Defensive: Conversions · Red zone scores (allowed)
What Red zone scores (allowed) is
Red-zone touchdowns allowed: opponent trips inside the 20 that ended in a touchdown. The count behind the rate.
Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
In 2024 the Chargers led at 1.82; the league average was 2.44.
League snapshot — 2024
All 32 teams, lower is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAC | 1.82 | 17 |
| 2 | PHI | 1.82 | 17 |
| 3 | DEN | 1.88 | 17 |
| 4 | MIA | 2 | 17 |
| 5 | CHI | 2.12 | 17 |
| 6 | DET | 2.12 | 17 |
| 7 | GB | 2.12 | 17 |
| 8 | MIN | 2.12 | 17 |
| 9 | SEA | 2.12 | 17 |
| 10 | ARI | 2.18 | 17 |
| 11 | KC | 2.18 | 17 |
| 12 | PIT | 2.18 | 17 |
| 13 | BAL | 2.29 | 17 |
| 14 | TB | 2.29 | 17 |
| 15 | NO | 2.35 | 17 |
| 16 | NYG | 2.35 | 17 |
| 17 | NYJ | 2.35 | 17 |
| 18 | HOU | 2.47 | 17 |
| 19 | BUF | 2.53 | 17 |
| 20 | LAR | 2.53 | 17 |
| 21 | LV | 2.53 | 17 |
| 22 | NE | 2.59 | 17 |
| 23 | ATL | 2.65 | 17 |
| 24 | IND | 2.71 | 17 |
| 25 | WAS | 2.71 | 17 |
| 26 | JAX | 2.82 | 17 |
| 27 | TEN | 2.82 | 17 |
| 28 | CLE | 2.88 | 17 |
| 29 | CIN | 2.94 | 17 |
| 30 | SF | 2.94 | 17 |
| 31 | DAL | 3.12 | 17 |
| 32 | CAR | 3.47 | 17 |
At a glance — 2024
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2024
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAC | 1.82 | -0.61 | 100% |
| 2 | PHI | 1.82 | -0.61 | 96.8% |
| 3 | DEN | 1.88 | -0.56 | 93.5% |
| 4 | MIA | 2 | -0.44 | 90.3% |
| 5 | CHI | 2.12 | -0.32 | 87.1% |
| 6 | DET | 2.12 | -0.32 | 83.9% |
| 7 | GB | 2.12 | -0.32 | 80.6% |
| 8 | MIN | 2.12 | -0.32 | 77.4% |
| 9 | SEA | 2.12 | -0.32 | 74.2% |
| 10 | ARI | 2.18 | -0.26 | 71% |
| 11 | KC | 2.18 | -0.26 | 67.7% |
| 12 | PIT | 2.18 | -0.26 | 64.5% |
| 13 | BAL | 2.29 | -0.14 | 61.3% |
| 14 | TB | 2.29 | -0.14 | 58.1% |
| 15 | NO | 2.35 | -0.08 | 54.8% |
| 16 | NYG | 2.35 | -0.08 | 51.6% |
| 17 | NYJ | 2.35 | -0.08 | 48.4% |
| 18 | HOU | 2.47 | 0.03 | 45.2% |
| 19 | BUF | 2.53 | 0.09 | 41.9% |
| 20 | LAR | 2.53 | 0.09 | 38.7% |
| 21 | LV | 2.53 | 0.09 | 35.5% |
| 22 | NE | 2.59 | 0.15 | 32.3% |
| 23 | ATL | 2.65 | 0.21 | 29% |
| 24 | IND | 2.71 | 0.27 | 25.8% |
| 25 | WAS | 2.71 | 0.27 | 22.6% |
| 26 | JAX | 2.82 | 0.39 | 19.4% |
| 27 | TEN | 2.82 | 0.39 | 16.1% |
| 28 | CLE | 2.88 | 0.44 | 12.9% |
| 29 | CIN | 2.94 | 0.50 | 9.7% |
| 30 | SF | 2.94 | 0.50 | 6.5% |
| 31 | DAL | 3.12 | 0.68 | 3.2% |
| 32 | CAR | 3.47 | 1.03 | 0% |
Does Red zone scores (allowed) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 864–714–37 ATS (54.8%) across 2020–2025, #80 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2020 (161–93, 63.4%); its worst 2021 (136–134, 50.4%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 161–93–2 | 63.4% |
| 2021 | 272 | 136–134–2 | 50.4% |
| 2022 | 271 | 153–111–7 | 58.0% |
| 2023 | 272 | 134–124–14 | 51.9% |
| 2024 | 272 | 139–124–9 | 52.9% |
| 2025 | 272 | 141–128–3 | 52.4% |
Red zone scores (allowed) in 2024 vs 2023
Chargers lead at 1.82 — they ranked #26 last year. Panthers are last at 3.47 — #25 last year.
