NET: Red zone scores (Off − Def)
What Red zone scores (Off − Def) is
Red-zone touchdowns scored minus red-zone touchdowns allowed.
Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
In 2018 the Colts led at 0.81; the league average was -0.72.
League snapshot — 2018
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IND | 0.81 | 16 |
| 2 | CHI | 0.56 | 16 |
| 3 | NO | 0.38 | 16 |
| 4 | SEA | 0.19 | 16 |
| 5 | KC | 0.13 | 16 |
| 6 | LAC | 0.13 | 16 |
| 7 | BAL | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | MIN | -0.13 | 16 |
| 9 | NE | -0.13 | 16 |
| 10 | PHI | -0.19 | 16 |
| 11 | PIT | -0.25 | 16 |
| 12 | HOU | -0.31 | 16 |
| 13 | TEN | -0.44 | 16 |
| 14 | CAR | -0.50 | 16 |
| 15 | CLE | -0.56 | 16 |
| 16 | DAL | -0.63 | 16 |
| 17 | DEN | -0.75 | 16 |
| 18 | DET | -0.88 | 16 |
| 19 | NYG | -1 | 16 |
| 20 | ATL | -1.06 | 16 |
| 21 | CIN | -1.06 | 16 |
| 22 | TB | -1.06 | 16 |
| 23 | BUF | -1.13 | 16 |
| 24 | GB | -1.13 | 16 |
| 25 | JAX | -1.13 | 16 |
| 26 | WAS | -1.13 | 16 |
| 27 | NYJ | -1.63 | 16 |
| 28 | SF | -1.75 | 16 |
| 29 | ARI | -1.81 | 16 |
| 30 | LV | -1.81 | 16 |
| 31 | MIA | -2.06 | 16 |
| 32 | LAR | -2.69 | 16 |
At a glance — 2018
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2018
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IND | 0.81 | 1.53 | 100% |
| 2 | CHI | 0.56 | 1.28 | 96.8% |
| 3 | NO | 0.38 | 1.09 | 93.5% |
| 4 | SEA | 0.19 | 0.91 | 90.3% |
| 5 | KC | 0.13 | 0.84 | 87.1% |
| 6 | LAC | 0.13 | 0.84 | 83.9% |
| 7 | BAL | 0 | 0.72 | 80.6% |
| 8 | MIN | -0.13 | 0.59 | 77.4% |
| 9 | NE | -0.13 | 0.59 | 74.2% |
| 10 | PHI | -0.19 | 0.53 | 71% |
| 11 | PIT | -0.25 | 0.47 | 67.7% |
| 12 | HOU | -0.31 | 0.41 | 64.5% |
| 13 | TEN | -0.44 | 0.28 | 61.3% |
| 14 | CAR | -0.50 | 0.22 | 58.1% |
| 15 | CLE | -0.56 | 0.16 | 54.8% |
| 16 | DAL | -0.63 | 0.09 | 51.6% |
| 17 | DEN | -0.75 | -0.03 | 48.4% |
| 18 | DET | -0.88 | -0.16 | 45.2% |
| 19 | NYG | -1 | -0.28 | 41.9% |
| 20 | ATL | -1.06 | -0.34 | 38.7% |
| 21 | CIN | -1.06 | -0.34 | 35.5% |
| 22 | TB | -1.06 | -0.34 | 32.3% |
| 23 | BUF | -1.13 | -0.41 | 29% |
| 24 | GB | -1.13 | -0.41 | 25.8% |
| 25 | JAX | -1.13 | -0.41 | 22.6% |
| 26 | WAS | -1.13 | -0.41 | 19.4% |
| 27 | NYJ | -1.63 | -0.91 | 16.1% |
| 28 | SF | -1.75 | -1.03 | 12.9% |
| 29 | ARI | -1.81 | -1.09 | 9.7% |
| 30 | LV | -1.81 | -1.09 | 6.5% |
| 31 | MIA | -2.06 | -1.34 | 3.2% |
| 32 | LAR | -2.69 | -1.97 | 0% |
Does Red zone scores (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 926–652–37 ATS (58.7%) across 2020–2025, #14 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (164–100, 62.1%); its worst 2021 (148–122, 54.8%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 151–103–2 | 59.4% |
