What Red zone scores (allowed) is

Red-zone touchdowns allowed: opponent trips inside the 20 that ended in a touchdown. The count behind the rate.

Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2019 the Patriots led at 1.31; the league average was 2.45.

League snapshot — 2019

League leader

NE · 1.31

League average

2.45

Best to worst

2.13

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	NE	1.31	16
2	BAL	1.75	16
3	BUF	1.75	16
4	DEN	1.75	16
5	PIT	1.88	16
6	MIN	1.94	16
7	CHI	2.06	16
8	GB	2.06	16
9	SF	2.13	16
10	DAL	2.19	16
11	KC	2.19	16
12	IND	2.31	16
13	LAC	2.31	16
14	NYJ	2.31	16
15	LAR	2.38	16
16	TEN	2.44	16
17	NO	2.50	16
18	PHI	2.56	16
19	SEA	2.56	16
20	TB	2.56	16
21	ATL	2.63	16
22	CIN	2.63	16
23	CLE	2.75	16
24	HOU	2.81	16
25	JAX	2.81	16
26	ARI	2.94	16
27	DET	2.94	16
28	LV	3	16
29	NYG	3.06	16
30	WAS	3.06	16
31	CAR	3.25	16
32	MIA	3.44	16

At a glance — 2019

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

NE · 1.31

League laggard

MIA · 3.44

League average

2.45

Spread (max − min)

2.13

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	NE	1.31	-1.13	100%
2	BAL	1.75	-0.70	96.8%
3	BUF	1.75	-0.70	93.5%
4	DEN	1.75	-0.70	90.3%
5	PIT	1.88	-0.57	87.1%
6	MIN	1.94	-0.51	83.9%
7	CHI	2.06	-0.38	80.6%
8	GB	2.06	-0.38	77.4%
9	SF	2.13	-0.32	74.2%
10	DAL	2.19	-0.26	71%
11	KC	2.19	-0.26	67.7%
12	IND	2.31	-0.13	64.5%
13	LAC	2.31	-0.13	61.3%
14	NYJ	2.31	-0.13	58.1%
15	LAR	2.38	-0.07	54.8%
16	TEN	2.44	-0.01	51.6%
17	NO	2.50	0.05	48.4%
18	PHI	2.56	0.12	45.2%
19	SEA	2.56	0.12	41.9%
20	TB	2.56	0.12	38.7%
21	ATL	2.63	0.18	35.5%
22	CIN	2.63	0.18	32.3%
23	CLE	2.75	0.30	29%
24	HOU	2.81	0.37	25.8%
25	JAX	2.81	0.37	22.6%
26	ARI	2.94	0.49	19.4%
27	DET	2.94	0.49	16.1%
28	LV	3	0.55	12.9%
29	NYG	3.06	0.62	9.7%
30	WAS	3.06	0.62	6.5%
31	CAR	3.25	0.80	3.2%
32	MIA	3.44	0.99	0%

Does Red zone scores (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 864–714–37 ATS (54.8%) across 2020–2025, #80 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (161–93, 63.4%); its worst 2021 (136–134, 50.4%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	161–93–2	63.4%
2021	272	136–134–2	50.4%
2022	271	153–111–7	58.0%
2023	272	134–124–14	51.9%
2024	272	139–124–9	52.9%
2025	272	141–128–3	52.4%

Red zone scores (allowed) in 2019 vs 2018

Patriots lead at 1.31 — they ranked #9 last year. Dolphins are last at 3.44 — #30 last year.

The league average is 2.45, down 0.08 from 2.53 last year.

Biggest riser: Chiefs, #29 → #11. Biggest faller: Jaguars, #6 → #25.

Spread between first and last: 2.13; 19 teams are within 0.49 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

JAX · +0.75

Biggest faller

SF · −0.88

Most consistent

ARI · +0.06

League trend 2019 vs 2018

▼ -0.08

Rank	Team	2019	2018	Δ
1	JAX	2.81	2.06	+0.75
2	WAS	3.06	2.44	+0.63
3	HOU	2.81	2.25	+0.56
4	TEN	2.44	1.94	+0.50
5	CAR	3.25	2.81	+0.44
6	DET	2.94	2.50	+0.44
7	MIA	3.44	3.06	+0.38
8	CHI	2.06	1.75	+0.31
9	NYG	3.06	2.75	+0.31
10	PHI	2.56	2.25	+0.31
11	SEA	2.56	2.25	+0.31
12	IND	2.31	2.06	+0.25
13	LAC	2.31	2.13	+0.19
14	MIN	1.94	1.75	+0.19
15	CLE	2.75	2.63	+0.13
16	ARI	2.94	2.88	+0.06
17	DAL	2.19	2.13	+0.06
18	NO	2.50	2.63	−0.13
19	BAL	1.75	2	−0.25
20	LV	3	3.25	−0.25
21	LAR	2.38	2.69	−0.31
22	ATL	2.63	3.06	−0.44
23	CIN	2.63	3.06	−0.44
24	DEN	1.75	2.31	−0.56
25	NYJ	2.31	2.88	−0.56
26	PIT	1.88	2.50	−0.63
27	BUF	1.75	2.44	−0.69
28	TB	2.56	3.31	−0.75
29	GB	2.06	2.88	−0.81
30	KC	2.19	3.06	−0.88
31	NE	1.31	2.19	−0.88
32	SF	2.13	3	−0.88

