NET: Red zone scores (Off − Def)
P + N
About this stat ↓What Red zone scores (Off − Def) is
Red-zone touchdowns scored minus red-zone touchdowns allowed.
Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
In 2021 the Bills led at 1.06; the league average was -0.61.
League snapshot — 2021
League leader
BUF · 1.06
League average
-0.61
Best to worst
3.12
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 1.06 | 17 |
| 2 | NE | 0.71 | 17 |
| 3 | TB | 0.53 | 17 |
| 4 | DAL | 0.24 | 17 |
| 5 | NO | 0.06 | 17 |
| 6 | TEN | 0.06 | 17 |
| 7 | ARI | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | GB | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | LAC | -0.06 | 17 |
| 10 | KC | -0.12 | 17 |
| 11 | DEN | -0.24 | 17 |
| 12 | IND | -0.35 | 17 |
| 13 | SF | -0.35 | 17 |
| 14 | PHI | -0.47 | 17 |
| 15 | CIN | -0.53 | 17 |
| 16 | MIA | -0.53 | 17 |
| 17 | SEA | -0.53 | 17 |
| 18 | BAL | -0.59 | 17 |
| 19 | CLE | -0.59 | 17 |
| 20 | MIN | -0.59 | 17 |
| 21 | CAR | -0.88 | 17 |
| 22 | PIT | -0.88 | 17 |
| 23 | LV | -1 | 17 |
| 24 | WAS | -1.18 | 17 |
| 25 | CHI | -1.24 | 17 |
| 26 | ATL | -1.29 | 17 |
| 27 | NYG | -1.47 | 17 |
| 28 | DET | -1.65 | 17 |
| 29 | JAX | -1.71 | 17 |
| 30 | NYJ | -1.71 | 17 |
| 31 | HOU | -2.06 | 17 |
| 32 | LAR | -2.06 | 17 |
At a glance — 2021
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
League leader
BUF · 1.06
League laggard
LAR · -2.06
League average
-0.61
Spread (max − min)
3.12
All teams — 2021
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 1.06 | 1.67 | 100% |
| 2 | NE | 0.71 | 1.31 | 96.8% |
| 3 | TB | 0.53 | 1.14 | 93.5% |
| 4 | DAL | 0.24 | 0.84 | 90.3% |
| 5 | NO | 0.06 | 0.67 | 87.1% |
| 6 | TEN | 0.06 | 0.67 | 83.9% |
| 7 | ARI | 0 | 0.61 | 80.6% |
| 8 | GB | 0 | 0.61 | 77.4% |
| 9 | LAC | -0.06 | 0.55 | 74.2% |
| 10 | KC | -0.12 | 0.49 | 71% |
| 11 | DEN | -0.24 | 0.37 | 67.7% |
| 12 | IND | -0.35 | 0.25 | 64.5% |
| 13 | SF | -0.35 | 0.25 | 61.3% |
| 14 | PHI | -0.47 | 0.14 | 58.1% |
| 15 | CIN | -0.53 | 0.08 | 54.8% |
| 16 | MIA | -0.53 | 0.08 | 51.6% |
| 17 | SEA | -0.53 | 0.08 | 48.4% |
| 18 | BAL | -0.59 | 0.02 | 45.2% |
| 19 | CLE | -0.59 | 0.02 | 41.9% |
| 20 | MIN | -0.59 | 0.02 | 38.7% |
| 21 | CAR | -0.88 | -0.28 | 35.5% |
| 22 | PIT | -0.88 | -0.28 | 32.3% |
| 23 | LV | -1 | -0.39 | 29% |
| 24 | WAS | -1.18 | -0.57 | 25.8% |
| 25 | CHI | -1.24 | -0.63 | 22.6% |
| 26 | ATL | -1.29 | -0.69 | 19.4% |
| 27 | NYG | -1.47 | -0.86 | 16.1% |
| 28 | DET | -1.65 | -1.04 | 12.9% |
| 29 | JAX | -1.71 | -1.10 | 9.7% |
| 30 | NYJ | -1.71 | -1.10 | 6.5% |
| 31 | HOU | -2.06 | -1.45 | 3.2% |
| 32 | LAR | -2.06 | -1.45 | 0% |
Does Red zone scores (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 926–652–37 ATS (58.7%) across 2020–2025, #14 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (164–100, 62.1%); its worst 2021 (148–122, 54.8%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 151–103–2 | 59.4% |
| 2021 | 272 | 148–122–2 | 54.8% |
| 2022 | 271 | 164–100–7 | 62.1% |
| 2023 | 272 | 144–114–14 | 55.8% |
| 2024 | 272 | 161–102–9 | 61.2% |
| 2025 | 272 | 158–111–3 | 58.7% |
Red zone scores (Off − Def) in 2021 vs 2020
Bills lead at 1.06 — they ranked #9 last year. Rams are last at -2.06 — #31 last year.
