NET: Red zone pct (Off − Def)
Buffalo Bills — NET: Red zone pct (Off − Def), 2026
- Value-22.71
- Rank#20 of 32
- League average-15.17
- Rank in 2025#17 of 32
What Red zone pct (Off − Def) is
Red-zone touchdown rate minus the rate allowed. Seven points against three, on both sides of the ball.
Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.
Through Week 6 of 2026, the 49ers lead at 14.85; the league average is -15.17.
League snapshot — 2026
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | 14.85 | 5 |
| 2 | MIN | 8.75 | 5 |
| 3 | BAL | 8.64 | 5 |
| 4 | JAX | 8.48 | 5 |
| 5 | DAL | 8.33 | 5 |
| 6 | LAC | 1.14 | 5 |
| 7 | NO | -0.81 | 5 |
| 8 | KC | -1.19 | 4 |
| 9 | ATL | -1.60 | 5 |
| 10 | DEN | -7.06 | 5 |
| 11 | CIN | -8.49 | 5 |
| 12 | IND | -8.93 | 5 |
| 13 | PHI | -9.46 | 5 |
| 14 | DET | -12.00 | 5 |
| 15 | TB | -14.14 | 5 |
| 16 | HOU | -14.71 | 5 |
| 17 | TEN | -16.35 | 5 |
| 18 | NYG | -17.43 | 5 |
| 19 | MIA | -22.36 | 5 |
| 20 | BUF | -22.71 | 5 |
| 21 | NYJ | -23.22 | 5 |
| 22 | SEA | -23.60 | 5 |
| 23 | CLE | -24.56 | 5 |
| 24 | NE | -24.71 | 5 |
| 25 | CAR | -25.00 | 4 |
| 26 | ARI | -25.44 | 5 |
| 27 | PIT | -28.99 | 5 |
| 28 | LV | -29.45 | 5 |
| 29 | CHI | -31.37 | 5 |
| 30 | GB | -32.78 | 5 |
| 31 | WAS | -46.11 | 5 |
| 32 | LAR | -63.16 | 5 |
At a glance — 2026
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2026
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | 14.85 | 30.02 | 100% |
| 2 | MIN | 8.75 | 23.92 | 96.8% |
| 3 | BAL | 8.64 | 23.81 | 93.5% |
| 4 | JAX | 8.48 | 23.65 | 90.3% |
| 5 | DAL | 8.33 | 23.50 | 87.1% |
| 6 | LAC | 1.14 | 16.31 | 83.9% |
| 7 | NO | -0.81 | 14.36 | 80.6% |
| 8 | KC | -1.19 | 13.98 | 77.4% |
| 9 | ATL | -1.60 | 13.57 | 74.2% |
| 10 | DEN | -7.06 | 8.11 | 71% |
| 11 | CIN | -8.49 | 6.68 | 67.7% |
| 12 | IND | -8.93 | 6.24 | 64.5% |
| 13 | PHI | -9.46 | 5.71 | 61.3% |
| 14 | DET | -12.00 | 3.17 | 58.1% |
| 15 | TB | -14.14 | 1.03 | 54.8% |
| 16 | HOU | -14.71 | 0.46 | 51.6% |
| 17 | TEN | -16.35 | -1.18 | 48.4% |
| 18 | NYG | -17.43 | -2.26 | 45.2% |
| 19 | MIA | -22.36 | -7.19 | 41.9% |
| 20 | BUF | -22.71 | -7.54 | 38.7% |
| 21 | NYJ | -23.22 | -8.05 | 35.5% |
| 22 | SEA | -23.60 | -8.43 | 32.3% |
| 23 | CLE | -24.56 | -9.39 | 29% |
| 24 | NE | -24.71 | -9.54 | 25.8% |
| 25 | CAR | -25.00 | -9.83 | 22.6% |
| 26 | ARI | -25.44 | -10.27 | 19.4% |
| 27 | PIT | -28.99 | -13.82 | 16.1% |
| 28 | LV | -29.45 | -14.28 | 12.9% |
| 29 | CHI | -31.37 | -16.20 | 9.7% |
| 30 | GB | -32.78 | -17.61 | 6.5% |
| 31 | WAS | -46.11 | -30.94 | 3.2% |
| 32 | LAR | -63.16 | -47.99 | 0% |
Does Red zone pct (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 839–739–37 ATS (53.2%) across 2020–2025, #128 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (162–102, 61.4%); its worst 2023 (129–129, 50.0%).
