Defensive: Passing · Pass rating (allowed)
What Pass rating (allowed) is
Passer rating allowed: the NFL's traditional quarterback formula, computed on what opposing quarterbacks did against this defense. Completion-weighted, like the offensive version.
Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P.
In 2021 the Bills led at 65.30; the league average was 90.88.
League snapshot — 2021
All 32 teams, lower is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 65.30 | 17 |
| 2 | NE | 73.30 | 17 |
| 3 | DAL | 76.60 | 17 |
| 4 | NO | 81.70 | 17 |
| 5 | LAR | 83.80 | 17 |
| 6 | DEN | 85.00 | 17 |
| 7 | MIA | 85.40 | 17 |
| 8 | TB | 85.60 | 17 |
| 9 | TEN | 86.40 | 17 |
| 10 | GB | 86.90 | 17 |
| 11 | PIT | 88.70 | 17 |
| 12 | NYG | 89.00 | 17 |
| 13 | CLE | 89.40 | 17 |
| 14 | IND | 90.50 | 17 |
| 15 | MIN | 91.40 | 17 |
| 16 | KC | 92.00 | 17 |
| 17 | LAC | 93.00 | 17 |
| 18 | CIN | 93.10 | 17 |
| 19 | ARI | 93.50 | 17 |
| 20 | SEA | 93.60 | 17 |
| 21 | HOU | 94.10 | 17 |
| 22 | CAR | 95.00 | 17 |
| 23 | PHI | 95.40 | 17 |
| 24 | LV | 96.40 | 17 |
| 25 | SF | 97.00 | 17 |
| 26 | ATL | 97.40 | 17 |
| 27 | BAL | 99.40 | 17 |
| 28 | JAX | 100.80 | 17 |
| 29 | WAS | 100.80 | 17 |
| 30 | DET | 101.00 | 17 |
| 31 | NYJ | 103.20 | 17 |
| 32 | CHI | 103.30 | 17 |
At a glance — 2021
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2021
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 65.30 | -25.58 | 100% |
| 2 | NE | 73.30 | -17.58 | 96.8% |
| 3 | DAL | 76.60 | -14.28 | 93.5% |
| 4 | NO | 81.70 | -9.18 | 90.3% |
| 5 | LAR | 83.80 | -7.08 | 87.1% |
| 6 | DEN | 85.00 | -5.88 | 83.9% |
| 7 | MIA | 85.40 | -5.47 | 80.6% |
| 8 | TB | 85.60 | -5.28 | 77.4% |
| 9 | TEN | 86.40 | -4.47 | 74.2% |
| 10 | GB | 86.90 | -3.97 | 71% |
| 11 | PIT | 88.70 | -2.18 | 67.7% |
| 12 | NYG | 89.00 | -1.88 | 64.5% |
| 13 | CLE | 89.40 | -1.47 | 61.3% |
| 14 | IND | 90.50 | -0.38 | 58.1% |
| 15 | MIN | 91.40 | 0.53 | 54.8% |
| 16 | KC | 92.00 | 1.13 | 51.6% |
| 17 | LAC | 93.00 | 2.13 | 48.4% |
| 18 | CIN | 93.10 | 2.22 | 45.2% |
| 19 | ARI | 93.50 | 2.63 | 41.9% |
| 20 | SEA | 93.60 | 2.72 | 38.7% |
| 21 | HOU | 94.10 | 3.22 | 35.5% |
| 22 | CAR | 95.00 | 4.13 | 32.3% |
| 23 | PHI | 95.40 | 4.53 | 29% |
| 24 | LV | 96.40 | 5.53 | 25.8% |
| 25 | SF | 97.00 | 6.13 | 22.6% |
| 26 | ATL | 97.40 | 6.53 | 19.4% |
| 27 | BAL | 99.40 | 8.53 | 16.1% |
| 28 | JAX | 100.80 | 9.93 | 12.9% |
| 29 | WAS | 100.80 | 9.93 | 9.7% |
| 30 | DET | 101.00 | 10.13 | 6.5% |
| 31 | NYJ | 103.20 | 12.33 | 3.2% |
| 32 | CHI | 103.30 | 12.43 | 0% |
Does Pass rating (allowed) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 867–711–37 ATS (54.9%) across 2020–2025, #74 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2020 (163–91, 64.2%); its worst 2023 (125–133, 48.4%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 163–91–2 | 64.2% |
| 2021 | 272 | 144–126–2 | 53.3% |
| 2022 | 271 | 143–121–7 | 54.2% |
| 2023 | 272 | 125–133–14 | 48.4% |
| 2024 | 272 | 142–121–9 | 54.0% |
| 2025 | 272 | 150–119–3 | 55.8% |
Pass rating (allowed) in 2021 vs 2020
Bills lead at 65.30 — they ranked #5 last year. Bears are last at 103.30 — #20 last year.
