Defensive: Passing · Pass adj yds per att (allowed)
What Pass adj yds per att (allowed) is
Adjusted yards per attempt allowed: opponent passing yards, plus 20 for each touchdown allowed and minus 45 for each interception, divided by attempts. Yards per attempt allowed with scoring and turnovers priced in, but without sacks.
Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P.
In 2019 the Patriots led at 4.40; the league average was 7.09.
League snapshot — 2019
All 32 teams, lower is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 4.40 | 16 |
| 2 | BUF | 5.60 | 16 |
| 3 | SF | 5.80 | 16 |
| 4 | PIT | 5.90 | 16 |
| 5 | BAL | 6.10 | 16 |
| 6 | KC | 6.20 | 16 |
| 7 | MIN | 6.30 | 16 |
| 8 | CHI | 6.50 | 16 |
| 9 | GB | 6.70 | 16 |
| 10 | LAR | 6.80 | 16 |
| 11 | NYJ | 6.80 | 16 |
| 12 | SEA | 6.80 | 16 |
| 13 | NO | 6.90 | 16 |
| 14 | CAR | 7.00 | 16 |
| 15 | CLE | 7.00 | 16 |
| 16 | DAL | 7.00 | 16 |
| 17 | DEN | 7.00 | 16 |
| 18 | TB | 7.10 | 16 |
| 19 | TEN | 7.10 | 16 |
| 20 | LAC | 7.20 | 16 |
| 21 | PHI | 7.30 | 16 |
| 22 | IND | 7.40 | 16 |
| 23 | ATL | 7.80 | 16 |
| 24 | WAS | 7.80 | 16 |
| 25 | HOU | 7.90 | 16 |
| 26 | JAX | 7.90 | 16 |
| 27 | CIN | 8.30 | 16 |
| 28 | DET | 8.30 | 16 |
| 29 | MIA | 8.30 | 16 |
| 30 | NYG | 8.30 | 16 |
| 31 | ARI | 8.70 | 16 |
| 32 | LV | 8.80 | 16 |
At a glance — 2019
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2019
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 4.40 | -2.69 | 100% |
| 2 | BUF | 5.60 | -1.49 | 96.8% |
| 3 | SF | 5.80 | -1.29 | 93.5% |
| 4 | PIT | 5.90 | -1.19 | 90.3% |
| 5 | BAL | 6.10 | -0.99 | 87.1% |
| 6 | KC | 6.20 | -0.89 | 83.9% |
| 7 | MIN | 6.30 | -0.79 | 80.6% |
| 8 | CHI | 6.50 | -0.59 | 77.4% |
| 9 | GB | 6.70 | -0.39 | 74.2% |
| 10 | LAR | 6.80 | -0.29 | 71% |
| 11 | NYJ | 6.80 | -0.29 | 67.7% |
| 12 | SEA | 6.80 | -0.29 | 64.5% |
| 13 | NO | 6.90 | -0.19 | 61.3% |
| 14 | CAR | 7.00 | -0.09 | 58.1% |
| 15 | CLE | 7.00 | -0.09 | 54.8% |
| 16 | DAL | 7.00 | -0.09 | 51.6% |
| 17 | DEN | 7.00 | -0.09 | 48.4% |
| 18 | TB | 7.10 | 0.01 | 45.2% |
| 19 | TEN | 7.10 | 0.01 | 41.9% |
| 20 | LAC | 7.20 | 0.11 | 38.7% |
| 21 | PHI | 7.30 | 0.21 | 35.5% |
| 22 | IND | 7.40 | 0.31 | 32.3% |
| 23 | ATL | 7.80 | 0.71 | 29% |
| 24 | WAS | 7.80 | 0.71 | 25.8% |
| 25 | HOU | 7.90 | 0.81 | 22.6% |
| 26 | JAX | 7.90 | 0.81 | 19.4% |
| 27 | CIN | 8.30 | 1.21 | 16.1% |
| 28 | DET | 8.30 | 1.21 | 12.9% |
| 29 | MIA | 8.30 | 1.21 | 9.7% |
| 30 | NYG | 8.30 | 1.21 | 6.5% |
| 31 | ARI | 8.70 | 1.61 | 3.2% |
| 32 | LV | 8.80 | 1.71 | 0% |
Does Pass adj yds per att (allowed) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 874–704–37 ATS (55.4%) across 2020–2025, #62 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2020 (155–99, 61.0%); its worst 2023 (130–128, 50.4%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 155–99–2 | 61.0% |
| 2021 | 272 | 147–123–2 | 54.4% |
| 2022 | 271 | 142–122–7 | 53.8% |
| 2023 | 272 | 130–128–14 | 50.4% |
| 2024 | 272 | 148–115–9 | 56.3% |
| 2025 | 272 | 152–117–3 | 56.5% |
Pass adj yds per att (allowed) in 2019 vs 2018
Patriots lead at 4.40 — they ranked #7 last year. Raiders are last at 8.80 — #30 last year.