For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 137–117–2 | 53.9% |
| 2021 | 272 | 137–133–2 | 50.7% |
| 2022 | 271 | 162–102–7 | 61.4% |
| 2023 | 272 | 129–129–14 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 272 | 135–128–9 | 51.3% |
| 2025 | 272 | 139–130–3 | 51.7% |
Red zone pct (Off − Def) in 2026 vs 2025
49ers lead at 14.85 — they ranked #3 last year. Rams are last at -63.16 — #32 last year.
The league average is -15.17, up 0.92 from -16.09 last year.
Biggest riser: Cowboys, #27 → #5. Biggest faller: Commanders, #13 → #31.
Spread between first and last: 78.01; 24 teams are within 16.82 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2026 vs 2025
| Rank | Team | 2026 | 2025 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | 8.33 | -25.12 | +33.45 |
| 2 | BAL | 8.64 | -17.80 | +26.44 |
| 3 | NO | -0.81 | -24.83 | +24.02 |
| 4 | JAX | 8.48 | -13.08 | +21.56 |
| 5 | SF | 14.85 | -0.28 | +15.13 |
| 6 | TB | -14.14 | -28.98 | +14.83 |
| 7 | NYJ | -23.22 | -36.81 | +13.59 |
| 8 | HOU | -14.71 | -25.59 | +10.88 |
| 9 | LAC | 1.14 | -9.42 | +10.56 |
| 10 | NYG | -17.43 | -26.12 | +8.69 |
| 11 | TEN | -16.35 | -21.65 | +5.30 |
| 12 | DET | -12.00 | -16.87 | +4.87 |
| 13 | ATL | -1.60 | -6.25 | +4.65 |
| 14 | MIN | 8.75 | 5.82 | +2.93 |
| 15 | KC | -1.19 | -3.49 | +2.30 |
| 16 | CIN | -8.49 | -9.23 | +0.74 |
| 17 | NE | -24.71 | -24.81 | +0.10 |
| 18 | PHI | -9.46 | -7.26 | −2.20 |
| 19 | CLE | -24.56 | -20.72 | −3.84 |
| 20 | MIA | -22.36 | -18.24 | −4.12 |
| 21 | BUF | -22.71 | -16.49 | −6.22 |
| 22 | DEN | -7.06 | -0.40 | −6.66 |
| 23 | CAR | -25.00 | -15.87 | −9.13 |
| 24 | ARI | -25.44 | -15.63 | −9.81 |
| 25 | LAR | -63.16 | -52.31 | −10.85 |
| 26 | CHI | -31.37 | -19.94 | −11.43 |
| 27 | IND | -8.93 | 3.09 | −12.02 |
| 28 | LV | -29.45 | -17.14 | −12.30 |
| 29 | SEA | -23.60 | -8.97 | −14.63 |
| 30 | PIT | -28.99 | -12.37 | −16.62 |
| 31 | GB | -32.78 | -14.41 | −18.37 |
| 32 | WAS | -46.11 | -13.75 | −32.36 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | -3.78 | +1.65 | -10.71 | -8.89 | -7.53 | 11.22 | -1.41 | -17.80 | 8.64 |
| 2 | SF | -4.42 | +2.08 | -1.56 | -5.31 | -18.01 | -1.60 | -18.99 | -0.28 | 14.85 |
| 3 | MIN | -5.93 | +1.85 | 0.03 | -12.24 | -7.54 | -18.42 | -17.91 | 5.82 | 8.75 |
| 4 | DEN | -6.69 | +0.21 | -4.80 | -5.68 | -5.73 | -19.63 | -3.53 | -0.40 | -7.06 |
| 5 | KC | -9.13 | +3.21 | -25.19 | -13.75 | -7.91 | -1.85 | -10.52 | -3.49 | -1.19 |
| 6 | NO | -10.44 | −1.39 | -3.83 | -1.61 | -15.49 | -9.34 | -17.16 | -24.83 | -0.81 |
| 7 | LAC | -11.75 | +2.05 | -16.64 | -9.35 | -18.04 | -16.11 | -13.82 | -9.42 | 1.14 |