The league average is 90.88, down 2.68 from 93.56 last year.
Biggest riser: Cowboys, #26 → #3. Biggest faller: Commanders, #3 → #29.
Spread between first and last: 38.00; 22 teams are within 8.48 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2021 vs 2020
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2021 vs 2020
| Rank | Team | 2021 | 2020 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WAS | 100.80 | 81.40 | +19.40 |
| 2 | BAL | 99.40 | 87.20 | +12.20 |
| 3 | PIT | 88.70 | 76.70 | +12.00 |
| 4 | SF | 97.00 | 88.60 | +8.40 |
| 5 | CHI | 103.30 | 94.90 | +8.40 |
| 6 | LAR | 83.80 | 80.40 | +3.40 |
| 7 | SEA | 93.60 | 90.20 | +3.40 |
| 8 | KC | 92.00 | 89.40 | +2.60 |
| 9 | ARI | 93.50 | 91.50 | +2.00 |
| 10 | LAC | 93.00 | 91.40 | +1.60 |
| 11 | LV | 96.40 | 95.30 | +1.10 |
| 12 | IND | 90.50 | 90.50 | 0.00 |
| 13 | NYJ | 103.20 | 103.20 | 0.00 |
| 14 | MIA | 85.40 | 87.00 | −1.60 |
| 15 | NO | 81.70 | 83.30 | −1.60 |
| 16 | CIN | 93.10 | 96.10 | −3.00 |
| 17 | CAR | 95.00 | 98.40 | −3.40 |
| 18 | GB | 86.90 | 91.10 | −4.20 |
| 19 | NYG | 89.00 | 93.20 | −4.20 |
| 20 | ATL | 97.40 | 101.70 | −4.30 |
| 21 | JAX | 100.80 | 105.60 | −4.80 |
| 22 | CLE | 89.40 | 94.80 | −5.40 |
| 23 | MIN | 91.40 | 97.00 | −5.60 |
| 24 | PHI | 95.40 | 102.40 | −7.00 |
| 25 | DEN | 85.00 | 92.10 | −7.10 |
| 26 | TB | 85.60 | 94.30 | −8.70 |
| 27 | TEN | 86.40 | 97.50 | −11.10 |
| 28 | DET | 101.00 | 112.40 | −11.40 |
| 29 | HOU | 94.10 | 109.60 | −15.50 |
| 30 | NE | 73.30 | 89.30 | −16.00 |
| 31 | BUF | 65.30 | 86.90 | −21.60 |
| 32 | DAL | 76.60 | 100.40 | −23.80 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 85.00 | +3.45 | 86.90 | 65.30 | 82.10 | 81.90 | 93.30 | 79.80 | 105.70 |
| 2 | DEN | 86.07 | −1.70 | 92.10 | 85.00 | 83.10 | 98.00 | 86.20 | 78.70 | 79.40 |
| 3 | PIT | 86.19 | +1.35 | 76.70 | 88.70 | 86.80 | 84.70 | 87.50 | 92.20 | 86.70 |
| 4 | LAR | 86.29 | +0.16 | 80.40 | 83.80 | 90.80 | 88.00 | 95.90 | 87.00 | 78.10 |
| 5 | MIN | 86.64 | −4.37 | 97.00 | 91.40 | 91.60 | 95.20 | 82.40 | 86.00 | 62.90 |
| 6 | SEA | 86.86 | −2.51 | 90.20 | 93.60 | 87.30 | 92.10 | 90.90 | 77.90 | 76.00 |
| 7 | NO | 87.40 | +3.26 | 83.30 | 81.70 | 83.80 | 79.70 | 84.80 | 91.80 | 106.70 |
| 8 | NE | 87.63 | +2.01 | 89.30 | 73.30 | 83.50 | 86.90 | 96.90 | 93.10 | 90.40 |
