NET: Points/drive (Off − Def)
What Points/drive (Off − Def) is
Points per drive minus points allowed per own drive — the offense's production per possession against the defense's cost spread over the same possessions. Close to the pace-free point differential, with a different denominator on the defensive side.
Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
In 2025 the Seahawks led at 0.06; the league average was 0.00.
League snapshot — 2025
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 0.06 | 17 |
| 2 | NE | 0.06 | 17 |
| 3 | LAR | 0.06 | 17 |
| 4 | JAX | 0.04 | 17 |
| 5 | BUF | 0.04 | 17 |
| 6 | HOU | 0.03 | 17 |
| 7 | DEN | 0.03 | 17 |
| 8 | SF | 0.02 | 17 |
| 9 | DET | 0.02 | 17 |
| 10 | IND | 0.02 | 17 |
| 11 | PHI | 0.02 | 17 |
| 12 | KC | 0.01 | 17 |
| 13 | GB | 0.01 | 17 |
| 14 | LAC | 0.01 | 17 |
| 15 | BAL | 0.01 | 17 |
| 16 | CHI | 0.01 | 17 |
| 17 | MIN | 0.00 | 17 |
| 18 | PIT | 0.00 | 17 |
| 19 | TB | -0.01 | 17 |
| 20 | DAL | -0.01 | 17 |
| 21 | ATL | -0.02 | 17 |
| 22 | NYG | -0.02 | 17 |
| 23 | CAR | -0.02 | 17 |
| 24 | CIN | -0.03 | 17 |
| 25 | MIA | -0.03 | 17 |
| 26 | NO | -0.03 | 17 |
| 27 | CLE | -0.03 | 17 |
| 28 | WAS | -0.03 | 17 |
| 29 | ARI | -0.05 | 17 |
| 30 | LV | -0.06 | 17 |
| 31 | TEN | -0.06 | 17 |
| 32 | NYJ | -0.06 | 17 |
At a glance — 2025
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2025
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 0.06 | 0.06 | 100% |
| 2 | NE | 0.06 | 0.06 | 96.8% |
| 3 | LAR | 0.06 | 0.06 | 93.5% |
| 4 | JAX | 0.04 | 0.04 | 90.3% |
| 5 | BUF | 0.04 | 0.04 | 87.1% |
| 6 | HOU | 0.03 | 0.03 | 83.9% |
| 7 | DEN | 0.03 | 0.03 | 80.6% |
| 8 | SF | 0.02 | 0.02 | 77.4% |
| 9 | DET | 0.02 | 0.02 | 74.2% |
| 10 | IND | 0.02 | 0.02 | 71% |
| 11 | PHI | 0.02 | 0.02 | 67.7% |
| 12 | KC | 0.01 | 0.01 | 64.5% |
| 13 | GB | 0.01 | 0.01 | 61.3% |
| 14 | LAC | 0.01 | 0.01 | 58.1% |
| 15 | BAL | 0.01 | 0.01 | 54.8% |
| 16 | CHI | 0.01 | 0.01 | 51.6% |
| 17 | MIN | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.4% |
| 18 | PIT | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.2% |
| 19 | TB | -0.01 | -0.01 | 41.9% |
| 20 | DAL | -0.01 | -0.01 | 38.7% |
| 21 | ATL | -0.02 | -0.02 | 35.5% |
| 22 | NYG | -0.02 | -0.02 | 32.3% |
| 23 | CAR | -0.02 | -0.02 | 29% |
| 24 | CIN | -0.03 | -0.03 | 25.8% |
| 25 | MIA | -0.03 | -0.03 | 22.6% |
| 26 | NO | -0.03 | -0.03 | 19.4% |
| 27 | CLE | -0.03 | -0.03 | 16.1% |
| 28 | WAS | -0.03 | -0.03 | 12.9% |
| 29 | ARI | -0.05 | -0.05 | 9.7% |
| 30 | LV | -0.06 | -0.06 | 6.5% |
| 31 | TEN | -0.06 | -0.06 | 3.2% |
| 32 | NYJ | -0.06 | -0.06 | 0% |
Does Points/drive (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 964–614–37 ATS (61.1%) across 2020–2025, #5 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2020 (166–88, 65.4%); its worst 2021 (159–111, 58.9%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 166–88–2 | 65.4% |
| 2021 | 272 | 159–111–2 | 58.9% |
| 2022 | 271 | 157–107–7 | 59.5% |
| 2023 | 272 | 152–106–14 | 58.9% |
| 2024 | 272 | 166–97–9 | 63.1% |
| 2025 | 272 | 164–105–3 | 61.0% |
Points/drive (Off − Def) in 2025 vs 2024
Seahawks lead at 0.06 — they ranked #15 last year. Jets are last at -0.06 — #24 last year.