| 8 | MIA | -11.80 | −1.82 | -10.80 | -4.80 | -11.24 | -14.44 | -0.75 | -18.24 | -22.36 |
| 9 | BUF | -11.81 | −1.20 | -21.62 | 2.24 | -10.97 | -9.21 | -3.91 | -16.49 | -22.71 |
| 10 | TEN | -12.47 | −2.52 | -7.69 | -4.87 | -11.88 | -2.01 | -22.81 | -21.65 | -16.35 |
| 11 | PHI | -12.81 | +2.24 | -24.37 | -16.00 | -6.68 | -19.75 | -6.11 | -7.26 | -9.46 |
| 12 | CIN | -12.98 | +1.74 | -24.51 | -21.52 | 1.13 | -5.56 | -22.68 | -9.23 | -8.49 |
| 13 | ATL | -13.37 | +2.84 | -25.35 | -15.42 | -11.95 | -11.07 | -21.93 | -6.25 | -1.60 |
| 14 | ARI | -14.06 | −2.29 | -2.19 | -12.76 | -20.29 | -13.23 | -8.85 | -15.63 | -25.44 |
| 15 | GB | -14.39 | −3.03 | 1.54 | -18.59 | -17.98 | -10.39 | -8.15 | -14.41 | -32.78 |
| 16 | TB | -14.42 | −1.48 | -12.49 | -0.75 | -23.88 | -16.90 | -3.78 | -28.98 | -14.14 |
| 17 | DET | -14.51 | +1.86 | -16.78 | -32.43 | -6.64 | -16.88 | 0.05 | -16.87 | -12.00 |
| 18 | PIT | -14.93 | −1.62 | -14.61 | -9.50 | -14.80 | -13.06 | -11.20 | -12.37 | -28.99 |
| 19 | JAX | -14.94 | +3.80 | -18.60 | -25.33 | -15.56 | -25.61 | -14.91 | -13.08 | 8.48 |
| 20 | DAL | -15.15 | +1.41 | -23.40 | -17.58 | 4.10 | -15.85 | -36.51 | -25.12 | 8.33 |
| 21 | SEA | -16.01 | −1.10 | -5.96 | -9.97 | -29.51 | -24.57 | -9.49 | -8.97 | -23.60 |
| 22 | CHI | -17.27 | −1.49 | -11.24 | -21.64 | -19.95 | -12.06 | -4.70 | -19.94 | -31.37 |
| 23 | NE | -17.47 | −2.37 | -22.03 | 6.33 | -31.09 | 1.25 | -27.26 | -24.81 | -24.71 |
| 24 | NYG | -17.48 | −1.75 | -15.62 | -16.53 | 2.06 | -26.46 | -22.22 | -26.12 | -17.43 |
| 25 | IND | -17.65 | +3.33 | -21.89 | -22.76 | -26.18 | -23.25 | -23.61 | 3.09 | -8.93 |
| 26 | CAR | -18.19 | −0.14 | -24.52 | -15.69 | -12.73 | -18.79 | -14.74 | -15.87 | -25.00 |
| 27 | WAS | -18.26 | −3.17 | -14.24 | -17.01 | -13.08 | -10.90 | -12.77 | -13.75 | -46.11 |
| 28 | CLE | -20.18 | −2.61 | -8.25 | -15.63 | -16.75 | -24.61 | -30.72 | -20.72 | -24.56 |
| 29 | HOU | -21.50 | +1.21 | -26.32 | -30.25 | -14.93 | -13.39 | -25.32 | -25.59 | -14.71 |
| 30 | NYJ | -23.39 | −0.25 | -31.81 | -18.11 | -15.58 | -27.24 | -10.99 | -36.81 | -23.22 |
| 31 | LV | -25.42 | +0.43 | -17.61 | -34.41 | -33.33 | -25.58 | -20.44 | -17.14 | -29.45 |
| 32 | LAR | -55.25 | −1.41 | -53.70 | -52.24 | -47.95 | -58.46 | -58.90 | -52.31 | -63.16 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | -1.56 | -5.31 | -18.01 | -1.60 | -18.99 | -0.28 | 14.85 |
| MIN | 0.03 | -12.24 | -7.54 | -18.42 | -17.91 | 5.82 | 8.75 |
| BAL | -10.71 | -8.89 | -7.53 | 11.22 | -1.41 | -17.80 | 8.64 |
| JAX | -18.60 | -25.33 | -15.56 | -25.61 | -14.91 | -13.08 | 8.48 |
| DAL | -23.40 | -17.58 | 4.10 | -15.85 | -36.51 | -25.12 | 8.33 |