The league average is -0.61, up 0.08 from -0.69 last year.
Biggest riser: Cowboys, #27 → #4. Biggest faller: Ravens, #3 → #18.
Spread between first and last: 3.12; 22 teams are within 0.77 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2021 vs 2020
Biggest movers from last season.
Biggest riser
DAL · +1.74
Biggest faller
BAL · −0.90
Most consistent
IND · +0.02
League trend 2021 vs 2020
▲ 0.08
YoY by team — 2021 vs 2020
| Rank | Team | 2021 | 2020 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | 0.24 | -1.50 | +1.74 |
| 2 | NE | 0.71 | -0.81 | +1.52 |
| 3 | BUF | 1.06 | -0.19 | +1.25 |
| 4 | DEN | -0.24 | -1.06 | +0.83 |
| 5 | LAC | -0.06 | -0.88 | +0.82 |
| 6 | CIN | -0.53 | -1.25 | +0.72 |
| 7 | PHI | -0.47 | -1.19 | +0.72 |
| 8 | TEN | 0.06 | -0.38 | +0.43 |
| 9 | NYJ | -1.71 | -2.06 | +0.36 |
| 10 | TB | 0.53 | 0.19 | +0.34 |
| 11 | KC | -0.12 | -0.31 | +0.19 |
| 12 | LV | -1 | -1.19 | +0.19 |
| 13 | DET | -1.65 | -1.81 | +0.17 |
| 14 | CAR | -0.88 | -1 | +0.12 |
| 15 | JAX | -1.71 | -1.81 | +0.11 |
| 16 | ARI | 0 | -0.06 | +0.06 |
| 17 | IND | -0.35 | -0.38 | +0.02 |
| 18 | CLE | -0.59 | -0.56 | −0.03 |
| 19 | ATL | -1.29 | -1.13 | −0.17 |
| 20 | MIN | -0.59 | -0.38 | −0.21 |
| 21 | LAR | -2.06 | -1.81 | −0.25 |
| 22 | MIA | -0.53 | -0.25 | −0.28 |
| 23 | SF | -0.35 | -0.06 | −0.29 |
| 24 | NYG | -1.47 | -1.13 | −0.35 |
| 25 | HOU | -2.06 | -1.63 | −0.43 |
| 26 | SEA | -0.53 | 0 | −0.53 |
| 27 | GB | 0 | 0.56 | −0.56 |
| 28 | WAS | -1.18 | -0.56 | −0.61 |
| 29 | CHI | -1.24 | -0.50 | −0.74 |
| 30 | NO | 0.06 | 0.81 | −0.75 |
| 31 | PIT | -0.88 | -0.06 | −0.82 |
| 32 | BAL | -0.59 | 0.31 | −0.90 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year leader
KC · 0.22
Multi-year laggard
LAR · -2.16
Biggest improver
JAX · +0.35/yr
Biggest decliner
NO · −0.29/yr
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | 0.22 | +0.16 | -0.31 | -0.12 | 0.47 | 0.24 | -0.12 | 0.12 | 1.25 |
| 2 | BUF | 0.19 | −0.11 | -0.19 | 1.06 | 0.25 | 0.47 | 0.29 | 0.06 | -0.60 |
| 3 | SF | 0.18 | +0.15 | -0.06 | -0.35 | 0.18 | 0.88 | -0.82 | 0.06 | 1.40 |
| 4 | BAL | 0.15 | +0.05 | 0.31 | -0.59 | -0.24 | 1.06 | 0.65 | -0.76 | 0.60 |
| 5 | GB | -0.15 | −0.15 | 0.56 | 0 | -0.65 | -0.12 | 0.35 | -0.24 | -1 |
| 6 | MIN | -0.22 | +0.11 | -0.38 | -0.59 | -0.12 | -0.65 | -0.12 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| 7 | TB | -0.25 | −0.11 | 0.19 | 0.53 | -0.88 | -0.71 | 0.35 | -1.06 | -0.20 |