The league average is 0.00, down 0.00 from 0.00 last year.
Biggest riser: Patriots, #28 → #2. Biggest faller: Commanders, #9 → #28.
Spread between first and last: 0.12; 23 teams are within 0.03 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2025 vs 2024
| Rank | Team | 2025 | 2024 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 0.06 | -0.04 | +0.10 |
| 2 | JAX | 0.04 | -0.04 | +0.08 |
| 3 | LAR | 0.06 | -0.01 | +0.06 |
| 4 | SEA | 0.06 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| 5 | SF | 0.02 | -0.02 | +0.04 |
| 6 | CAR | -0.02 | -0.06 | +0.04 |
| 7 | IND | 0.02 | -0.02 | +0.03 |
| 8 | HOU | 0.03 | 0 | +0.03 |
| 9 | CHI | 0.01 | -0.02 | +0.03 |
| 10 | NYG | -0.02 | -0.04 | +0.03 |
| 11 | DAL | -0.01 | -0.04 | +0.02 |
| 12 | CLE | -0.03 | -0.05 | +0.02 |
| 13 | ATL | -0.02 | -0.01 | −0.00 |
| 14 | NO | -0.03 | -0.02 | −0.01 |
| 15 | PIT | 0.00 | 0.01 | −0.01 |
| 16 | DEN | 0.03 | 0.04 | −0.01 |
| 17 | KC | 0.01 | 0.02 | −0.01 |
| 18 | BUF | 0.04 | 0.05 | −0.01 |
| 19 | TEN | -0.06 | -0.05 | −0.02 |
| 20 | MIA | -0.03 | -0.01 | −0.02 |
| 21 | LAC | 0.01 | 0.03 | −0.02 |
| 22 | LV | -0.06 | -0.04 | −0.02 |
| 23 | MIN | 0.00 | 0.03 | −0.03 |
| 24 | GB | 0.01 | 0.04 | −0.03 |
| 25 | PHI | 0.02 | 0.05 | −0.03 |
| 26 | CIN | -0.03 | 0.01 | −0.04 |
| 27 | BAL | 0.01 | 0.05 | −0.04 |
| 28 | NYJ | -0.06 | -0.02 | −0.04 |
| 29 | TB | -0.01 | 0.04 | −0.05 |
| 30 | DET | 0.02 | 0.07 | −0.05 |
| 31 | ARI | -0.05 | 0.01 | −0.05 |
| 32 | WAS | -0.03 | 0.03 | −0.06 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | 0.06 | +0.02 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.23 |
| 2 | BUF | 0.06 | +0.00 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| 3 | SF | 0.05 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.06 | -0.02 | 0.02 | 0.24 |
| 4 | BAL | 0.04 | +0.01 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.10 |
| 5 | SEA | 0.03 | +0.01 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| 6 | MIN | 0.02 | +0.02 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| 7 | GB | 0.02 | −0.01 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.01 | -0.03 |
| 8 | JAX | 0.02 | +0.04 | -0.07 | -0.07 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.04 | 0.22 |
| 9 | DAL | 0.01 | −0.00 | -0.03 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.07 | -0.04 | -0.01 | 0.01 |
| 10 | NE | 0.01 | +0.01 | -0.01 | 0.05 | 0.01 | -0.04 | -0.04 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| 11 | DET | 0.01 | +0.02 | -0.05 | -0.05 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| 12 | LAR | 0.01 | −0.00 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.03 | 0.01 | -0.01 | 0.06 | 0.00 |
| 13 | CIN | 0.01 | +0.01 | -0.04 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.01 | 0.01 | -0.03 | 0.08 |
| 14 | TB | 0.01 | −0.01 | 0.05 | 0.05 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 0.04 | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| 15 | PHI | 0.00 | −0.00 | -0.03 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.02 | -0.08 |
| 16 | PIT | 0.00 | −0.00 | 0.03 | -0.02 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| 17 | CHI | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.04 | -0.01 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| 18 | IND | 0.00 | −0.01 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.04 | -0.01 | -0.02 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| 19 | DEN | -0.01 | +0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | 0.04 | 0.03 | -0.05 |
| 20 | HOU | -0.01 | +0.01 | -0.03 | -0.05 | -0.04 | 0.01 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.01 |
| 21 | NO | -0.01 | −0.02 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.02 | -0.02 | -0.03 | -0.12 |
| 22 | ATL | -0.02 | +0.00 | -0.01 | -0.05 | -0.01 | -0.02 | -0.01 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| 23 | LAC | -0.02 | −0.01 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.03 | 0.01 | -0.15 |
| 24 | LV | -0.02 | −0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.01 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.06 | 0.01 |
| 25 | CAR | -0.02 | +0.01 | -0.02 | -0.03 | -0.01 | -0.06 | -0.06 | -0.02 | 0.07 |