The league average is 7.09, down 0.18 from 7.28 last year.
Biggest riser: 49ers, #31 → #3. Biggest faller: Jaguars, #5 → #26.
Spread between first and last: 4.40; 21 teams are within 0.96 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2019 vs 2018
| Rank | Team | 2019 | 2018 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 6.50 | 5.00 | +1.50 |
| 2 | JAX | 7.90 | 6.40 | +1.50 |
| 3 | ARI | 8.70 | 7.30 | +1.40 |
| 4 | NYG | 8.30 | 7.10 | +1.20 |
| 5 | MIA | 8.30 | 7.50 | +0.80 |
| 6 | HOU | 7.90 | 7.30 | +0.60 |
| 7 | CLE | 7.00 | 6.40 | +0.60 |
| 8 | IND | 7.40 | 7.00 | +0.40 |
| 9 | LV | 8.80 | 8.40 | +0.40 |
| 10 | WAS | 7.80 | 7.40 | +0.40 |
| 11 | CIN | 8.30 | 8.00 | +0.30 |
| 12 | ATL | 7.80 | 7.50 | +0.30 |
| 13 | LAC | 7.20 | 6.90 | +0.30 |
| 14 | TEN | 7.10 | 6.80 | +0.30 |
| 15 | BAL | 6.10 | 6.10 | 0.00 |
| 16 | DET | 8.30 | 8.40 | −0.10 |
| 17 | BUF | 5.60 | 5.70 | −0.10 |
| 18 | PHI | 7.30 | 7.40 | −0.10 |
| 19 | MIN | 6.30 | 6.50 | −0.20 |
| 20 | DEN | 7.00 | 7.30 | −0.30 |
| 21 | DAL | 7.00 | 7.40 | −0.40 |
| 22 | LAR | 6.80 | 7.30 | −0.50 |
| 23 | NYJ | 6.80 | 7.50 | −0.70 |
| 24 | SEA | 6.80 | 7.50 | −0.70 |
| 25 | CAR | 7.00 | 7.80 | −0.80 |
| 26 | KC | 6.20 | 7.40 | −1.20 |
| 27 | NO | 6.90 | 8.20 | −1.30 |
| 28 | PIT | 5.90 | 7.50 | −1.60 |
| 29 | TB | 7.10 | 8.70 | −1.60 |
| 30 | GB | 6.70 | 8.30 | −1.60 |
| 31 | NE | 4.40 | 6.50 | −2.10 |
| 32 | SF | 5.80 | 8.40 | −2.60 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 6.23 | +0.30 | 6.50 | 4.60 | 5.90 | 5.80 | 6.80 | 5.80 | 8.20 |
| 2 | SEA | 6.37 | −0.40 | 6.90 | 7.20 | 6.80 | 7.20 | 6.80 | 5.30 | 4.40 |
| 3 | LAR | 6.49 | +0.01 | 5.70 | 6.30 | 6.90 | 7.00 | 7.60 | 6.40 | 5.50 |
| 4 | SF | 6.50 | −0.02 | 6.50 | 7.30 | 6.10 | 5.40 | 6.70 | 7.60 | 5.90 |
| 5 | NE | 6.56 | +0.16 | 6.80 | 5.20 | 6.30 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 6.80 | 6.80 |
| 6 | DEN | 6.57 | −0.15 | 7.20 | 6.70 | 5.90 | 7.70 | 6.40 | 5.90 | 6.20 |
| 7 | GB | 6.57 | −0.19 | 7.00 | 6.40 | 6.80 | 7.50 | 6.50 | 6.70 | 5.10 |
| 8 | KC | 6.60 | −0.18 | 6.90 | 7.10 | 7.00 | 6.10 | 6.80 | 6.70 | 5.60 |