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BAL · 2.12

Multi-year laggard

DET · 3.03

Biggest improver

MIN · −0.31/yr

Biggest decliner

ARI · +0.19/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BAL	2.12	+0.01	2.13	2.59	1.82	1.41	2.29	2.41	2.20
2	PIT	2.14	−0.05	2.19	2.47	2.12	1.88	2.18	2.35	1.80
3	LAR	2.16	+0.08	1.81	2.06	2.06	2.24	2.53	2	2.40
4	MIN	2.16	−0.31	3.13	2.59	2.47	2.18	2.12	1.65	1
5	DEN	2.16	−0.05	2.75	1.94	1.82	2.65	1.88	1.71	2.40
6	NE	2.18	+0.02	2.44	1.71	2.24	1.94	2.59	2.12	2.20
7	KC	2.19	−0.17	2.75	2.53	2.53	1.71	2.18	1.88	1.75
8	SF	2.21	−0.05	2.38	2.53	1.82	1.76	2.94	2.47	1.60
9	TB	2.26	−0.03	2.44	2.18	2.41	2	2.29	2.71	1.80
10	SEA	2.27	−0.12	2.56	2.35	2.53	2.65	2.12	1.71	2
11	NO	2.32	+0.16	2.44	1.88	1.88	1.88	2.35	2.18	3.60
12	GB	2.38	+0.01	2.44	2.59	2.35	2.12	2.12	2.24	2.80
13	BUF	2.44	+0.17	2.75	1.76	1.94	1.94	2.53	2.53	3.60
14	PHI	2.44	−0.10	2.94	2.71	2.18	2.88	1.82	1.94	2.60
15	LAC	2.47	−0.10	2.88	2.82	2.47	2.59	1.82	1.88	2.80
16	CIN	2.48	−0.01	2.81	2.41	1.88	2.35	2.94	3	2
17	NYG	2.50	+0.08	2.31	2.47	2.18	2.65	2.35	2.71	2.80
18	TEN	2.50	−0.07	3.38	2.24	2.29	1.76	2.82	3	2
19	MIA	2.51	+0.09	2.38	2.29	2.53	2.53	2	2.82	3
20	HOU	2.51	−0.20	3.38	3.12	2.29	2.12	2.47	2	2.20
21	CHI	2.52	−0.05	2.44	2.65	3.18	2.29	2.12	2.76	2.20
22	CLE	2.52	−0.09	3.06	2.47	2.47	2.24	2.88	2.35	2.20
23	JAX	2.53	−0.26	3.56	2.88	2.29	2.53	2.82	2.24	1.40
24	NYJ	2.54	−0.10	3.13	3.35	1.71	1.94	2.35	3.29	2
25	ATL	2.55	−0.11	3.06	3	2.35	2.06	2.65	2.35	2.40
26	IND	2.60	+0.04	2.56	2.47	2.65	2.47	2.71	2.35	3
27	CAR	2.73	+0.05	2.81	2.41	2.47	2.59	3.47	2.35	3
28	DAL	2.75	+0.12	3.31	2.18	1.88	2.06	3.12	3.47	3.20
29	LV	2.77	−0.00	3.25	2.82	2.65	2.12	2.53	2.59	3.40
30	WAS	2.78	+0.16	2.25	2.82	2.12	3.18	2.71	3	3.40
31	ARI	2.85	+0.19	2.44	2.35	2.94	3	2.18	3.06	4
32	DET	3.03	−0.04	4.06	2.94	2.82	2.53	2.12	2.76	4

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
MIN	3.13	2.59	2.47	2.18	2.12	1.65	1
JAX	3.56	2.88	2.29	2.53	2.82	2.24	1.40
SF	2.38	2.53	1.82	1.76	2.94	2.47	1.60
KC	2.75	2.53	2.53	1.71	2.18	1.88	1.75
PIT	2.19	2.47	2.12	1.88	2.18	2.35	1.80
TB	2.44	2.18	2.41	2	2.29	2.71	1.80
CIN	2.81	2.41	1.88	2.35	2.94	3	2
NYJ	3.13	3.35	1.71	1.94	2.35	3.29	2
SEA	2.56	2.35	2.53	2.65	2.12	1.71	2
TEN	3.38	2.24	2.29	1.76	2.82	3	2
BAL	2.13	2.59	1.82	1.41	2.29	2.41	2.20
CHI	2.44	2.65	3.18	2.29	2.12	2.76	2.20
CLE	3.06	2.47	2.47	2.24	2.88	2.35	2.20
HOU	3.38	3.12	2.29	2.12	2.47	2	2.20
NE	2.44	1.71	2.24	1.94	2.59	2.12	2.20
ATL	3.06	3	2.35	2.06	2.65	2.35	2.40
DEN	2.75	1.94	1.82	2.65	1.88	1.71	2.40
LAR	1.81	2.06	2.06	2.24	2.53	2	2.40
PHI	2.94	2.71	2.18	2.88	1.82	1.94	2.60
GB	2.44	2.59	2.35	2.12	2.12	2.24	2.80
LAC	2.88	2.82	2.47	2.59	1.82	1.88	2.80
NYG	2.31	2.47	2.18	2.65	2.35	2.71	2.80
CAR	2.81	2.41	2.47	2.59	3.47	2.35	3
IND	2.56	2.47	2.65	2.47	2.71	2.35	3
MIA	2.38	2.29	2.53	2.53	2	2.82	3
DAL	3.31	2.18	1.88	2.06	3.12	3.47	3.20
LV	3.25	2.82	2.65	2.12	2.53	2.59	3.40
WAS	2.25	2.82	2.12	3.18	2.71	3	3.40
BUF	2.75	1.76	1.94	1.94	2.53	2.53	3.60
NO	2.44	1.88	1.88	1.88	2.35	2.18	3.60
ARI	2.44	2.35	2.94	3	2.18	3.06	4
DET	4.06	2.94	2.82	2.53	2.12	2.76	4

Red zone scores (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (1.75), 2019 Patriots (1.31).

The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at 1.31; the worst Dolphins 2019 at 3.44.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_team_conversions_red_zone_scores
Side: defensive
Family: Conversions
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.