| 9 | KC | 88.23 | −1.67 | 89.40 | 92.00 | 95.30 | 83.60 | 90.60 | 89.90 | 76.80 |
| 10 | BAL | 88.39 | −0.52 | 87.20 | 99.40 | 88.70 | 74.60 | 91.10 | 89.60 | 88.10 |
| 11 | GB | 88.43 | −1.11 | 91.10 | 86.90 | 88.30 | 94.70 | 88.50 | 92.70 | 76.80 |
| 12 | LAC | 88.83 | −1.37 | 91.40 | 93.00 | 88.00 | 96.40 | 87.10 | 75.00 | 90.90 |
| 13 | PHI | 88.89 | −3.01 | 102.40 | 95.40 | 81.60 | 97.60 | 82.50 | 75.40 | 87.30 |
| 14 | CLE | 88.96 | −0.01 | 94.80 | 89.40 | 85.20 | 74.70 | 98.90 | 90.00 | 89.70 |
| 15 | SF | 89.11 | +0.03 | 88.60 | 97.00 | 82.70 | 79.60 | 92.00 | 100.50 | 83.40 |
| 16 | HOU | 90.19 | −2.82 | 109.60 | 94.10 | 82.70 | 90.10 | 83.70 | 76.20 | 94.90 |
| 17 | CIN | 91.29 | −0.10 | 96.10 | 93.10 | 80.10 | 91.40 | 91.90 | 99.40 | 87.00 |
| 18 | NYG | 91.47 | +0.15 | 93.20 | 89.00 | 89.90 | 84.10 | 103.10 | 94.30 | 86.70 |
| 19 | TB | 92.43 | +0.35 | 94.30 | 85.60 | 92.70 | 92.00 | 96.60 | 97.50 | 88.30 |
| 20 | JAX | 92.79 | −3.58 | 105.60 | 100.80 | 89.10 | 89.80 | 103.40 | 78.50 | 82.30 |
| 21 | NYJ | 93.19 | −0.61 | 103.20 | 103.20 | 80.50 | 76.00 | 89.00 | 110.90 | 89.50 |
| 22 | IND | 93.23 | +1.19 | 90.50 | 90.50 | 96.20 | 88.20 | 95.80 | 88.00 | 103.40 |
| 23 | CAR | 93.36 | −1.61 | 98.40 | 95.00 | 93.70 | 88.80 | 105.40 | 88.20 | 84.00 |
| 24 | CHI | 94.37 | −0.68 | 94.90 | 103.30 | 94.40 | 88.00 | 90.90 | 91.40 | 97.70 |
| 25 | ATL | 95.03 | −1.58 | 101.70 | 97.40 | 95.70 | 90.30 | 100.20 | 88.40 | 91.50 |
| 26 | MIA | 95.67 | +4.19 | 87.00 | 85.40 | 95.30 | 93.00 | 88.70 | 105.30 | 115.00 |
| 27 | DAL | 96.01 | +5.04 | 100.40 | 76.60 | 84.70 | 80.80 | 99.50 | 109.60 | 120.50 |
| 28 | LV | 96.04 | +0.38 | 95.30 | 96.40 | 98.80 | 89.30 | 96.50 | 96.40 | 99.60 |
| 29 | TEN | 96.97 | +2.13 | 97.50 | 86.40 | 93.00 | 96.40 | 95.10 | 108.30 | 102.10 |
| 30 | DET | 97.13 | −1.70 | 112.40 | 101.00 | 94.20 | 91.50 | 82.00 | 92.50 | 106.30 |
| 31 | WAS | 97.13 | +2.77 | 81.40 | 100.80 | 90.20 | 105.70 | 93.90 | 104.00 | 103.90 |
| 32 | ARI | 99.44 | +2.95 | 91.50 | 93.50 | 98.20 | 102.90 | 95.10 | 97.60 | 117.30 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 86.90 | 65.30 | 82.10 | 81.90 | 93.30 | 79.80 | 105.70 |
| NE | 89.30 | 73.30 | 83.50 | 86.90 | 96.90 | 93.10 | 90.40 |
| DAL | 100.40 | 76.60 | 84.70 | 80.80 | 99.50 | 109.60 | 120.50 |
| NO | 83.30 | 81.70 | 83.80 | 79.70 | 84.80 | 91.80 | 106.70 |
