Defensive: Drive Averages · Points/drive (allowed)
What Points/drive (allowed) is
Points allowed per own drive: points allowed divided by the number of drives this team's offense had. It is the defense's cost spread over the team's own possessions — a pace-adjusted points-allowed number — not the same as points per opponent drive.
Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
In 2024 the Broncos led at 0.10; the league average was 0.13.
League snapshot — 2024
All 32 teams, lower is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | 0.10 | 17 |
| 2 | LAC | 0.10 | 17 |
| 3 | PHI | 0.10 | 17 |
| 4 | MIN | 0.10 | 17 |
| 5 | PIT | 0.11 | 17 |
| 6 | GB | 0.11 | 17 |
| 7 | DET | 0.11 | 17 |
| 8 | KC | 0.11 | 17 |
| 9 | HOU | 0.11 | 17 |
| 10 | SEA | 0.11 | 17 |
| 11 | BAL | 0.12 | 17 |
| 12 | MIA | 0.12 | 17 |
| 13 | CHI | 0.12 | 17 |
| 14 | TB | 0.12 | 17 |
| 15 | BUF | 0.13 | 17 |
| 16 | CLE | 0.13 | 17 |
| 17 | NO | 0.13 | 17 |
| 18 | IND | 0.13 | 17 |
| 19 | WAS | 0.13 | 17 |
| 20 | NYG | 0.13 | 17 |
| 21 | ARI | 0.13 | 17 |
| 22 | LAR | 0.13 | 17 |
| 23 | LV | 0.13 | 17 |
| 24 | NYJ | 0.14 | 17 |
| 25 | NE | 0.14 | 17 |
| 26 | TEN | 0.14 | 17 |
| 27 | CIN | 0.14 | 17 |
| 28 | DAL | 0.14 | 17 |
| 29 | JAX | 0.14 | 17 |
| 30 | ATL | 0.14 | 17 |
| 31 | SF | 0.14 | 17 |
| 32 | CAR | 0.17 | 17 |
At a glance — 2024
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2024
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | 0.10 | -0.03 | 100% |
| 2 | LAC | 0.10 | -0.03 | 96.8% |
| 3 | PHI | 0.10 | -0.03 | 93.5% |
| 4 | MIN | 0.10 | -0.02 | 90.3% |
| 5 | PIT | 0.11 | -0.02 | 87.1% |
| 6 | GB | 0.11 | -0.02 | 83.9% |
| 7 | DET | 0.11 | -0.01 | 80.6% |
| 8 | KC | 0.11 | -0.01 | 77.4% |
| 9 | HOU | 0.11 | -0.01 | 74.2% |
| 10 | SEA | 0.11 | -0.01 | 71% |
| 11 | BAL | 0.12 | -0.01 | 67.7% |
| 12 | MIA | 0.12 | -0.01 | 64.5% |
| 13 | CHI | 0.12 | -0.01 | 61.3% |
| 14 | TB | 0.12 | 0.00 | 58.1% |
| 15 | BUF | 0.13 | 0.00 | 54.8% |
| 16 | CLE | 0.13 | 0.00 | 51.6% |
| 17 | NO | 0.13 | 0.00 | 48.4% |
| 18 | IND | 0.13 | 0.00 | 45.2% |
| 19 | WAS | 0.13 | 0.00 | 41.9% |
| 20 | NYG | 0.13 | 0.01 | 38.7% |
| 21 | ARI | 0.13 | 0.01 | 35.5% |
| 22 | LAR | 0.13 | 0.01 | 32.3% |
| 23 | LV | 0.13 | 0.01 | 29% |
| 24 | NYJ | 0.14 | 0.01 | 25.8% |
| 25 | NE | 0.14 | 0.01 | 22.6% |
| 26 | TEN | 0.14 | 0.02 | 19.4% |
| 27 | CIN | 0.14 | 0.02 | 16.1% |
| 28 | DAL | 0.14 | 0.02 | 12.9% |
| 29 | JAX | 0.14 | 0.02 | 9.7% |
| 30 | ATL | 0.14 | 0.02 | 6.5% |
| 31 | SF | 0.14 | 0.02 | 3.2% |
| 32 | CAR | 0.17 | 0.04 | 0% |
Does Points/drive (allowed) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 878–700–37 ATS (55.6%) across 2020–2025, #49 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2020 (161–93, 63.4%); its worst 2025 (143–126, 53.2%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 161–93–2 | 63.4% |
| 2021 | 272 | 147–123–2 | 54.4% |
| 2022 | 271 | 143–121–7 | 54.2% |
| 2023 | 272 | 139–119–14 | 53.9% |
| 2024 | 272 | 145–118–9 | 55.1% |
| 2025 | 272 | 143–126–3 | 53.2% |
Points/drive (allowed) in 2024 vs 2023
Broncos lead at 0.10 — they ranked #27 last year. Panthers are last at 0.17 — #29 last year.
The league average is 0.13, up 0.01 from 0.12 last year.
Biggest riser: Eagles, #30 → #3. Biggest faller: 49ers, #4 → #31.