| 9 | PHI | 6.67 | −0.19 | 8.10 | 6.80 | 5.80 | 7.40 | 5.80 | 5.90 | 6.90 |
| 10 | MIN | 6.70 | −0.39 | 7.70 | 7.20 | 7.40 | 7.00 | 6.10 | 6.60 | 4.90 |
| 11 | NO | 6.71 | +0.26 | 6.30 | 6.30 | 6.40 | 6.10 | 6.80 | 6.90 | 8.20 |
| 12 | PIT | 6.73 | +0.11 | 5.90 | 6.90 | 6.90 | 6.80 | 6.60 | 7.10 | 6.90 |
| 13 | CLE | 6.80 | +0.03 | 7.40 | 6.40 | 6.70 | 5.20 | 8.30 | 6.60 | 7.00 |
| 14 | BAL | 6.81 | −0.05 | 6.40 | 8.40 | 6.80 | 5.20 | 7.10 | 7.00 | 6.80 |
| 15 | LAC | 6.83 | −0.14 | 6.90 | 7.20 | 7.00 | 7.90 | 6.30 | 5.50 | 7.00 |
| 16 | NYG | 6.94 | −0.01 | 7.10 | 6.40 | 7.10 | 6.50 | 8.20 | 7.30 | 6.00 |
| 17 | TB | 6.96 | +0.12 | 6.80 | 6.00 | 6.90 | 7.30 | 7.40 | 7.70 | 6.60 |
| 18 | HOU | 7.06 | −0.30 | 8.90 | 7.50 | 6.40 | 7.20 | 6.40 | 5.60 | 7.40 |
| 19 | CAR | 7.07 | −0.08 | 7.30 | 7.10 | 7.20 | 6.50 | 8.20 | 6.70 | 6.50 |
| 20 | NYJ | 7.17 | −0.07 | 8.00 | 8.40 | 5.90 | 5.40 | 7.00 | 8.90 | 6.60 |
| 21 | CIN | 7.23 | +0.03 | 7.60 | 7.10 | 6.40 | 7.50 | 6.90 | 8.00 | 7.10 |
| 22 | JAX | 7.23 | −0.30 | 8.40 | 7.90 | 6.90 | 6.80 | 8.50 | 5.40 | 6.70 |
| 23 | ATL | 7.24 | −0.17 | 8.10 | 7.30 | 7.40 | 7.00 | 7.20 | 6.80 | 6.90 |
| 24 | IND | 7.26 | +0.21 | 7.00 | 6.70 | 7.20 | 6.90 | 7.30 | 6.90 | 8.80 |
| 25 | MIA | 7.33 | +0.19 | 7.30 | 6.70 | 7.20 | 7.00 | 6.70 | 8.00 | 8.40 |
| 26 | LV | 7.39 | +0.04 | 7.70 | 7.10 | 7.70 | 6.60 | 7.30 | 7.10 | 8.20 |
| 27 | CHI | 7.51 | +0.05 | 7.40 | 8.10 | 7.60 | 6.30 | 7.60 | 6.90 | 8.70 |
| 28 | TEN | 7.53 | +0.19 | 7.40 | 6.80 | 7.30 | 7.50 | 6.90 | 8.90 | 7.90 |
| 29 | DAL | 7.57 | +0.45 | 7.90 | 6.00 | 6.40 | 6.20 | 7.90 | 8.90 | 9.70 |
| 30 | WAS | 7.59 | +0.28 | 5.80 | 7.90 | 7.10 | 8.40 | 7.40 | 8.70 | 7.80 |
| 31 | ARI | 7.70 | +0.38 | 7.00 | 6.90 | 7.20 | 7.90 | 7.30 | 7.50 | 10.10 |
| 32 | DET | 7.86 | −0.23 | 9.30 | 8.20 | 7.90 | 7.50 | 6.60 | 7.30 | 8.20 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 6.90 | 7.20 | 6.80 | 7.20 | 6.80 | 5.30 | 4.40 |
| MIN | 7.70 | 7.20 | 7.40 | 7.00 | 6.10 | 6.60 | 4.90 |
| GB | 7.00 | 6.40 | 6.80 | 7.50 | 6.50 | 6.70 | 5.10 |
| LAR | 5.70 | 6.30 | 6.90 | 7.00 | 7.60 | 6.40 | 5.50 |
