Defensive: Drive Averages · Points avg (allowed)
What Points avg (allowed) is
Points allowed per opponent drive: points allowed divided by the number of drives opponents had against this defense. The cleanest single measure of a defense, because it ignores how often the opponent had the ball.
Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.
In 2023 the Ravens led at 1.41; the league average was 1.93.
League snapshot — 2023
All 32 teams, lower is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 1.41 | 17 |
| 2 | CLE | 1.57 | 17 |
| 3 | KC | 1.61 | 17 |
| 4 | NYJ | 1.64 | 17 |
| 5 | NO | 1.65 | 17 |
| 6 | BUF | 1.69 | 17 |
| 7 | SF | 1.70 | 17 |
| 8 | PIT | 1.71 | 17 |
| 9 | DAL | 1.75 | 17 |
| 10 | NE | 1.75 | 17 |
| 11 | TB | 1.76 | 17 |
| 12 | LV | 1.77 | 17 |
| 13 | HOU | 1.79 | 17 |
| 14 | JAX | 1.88 | 17 |
| 15 | ATL | 1.89 | 17 |
| 16 | MIN | 1.91 | 17 |
| 17 | LAR | 1.97 | 17 |
| 18 | CHI | 1.98 | 17 |
| 19 | NYG | 1.99 | 17 |
| 20 | GB | 2.00 | 17 |
| 21 | IND | 2.01 | 17 |
| 22 | MIA | 2.03 | 17 |
| 23 | CIN | 2.03 | 17 |
| 24 | TEN | 2.04 | 17 |
| 25 | LAC | 2.07 | 17 |
| 26 | DET | 2.09 | 17 |
| 27 | SEA | 2.17 | 17 |
| 28 | DEN | 2.19 | 17 |
| 29 | CAR | 2.21 | 17 |
| 30 | PHI | 2.42 | 17 |
| 31 | ARI | 2.53 | 17 |
| 32 | WAS | 2.66 | 17 |
At a glance — 2023
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2023
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 1.41 | -0.52 | 100% |
| 2 | CLE | 1.57 | -0.36 | 96.8% |
| 3 | KC | 1.61 | -0.33 | 93.5% |
| 4 | NYJ | 1.64 | -0.29 | 90.3% |
| 5 | NO | 1.65 | -0.28 | 87.1% |
| 6 | BUF | 1.69 | -0.24 | 83.9% |
| 7 | SF | 1.70 | -0.23 | 80.6% |
| 8 | PIT | 1.71 | -0.23 | 77.4% |
| 9 | DAL | 1.75 | -0.18 | 74.2% |
| 10 | NE | 1.75 | -0.18 | 71% |
| 11 | TB | 1.76 | -0.18 | 67.7% |
| 12 | LV | 1.77 | -0.16 | 64.5% |
| 13 | HOU | 1.79 | -0.14 | 61.3% |
| 14 | JAX | 1.88 | -0.05 | 58.1% |
| 15 | ATL | 1.89 | -0.04 | 54.8% |
| 16 | MIN | 1.91 | -0.03 | 51.6% |
| 17 | LAR | 1.97 | 0.04 | 48.4% |
| 18 | CHI | 1.98 | 0.05 | 45.2% |
| 19 | NYG | 1.99 | 0.05 | 41.9% |
| 20 | GB | 2.00 | 0.07 | 38.7% |
| 21 | IND | 2.01 | 0.08 | 35.5% |
| 22 | MIA | 2.03 | 0.09 | 32.3% |
| 23 | CIN | 2.03 | 0.10 | 29% |
| 24 | TEN | 2.04 | 0.11 | 25.8% |
| 25 | LAC | 2.07 | 0.14 | 22.6% |
| 26 | DET | 2.09 | 0.16 | 19.4% |
| 27 | SEA | 2.17 | 0.24 | 16.1% |
| 28 | DEN | 2.19 | 0.25 | 12.9% |
| 29 | CAR | 2.21 | 0.28 | 9.7% |
| 30 | PHI | 2.42 | 0.48 | 6.5% |
| 31 | ARI | 2.53 | 0.59 | 3.2% |
| 32 | WAS | 2.66 | 0.72 | 0% |
Does Points avg (allowed) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 874–704–37 ATS (55.4%) across 2020–2025, #61 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2020 (158–96, 62.2%); its worst 2023 (134–124, 51.9%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 158–96–2 | 62.2% |
| 2021 | 272 | 146–124–2 | 54.1% |
| 2022 | 271 | 145–119–7 | 54.9% |
| 2023 | 272 | 134–124–14 | 51.9% |
| 2024 | 272 | 145–118–9 | 55.1% |
| 2025 | 272 | 146–123–3 | 54.3% |
Points avg (allowed) in 2023 vs 2022
Ravens lead at 1.41 — they ranked #8 last year. Commanders are last at 2.66 — #5 last year.