| LAC | -16.64 | -9.35 | -18.04 | -16.11 | -13.82 | -9.42 | 1.14 |
| NO | -3.83 | -1.61 | -15.49 | -9.34 | -17.16 | -24.83 | -0.81 |
| KC | -25.19 | -13.75 | -7.91 | -1.85 | -10.52 | -3.49 | -1.19 |
| ATL | -25.35 | -15.42 | -11.95 | -11.07 | -21.93 | -6.25 | -1.60 |
| DEN | -4.80 | -5.68 | -5.73 | -19.63 | -3.53 | -0.40 | -7.06 |
| CIN | -24.51 | -21.52 | 1.13 | -5.56 | -22.68 | -9.23 | -8.49 |
| IND | -21.89 | -22.76 | -26.18 | -23.25 | -23.61 | 3.09 | -8.93 |
| PHI | -24.37 | -16.00 | -6.68 | -19.75 | -6.11 | -7.26 | -9.46 |
| DET | -16.78 | -32.43 | -6.64 | -16.88 | 0.05 | -16.87 | -12.00 |
| TB | -12.49 | -0.75 | -23.88 | -16.90 | -3.78 | -28.98 | -14.14 |
| HOU | -26.32 | -30.25 | -14.93 | -13.39 | -25.32 | -25.59 | -14.71 |
| TEN | -7.69 | -4.87 | -11.88 | -2.01 | -22.81 | -21.65 | -16.35 |
| NYG | -15.62 | -16.53 | 2.06 | -26.46 | -22.22 | -26.12 | -17.43 |
| MIA | -10.80 | -4.80 | -11.24 | -14.44 | -0.75 | -18.24 | -22.36 |
| BUF | -21.62 | 2.24 | -10.97 | -9.21 | -3.91 | -16.49 | -22.71 |
| NYJ | -31.81 | -18.11 | -15.58 | -27.24 | -10.99 | -36.81 | -23.22 |
| SEA | -5.96 | -9.97 | -29.51 | -24.57 | -9.49 | -8.97 | -23.60 |
| CLE | -8.25 | -15.63 | -16.75 | -24.61 | -30.72 | -20.72 | -24.56 |
| NE | -22.03 | 6.33 | -31.09 | 1.25 | -27.26 | -24.81 | -24.71 |
| CAR | -24.52 | -15.69 | -12.73 | -18.79 | -14.74 | -15.87 | -25.00 |
| ARI | -2.19 | -12.76 | -20.29 | -13.23 | -8.85 | -15.63 | -25.44 |
| PIT | -14.61 | -9.50 | -14.80 | -13.06 | -11.20 | -12.37 | -28.99 |
| LV | -17.61 | -34.41 | -33.33 | -25.58 | -20.44 | -17.14 | -29.45 |
| CHI | -11.24 | -21.64 | -19.95 | -12.06 | -4.70 | -19.94 | -31.37 |
| GB | 1.54 | -18.59 | -17.98 | -10.39 | -8.15 | -14.41 | -32.78 |
| WAS | -14.24 | -17.01 | -13.08 | -10.90 | -12.77 | -13.75 | -46.11 |
| LAR | -53.70 | -52.24 | -47.95 | -58.46 | -58.90 | -52.31 | -63.16 |
Red zone pct (Off − Def) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Colts (6.33), 2019 Ravens (-1.11), 2020 Packers (1.54), 2021 Patriots (6.33), 2022 Cowboys (4.10), 2023 Ravens (11.22), 2024 Lions (0.05), 2025 Vikings (5.82), 2026 49ers (14.85).
Ravens have led this stat 2 of 9 seasons.
The best season on record is 49ers 2026 at 14.85; the worst Rams 2018 at -64.18.
The league average has risen from -17.35 in 2018 to -15.17 in 2026.
Week to week — Week 4 to Week 5
Since Week 4: Dolphins up 10 (#29 → #19), Giants up 7 (#25 → #18), Ravens up 6 (#9 → #3); Colts down 7 (#5 → #12), Falcons down 6 (#3 → #9), Bears down 5 (#24 → #29).
15 teams moved by two places or fewer.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_red_zone_pct
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.