The league average is 2.44, up 0.18 from 2.26 last year.
Biggest riser: Eagles, #30 → #2. Biggest faller: 49ers, #3 → #30.
Spread between first and last: 1.65; 23 teams are within 0.39 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2024 vs 2023
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2024 vs 2023
| Rank | Team | 2024 | 2023 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | 2.94 | 1.76 | +1.18 |
| 2 | DAL | 3.12 | 2.06 | +1.06 |
| 3 | TEN | 2.82 | 1.76 | +1.06 |
| 4 | CAR | 3.47 | 2.59 | +0.88 |
| 5 | BAL | 2.29 | 1.41 | +0.88 |
| 6 | NE | 2.59 | 1.94 | +0.65 |
| 7 | CLE | 2.88 | 2.24 | +0.65 |
| 8 | ATL | 2.65 | 2.06 | +0.59 |
| 9 | CIN | 2.94 | 2.35 | +0.59 |
| 10 | BUF | 2.53 | 1.94 | +0.59 |
| 11 | NO | 2.35 | 1.88 | +0.47 |
| 12 | KC | 2.18 | 1.71 | +0.47 |
| 13 | NYJ | 2.35 | 1.94 | +0.41 |
| 14 | LV | 2.53 | 2.12 | +0.41 |
| 15 | HOU | 2.47 | 2.12 | +0.35 |
| 16 | JAX | 2.82 | 2.53 | +0.29 |
| 17 | LAR | 2.53 | 2.24 | +0.29 |
| 18 | PIT | 2.18 | 1.88 | +0.29 |
| 19 | TB | 2.29 | 2 | +0.29 |
| 20 | IND | 2.71 | 2.47 | +0.24 |
| 21 | GB | 2.12 | 2.12 | 0 |
| 22 | MIN | 2.12 | 2.18 | −0.06 |
| 23 | CHI | 2.12 | 2.29 | −0.18 |
| 24 | NYG | 2.35 | 2.65 | −0.29 |
| 25 | DET | 2.12 | 2.53 | −0.41 |
| 26 | WAS | 2.71 | 3.18 | −0.47 |
| 27 | MIA | 2 | 2.53 | −0.53 |
| 28 | SEA | 2.12 | 2.65 | −0.53 |
| 29 | DEN | 1.88 | 2.65 | −0.76 |
| 30 | LAC | 1.82 | 2.59 | −0.76 |
| 31 | ARI | 2.18 | 3 | −0.82 |
| 32 | PHI | 1.82 | 2.88 | −1.06 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 2.12 | +0.01 | 2.13 | 2.59 | 1.82 | 1.41 | 2.29 | 2.41 | 2.20 |
| 2 | PIT | 2.14 | −0.05 | 2.19 | 2.47 | 2.12 | 1.88 | 2.18 | 2.35 | 1.80 |
| 3 | LAR | 2.16 | +0.08 | 1.81 | 2.06 | 2.06 | 2.24 | 2.53 | 2 | 2.40 |
| 4 | MIN | 2.16 | −0.31 | 3.13 | 2.59 | 2.47 | 2.18 | 2.12 | 1.65 | 1 |
| 5 | DEN | 2.16 | −0.05 | 2.75 | 1.94 | 1.82 | 2.65 | 1.88 | 1.71 | 2.40 |
| 6 | NE | 2.18 | +0.02 | 2.44 | 1.71 | 2.24 | 1.94 | 2.59 | 2.12 | 2.20 |
| 7 | KC | 2.19 | −0.17 | 2.75 | 2.53 | 2.53 | 1.71 | 2.18 | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| 8 | SF | 2.21 | −0.05 | 2.38 | 2.53 | 1.82 | 1.76 | 2.94 | 2.47 | 1.60 |
| 9 | TB | 2.26 | −0.03 | 2.44 | 2.18 | 2.41 | 2 | 2.29 | 2.71 | 1.80 |