| 26 | CLE | -0.02 | −0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.01 | -0.05 | -0.03 | -0.06 |
| 27 | NYG | -0.02 | +0.00 | -0.03 | -0.05 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | -0.02 | 0.01 |
| 28 | WAS | -0.03 | −0.01 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.01 | -0.06 | 0.03 | -0.03 | -0.12 |
| 29 | MIA | -0.04 | −0.03 | 0.02 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.03 | -0.01 | -0.03 | -0.26 |
| 30 | ARI | -0.04 | −0.03 | 0.02 | 0.03 | -0.03 | -0.04 | 0.01 | -0.05 | -0.19 |
| 31 | NYJ | -0.04 | +0.01 | -0.08 | -0.06 | -0.01 | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.06 | -0.01 |
| 32 | TEN | -0.04 | −0.03 | 0.02 | 0.02 | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.05 | -0.06 | -0.21 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| NE | -0.01 | 0.05 | 0.01 | -0.04 | -0.04 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| LAR | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.03 | 0.01 | -0.01 | 0.06 | 0.00 |
| JAX | -0.07 | -0.07 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.04 | 0.22 |
| BUF | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| HOU | -0.03 | -0.05 | -0.04 | 0.01 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.01 |
| DEN | -0.04 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | 0.04 | 0.03 | -0.05 |
| SF | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.06 | -0.02 | 0.02 | 0.24 |
| DET | -0.05 | -0.05 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| IND | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.04 | -0.01 | -0.02 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| PHI | -0.03 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.02 | -0.08 |
| KC | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.23 |
| GB | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.01 | -0.03 |
| LAC | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.03 | 0.01 | -0.15 |
| BAL | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.10 |
| CHI | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.04 | -0.01 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| MIN | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| PIT | 0.03 | -0.02 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| TB | 0.05 | 0.05 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 0.04 | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| DAL | -0.03 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.07 | -0.04 | -0.01 | 0.01 |
| ATL | -0.01 | -0.05 | -0.01 | -0.02 | -0.01 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| NYG | -0.03 | -0.05 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | -0.02 | 0.01 |
| CAR | -0.02 | -0.03 | -0.01 | -0.06 | -0.06 | -0.02 | 0.07 |
| CIN | -0.04 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.01 | 0.01 | -0.03 | 0.08 |
| MIA | 0.02 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.03 | -0.01 | -0.03 | -0.26 |
| NO | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.02 | -0.02 | -0.03 | -0.12 |
| CLE | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.01 | -0.05 | -0.03 | -0.06 |
| WAS | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.01 | -0.06 | 0.03 | -0.03 | -0.12 |
| ARI | 0.02 | 0.03 | -0.03 | -0.04 | 0.01 | -0.05 | -0.19 |
| LV | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.01 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.06 | 0.01 |
| TEN | 0.02 | 0.02 | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.05 | -0.06 | -0.21 |
| NYJ | -0.08 | -0.06 | -0.01 | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.06 | -0.01 |
Points/drive (Off − Def) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Saints (0.06), 2019 Ravens (0.09), 2020 Ravens (0.06), 2021 Bills (0.06), 2022 Bills (0.06), 2023 Cowboys (0.07), 2024 Lions (0.07), 2025 Seahawks (0.06).
Ravens have led this stat 2 of 8 seasons.
The best season on record is Ravens 2019 at 0.09; the worst Jets 2020 at -0.08.
The league average has fallen from 0.00 in 2018 to 0.00 in 2025.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_pts_drive
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.