What Pass adj yds per att (allowed) is

Adjusted yards per attempt allowed: opponent passing yards, plus 20 for each touchdown allowed and minus 45 for each interception, divided by attempts. Yards per attempt allowed with scoring and turnovers priced in, but without sacks.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P.

In 2021 the Bills led at 4.60; the league average was 6.94.

League snapshot — 2021

League leader

BUF · 4.60

League average

6.94

Best to worst

3.80

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	BUF	4.60	17
2	NE	5.20	17
3	DAL	6.00	17
4	TB	6.00	17
5	LAR	6.30	17
6	NO	6.30	17
7	CLE	6.40	17
8	GB	6.40	17
9	NYG	6.40	17
10	DEN	6.70	17
11	IND	6.70	17
12	MIA	6.70	17
13	PHI	6.80	17
14	TEN	6.80	17
15	ARI	6.90	17
16	PIT	6.90	17
17	CAR	7.10	17
18	CIN	7.10	17
19	KC	7.10	17
20	LV	7.10	17
21	LAC	7.20	17
22	MIN	7.20	17
23	SEA	7.20	17
24	ATL	7.30	17
25	SF	7.30	17
26	HOU	7.50	17
27	JAX	7.90	17
28	WAS	7.90	17
29	CHI	8.10	17
30	DET	8.20	17
31	BAL	8.40	17
32	NYJ	8.40	17

At a glance — 2021

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BUF · 4.60

League laggard

BAL · 8.40

League average

6.94

Spread (max − min)

3.80

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BUF	4.60	-2.34	100%
2	NE	5.20	-1.74	96.8%
3	DAL	6.00	-0.94	93.5%
4	TB	6.00	-0.94	90.3%
5	LAR	6.30	-0.64	87.1%
6	NO	6.30	-0.64	83.9%
7	CLE	6.40	-0.54	80.6%
8	GB	6.40	-0.54	77.4%
9	NYG	6.40	-0.54	74.2%
10	DEN	6.70	-0.24	71%
11	IND	6.70	-0.24	67.7%
12	MIA	6.70	-0.24	64.5%
13	PHI	6.80	-0.14	61.3%
14	TEN	6.80	-0.14	58.1%
15	ARI	6.90	-0.04	54.8%
16	PIT	6.90	-0.04	51.6%
17	CAR	7.10	0.16	48.4%
18	CIN	7.10	0.16	45.2%
19	KC	7.10	0.16	41.9%
20	LV	7.10	0.16	38.7%
21	LAC	7.20	0.26	35.5%
22	MIN	7.20	0.26	32.3%
23	SEA	7.20	0.26	29%
24	ATL	7.30	0.36	25.8%
25	SF	7.30	0.36	22.6%
26	HOU	7.50	0.56	19.4%
27	JAX	7.90	0.96	16.1%
28	WAS	7.90	0.96	12.9%
29	CHI	8.10	1.16	9.7%
30	DET	8.20	1.26	6.5%
31	BAL	8.40	1.46	3.2%
32	NYJ	8.40	1.46	0%

Does Pass adj yds per att (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 874–704–37 ATS (55.4%) across 2020–2025, #62 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (155–99, 61.0%); its worst 2023 (130–128, 50.4%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	155–99–2	61.0%
2021	272	147–123–2	54.4%
2022	271	142–122–7	53.8%
2023	272	130–128–14	50.4%
2024	272	148–115–9	56.3%
2025	272	152–117–3	56.5%

Pass adj yds per att (allowed) in 2021 vs 2020

Bills lead at 4.60 — they ranked #6 last year. Jets are last at 8.40 — #27 last year.

The league average is 6.94, down 0.28 from 7.23 last year.

Biggest riser: Cowboys, #26 → #3. Biggest faller: Commanders, #2 → #28.