| 8 | NO | -0.34 | −0.29 | 0.81 | 0.06 | -0.41 | 0.06 | -0.88 | -1 | -1 |
| 9 | SEA | -0.41 | +0.09 | 0 | -0.53 | -1 | -1.12 | -0.59 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| 10 | PHI | -0.42 | +0.05 | -1.19 | -0.47 | 0.18 | -0.76 | 0.41 | -0.12 | -1 |
| 11 | DEN | -0.42 | +0.11 | -1.06 | -0.24 | -0.53 | -1 | 0.24 | 0.24 | -0.60 |
| 12 | DAL | -0.51 | −0.05 | -1.50 | 0.24 | 0.59 | 0.35 | -1.76 | -1.29 | -0.20 |
| 13 | CIN | -0.51 | +0.05 | -1.25 | -0.53 | 0.44 | -0.53 | -0.65 | -0.88 | -0.20 |
| 14 | DET | -0.55 | +0.26 | -1.81 | -1.65 | -0.24 | -0.06 | 0.88 | -0.35 | -0.60 |
| 15 | NE | -0.55 | −0.04 | -0.81 | 0.71 | -1.12 | -0.71 | -1.35 | 0 | -0.60 |
| 16 | PIT | -0.57 | −0.03 | -0.06 | -0.88 | -0.59 | -0.71 | -0.53 | -0.59 | -0.60 |
| 17 | LAC | -0.58 | −0.04 | -0.88 | -0.06 | -0.47 | -1 | -0.24 | -0.24 | -1.20 |
| 18 | IND | -0.68 | −0.01 | -0.38 | -0.35 | -1.35 | -0.82 | -1.06 | 0.24 | -1 |
| 19 | MIA | -0.70 | −0.20 | -0.25 | -0.53 | -0.65 | -0.24 | -0.24 | -1.24 | -1.80 |
| 20 | JAX | -0.77 | +0.35 | -1.81 | -1.71 | -0.41 | -0.94 | -1.24 | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| 21 | TEN | -0.80 | −0.21 | -0.38 | 0.06 | -0.76 | -0.41 | -1.47 | -1.82 | -0.80 |
| 22 | ATL | -0.83 | +0.10 | -1.13 | -1.29 | -0.59 | -0.71 | -0.94 | -0.53 | -0.60 |
| 23 | CHI | -0.83 | +0.06 | -0.50 | -1.24 | -1.53 | -0.53 | -0.76 | -0.88 | -0.40 |
| 24 | ARI | -0.87 | −0.22 | -0.06 | 0 | -1.47 | -1.41 | -0.29 | -1.06 | -1.80 |
| 25 | HOU | -0.94 | +0.27 | -1.63 | -2.06 | -1 | -0.35 | -0.82 | -0.53 | -0.20 |
| 26 | CLE | -0.96 | −0.15 | -0.56 | -0.59 | -0.71 | -0.65 | -1.82 | -1.18 | -1.20 |
| 27 | WAS | -0.99 | −0.13 | -0.56 | -1.18 | -0.59 | -1.41 | -0.06 | -1.12 | -2 |
| 28 | CAR | -1.02 | +0.05 | -1 | -0.88 | -0.94 | -1.47 | -1.65 | -0.94 | -0.25 |
| 29 | NYG | -1.10 | +0.02 | -1.13 | -1.47 | -0.35 | -1.53 | -1.24 | -1 | -1 |
| 30 | LV | -1.16 | −0.04 | -1.19 | -1 | -1.29 | -0.71 | -1.24 | -1.53 | -1.20 |
| 31 | NYJ | -1.34 | +0.07 | -2.06 | -1.71 | -0.47 | -1.24 | -0.59 | -2.29 | -1 |
| 32 | LAR | -2.16 | −0.08 | -1.81 | -2.06 | -2.06 | -2.24 | -2.53 | -2 | -2.40 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | -0.19 | 1.06 | 0.25 | 0.47 | 0.29 | 0.06 | -0.60 |
| NE | -0.81 | 0.71 | -1.12 | -0.71 | -1.35 | 0 | -0.60 |
| TB | 0.19 | 0.53 | -0.88 | -0.71 | 0.35 | -1.06 | -0.20 |
