What Turnovers (Off − Def) is

Turnovers given away minus turnovers taken — turnover margin, from the team's point of view. Lower is better; it is one of the biggest single swings in a game's result, and one of the least repeatable.

Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

Through Week 7 of 2026, the Chiefs lead at -1.20; the league average is -0.11.

League snapshot — 2026

League leader

KC · -1.20

League average

-0.11

Best to worst

2.53

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	KC	-1.20	5
2	MIN	-1.20	5
3	WAS	-1	6
4	DEN	-0.83	6
5	JAX	-0.83	6
6	CAR	-0.80	5
7	DET	-0.80	5
8	GB	-0.67	6
9	LV	-0.67	6
10	NYJ	-0.67	6
11	CIN	-0.60	5
12	HOU	-0.50	6
13	PIT	-0.50	6
14	SF	-0.50	6
15	ARI	-0.33	6
16	BAL	-0.33	6
17	CLE	-0.17	6
18	NYG	0.17	6
19	SEA	0.17	6
20	TEN	0.17	6
21	CHI	0.33	6
22	NO	0.33	6
23	PHI	0.33	6
24	BUF	0.50	6
25	DAL	0.50	6
26	LAR	0.50	6
27	TB	0.50	6
28	LAC	0.67	6
29	MIA	0.80	5
30	ATL	0.83	6
31	NE	1	6
32	IND	1.33	6

At a glance — 2026

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

MIN · -1.20

League laggard

IND · 1.33

League average

-0.11

Spread (max − min)

2.53

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	KC	-1.20	-1.09	100%
2	MIN	-1.20	-1.09	96.8%
3	WAS	-1	-0.89	93.5%
4	DEN	-0.83	-0.73	90.3%
5	JAX	-0.83	-0.73	87.1%
6	CAR	-0.80	-0.69	83.9%
7	DET	-0.80	-0.69	80.6%
8	GB	-0.67	-0.56	77.4%
9	LV	-0.67	-0.56	74.2%
10	NYJ	-0.67	-0.56	71%
11	CIN	-0.60	-0.49	67.7%
12	HOU	-0.50	-0.39	64.5%
13	PIT	-0.50	-0.39	61.3%
14	SF	-0.50	-0.39	58.1%
15	ARI	-0.33	-0.23	54.8%
16	BAL	-0.33	-0.23	51.6%
17	CLE	-0.17	-0.06	48.4%
18	NYG	0.17	0.28	45.2%
19	SEA	0.17	0.28	41.9%
20	TEN	0.17	0.28	38.7%
21	CHI	0.33	0.44	35.5%
22	NO	0.33	0.44	32.3%
23	PHI	0.33	0.44	29%
24	BUF	0.50	0.61	25.8%
25	DAL	0.50	0.61	22.6%
26	LAR	0.50	0.61	19.4%
27	TB	0.50	0.61	16.1%
28	LAC	0.67	0.78	12.9%
29	MIA	0.80	0.91	9.7%
30	ATL	0.83	0.94	6.5%
31	NE	1	1.11	3.2%
32	IND	1.33	1.44	0%

Does Turnovers (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 872–706–37 ATS (55.3%) across 2020–2025, #67 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (156–108, 59.1%); its worst 2023 (128–130, 49.6%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	148–106–2	58.3%
2021	272	153–117–2	56.7%
2022	271	156–108–7	59.1%
2023	272	128–130–14	49.6%
2024	272	144–119–9	54.8%
2025	272	143–126–3	53.2%

Turnovers (Off − Def) in 2026 vs 2025

Chiefs lead at -1.20 — they ranked #18 last year. Colts are last at 1.33 — #14 last year.

The league average is -0.11, down 0.05 from -0.06 last year.

Biggest riser: Commanders, #31 → #3. Biggest faller: Falcons, #7 → #30.