| 10 | SEA | 2.27 | −0.12 | 2.56 | 2.35 | 2.53 | 2.65 | 2.12 | 1.71 | 2 |
| 11 | NO | 2.32 | +0.16 | 2.44 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 2.35 | 2.18 | 3.60 |
| 12 | GB | 2.38 | +0.01 | 2.44 | 2.59 | 2.35 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 2.24 | 2.80 |
| 13 | BUF | 2.44 | +0.17 | 2.75 | 1.76 | 1.94 | 1.94 | 2.53 | 2.53 | 3.60 |
| 14 | PHI | 2.44 | −0.10 | 2.94 | 2.71 | 2.18 | 2.88 | 1.82 | 1.94 | 2.60 |
| 15 | LAC | 2.47 | −0.10 | 2.88 | 2.82 | 2.47 | 2.59 | 1.82 | 1.88 | 2.80 |
| 16 | CIN | 2.48 | −0.01 | 2.81 | 2.41 | 1.88 | 2.35 | 2.94 | 3 | 2 |
| 17 | NYG | 2.50 | +0.08 | 2.31 | 2.47 | 2.18 | 2.65 | 2.35 | 2.71 | 2.80 |
| 18 | TEN | 2.50 | −0.07 | 3.38 | 2.24 | 2.29 | 1.76 | 2.82 | 3 | 2 |
| 19 | MIA | 2.51 | +0.09 | 2.38 | 2.29 | 2.53 | 2.53 | 2 | 2.82 | 3 |
| 20 | HOU | 2.51 | −0.20 | 3.38 | 3.12 | 2.29 | 2.12 | 2.47 | 2 | 2.20 |
| 21 | CHI | 2.52 | −0.05 | 2.44 | 2.65 | 3.18 | 2.29 | 2.12 | 2.76 | 2.20 |
| 22 | CLE | 2.52 | −0.09 | 3.06 | 2.47 | 2.47 | 2.24 | 2.88 | 2.35 | 2.20 |
| 23 | JAX | 2.53 | −0.26 | 3.56 | 2.88 | 2.29 | 2.53 | 2.82 | 2.24 | 1.40 |
| 24 | NYJ | 2.54 | −0.10 | 3.13 | 3.35 | 1.71 | 1.94 | 2.35 | 3.29 | 2 |
| 25 | ATL | 2.55 | −0.11 | 3.06 | 3 | 2.35 | 2.06 | 2.65 | 2.35 | 2.40 |
| 26 | IND | 2.60 | +0.04 | 2.56 | 2.47 | 2.65 | 2.47 | 2.71 | 2.35 | 3 |
| 27 | CAR | 2.73 | +0.05 | 2.81 | 2.41 | 2.47 | 2.59 | 3.47 | 2.35 | 3 |
| 28 | DAL | 2.75 | +0.12 | 3.31 | 2.18 | 1.88 | 2.06 | 3.12 | 3.47 | 3.20 |
| 29 | LV | 2.77 | −0.00 | 3.25 | 2.82 | 2.65 | 2.12 | 2.53 | 2.59 | 3.40 |
| 30 | WAS | 2.78 | +0.16 | 2.25 | 2.82 | 2.12 | 3.18 | 2.71 | 3 | 3.40 |
| 31 | ARI | 2.85 | +0.19 | 2.44 | 2.35 | 2.94 | 3 | 2.18 | 3.06 | 4 |
| 32 | DET | 3.03 | −0.04 | 4.06 | 2.94 | 2.82 | 2.53 | 2.12 | 2.76 | 4 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 2.88 | 2.82 | 2.47 | 2.59 | 1.82 | 1.88 | 2.80 |
| PHI | 2.94 | 2.71 | 2.18 | 2.88 | 1.82 | 1.94 | 2.60 |
| DEN | 2.75 | 1.94 | 1.82 | 2.65 | 1.88 | 1.71 | 2.40 |
| MIA | 2.38 | 2.29 | 2.53 | 2.53 | 2 | 2.82 | 3 |
| CHI | 2.44 | 2.65 | 3.18 | 2.29 | 2.12 | 2.76 | 2.20 |
| DET | 4.06 | 2.94 | 2.82 | 2.53 | 2.12 | 2.76 | 4 |