| DAL | -1.50 | 0.24 | 0.59 | 0.35 | -1.76 | -1.29 | -0.20 |
| NO | 0.81 | 0.06 | -0.41 | 0.06 | -0.88 | -1 | -1 |
| TEN | -0.38 | 0.06 | -0.76 | -0.41 | -1.47 | -1.82 | -0.80 |
| ARI | -0.06 | 0 | -1.47 | -1.41 | -0.29 | -1.06 | -1.80 |
| GB | 0.56 | 0 | -0.65 | -0.12 | 0.35 | -0.24 | -1 |
| LAC | -0.88 | -0.06 | -0.47 | -1 | -0.24 | -0.24 | -1.20 |
| KC | -0.31 | -0.12 | 0.47 | 0.24 | -0.12 | 0.12 | 1.25 |
| DEN | -1.06 | -0.24 | -0.53 | -1 | 0.24 | 0.24 | -0.60 |
| IND | -0.38 | -0.35 | -1.35 | -0.82 | -1.06 | 0.24 | -1 |
| SF | -0.06 | -0.35 | 0.18 | 0.88 | -0.82 | 0.06 | 1.40 |
| PHI | -1.19 | -0.47 | 0.18 | -0.76 | 0.41 | -0.12 | -1 |
| CIN | -1.25 | -0.53 | 0.44 | -0.53 | -0.65 | -0.88 | -0.20 |
| MIA | -0.25 | -0.53 | -0.65 | -0.24 | -0.24 | -1.24 | -1.80 |
| SEA | 0 | -0.53 | -1 | -1.12 | -0.59 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| BAL | 0.31 | -0.59 | -0.24 | 1.06 | 0.65 | -0.76 | 0.60 |
| CLE | -0.56 | -0.59 | -0.71 | -0.65 | -1.82 | -1.18 | -1.20 |
| MIN | -0.38 | -0.59 | -0.12 | -0.65 | -0.12 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| CAR | -1 | -0.88 | -0.94 | -1.47 | -1.65 | -0.94 | -0.25 |
| PIT | -0.06 | -0.88 | -0.59 | -0.71 | -0.53 | -0.59 | -0.60 |
| LV | -1.19 | -1 | -1.29 | -0.71 | -1.24 | -1.53 | -1.20 |
| WAS | -0.56 | -1.18 | -0.59 | -1.41 | -0.06 | -1.12 | -2 |
| CHI | -0.50 | -1.24 | -1.53 | -0.53 | -0.76 | -0.88 | -0.40 |
| ATL | -1.13 | -1.29 | -0.59 | -0.71 | -0.94 | -0.53 | -0.60 |
| NYG | -1.13 | -1.47 | -0.35 | -1.53 | -1.24 | -1 | -1 |
| DET | -1.81 | -1.65 | -0.24 | -0.06 | 0.88 | -0.35 | -0.60 |
| JAX | -1.81 | -1.71 | -0.41 | -0.94 | -1.24 | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| NYJ | -2.06 | -1.71 | -0.47 | -1.24 | -0.59 | -2.29 | -1 |
| HOU | -1.63 | -2.06 | -1 | -0.35 | -0.82 | -0.53 | -0.20 |
| LAR | -1.81 | -2.06 | -2.06 | -2.24 | -2.53 | -2 | -2.40 |
Red zone scores (Off − Def) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Colts (0.81), 2019 Ravens (1.06), 2020 Saints (0.81), 2021 Bills (1.06).
The best season on record is Ravens 2019 at 1.06; the worst Rams 2018 at -2.69.
The league average has risen from -0.72 in 2018 to -0.61 in 2021.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2021.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_red_zone_scores
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.