What Points/drive (Off − Def) is

Points per drive minus points allowed per own drive — the offense's production per possession against the defense's cost spread over the same possessions. Close to the pace-free point differential, with a different denominator on the defensive side.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2018 the Saints led at 0.06; the league average was 0.00.

League snapshot — 2018

League leader

NO · 0.06

League average

0.00

Best to worst

0.12

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	NO	0.06	16
2	KC	0.05	16
3	LAR	0.05	16
4	CHI	0.05	16
5	NE	0.04	16
6	LAC	0.04	16
7	BAL	0.04	16
8	IND	0.03	16
9	HOU	0.03	16
10	SEA	0.03	16
11	PIT	0.02	16
12	PHI	0.01	16
13	MIN	0.01	16
14	DAL	0.01	16
15	TEN	0.00	16
16	CAR	0.00	16
17	ATL	0.00	16
18	DEN	-0.01	16
19	GB	-0.01	16
20	CLE	-0.01	16
21	DET	-0.01	16
22	NYG	-0.01	16
23	TB	-0.02	16
24	JAX	-0.02	16
25	WAS	-0.03	16
26	SF	-0.03	16
27	CIN	-0.03	16
28	NYJ	-0.03	16
29	BUF	-0.03	16
30	MIA	-0.04	16
31	LV	-0.06	16
32	ARI	-0.07	16

At a glance — 2018

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

NO · 0.06

League laggard

ARI · -0.07

League average

0.00

Spread (max − min)

0.12

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	NO	0.06	0.06	100%
2	KC	0.05	0.05	96.8%
3	LAR	0.05	0.05	93.5%
4	CHI	0.05	0.05	90.3%
5	NE	0.04	0.04	87.1%
6	LAC	0.04	0.04	83.9%
7	BAL	0.04	0.04	80.6%
8	IND	0.03	0.03	77.4%
9	HOU	0.03	0.03	74.2%
10	SEA	0.03	0.03	71%
11	PIT	0.02	0.02	67.7%
12	PHI	0.01	0.01	64.5%
13	MIN	0.01	0.01	61.3%
14	DAL	0.01	0.01	58.1%
15	TEN	0.00	0.00	54.8%
16	CAR	0.00	0.00	51.6%
17	ATL	0.00	0.00	48.4%
18	DEN	-0.01	-0.01	45.2%
19	GB	-0.01	-0.01	41.9%
20	CLE	-0.01	-0.01	38.7%
21	DET	-0.01	-0.01	35.5%
22	NYG	-0.01	-0.02	32.3%
23	TB	-0.02	-0.02	29%
24	JAX	-0.02	-0.02	25.8%
25	WAS	-0.03	-0.03	22.6%
26	SF	-0.03	-0.03	19.4%
27	CIN	-0.03	-0.03	16.1%
28	NYJ	-0.03	-0.03	12.9%
29	BUF	-0.03	-0.03	9.7%
30	MIA	-0.04	-0.04	6.5%
31	LV	-0.06	-0.06	3.2%
32	ARI	-0.07	-0.07	0%

Does Points/drive (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 964–614–37 ATS (61.1%) across 2020–2025, #5 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (166–88, 65.4%); its worst 2021 (159–111, 58.9%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	166–88–2	65.4%
2021	272	159–111–2	58.9%
2022	271	157–107–7	59.5%
2023	272	152–106–14	58.9%
2024	272	166–97–9	63.1%
2025	272	164–105–3	61.0%

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

KC · 0.06

Multi-year laggard

TEN · -0.04

Biggest improver

JAX · +0.04/yr

Biggest decliner

MIA · −0.03/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	KC	0.06	+0.02	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.23
2	BUF	0.06	+0.00	0.05	0.06	0.06	0.05	0.05	0.04	0.09
3	SF	0.05	+0.02	0.00	0.02	0.05	0.06	-0.02	0.02	0.24
4	BAL	0.04	+0.01	0.06	0.00	0.01	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.10
5	SEA	0.03	+0.01	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.06	0.09
6	MIN	0.02	+0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.16
7	GB	0.02	−0.01	0.05	0.03	0.00	0.01	0.04	0.01	-0.03
8	JAX	0.02	+0.04	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.04	0.04	0.22
9	DAL	0.01	−0.00	-0.03	0.05	0.04	0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01
10	NE	0.01	+0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.01	-0.04	-0.04	0.06	0.06
11	DET	0.01	+0.02	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.02	0.07	0.02	0.06
12	LAR	0.01	−0.00	0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00
13	CIN	0.01	+0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.08
14	TB	0.01	−0.01	0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	-0.04
15	PHI	0.00	−0.00	-0.03	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.05	0.02	-0.08
16	PIT	0.00	−0.00	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01
17	CHI	0.00	+0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.09
18	IND	0.00	−0.01	0.03	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.05
19	DEN	-0.01	+0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.03	-0.05
20	HOU	-0.01	+0.01	-0.03	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0	0.03	-0.01
21	NO	-0.01	−0.02	0.05	0.01	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.12
22	ATL	-0.02	+0.00	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01
23	LAC	-0.02	−0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.01	-0.15
24	LV	-0.02	−0.00	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	-0.06	0.01
25	CAR	-0.02	+0.01	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	0.07
26	CLE	-0.02	−0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	-0.03	-0.06
27	NYG	-0.02	+0.00	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.01
28	WAS	-0.03	−0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	-0.12
29	MIA	-0.04	−0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.26
30	ARI	-0.04	−0.03	0.02	0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.19
31	NYJ	-0.04	+0.01	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01
32	TEN	-0.04	−0.03	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.06	-0.21

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SF	0.00	0.02	0.05	0.06	-0.02	0.02	0.24
KC	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.23
JAX	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.04	0.04	0.22
MIN	-0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.16
BAL	0.06	0.00	0.01	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.10
SEA	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.06	0.09
BUF	0.05	0.06	0.06	0.05	0.05	0.04	0.09
CHI	0.00	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.09
CIN	-0.04	0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.08
CAR	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	0.07
DET	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.02	0.07	0.02	0.06
NE	-0.01	0.05	0.01	-0.04	-0.04	0.06	0.06
NYG	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.01
LV	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	-0.06	0.01
DAL	-0.03	0.05	0.04	0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01
PIT	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01
LAR	0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00
HOU	-0.03	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0	0.03	-0.01
ATL	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01
NYJ	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01
GB	0.05	0.03	0.00	0.01	0.04	0.01	-0.03
TB	0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	-0.04
IND	0.03	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.05
DEN	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.03	-0.05
CLE	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	-0.03	-0.06
PHI	-0.03	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.05	0.02	-0.08
WAS	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	-0.12
NO	0.05	0.01	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.12
LAC	-0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.01	-0.15
ARI	0.02	0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.19
TEN	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.06	-0.21
MIA	0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.26

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_pts_drive
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.