What Points (Off − Def) is

Points scored minus points allowed — point differential. The single best predictor of a team's record on this site, and the number the power ratings start from.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

Through Week 7 of 2026, the Chiefs lead at 11.40; the league average is 0.10.

League snapshot — 2026

League leader

KC · 11.40

League average

0.10

Best to worst

23.80

All 32 teams, higher is better.

At a glance — 2026

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

KC · 11.40

League laggard

MIA · -12.40

League average

0.10

Spread (max − min)

23.80

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	KC	11.40	11.30	100%
2	SF	11.17	11.06	96.8%
3	MIN	9	8.90	93.5%
4	JAX	8.33	8.23	90.3%
5	CHI	5.17	5.06	87.1%
6	CAR	4.60	4.50	83.9%
7	BUF	4.33	4.23	80.6%
8	SEA	4.33	4.23	77.4%
9	BAL	4	3.90	74.2%
10	NE	3.83	3.73	71%
11	CIN	3.80	3.70	67.7%
12	DET	3.20	3.10	64.5%
13	PIT	1.50	1.40	61.3%
14	GB	0.33	0.23	58.1%
15	HOU	0.17	0.06	54.8%
16	LV	0	-0.10	51.6%
17	LAR	-0.50	-0.60	48.4%
18	NYG	-0.67	-0.77	45.2%
19	DAL	-1.33	-1.44	41.9%
20	NYJ	-1.67	-1.77	38.7%
21	ATL	-1.83	-1.94	35.5%
22	DEN	-1.83	-1.94	32.3%
23	CLE	-2.67	-2.77	29%
24	TB	-3.17	-3.27	25.8%
25	IND	-3.33	-3.44	22.6%
26	NO	-4.33	-4.44	19.4%
27	PHI	-5.17	-5.27	16.1%
28	WAS	-6.67	-6.77	12.9%
29	TEN	-7.50	-7.60	9.7%
30	ARI	-8.67	-8.77	6.5%
31	LAC	-10.17	-10.27	3.2%
32	MIA	-12.40	-12.50	0%

Does Points (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 968–610–37 ATS (61.3%) across 2020–2025, #3 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (167–87, 65.7%); its worst 2023 (151–107, 58.5%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	167–87–2	65.7%
2021	272	161–109–2	59.6%
2022	271	157–107–7	59.5%
2023	272	151–107–14	58.5%
2024	272	168–95–9	63.9%
2025	272	164–105–3	61.0%

Points (Off − Def) in 2026 vs 2025

Chiefs lead at 11.40 — they ranked #12 last year. Dolphins are last at -12.40 — #24 last year.

The league average is 0.10, up 0.10 from 0 last year.

Biggest riser: Panthers, #23 → #6. Biggest faller: Chargers, #14 → #31.

Spread between first and last: 23.80; 23 teams are within 5.77 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

LV · +11.24

Biggest faller

LAC · −11.81

Most consistent

NO · +0.20

League trend 2026 vs 2025

▲ 0.10

Rank	Team	2026	2025	Δ
1	LV	0	-11.24	+11.24
2	NYJ	-1.67	-11.94	+10.27
3	KC	11.40	2	+9.40
4	CAR	4.60	-4.06	+8.66
5	CIN	3.80	-4.59	+8.39
6	MIN	9	0.65	+8.35
7	SF	11.17	3.88	+7.28
8	TEN	-7.50	-11.41	+3.91
9	CHI	5.17	1.53	+3.64
10	CLE	-2.67	-5.88	+3.22
11	NYG	-0.67	-3.41	+2.75
12	BAL	4	1.53	+2.47
13	DAL	-1.33	-2.35	+1.02
14	ATL	-1.83	-2.82	+0.99
15	PIT	1.50	0.59	+0.91
16	JAX	8.33	8.12	+0.22
17	NO	-4.33	-4.53	+0.20
18	DET	3.20	4	−0.80
19	ARI	-8.67	-7.82	−0.84
20	WAS	-6.67	-5.59	−1.08
21	TB	-3.17	-1.82	−1.34
22	GB	0.33	1.82	−1.49
23	BUF	4.33	6.82	−2.49
24	NE	3.83	10	−6.17
25	HOU	0.17	6.41	−6.25
26	IND	-3.33	3.18	−6.51
27	SEA	4.33	11.24	−6.90
28	DEN	-1.83	5.29	−7.13
29	MIA	-12.40	-4.53	−7.87
30	PHI	-5.17	3.18	−8.34
31	LAR	-0.50	10.12	−10.62
32	LAC	-10.17	1.65	−11.81

