Defensive: Drive Averages · Points avg (allowed)
What Points avg (allowed) is
Points allowed per opponent drive: points allowed divided by the number of drives opponents had against this defense. The cleanest single measure of a defense, because it ignores how often the opponent had the ball.
Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.
In 2019 the Patriots led at 1.14; the league average was 1.99.
League snapshot — 2019
All 32 teams, lower is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 1.14 | 16 |
| 2 | BUF | 1.39 | 16 |
| 3 | PIT | 1.59 | 16 |
| 4 | CHI | 1.61 | 16 |
| 5 | BAL | 1.67 | 16 |
| 6 | SF | 1.70 | 16 |
| 7 | MIN | 1.71 | 16 |
| 8 | TEN | 1.73 | 16 |
| 9 | GB | 1.75 | 16 |
| 10 | DEN | 1.81 | 16 |
| 11 | NYJ | 1.82 | 16 |
| 12 | KC | 1.82 | 16 |
| 13 | DAL | 1.82 | 16 |
| 14 | PHI | 1.85 | 16 |
| 15 | LAR | 1.92 | 16 |
| 16 | NO | 1.95 | 16 |
| 17 | LAC | 2.07 | 16 |
| 18 | SEA | 2.12 | 16 |
| 19 | IND | 2.13 | 16 |
| 20 | CLE | 2.14 | 16 |
| 21 | JAX | 2.17 | 16 |
| 22 | TB | 2.19 | 16 |
| 23 | CIN | 2.20 | 16 |
| 24 | HOU | 2.23 | 16 |
| 25 | DET | 2.23 | 16 |
| 26 | ATL | 2.23 | 16 |
| 27 | NYG | 2.32 | 16 |
| 28 | CAR | 2.33 | 16 |
| 29 | WAS | 2.43 | 16 |
| 30 | ARI | 2.46 | 16 |
| 31 | LV | 2.48 | 16 |
| 32 | MIA | 2.60 | 16 |
At a glance — 2019
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2019
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 1.14 | -0.85 | 100% |
| 2 | BUF | 1.39 | -0.60 | 96.8% |
| 3 | PIT | 1.59 | -0.40 | 93.5% |
| 4 | CHI | 1.61 | -0.38 | 90.3% |
| 5 | BAL | 1.67 | -0.32 | 87.1% |
| 6 | SF | 1.70 | -0.28 | 83.9% |
| 7 | MIN | 1.71 | -0.28 | 80.6% |
| 8 | TEN | 1.73 | -0.25 | 77.4% |
| 9 | GB | 1.75 | -0.24 | 74.2% |
| 10 | DEN | 1.81 | -0.18 | 71% |
| 11 | NYJ | 1.82 | -0.16 | 67.7% |
| 12 | KC | 1.82 | -0.16 | 64.5% |
| 13 | DAL | 1.82 | -0.16 | 61.3% |
| 14 | PHI | 1.85 | -0.13 | 58.1% |
| 15 | LAR | 1.92 | -0.07 | 54.8% |
| 16 | NO | 1.95 | -0.04 | 51.6% |
| 17 | LAC | 2.07 | 0.08 | 48.4% |
| 18 | SEA | 2.12 | 0.13 | 45.2% |
| 19 | IND | 2.13 | 0.14 | 41.9% |
| 20 | CLE | 2.14 | 0.15 | 38.7% |
| 21 | JAX | 2.17 | 0.18 | 35.5% |
| 22 | TB | 2.19 | 0.20 | 32.3% |
| 23 | CIN | 2.20 | 0.21 | 29% |
| 24 | HOU | 2.23 | 0.24 | 25.8% |
| 25 | DET | 2.23 | 0.24 | 22.6% |
| 26 | ATL | 2.23 | 0.24 | 19.4% |
| 27 | NYG | 2.32 | 0.34 | 16.1% |
| 28 | CAR | 2.33 | 0.34 | 12.9% |
| 29 | WAS | 2.43 | 0.44 | 9.7% |
| 30 | ARI | 2.46 | 0.47 | 6.5% |
| 31 | LV | 2.48 | 0.49 | 3.2% |
| 32 | MIA | 2.60 | 0.61 | 0% |
Does Points avg (allowed) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 874–704–37 ATS (55.4%) across 2020–2025, #61 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2020 (158–96, 62.2%); its worst 2023 (134–124, 51.9%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 158–96–2 | 62.2% |
| 2021 | 272 | 146–124–2 | 54.1% |
| 2022 | 271 | 145–119–7 | 54.9% |
| 2023 | 272 | 134–124–14 | 51.9% |
| 2024 | 272 | 145–118–9 | 55.1% |
| 2025 | 272 | 146–123–3 | 54.3% |
Points avg (allowed) in 2019 vs 2018
Patriots lead at 1.14 — they ranked #6 last year. Dolphins are last at 2.60 — #26 last year.