| 2021 | 272 | 148–122–2 | 54.8% |
| 2022 | 271 | 164–100–7 | 62.1% |
| 2023 | 272 | 144–114–14 | 55.8% |
| 2024 | 272 | 161–102–9 | 61.2% |
| 2025 | 272 | 158–111–3 | 58.7% |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | 0.22 | +0.16 | -0.31 | -0.12 | 0.47 | 0.24 | -0.12 | 0.12 | 1.25 |
| 2 | BUF | 0.19 | −0.11 | -0.19 | 1.06 | 0.25 | 0.47 | 0.29 | 0.06 | -0.60 |
| 3 | SF | 0.18 | +0.15 | -0.06 | -0.35 | 0.18 | 0.88 | -0.82 | 0.06 | 1.40 |
| 4 | BAL | 0.15 | +0.05 | 0.31 | -0.59 | -0.24 | 1.06 | 0.65 | -0.76 | 0.60 |
| 5 | GB | -0.15 | −0.15 | 0.56 | 0 | -0.65 | -0.12 | 0.35 | -0.24 | -1 |
| 6 | MIN | -0.22 | +0.11 | -0.38 | -0.59 | -0.12 | -0.65 | -0.12 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| 7 | TB | -0.25 | −0.11 | 0.19 | 0.53 | -0.88 | -0.71 | 0.35 | -1.06 | -0.20 |
| 8 | NO | -0.34 | −0.29 | 0.81 | 0.06 | -0.41 | 0.06 | -0.88 | -1 | -1 |
| 9 | SEA | -0.41 | +0.09 | 0 | -0.53 | -1 | -1.12 | -0.59 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| 10 | PHI | -0.42 | +0.05 | -1.19 | -0.47 | 0.18 | -0.76 | 0.41 | -0.12 | -1 |
| 11 | DEN | -0.42 | +0.11 | -1.06 | -0.24 | -0.53 | -1 | 0.24 | 0.24 | -0.60 |
| 12 | DAL | -0.51 | −0.05 | -1.50 | 0.24 | 0.59 | 0.35 | -1.76 | -1.29 | -0.20 |
| 13 | CIN | -0.51 | +0.05 | -1.25 | -0.53 | 0.44 | -0.53 | -0.65 | -0.88 | -0.20 |
| 14 | DET | -0.55 | +0.26 | -1.81 | -1.65 | -0.24 | -0.06 | 0.88 | -0.35 | -0.60 |
| 15 | NE | -0.55 | −0.04 | -0.81 | 0.71 | -1.12 | -0.71 | -1.35 | 0 | -0.60 |
| 16 | PIT | -0.57 | −0.03 | -0.06 | -0.88 | -0.59 | -0.71 | -0.53 | -0.59 | -0.60 |
| 17 | LAC | -0.58 | −0.04 | -0.88 | -0.06 | -0.47 | -1 | -0.24 | -0.24 | -1.20 |
| 18 | IND | -0.68 | −0.01 | -0.38 | -0.35 | -1.35 | -0.82 | -1.06 | 0.24 | -1 |
| 19 | MIA | -0.70 | −0.20 | -0.25 | -0.53 | -0.65 | -0.24 | -0.24 | -1.24 | -1.80 |
| 20 | JAX | -0.77 | +0.35 | -1.81 | -1.71 | -0.41 | -0.94 | -1.24 | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| 21 | TEN | -0.80 | −0.21 | -0.38 | 0.06 | -0.76 | -0.41 | -1.47 | -1.82 | -0.80 |
| 22 | ATL | -0.83 | +0.10 | -1.13 | -1.29 | -0.59 | -0.71 | -0.94 | -0.53 | -0.60 |
| 23 | CHI | -0.83 | +0.06 | -0.50 | -1.24 | -1.53 | -0.53 | -0.76 | -0.88 | -0.40 |
| 24 | ARI | -0.87 | −0.22 | -0.06 | 0 | -1.47 | -1.41 | -0.29 | -1.06 | -1.80 |
| 25 | HOU | -0.94 | +0.27 | -1.63 | -2.06 | -1 | -0.35 | -0.82 | -0.53 | -0.20 |
| 26 | CLE | -0.96 | −0.15 | -0.56 | -0.59 | -0.71 | -0.65 | -1.82 | -1.18 | -1.20 |
| 27 | WAS | -0.99 | −0.13 | -0.56 | -1.18 | -0.59 | -1.41 | -0.06 | -1.12 | -2 |