| KC | 6.90 | 7.10 | 7.00 | 6.10 | 6.80 | 6.70 | 5.60 |
| SF | 6.50 | 7.30 | 6.10 | 5.40 | 6.70 | 7.60 | 5.90 |
| NYG | 7.10 | 6.40 | 7.10 | 6.50 | 8.20 | 7.30 | 6.00 |
| DEN | 7.20 | 6.70 | 5.90 | 7.70 | 6.40 | 5.90 | 6.20 |
| CAR | 7.30 | 7.10 | 7.20 | 6.50 | 8.20 | 6.70 | 6.50 |
| NYJ | 8.00 | 8.40 | 5.90 | 5.40 | 7.00 | 8.90 | 6.60 |
| TB | 6.80 | 6.00 | 6.90 | 7.30 | 7.40 | 7.70 | 6.60 |
| JAX | 8.40 | 7.90 | 6.90 | 6.80 | 8.50 | 5.40 | 6.70 |
| BAL | 6.40 | 8.40 | 6.80 | 5.20 | 7.10 | 7.00 | 6.80 |
| NE | 6.80 | 5.20 | 6.30 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 6.80 | 6.80 |
| ATL | 8.10 | 7.30 | 7.40 | 7.00 | 7.20 | 6.80 | 6.90 |
| PHI | 8.10 | 6.80 | 5.80 | 7.40 | 5.80 | 5.90 | 6.90 |
| PIT | 5.90 | 6.90 | 6.90 | 6.80 | 6.60 | 7.10 | 6.90 |
| CLE | 7.40 | 6.40 | 6.70 | 5.20 | 8.30 | 6.60 | 7.00 |
| LAC | 6.90 | 7.20 | 7.00 | 7.90 | 6.30 | 5.50 | 7.00 |
| CIN | 7.60 | 7.10 | 6.40 | 7.50 | 6.90 | 8.00 | 7.10 |
| HOU | 8.90 | 7.50 | 6.40 | 7.20 | 6.40 | 5.60 | 7.40 |
| WAS | 5.80 | 7.90 | 7.10 | 8.40 | 7.40 | 8.70 | 7.80 |
| TEN | 7.40 | 6.80 | 7.30 | 7.50 | 6.90 | 8.90 | 7.90 |
| BUF | 6.50 | 4.60 | 5.90 | 5.80 | 6.80 | 5.80 | 8.20 |
| DET | 9.30 | 8.20 | 7.90 | 7.50 | 6.60 | 7.30 | 8.20 |
| LV | 7.70 | 7.10 | 7.70 | 6.60 | 7.30 | 7.10 | 8.20 |
| NO | 6.30 | 6.30 | 6.40 | 6.10 | 6.80 | 6.90 | 8.20 |
| MIA | 7.30 | 6.70 | 7.20 | 7.00 | 6.70 | 8.00 | 8.40 |
| CHI | 7.40 | 8.10 | 7.60 | 6.30 | 7.60 | 6.90 | 8.70 |
| IND | 7.00 | 6.70 | 7.20 | 6.90 | 7.30 | 6.90 | 8.80 |
| DAL | 7.90 | 6.00 | 6.40 | 6.20 | 7.90 | 8.90 | 9.70 |
| ARI | 7.00 | 6.90 | 7.20 | 7.90 | 7.30 | 7.50 | 10.10 |
Pass adj yds per att (allowed) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (5.00), 2019 Patriots (4.40).
The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at 4.40; the worst Raiders 2019 at 8.80.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- def_passing_pass_adj_yds_per_att
- Side
- defensive
- Family
- Passing
- Data source
- P only
- Polarity
- lower is better
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.