| LAR | 80.40 | 83.80 | 90.80 | 88.00 | 95.90 | 87.00 | 78.10 |
| DEN | 92.10 | 85.00 | 83.10 | 98.00 | 86.20 | 78.70 | 79.40 |
| MIA | 87.00 | 85.40 | 95.30 | 93.00 | 88.70 | 105.30 | 115.00 |
| TB | 94.30 | 85.60 | 92.70 | 92.00 | 96.60 | 97.50 | 88.30 |
| TEN | 97.50 | 86.40 | 93.00 | 96.40 | 95.10 | 108.30 | 102.10 |
| GB | 91.10 | 86.90 | 88.30 | 94.70 | 88.50 | 92.70 | 76.80 |
| PIT | 76.70 | 88.70 | 86.80 | 84.70 | 87.50 | 92.20 | 86.70 |
| NYG | 93.20 | 89.00 | 89.90 | 84.10 | 103.10 | 94.30 | 86.70 |
| CLE | 94.80 | 89.40 | 85.20 | 74.70 | 98.90 | 90.00 | 89.70 |
| IND | 90.50 | 90.50 | 96.20 | 88.20 | 95.80 | 88.00 | 103.40 |
| MIN | 97.00 | 91.40 | 91.60 | 95.20 | 82.40 | 86.00 | 62.90 |
| KC | 89.40 | 92.00 | 95.30 | 83.60 | 90.60 | 89.90 | 76.80 |
| LAC | 91.40 | 93.00 | 88.00 | 96.40 | 87.10 | 75.00 | 90.90 |
| CIN | 96.10 | 93.10 | 80.10 | 91.40 | 91.90 | 99.40 | 87.00 |
| ARI | 91.50 | 93.50 | 98.20 | 102.90 | 95.10 | 97.60 | 117.30 |
| SEA | 90.20 | 93.60 | 87.30 | 92.10 | 90.90 | 77.90 | 76.00 |
| HOU | 109.60 | 94.10 | 82.70 | 90.10 | 83.70 | 76.20 | 94.90 |
| CAR | 98.40 | 95.00 | 93.70 | 88.80 | 105.40 | 88.20 | 84.00 |
| PHI | 102.40 | 95.40 | 81.60 | 97.60 | 82.50 | 75.40 | 87.30 |
| LV | 95.30 | 96.40 | 98.80 | 89.30 | 96.50 | 96.40 | 99.60 |
| SF | 88.60 | 97.00 | 82.70 | 79.60 | 92.00 | 100.50 | 83.40 |
| ATL | 101.70 | 97.40 | 95.70 | 90.30 | 100.20 | 88.40 | 91.50 |
| BAL | 87.20 | 99.40 | 88.70 | 74.60 | 91.10 | 89.60 | 88.10 |
| JAX | 105.60 | 100.80 | 89.10 | 89.80 | 103.40 | 78.50 | 82.30 |
| WAS | 81.40 | 100.80 | 90.20 | 105.70 | 93.90 | 104.00 | 103.90 |
| DET | 112.40 | 101.00 | 94.20 | 91.50 | 82.00 | 92.50 | 106.30 |
| NYJ | 103.20 | 103.20 | 80.50 | 76.00 | 89.00 | 110.90 | 89.50 |
| CHI | 94.90 | 103.30 | 94.40 | 88.00 | 90.90 | 91.40 | 97.70 |
Pass rating (allowed) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (72.90), 2019 Patriots (62.80), 2020 Steelers (76.70), 2021 Bills (65.30).
The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at 62.80; the worst Lions 2020 at 112.40.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2021.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- def_passing_pass_rating
- Side
- defensive
- Family
- Passing
- Data source
- P only
- Polarity
- lower is better
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.