The league average is 1.93, down 0.04 from 1.97 last year.
Biggest riser: Browns, #19 → #2. Biggest faller: Commanders, #5 → #32.
Spread between first and last: 1.24; 23 teams are within 0.27 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2023 vs 2022
| Rank | Team | 2023 | 2022 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WAS | 2.66 | 1.72 | +0.93 |
| 2 | PHI | 2.42 | 1.88 | +0.54 |
| 3 | DEN | 2.19 | 1.77 | +0.42 |
| 4 | CAR | 2.21 | 1.90 | +0.31 |
| 5 | CIN | 2.03 | 1.79 | +0.24 |
| 6 | SF | 1.70 | 1.48 | +0.22 |
| 7 | ARI | 2.53 | 2.31 | +0.21 |
| 8 | TEN | 2.04 | 1.87 | +0.17 |
| 9 | SEA | 2.17 | 2.11 | +0.06 |
| 10 | LAC | 2.07 | 2.01 | +0.06 |
| 11 | DAL | 1.75 | 1.70 | +0.05 |
| 12 | BUF | 1.69 | 1.65 | +0.04 |
| 13 | NYJ | 1.64 | 1.61 | +0.03 |
| 14 | NE | 1.75 | 1.76 | −0.01 |
| 15 | JAX | 1.88 | 1.91 | −0.03 |
| 16 | NYG | 1.99 | 2.02 | −0.03 |
| 17 | TB | 1.76 | 1.81 | −0.05 |
| 18 | GB | 2.00 | 2.08 | −0.08 |
| 19 | MIA | 2.03 | 2.12 | −0.10 |
| 20 | IND | 2.01 | 2.11 | −0.10 |
| 21 | NO | 1.65 | 1.82 | −0.16 |
| 22 | LAR | 1.97 | 2.17 | −0.20 |
| 23 | PIT | 1.71 | 1.93 | −0.23 |
| 24 | MIN | 1.91 | 2.17 | −0.26 |
| 25 | HOU | 1.79 | 2.07 | −0.28 |
| 26 | DET | 2.09 | 2.37 | −0.28 |
| 27 | ATL | 1.89 | 2.26 | −0.36 |
| 28 | BAL | 1.41 | 1.78 | −0.37 |
| 29 | KC | 1.61 | 1.98 | −0.38 |
| 30 | CLE | 1.57 | 2.02 | −0.44 |
| 31 | LV | 1.77 | 2.27 | −0.50 |
| 32 | CHI | 1.98 | 2.54 | −0.56 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 1.89 | +0.06 | 1.76 | 1.98 | 1.78 | 1.41 | 1.92 | 2.19 | 2.16 |
| 2 | NE | 1.90 | −0.02 | 2.21 | 1.64 | 1.76 | 1.75 | 2.34 | 1.83 | 1.74 |
| 3 | DEN | 1.90 | −0.07 | 2.35 | 1.85 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.57 | 1.61 | 1.95 |
| 4 | PIT | 1.90 | +0.04 | 1.65 | 2.01 | 1.93 | 1.71 | 1.89 | 2.15 | 1.95 |
| 5 | SEA | 1.91 | −0.07 | 2.08 | 1.90 | 2.11 | 2.17 | 1.85 | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| 6 | KC | 1.92 | −0.05 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.98 | 1.61 | 1.93 | 1.93 | 1.79 |
| 7 | SF | 1.94 | +0.02 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 1.48 | 1.70 | 2.41 | 2.18 | 1.79 |
| 8 | MIN | 1.94 | −0.21 | 2.71 | 2.15 | 2.17 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.14 |