The league average is 1.99, down 0.05 from 2.04 last year.
Biggest riser: 49ers, #27 → #6. Biggest faller: Texans, #3 → #24.
Spread between first and last: 1.46; 22 teams are within 0.33 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2019 vs 2018
| Rank | Team | 2019 | 2018 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOU | 2.23 | 1.67 | +0.55 |
| 2 | JAX | 2.17 | 1.67 | +0.50 |
| 3 | WAS | 2.43 | 2.04 | +0.39 |
| 4 | MIA | 2.60 | 2.33 | +0.27 |
| 5 | ARI | 2.46 | 2.23 | +0.23 |
| 6 | CLE | 2.14 | 1.92 | +0.21 |
| 7 | SEA | 2.12 | 1.91 | +0.21 |
| 8 | DET | 2.23 | 2.02 | +0.20 |
| 9 | IND | 2.13 | 1.93 | +0.20 |
| 10 | LAC | 2.07 | 1.89 | +0.18 |
| 11 | CHI | 1.61 | 1.50 | +0.11 |
| 12 | CAR | 2.33 | 2.22 | +0.11 |
| 13 | BAL | 1.67 | 1.57 | +0.10 |
| 14 | NYG | 2.32 | 2.24 | +0.09 |
| 15 | TEN | 1.73 | 1.73 | +0.00 |
| 16 | DEN | 1.81 | 1.84 | −0.03 |
| 17 | MIN | 1.71 | 1.79 | −0.07 |
| 18 | DAL | 1.82 | 1.91 | −0.08 |
| 19 | PHI | 1.85 | 1.96 | −0.10 |
| 20 | LV | 2.48 | 2.59 | −0.12 |
| 21 | ATL | 2.23 | 2.39 | −0.16 |
| 22 | NO | 1.95 | 2.11 | −0.17 |
| 23 | LAR | 1.92 | 2.13 | −0.22 |
| 24 | TB | 2.19 | 2.48 | −0.29 |
| 25 | NYJ | 1.82 | 2.14 | −0.32 |
| 26 | PIT | 1.59 | 1.91 | −0.33 |
| 27 | CIN | 2.20 | 2.53 | −0.33 |
| 28 | GB | 1.75 | 2.16 | −0.41 |
| 29 | KC | 1.82 | 2.34 | −0.52 |
| 30 | BUF | 1.39 | 1.92 | −0.53 |
| 31 | NE | 1.14 | 1.74 | −0.60 |
| 32 | SF | 1.70 | 2.34 | −0.64 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 1.89 | +0.06 | 1.76 | 1.98 | 1.78 | 1.41 | 1.92 | 2.19 | 2.16 |
| 2 | NE | 1.90 | −0.02 | 2.21 | 1.64 | 1.76 | 1.75 | 2.34 | 1.83 | 1.74 |
| 3 | DEN | 1.90 | −0.07 | 2.35 | 1.85 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.57 | 1.61 | 1.95 |
| 4 | PIT | 1.90 | +0.04 | 1.65 | 2.01 | 1.93 | 1.71 | 1.89 | 2.15 | 1.95 |
| 5 | SEA | 1.91 | −0.07 | 2.08 | 1.90 | 2.11 | 2.17 | 1.85 | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| 6 | KC | 1.92 | −0.05 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.98 | 1.61 | 1.93 | 1.93 | 1.79 |
| 7 | SF | 1.94 | +0.02 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 1.48 | 1.70 | 2.41 | 2.18 | 1.79 |
| 8 | MIN | 1.94 | −0.21 | 2.71 | 2.15 | 2.17 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.14 |
| 9 | TB | 1.95 | +0.04 | 1.96 | 1.82 | 1.81 | 1.76 | 2.08 | 2.23 | 2.00 |
| 10 | BUF | 1.98 | +0.10 | 2.21 | 1.53 | 1.65 | 1.69 | 2.11 | 2.06 | 2.61 |
| 11 | NO | 1.98 | +0.12 | 1.86 | 1.68 | 1.82 | 1.65 | 2.13 | 2.08 | 2.65 |
| 12 | PHI | 2.00 | −0.04 | 2.12 | 2.10 | 1.88 | 2.42 | 1.68 | 1.78 | 2.00 |
| 13 | CLE | 2.00 | −0.07 | 2.51 | 2.03 | 2.02 | 1.57 | 2.03 | 1.87 | 1.96 |