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 8.35

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · -6.94

Biggest improver

JAX · +3.22/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −2.42/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	8.35	−0.75	7.88	11.41	10.56	8.24	9.24	6.82	4.33
2	KC	6.09	−0.01	6.94	6.82	7.47	4.53	3.47	2	11.40
3	BAL	5.54	−0.29	10.31	-0.29	2.06	11.94	9.24	1.53	4
4	SF	5.23	+0.84	-0.88	3.65	10.18	11.35	-2.76	3.88	11.17
5	GB	3.52	−0.85	8.75	4.65	-0.06	1.94	7.18	1.82	0.33
6	SEA	3.04	+0.56	5.50	1.71	0.35	-2.24	0.41	11.24	4.33
7	TB	2.64	−1.71	8.56	9.29	-2.65	1.35	6.88	-1.82	-3.17
8	LAR	2.21	−0.09	4.75	5.18	-4.53	1.59	-1.12	10.12	-0.50
9	PHI	1.97	+0.04	-5.25	3.47	7.82	0.29	9.41	3.18	-5.17
10	DAL	1.91	−1.02	-4.88	10.12	7.35	11.41	-6.94	-2.35	-1.33
11	MIN	1.63	+1.53	-2.81	-0.06	-0.18	-1.06	5.88	0.65	9
12	DET	1.21	+2.59	-8.88	-8.35	1.53	3.88	13.06	4	3.20
13	NE	1.05	+0.33	-1.69	9.35	1	-7.65	-7.53	10	3.83
14	CIN	0.61	+0.35	-7.06	4.94	6	-1.06	2.24	-4.59	3.80
15	PIT	0.55	−0.11	6.50	-3.24	-2.24	-1.18	1.94	0.59	1.50
16	NO	0.27	−1.98	9.06	1.71	-0.88	4.41	-3.53	-4.53	-4.33
17	IND	-0.24	−0.90	5.56	5.06	-8.12	-1.12	-2.94	3.18	-3.33
18	DEN	-0.61	+1.34	-7.69	0.76	-4.24	-3.29	6.71	5.29	-1.83
19	LAC	-1.00	−0.56	-2.63	0.88	0.41	-3.06	5.94	1.65	-10.17
20	MIA	-1.39	−2.00	4.13	-1.88	-0.12	6.18	-1.12	-4.53	-12.40
21	JAX	-1.49	+3.22	-11.63	-12	3.18	0.35	-6.76	8.12	8.33
22	CHI	-1.65	+1.21	0.13	-5.65	-8.06	-1.12	-3.53	1.53	5.17
23	HOU	-2.12	+2.01	-5	-10.12	-7.71	1.41	0	6.41	0.17
24	CLE	-2.87	−0.87	-0.69	-1.29	-1.18	2	-10.41	-5.88	-2.67
25	ATL	-2.95	+0.31	-1.13	-8.59	-1.24	-3.06	-2	-2.82	-1.83
26	ARI	-3.06	−1.85	2.69	4.88	-6.41	-7.35	1.24	-7.82	-8.67
27	WAS	-3.51	−0.49	0.38	-5.82	-1.29	-11.12	5.53	-5.59	-6.67
28	LV	-3.78	−0.45	-2.75	-3.82	-1.35	0.06	-7.35	-11.24	0
29	TEN	-3.98	−2.42	3.25	3.82	-3.59	-3.65	-8.76	-11.41	-7.50
30	CAR	-4.59	+0.62	-3.25	-5.88	-1.59	-10.59	-11.35	-4.06	4.60
31	NYG	-5.03	+0.58	-4.81	-9.29	-0.35	-8.29	-8.35	-3.41	-0.67
32	NYJ	-6.94	+1.12	-13.38	-11.41	-1.18	-5.12	-3.88	-11.94	-1.67

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
KC	6.94	6.82	7.47	4.53	3.47	2	11.40
SF	-0.88	3.65	10.18	11.35	-2.76	3.88	11.17
MIN	-2.81	-0.06	-0.18	-1.06	5.88	0.65	9
JAX	-11.63	-12	3.18	0.35	-6.76	8.12	8.33
CHI	0.13	-5.65	-8.06	-1.12	-3.53	1.53	5.17
CAR	-3.25	-5.88	-1.59	-10.59	-11.35	-4.06	4.60
BUF	7.88	11.41	10.56	8.24	9.24	6.82	4.33
SEA	5.50	1.71	0.35	-2.24	0.41	11.24	4.33
BAL	10.31	-0.29	2.06	11.94	9.24	1.53	4
NE	-1.69	9.35	1	-7.65	-7.53	10	3.83
CIN	-7.06	4.94	6	-1.06	2.24	-4.59	3.80
DET	-8.88	-8.35	1.53	3.88	13.06	4	3.20
PIT	6.50	-3.24	-2.24	-1.18	1.94	0.59	1.50
GB	8.75	4.65	-0.06	1.94	7.18	1.82	0.33
HOU	-5	-10.12	-7.71	1.41	0	6.41	0.17
LV	-2.75	-3.82	-1.35	0.06	-7.35	-11.24	0
LAR	4.75	5.18	-4.53	1.59	-1.12	10.12	-0.50
NYG	-4.81	-9.29	-0.35	-8.29	-8.35	-3.41	-0.67
DAL	-4.88	10.12	7.35	11.41	-6.94	-2.35	-1.33
NYJ	-13.38	-11.41	-1.18	-5.12	-3.88	-11.94	-1.67
ATL	-1.13	-8.59	-1.24	-3.06	-2	-2.82	-1.83
DEN	-7.69	0.76	-4.24	-3.29	6.71	5.29	-1.83
CLE	-0.69	-1.29	-1.18	2	-10.41	-5.88	-2.67
TB	8.56	9.29	-2.65	1.35	6.88	-1.82	-3.17
IND	5.56	5.06	-8.12	-1.12	-2.94	3.18	-3.33
NO	9.06	1.71	-0.88	4.41	-3.53	-4.53	-4.33
PHI	-5.25	3.47	7.82	0.29	9.41	3.18	-5.17
WAS	0.38	-5.82	-1.29	-11.12	5.53	-5.59	-6.67
TEN	3.25	3.82	-3.59	-3.65	-8.76	-11.41	-7.50
ARI	2.69	4.88	-6.41	-7.35	1.24	-7.82	-8.67
LAC	-2.63	0.88	0.41	-3.06	5.94	1.65	-10.17
MIA	4.13	-1.88	-0.12	6.18	-1.12	-4.53	-12.40

Points (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Saints (9.44), 2019 Ravens (15.56), 2020 Ravens (10.31), 2021 Bills (11.41), 2022 Bills (10.56), 2023 Ravens (11.94), 2024 Lions (13.06), 2025 Seahawks (11.24), 2026 Chiefs (11.40).

Ravens have led this stat 3 of 9 seasons.

The best season on record is Ravens 2019 at 15.56; the worst Jets 2020 at -13.38.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_points
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.