Spread between first and last: 2.53; 20 teams are within 0.68 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

CHI · +1.69

Biggest faller

NYJ · −1.67

Most consistent

DAL · −0.03

League trend 2026 vs 2025

▼ -0.05

Rank	Team	2026	2025	Δ
1	CHI	0.33	-1.35	+1.69
2	IND	1.33	-0.06	+1.39
3	ATL	0.83	-0.41	+1.25
4	NE	1	-0.18	+1.18
5	LAR	0.50	-0.59	+1.09
6	TB	0.50	-0.41	+0.91
7	LAC	0.67	-0.24	+0.90
8	PHI	0.33	-0.53	+0.86
9	MIA	0.80	0.18	+0.62
10	BUF	0.50	-0.12	+0.62
11	HOU	-0.50	-1.06	+0.56
12	PIT	-0.50	-0.76	+0.26
13	NO	0.33	0.18	+0.16
14	NYG	0.17	0.06	+0.11
15	SEA	0.17	0.06	+0.11
16	DAL	0.50	0.53	−0.03
17	JAX	-0.83	-0.76	−0.07
18	TEN	0.17	0.29	−0.13
19	ARI	-0.33	0	−0.33
20	BAL	-0.33	0.12	−0.45
21	CLE	-0.17	0.35	−0.52
22	DET	-0.80	-0.24	−0.56
23	GB	-0.67	-0.06	−0.61
24	CAR	-0.80	0	−0.80
25	CIN	-0.60	0.24	−0.84
26	SF	-0.50	0.35	−0.85
27	DEN	-0.83	0.06	−0.89
28	LV	-0.67	0.35	−1.02
29	KC	-1.20	0.06	−1.26
30	MIN	-1.20	0.35	−1.55
31	WAS	-1	0.65	−1.65
32	NYJ	-0.67	1	−1.67

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

PIT · -0.62

Multi-year laggard

LV · 0.32

Biggest improver

JAX · −0.23/yr

Biggest decliner

IND · +0.26/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	PIT	-0.62	−0.05	-0.69	-0.18	-0.41	-0.71	-1.06	-0.76	-0.50
2	GB	-0.47	+0.03	-0.56	-0.88	-0.24	-0.12	-0.76	-0.06	-0.67
3	HOU	-0.36	−0.18	0.44	-0.24	0	-0.59	-0.59	-1.06	-0.50
4	BUF	-0.31	+0.07	-0.38	-0.53	-0.06	-0.18	-1.41	-0.12	0.50
5	KC	-0.27	−0.06	-0.44	-0.35	-0.12	0.53	-0.35	0.06	-1.20
6	MIN	-0.26	−0.08	0	-0.65	-0.18	0.65	-0.76	0.35	-1.20
7	CIN	-0.21	−0.08	0.38	-0.12	-0.44	-0.59	-0.35	0.24	-0.60
8	DET	-0.19	−0.17	0.44	0.24	-0.47	0	-0.53	-0.24	-0.80
9	TB	-0.18	+0.14	-0.56	-0.59	0	-0.47	0.29	-0.41	0.50
10	BAL	-0.17	−0.05	-0.25	0.59	-0.24	-0.71	-0.35	0.12	-0.33
11	CHI	-0.14	−0.15	0.19	0.65	0	-0.24	-0.59	-1.35	0.33
12	LAC	-0.14	+0.07	-0.25	0	-0.35	-0.06	-0.76	-0.24	0.67
13	DEN	-0.11	−0.18	0.94	-0.18	-0.12	-0.35	-0.29	0.06	-0.83
14	NO	-0.11	+0.13	-0.63	-0.47	0.59	-0.76	0	0.18	0.33
15	SEA	-0.10	+0.08	-0.25	-0.29	-0.24	-0.24	0.06	0.06	0.17
16	DAL	-0.10	+0.16	0.25	-0.88	-0.71	-0.65	0.24	0.53	0.50
17	ARI	-0.10	+0.02	0	-0.76	0.24	0	0.18	0	-0.33
18	SF	-0.08	−0.04	0.44	0.06	-0.76	-0.59	0.41	0.35	-0.50
19	LAR	-0.06	+0.01	0	-0.18	0.06	0.12	-0.35	-0.59	0.50
20	PHI	-0.05	−0.08	0.63	0	-0.53	0.59	-0.82	-0.53	0.33
21	NYG	-0.02	+0.02	-0.06	0.47	-0.35	-0.82	0.41	0.06	0.17
22	IND	0.03	+0.26	-0.63	-1	0.71	-0.35	0.24	-0.06	1.33
23	JAX	0.08	−0.23	0.44	1.12	-0.29	0.06	0.82	-0.76	-0.83
24	MIA	0.08	+0.17	-0.56	-0.29	0.41	-0.12	0.18	0.18	0.80
25	CAR	0.11	−0.13	-0.06	0.76	0.06	0.53	0.29	0	-0.80
26	WAS	0.13	−0.11	0.06	0.35	0.29	0.71	-0.18	0.65	-1
27	TEN	0.14	+0.14	-0.69	0.12	0	0.18	0.88	0.29	0.17
28	NE	0.14	+0.19	-0.19	-0.47	-0.47	0.65	0.65	-0.18	1
29	ATL	0.24	+0.06	-0.19	0.35	0.12	0.71	0.24	-0.41	0.83
30	NYJ	0.24	−0.07	0	0.76	0.41	0.12	0.06	1	-0.67
31	CLE	0.24	+0.07	-0.31	0.18	0	0.47	1.18	0.35	-0.17
32	LV	0.32	−0.13	0.63	0.53	0.41	0.06	0.94	0.35	-0.67