Spread between first and last: 0.07; 22 teams are within 0.02 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2024 vs 2023
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2024 vs 2023
| Rank | Team | 2024 | 2023 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | 0.14 | 0.10 | +0.05 |
| 2 | NYJ | 0.14 | 0.10 | +0.04 |
| 3 | DAL | 0.14 | 0.11 | +0.04 |
| 4 | ATL | 0.14 | 0.11 | +0.03 |
| 5 | JAX | 0.14 | 0.11 | +0.03 |
| 6 | CLE | 0.13 | 0.10 | +0.03 |
| 7 | BAL | 0.12 | 0.08 | +0.03 |
| 8 | CAR | 0.17 | 0.14 | +0.03 |
| 9 | NE | 0.14 | 0.11 | +0.03 |
| 10 | NO | 0.13 | 0.10 | +0.03 |
| 11 | LV | 0.13 | 0.11 | +0.02 |
| 12 | BUF | 0.13 | 0.10 | +0.02 |
| 13 | TEN | 0.14 | 0.12 | +0.02 |
| 14 | CIN | 0.14 | 0.12 | +0.02 |
| 15 | TB | 0.12 | 0.10 | +0.02 |
| 16 | KC | 0.11 | 0.10 | +0.02 |
| 17 | LAR | 0.13 | 0.12 | +0.01 |
| 18 | NYG | 0.13 | 0.12 | +0.01 |
| 19 | PIT | 0.11 | 0.10 | +0.01 |
| 20 | HOU | 0.11 | 0.11 | +0.01 |
| 21 | IND | 0.13 | 0.12 | +0.01 |
| 22 | CHI | 0.12 | 0.12 | −0.00 |
| 23 | MIA | 0.12 | 0.12 | −0.01 |
| 24 | GB | 0.11 | 0.12 | −0.01 |
| 25 | DET | 0.11 | 0.12 | −0.01 |
| 26 | ARI | 0.13 | 0.15 | −0.02 |
| 27 | MIN | 0.10 | 0.12 | −0.02 |
| 28 | SEA | 0.11 | 0.13 | −0.02 |
| 29 | WAS | 0.13 | 0.15 | −0.02 |
| 30 | LAC | 0.10 | 0.12 | −0.03 |
| 31 | DEN | 0.10 | 0.13 | −0.03 |
| 32 | PHI | 0.10 | 0.14 | −0.04 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 0.14 | +0.00 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| 2 | SEA | 0.15 | +0.02 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 0.34 |
| 3 | PIT | 0.15 | +0.03 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.38 |
| 4 | NE | 0.15 | +0.02 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.35 |
| 5 | SF | 0.15 | +0.03 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
| 6 | BAL | 0.15 | +0.04 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.43 |
| 7 | JAX | 0.16 | +0.01 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.29 |
| 8 | TB | 0.16 | +0.03 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.41 |
| 9 | DEN | 0.16 | +0.03 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.42 |
| 10 | CLE | 0.16 | +0.02 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.37 |
| 11 | LAR | 0.16 | +0.03 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.42 |
| 12 | GB | 0.16 | +0.03 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.39 |
| 13 | CHI | 0.16 | +0.02 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
| 14 | PHI | 0.16 | +0.03 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.42 |
| 15 | KC | 0.16 | +0.03 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.44 |
| 16 | HOU | 0.17 | +0.02 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 0.41 |
| 17 | NYJ | 0.17 | +0.02 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.36 |
| 18 | NYG | 0.17 | +0.03 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| 19 | LAC | 0.17 | +0.03 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.43 |
| 20 | BUF | 0.17 | +0.04 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.52 |
| 21 | CIN | 0.18 | +0.04 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.44 |
| 22 | TEN | 0.18 | +0.03 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.44 |
| 23 | ATL | 0.18 | +0.03 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.43 |
| 24 | NO | 0.18 | +0.05 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.57 |
| 25 | LV | 0.18 | +0.03 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.44 |
| 26 | IND | 0.18 | +0.04 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.50 |
| 27 | WAS | 0.19 | +0.04 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.51 |
| 28 | MIA | 0.19 | +0.05 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.56 |
| 29 | DAL | 0.20 | +0.05 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.59 |
| 30 | DET | 0.20 | +0.04 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.56 |
| 31 | ARI | 0.20 | +0.05 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.58 |
| 32 | CAR | 0.20 | +0.05 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 0.59 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 0.15 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.42 |
| LAC | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.43 |
| PHI | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.42 |
| MIN | 0.17 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| PIT | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.38 |
| GB | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.39 |
| DET | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.56 |
| KC | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.44 |
| HOU | 0.18 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 0.41 |
| SEA | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 0.34 |
| BAL | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.43 |
| MIA | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.56 |
| CHI | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
| TB | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.41 |
| BUF | 0.13 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.52 |
| CLE | 0.16 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.37 |
| NO | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.57 |
| IND | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.50 |
| WAS | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.51 |
| NYG | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| ARI | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.58 |
| LAR | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.42 |
| LV | 0.17 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.44 |
| NYJ | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.36 |
| NE | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.35 |
| TEN | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.44 |
| CIN | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.44 |
| DAL | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.59 |
| JAX | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.29 |
| ATL | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.43 |
| SF | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
| CAR | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 0.59 |
Points/drive (allowed) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (0.10), 2019 Patriots (0.07), 2020 Rams (0.10), 2021 Bills (0.09), 2022 49ers (0.09), 2023 Ravens (0.08), 2024 Broncos (0.10).
The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at 0.07; the worst Lions 2020 at 0.19.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2024.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- def_drives_pts_drive
- Side
- defensive
- Family
- Drive Averages
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- lower is better
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.