.50 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.65 | -0.24 | -0.41 | -1 |
| TEN | 0.56 | 0.82 | 0 | -0.06 | -1.29 | -1.35 | -1 |
| WAS | -0.19 | -1.06 | -0.65 | -1.24 | 0.59 | -0.76 | -1.80 |
| MIA | -0.19 | -0.24 | 0.18 | 0.76 | -0.24 | -0.53 | -2 |
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_xpm
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Stat-page only: this stat is not available in the Algorithm Builder.