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
KC	-0.44	-0.35	-0.12	0.53	-0.35	0.06	-1.20
MIN	0	-0.65	-0.18	0.65	-0.76	0.35	-1.20
WAS	0.06	0.35	0.29	0.71	-0.18	0.65	-1
DEN	0.94	-0.18	-0.12	-0.35	-0.29	0.06	-0.83
JAX	0.44	1.12	-0.29	0.06	0.82	-0.76	-0.83
CAR	-0.06	0.76	0.06	0.53	0.29	0	-0.80
DET	0.44	0.24	-0.47	0	-0.53	-0.24	-0.80
GB	-0.56	-0.88	-0.24	-0.12	-0.76	-0.06	-0.67
LV	0.63	0.53	0.41	0.06	0.94	0.35	-0.67
NYJ	0	0.76	0.41	0.12	0.06	1	-0.67
CIN	0.38	-0.12	-0.44	-0.59	-0.35	0.24	-0.60
HOU	0.44	-0.24	0	-0.59	-0.59	-1.06	-0.50
PIT	-0.69	-0.18	-0.41	-0.71	-1.06	-0.76	-0.50
SF	0.44	0.06	-0.76	-0.59	0.41	0.35	-0.50
ARI	0	-0.76	0.24	0	0.18	0	-0.33
BAL	-0.25	0.59	-0.24	-0.71	-0.35	0.12	-0.33
CLE	-0.31	0.18	0	0.47	1.18	0.35	-0.17
NYG	-0.06	0.47	-0.35	-0.82	0.41	0.06	0.17
SEA	-0.25	-0.29	-0.24	-0.24	0.06	0.06	0.17
TEN	-0.69	0.12	0	0.18	0.88	0.29	0.17
CHI	0.19	0.65	0	-0.24	-0.59	-1.35	0.33
NO	-0.63	-0.47	0.59	-0.76	0	0.18	0.33
PHI	0.63	0	-0.53	0.59	-0.82	-0.53	0.33
BUF	-0.38	-0.53	-0.06	-0.18	-1.41	-0.12	0.50
DAL	0.25	-0.88	-0.71	-0.65	0.24	0.53	0.50
LAR	0	-0.18	0.06	0.12	-0.35	-0.59	0.50
TB	-0.56	-0.59	0	-0.47	0.29	-0.41	0.50
LAC	-0.25	0	-0.35	-0.06	-0.76	-0.24	0.67
MIA	-0.56	-0.29	0.41	-0.12	0.18	0.18	0.80
ATL	-0.19	0.35	0.12	0.71	0.24	-0.41	0.83
NE	-0.19	-0.47	-0.47	0.65	0.65	-0.18	1
IND	-0.63	-1	0.71	-0.35	0.24	-0.06	1.33

Turnovers (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Seahawks (-0.94), 2019 Patriots (-1.44), 2020 Steelers (-0.69), 2021 Colts (-1), 2022 49ers (-0.76), 2023 Giants (-0.82), 2024 Bills (-1.41), 2025 Bears (-1.35), 2026 Chiefs (-1.20).

The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at -1.44; the worst 49ers 2018 at 1.44.

The league average has fallen from -0.06 in 2018 to -0.11 in 2026.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_turnovers
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.