| 9 | TB | 1.95 | +0.04 | 1.96 | 1.82 | 1.81 | 1.76 | 2.08 | 2.23 | 2.00 |
| 10 | BUF | 1.98 | +0.10 | 2.21 | 1.53 | 1.65 | 1.69 | 2.11 | 2.06 | 2.61 |
| 11 | NO | 1.98 | +0.12 | 1.86 | 1.68 | 1.82 | 1.65 | 2.13 | 2.08 | 2.65 |
| 12 | PHI | 2.00 | −0.04 | 2.12 | 2.10 | 1.88 | 2.42 | 1.68 | 1.78 | 2.00 |
| 13 | CLE | 2.00 | −0.07 | 2.51 | 2.03 | 2.02 | 1.57 | 2.03 | 1.87 | 1.96 |
| 14 | LAR | 2.00 | +0.06 | 1.57 | 1.99 | 2.17 | 1.97 | 2.23 | 1.90 | 2.18 |
| 15 | GB | 2.06 | −0.04 | 2.26 | 2.10 | 2.08 | 2.00 | 1.85 | 2.21 | 1.93 |
| 16 | HOU | 2.07 | −0.13 | 2.73 | 2.38 | 2.07 | 1.79 | 1.92 | 1.56 | 2.07 |
| 17 | LAC | 2.08 | −0.09 | 2.39 | 2.49 | 2.01 | 2.07 | 1.65 | 1.88 | 2.08 |
| 18 | JAX | 2.10 | −0.17 | 2.67 | 2.57 | 1.91 | 1.88 | 2.40 | 1.77 | 1.46 |
| 19 | CHI | 2.12 | −0.04 | 2.02 | 2.22 | 2.54 | 1.98 | 1.98 | 2.23 | 1.85 |
| 20 | NYG | 2.13 | −0.00 | 2.15 | 2.20 | 2.02 | 1.99 | 2.21 | 2.39 | 1.96 |
| 21 | MIA | 2.14 | +0.13 | 1.83 | 1.92 | 2.12 | 2.03 | 1.98 | 2.38 | 2.75 |
| 22 | IND | 2.16 | +0.07 | 2.08 | 1.97 | 2.11 | 2.01 | 2.12 | 2.31 | 2.46 |
| 23 | CIN | 2.17 | +0.05 | 2.33 | 1.94 | 1.79 | 2.03 | 2.32 | 2.66 | 2.10 |
| 24 | NYJ | 2.17 | −0.05 | 2.54 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 1.64 | 2.27 | 2.69 | 1.81 |
| 25 | TEN | 2.19 | +0.02 | 2.57 | 1.86 | 1.87 | 2.04 | 2.40 | 2.53 | 2.10 |
| 26 | DAL | 2.24 | +0.12 | 2.54 | 1.73 | 1.70 | 1.75 | 2.35 | 2.87 | 2.72 |
| 27 | ATL | 2.25 | −0.04 | 2.34 | 2.54 | 2.26 | 1.89 | 2.38 | 2.20 | 2.14 |
| 28 | CAR | 2.26 | +0.02 | 2.45 | 2.02 | 1.90 | 2.21 | 2.83 | 2.24 | 2.18 |
| 29 | WAS | 2.26 | +0.12 | 1.72 | 2.37 | 1.72 | 2.66 | 2.21 | 2.64 | 2.53 |
| 30 | LV | 2.30 | −0.06 | 2.81 | 2.35 | 2.27 | 1.77 | 2.28 | 2.39 | 2.22 |
| 31 | DET | 2.39 | −0.07 | 2.98 | 2.52 | 2.37 | 2.09 | 1.87 | 2.19 | 2.74 |
| 32 | ARI | 2.40 | +0.14 | 2.06 | 2.01 | 2.31 | 2.53 | 2.22 | 2.67 | 3.00 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 1.76 | 1.98 | 1.78 | 1.41 | 1.92 | 2.19 | 2.16 |
| CLE | 2.51 | 2.03 | 2.02 | 1.57 | 2.03 | 1.87 | 1.96 |
| KC | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.98 | 1.61 | 1.93 | 1.93 | 1.79 |
| NYJ | 2.54 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 1.64 | 2.27 | 2.69 | 1.81 |
| NO | 1.86 | 1.68 | 1.82 | 1.65 | 2.13 | 2.08 | 2.65 |