| 28 | CAR | -1.02 | +0.05 | -1 | -0.88 | -0.94 | -1.47 | -1.65 | -0.94 | -0.25 |
| 29 | NYG | -1.10 | +0.02 | -1.13 | -1.47 | -0.35 | -1.53 | -1.24 | -1 | -1 |
| 30 | LV | -1.16 | −0.04 | -1.19 | -1 | -1.29 | -0.71 | -1.24 | -1.53 | -1.20 |
| 31 | NYJ | -1.34 | +0.07 | -2.06 | -1.71 | -0.47 | -1.24 | -0.59 | -2.29 | -1 |
| 32 | LAR | -2.16 | −0.08 | -1.81 | -2.06 | -2.06 | -2.24 | -2.53 | -2 | -2.40 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | -0.06 | -0.35 | 0.18 | 0.88 | -0.82 | 0.06 | 1.40 |
| KC | -0.31 | -0.12 | 0.47 | 0.24 | -0.12 | 0.12 | 1.25 |
| BAL | 0.31 | -0.59 | -0.24 | 1.06 | 0.65 | -0.76 | 0.60 |
| JAX | -1.81 | -1.71 | -0.41 | -0.94 | -1.24 | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| MIN | -0.38 | -0.59 | -0.12 | -0.65 | -0.12 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| SEA | 0 | -0.53 | -1 | -1.12 | -0.59 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| CIN | -1.25 | -0.53 | 0.44 | -0.53 | -0.65 | -0.88 | -0.20 |
| DAL | -1.50 | 0.24 | 0.59 | 0.35 | -1.76 | -1.29 | -0.20 |
| HOU | -1.63 | -2.06 | -1 | -0.35 | -0.82 | -0.53 | -0.20 |
| TB | 0.19 | 0.53 | -0.88 | -0.71 | 0.35 | -1.06 | -0.20 |
| CAR | -1 | -0.88 | -0.94 | -1.47 | -1.65 | -0.94 | -0.25 |
| CHI | -0.50 | -1.24 | -1.53 | -0.53 | -0.76 | -0.88 | -0.40 |
| ATL | -1.13 | -1.29 | -0.59 | -0.71 | -0.94 | -0.53 | -0.60 |
| BUF | -0.19 | 1.06 | 0.25 | 0.47 | 0.29 | 0.06 | -0.60 |
| DEN | -1.06 | -0.24 | -0.53 | -1 | 0.24 | 0.24 | -0.60 |
| DET | -1.81 | -1.65 | -0.24 | -0.06 | 0.88 | -0.35 | -0.60 |
| NE | -0.81 | 0.71 | -1.12 | -0.71 | -1.35 | 0 | -0.60 |
| PIT | -0.06 | -0.88 | -0.59 | -0.71 | -0.53 | -0.59 | -0.60 |
| TEN | -0.38 | 0.06 | -0.76 | -0.41 | -1.47 | -1.82 | -0.80 |
| GB | 0.56 | 0 | -0.65 | -0.12 | 0.35 | -0.24 | -1 |
| IND | -0.38 | -0.35 | -1.35 | -0.82 | -1.06 | 0.24 | -1 |
| NO | 0.81 | 0.06 | -0.41 | 0.06 | -0.88 | -1 | -1 |
| NYG | -1.13 | -1.47 | -0.35 | -1.53 | -1.24 | -1 | -1 |
| NYJ | -2.06 | -1.71 | -0.47 | -1.24 | -0.59 | -2.29 | -1 |
| PHI | -1.19 | -0.47 | 0.18 | -0.76 | 0.41 | -0.12 | -1 |
| CLE | -0.56 | -0.59 | -0.71 | -0.65 | -1.82 | -1.18 | -1.20 |
| LV | -1.19 | -1 | -1.29 | -0.71 | -1.24 | -1.53 | -1.20 |
| LAC | -0.88 | -0.06 | -0.47 | -1 | -0.24 | -0.24 | -1.20 |
| ARI | -0.06 | 0 | -1.47 | -1.41 | -0.29 | -1.06 | -1.80 |
| MIA | -0.25 | -0.53 | -0.65 | -0.24 | -0.24 | -1.24 | -1.80 |
| WAS | -0.56 | -1.18 | -0.59 | -1.41 | -0.06 | -1.12 | -2 |
| LAR | -1.81 | -2.06 | -2.06 | -2.24 | -2.53 | -2 | -2.40 |
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_red_zone_scores
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.