Spread between first and last: 3.80; 22 teams are within 0.83 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2021 vs 2020

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

WAS · +2.10

Biggest faller

DAL · −1.90

Most consistent

NO · 0.00

League trend 2021 vs 2020

▼ -0.28

Rank	Team	2021	2020	Δ
1	WAS	7.90	5.80	+2.10
2	BAL	8.40	6.40	+2.00
3	PIT	6.90	5.90	+1.00
4	SF	7.30	6.50	+0.80
5	CHI	8.10	7.40	+0.70
6	LAR	6.30	5.70	+0.60
7	NYJ	8.40	8.00	+0.40
8	LAC	7.20	6.90	+0.30
9	SEA	7.20	6.90	+0.30
10	KC	7.10	6.90	+0.20
11	NO	6.30	6.30	0.00
12	ARI	6.90	7.00	−0.10
13	CAR	7.10	7.30	−0.20
14	IND	6.70	7.00	−0.30
15	CIN	7.10	7.60	−0.50
16	DEN	6.70	7.20	−0.50
17	JAX	7.90	8.40	−0.50
18	MIN	7.20	7.70	−0.50
19	GB	6.40	7.00	−0.60
20	MIA	6.70	7.30	−0.60
21	LV	7.10	7.70	−0.60
22	TEN	6.80	7.40	−0.60
23	NYG	6.40	7.10	−0.70
24	ATL	7.30	8.10	−0.80
25	TB	6.00	6.80	−0.80
26	CLE	6.40	7.40	−1.00
27	DET	8.20	9.30	−1.10
28	PHI	6.80	8.10	−1.30
29	HOU	7.50	8.90	−1.40
30	NE	5.20	6.80	−1.60
31	BUF	4.60	6.50	−1.90
32	DAL	6.00	7.90	−1.90

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 6.23

Multi-year laggard

DET · 7.86

Biggest improver

SEA · −0.40/yr

Biggest decliner

DAL · +0.45/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	6.23	+0.30	6.50	4.60	5.90	5.80	6.80	5.80	8.20
2	SEA	6.37	−0.40	6.90	7.20	6.80	7.20	6.80	5.30	4.40
3	LAR	6.49	+0.01	5.70	6.30	6.90	7.00	7.60	6.40	5.50
4	SF	6.50	−0.02	6.50	7.30	6.10	5.40	6.70	7.60	5.90
5	NE	6.56	+0.16	6.80	5.20	6.30	6.50	7.50	6.80	6.80
6	DEN	6.57	−0.15	7.20	6.70	5.90	7.70	6.40	5.90	6.20
7	GB	6.57	−0.19	7.00	6.40	6.80	7.50	6.50	6.70	5.10
8	KC	6.60	−0.18	6.90	7.10	7.00	6.10	6.80	6.70	5.60
9	PHI	6.67	−0.19	8.10	6.80	5.80	7.40	5.80	5.90	6.90
10	MIN	6.70	−0.39	7.70	7.20	7.40	7.00	6.10	6.60	4.90
11	NO	6.71	+0.26	6.30	6.30	6.40	6.10	6.80	6.90	8.20
12	PIT	6.73	+0.11	5.90	6.90	6.90	6.80	6.60	7.10	6.90
13	CLE	6.80	+0.03	7.40	6.40	6.70	5.20	8.30	6.60	7.00
14	BAL	6.81	−0.05	6.40	8.40	6.80	5.20	7.10	7.00	6.80
15	LAC	6.83	−0.14	6.90	7.20	7.00	7.90	6.30	5.50	7.00
16	NYG	6.94	−0.01	7.10	6.40	7.10	6.50	8.20	7.30	6.00
17	TB	6.96	+0.12	6.80	6.00	6.90	7.30	7.40	7.70	6.60
18	HOU	7.06	−0.30	8.90	7.50	6.40	7.20	6.40	5.60	7.40
19	CAR	7.07	−0.08	7.30	7.10	7.20	6.50	8.20	6.70	6.50
20	NYJ	7.17	−0.07	8.00	8.40	5.90	5.40	7.00	8.90	6.60
21	CIN	7.23	+0.03	7.60	7.10	6.40	7.50	6.90	8.00	7.10
22	JAX	7.23	−0.30	8.40	7.90	6.90	6.80	8.50	5.40	6.70
23	ATL	7.24	−0.17	8.10	7.30	7.40	7.00	7.20	6.80	6.90
24	IND	7.26	+0.21	7.00	6.70	7.20	6.90	7.30	6.90	8.80
25	MIA	7.33	+0.19	7.30	6.70	7.20	7.00	6.70	8.00	8.40
26	LV	7.39	+0.04	7.70	7.10	7.70	6.60	7.30	7.10	8.20
27	CHI	7.51	+0.05	7.40	8.10	7.60	6.30	7.60	6.90	8.70
28	TEN	7.53	+0.19	7.40	6.80	7.30	7.50	6.90	8.90	7.90
29	DAL	7.57	+0.45	7.90	6.00	6.40	6.20	7.90	8.90	9.70
30	WAS	7.59	+0.28	5.80	7.90	7.10	8.40	7.40	8.70	7.80
31	ARI	7.70	+0.38	7.00	6.90	7.20	7.90	7.30	7.50	10.10
32	DET	7.86	−0.23	9.30	8.20	7.90	7.50	6.60	7.30	8.20