| GB | 2.44 | 2.59 | 2.35 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 2.24 | 2.80 |
| MIN | 3.13 | 2.59 | 2.47 | 2.18 | 2.12 | 1.65 | 1 |
| SEA | 2.56 | 2.35 | 2.53 | 2.65 | 2.12 | 1.71 | 2 |
| ARI | 2.44 | 2.35 | 2.94 | 3 | 2.18 | 3.06 | 4 |
| KC | 2.75 | 2.53 | 2.53 | 1.71 | 2.18 | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| PIT | 2.19 | 2.47 | 2.12 | 1.88 | 2.18 | 2.35 | 1.80 |
| BAL | 2.13 | 2.59 | 1.82 | 1.41 | 2.29 | 2.41 | 2.20 |
| TB | 2.44 | 2.18 | 2.41 | 2 | 2.29 | 2.71 | 1.80 |
| NO | 2.44 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 2.35 | 2.18 | 3.60 |
| NYG | 2.31 | 2.47 | 2.18 | 2.65 | 2.35 | 2.71 | 2.80 |
| NYJ | 3.13 | 3.35 | 1.71 | 1.94 | 2.35 | 3.29 | 2 |
| HOU | 3.38 | 3.12 | 2.29 | 2.12 | 2.47 | 2 | 2.20 |
| BUF | 2.75 | 1.76 | 1.94 | 1.94 | 2.53 | 2.53 | 3.60 |
| LV | 3.25 | 2.82 | 2.65 | 2.12 | 2.53 | 2.59 | 3.40 |
| LAR | 1.81 | 2.06 | 2.06 | 2.24 | 2.53 | 2 | 2.40 |
| NE | 2.44 | 1.71 | 2.24 | 1.94 | 2.59 | 2.12 | 2.20 |
| ATL | 3.06 | 3 | 2.35 | 2.06 | 2.65 | 2.35 | 2.40 |
| IND | 2.56 | 2.47 | 2.65 | 2.47 | 2.71 | 2.35 | 3 |
| WAS | 2.25 | 2.82 | 2.12 | 3.18 | 2.71 | 3 | 3.40 |
| JAX | 3.56 | 2.88 | 2.29 | 2.53 | 2.82 | 2.24 | 1.40 |
| TEN | 3.38 | 2.24 | 2.29 | 1.76 | 2.82 | 3 | 2 |
| CLE | 3.06 | 2.47 | 2.47 | 2.24 | 2.88 | 2.35 | 2.20 |
| CIN | 2.81 | 2.41 | 1.88 | 2.35 | 2.94 | 3 | 2 |
| SF | 2.38 | 2.53 | 1.82 | 1.76 | 2.94 | 2.47 | 1.60 |
| DAL | 3.31 | 2.18 | 1.88 | 2.06 | 3.12 | 3.47 | 3.20 |
| CAR | 2.81 | 2.41 | 2.47 | 2.59 | 3.47 | 2.35 | 3 |
Red zone scores (allowed) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (1.75), 2019 Patriots (1.31), 2020 Rams (1.81), 2021 Patriots (1.71), 2022 Jets (1.71), 2023 Ravens (1.41), 2024 Chargers (1.82).
Patriots have led this stat 2 of 7 seasons.
The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at 1.31; the worst Lions 2020 at 4.06.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2024.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- def_team_conversions_red_zone_scores
- Side
- defensive
- Family
- Conversions
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- lower is better
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.