| BUF | 2.21 | 1.53 | 1.65 | 1.69 | 2.11 | 2.06 | 2.61 |
| SF | 2.04 | 1.96 | 1.48 | 1.70 | 2.41 | 2.18 | 1.79 |
| PIT | 1.65 | 2.01 | 1.93 | 1.71 | 1.89 | 2.15 | 1.95 |
| DAL | 2.54 | 1.73 | 1.70 | 1.75 | 2.35 | 2.87 | 2.72 |
| NE | 2.21 | 1.64 | 1.76 | 1.75 | 2.34 | 1.83 | 1.74 |
| TB | 1.96 | 1.82 | 1.81 | 1.76 | 2.08 | 2.23 | 2.00 |
| LV | 2.81 | 2.35 | 2.27 | 1.77 | 2.28 | 2.39 | 2.22 |
| HOU | 2.73 | 2.38 | 2.07 | 1.79 | 1.92 | 1.56 | 2.07 |
| JAX | 2.67 | 2.57 | 1.91 | 1.88 | 2.40 | 1.77 | 1.46 |
| ATL | 2.34 | 2.54 | 2.26 | 1.89 | 2.38 | 2.20 | 2.14 |
| MIN | 2.71 | 2.15 | 2.17 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.14 |
| LAR | 1.57 | 1.99 | 2.17 | 1.97 | 2.23 | 1.90 | 2.18 |
| CHI | 2.02 | 2.22 | 2.54 | 1.98 | 1.98 | 2.23 | 1.85 |
| NYG | 2.15 | 2.20 | 2.02 | 1.99 | 2.21 | 2.39 | 1.96 |
| GB | 2.26 | 2.10 | 2.08 | 2.00 | 1.85 | 2.21 | 1.93 |
| IND | 2.08 | 1.97 | 2.11 | 2.01 | 2.12 | 2.31 | 2.46 |
| MIA | 1.83 | 1.92 | 2.12 | 2.03 | 1.98 | 2.38 | 2.75 |
| CIN | 2.33 | 1.94 | 1.79 | 2.03 | 2.32 | 2.66 | 2.10 |
| TEN | 2.57 | 1.86 | 1.87 | 2.04 | 2.40 | 2.53 | 2.10 |
| LAC | 2.39 | 2.49 | 2.01 | 2.07 | 1.65 | 1.88 | 2.08 |
| DET | 2.98 | 2.52 | 2.37 | 2.09 | 1.87 | 2.19 | 2.74 |
| SEA | 2.08 | 1.90 | 2.11 | 2.17 | 1.85 | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| DEN | 2.35 | 1.85 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.57 | 1.61 | 1.95 |
| CAR | 2.45 | 2.02 | 1.90 | 2.21 | 2.83 | 2.24 | 2.18 |
| PHI | 2.12 | 2.10 | 1.88 | 2.42 | 1.68 | 1.78 | 2.00 |
| ARI | 2.06 | 2.01 | 2.31 | 2.53 | 2.22 | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| WAS | 1.72 | 2.37 | 1.72 | 2.66 | 2.21 | 2.64 | 2.53 |
Points avg (allowed) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (1.50), 2019 Patriots (1.14), 2020 Rams (1.57), 2021 Bills (1.53), 2022 49ers (1.48), 2023 Ravens (1.41).
The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at 1.14; the worst Lions 2020 at 2.98.
The league average has fallen from 2.04 in 2018 to 1.93 in 2023.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- def_drives_points_avg
- Side
- defensive
- Family
- Drive Averages
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- lower is better
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.