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
BUF	6.50	4.60	5.90	5.80	6.80	5.80	8.20
NE	6.80	5.20	6.30	6.50	7.50	6.80	6.80
DAL	7.90	6.00	6.40	6.20	7.90	8.90	9.70
TB	6.80	6.00	6.90	7.30	7.40	7.70	6.60
LAR	5.70	6.30	6.90	7.00	7.60	6.40	5.50
NO	6.30	6.30	6.40	6.10	6.80	6.90	8.20
CLE	7.40	6.40	6.70	5.20	8.30	6.60	7.00
GB	7.00	6.40	6.80	7.50	6.50	6.70	5.10
NYG	7.10	6.40	7.10	6.50	8.20	7.30	6.00
DEN	7.20	6.70	5.90	7.70	6.40	5.90	6.20
IND	7.00	6.70	7.20	6.90	7.30	6.90	8.80
MIA	7.30	6.70	7.20	7.00	6.70	8.00	8.40
PHI	8.10	6.80	5.80	7.40	5.80	5.90	6.90
TEN	7.40	6.80	7.30	7.50	6.90	8.90	7.90
ARI	7.00	6.90	7.20	7.90	7.30	7.50	10.10
PIT	5.90	6.90	6.90	6.80	6.60	7.10	6.90
CAR	7.30	7.10	7.20	6.50	8.20	6.70	6.50
CIN	7.60	7.10	6.40	7.50	6.90	8.00	7.10
KC	6.90	7.10	7.00	6.10	6.80	6.70	5.60
LV	7.70	7.10	7.70	6.60	7.30	7.10	8.20
LAC	6.90	7.20	7.00	7.90	6.30	5.50	7.00
MIN	7.70	7.20	7.40	7.00	6.10	6.60	4.90
SEA	6.90	7.20	6.80	7.20	6.80	5.30	4.40
ATL	8.10	7.30	7.40	7.00	7.20	6.80	6.90
SF	6.50	7.30	6.10	5.40	6.70	7.60	5.90
HOU	8.90	7.50	6.40	7.20	6.40	5.60	7.40
JAX	8.40	7.90	6.90	6.80	8.50	5.40	6.70
WAS	5.80	7.90	7.10	8.40	7.40	8.70	7.80
CHI	7.40	8.10	7.60	6.30	7.60	6.90	8.70
DET	9.30	8.20	7.90	7.50	6.60	7.30	8.20
BAL	6.40	8.40	6.80	5.20	7.10	7.00	6.80
NYJ	8.00	8.40	5.90	5.40	7.00	8.90	6.60

Pass adj yds per att (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (5.00), 2019 Patriots (4.40), 2020 Rams (5.70), 2021 Bills (4.60).

The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at 4.40; the worst Lions 2020 at 9.30.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2021.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_passing_pass_adj_yds_per_att
Side: defensive
Family: Passing
Data source: P only
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.