| 14 | LAR | 2.00 | +0.06 | 1.57 | 1.99 | 2.17 | 1.97 | 2.23 | 1.90 | 2.18 |
| 15 | GB | 2.06 | −0.04 | 2.26 | 2.10 | 2.08 | 2.00 | 1.85 | 2.21 | 1.93 |
| 16 | HOU | 2.07 | −0.13 | 2.73 | 2.38 | 2.07 | 1.79 | 1.92 | 1.56 | 2.07 |
| 17 | LAC | 2.08 | −0.09 | 2.39 | 2.49 | 2.01 | 2.07 | 1.65 | 1.88 | 2.08 |
| 18 | JAX | 2.10 | −0.17 | 2.67 | 2.57 | 1.91 | 1.88 | 2.40 | 1.77 | 1.46 |
| 19 | CHI | 2.12 | −0.04 | 2.02 | 2.22 | 2.54 | 1.98 | 1.98 | 2.23 | 1.85 |
| 20 | NYG | 2.13 | −0.00 | 2.15 | 2.20 | 2.02 | 1.99 | 2.21 | 2.39 | 1.96 |
| 21 | MIA | 2.14 | +0.13 | 1.83 | 1.92 | 2.12 | 2.03 | 1.98 | 2.38 | 2.75 |
| 22 | IND | 2.16 | +0.07 | 2.08 | 1.97 | 2.11 | 2.01 | 2.12 | 2.31 | 2.46 |
| 23 | CIN | 2.17 | +0.05 | 2.33 | 1.94 | 1.79 | 2.03 | 2.32 | 2.66 | 2.10 |
| 24 | NYJ | 2.17 | −0.05 | 2.54 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 1.64 | 2.27 | 2.69 | 1.81 |
| 25 | TEN | 2.19 | +0.02 | 2.57 | 1.86 | 1.87 | 2.04 | 2.40 | 2.53 | 2.10 |
| 26 | DAL | 2.24 | +0.12 | 2.54 | 1.73 | 1.70 | 1.75 | 2.35 | 2.87 | 2.72 |
| 27 | ATL | 2.25 | −0.04 | 2.34 | 2.54 | 2.26 | 1.89 | 2.38 | 2.20 | 2.14 |
| 28 | CAR | 2.26 | +0.02 | 2.45 | 2.02 | 1.90 | 2.21 | 2.83 | 2.24 | 2.18 |
| 29 | WAS | 2.26 | +0.12 | 1.72 | 2.37 | 1.72 | 2.66 | 2.21 | 2.64 | 2.53 |
| 30 | LV | 2.30 | −0.06 | 2.81 | 2.35 | 2.27 | 1.77 | 2.28 | 2.39 | 2.22 |
| 31 | DET | 2.39 | −0.07 | 2.98 | 2.52 | 2.37 | 2.09 | 1.87 | 2.19 | 2.74 |
| 32 | ARI | 2.40 | +0.14 | 2.06 | 2.01 | 2.31 | 2.53 | 2.22 | 2.67 | 3.00 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 2.71 | 2.15 | 2.17 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.14 |
| JAX | 2.67 | 2.57 | 1.91 | 1.88 | 2.40 | 1.77 | 1.46 |
| NE | 2.21 | 1.64 | 1.76 | 1.75 | 2.34 | 1.83 | 1.74 |
| SEA | 2.08 | 1.90 | 2.11 | 2.17 | 1.85 | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| SF | 2.04 | 1.96 | 1.48 | 1.70 | 2.41 | 2.18 | 1.79 |
| KC | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.98 | 1.61 | 1.93 | 1.93 | 1.79 |
| NYJ | 2.54 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 1.64 | 2.27 | 2.69 | 1.81 |
| CHI | 2.02 | 2.22 | 2.54 | 1.98 | 1.98 | 2.23 | 1.85 |
| GB | 2.26 | 2.10 | 2.08 | 2.00 | 1.85 | 2.21 | 1.93 |
| PIT | 1.65 | 2.01 | 1.93 | 1.71 | 1.89 | 2.15 | 1.95 |
| DEN | 2.35 | 1.85 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.57 | 1.61 | 1.95 |
| NYG | 2.15 | 2.20 | 2.02 | 1.99 | 2.21 | 2.39 | 1.96 |
| CLE | 2.51 | 2.03 | 2.02 | 1.57 | 2.03 | 1.87 | 1.96 |
| PHI | 2.12 | 2.10 | 1.88 | 2.42 | 1.68 | 1.78 | 2.00 |
| TB | 1.96 | 1.82 | 1.81 | 1.76 | 2.08 | 2.23 | 2.00 |
| HOU | 2.73 | 2.38 | 2.07 | 1.79 | 1.92 | 1.56 | 2.07 |
| LAC | 2.39 | 2.49 | 2.01 | 2.07 | 1.65 | 1.88 | 2.08 |
| CIN | 2.33 | 1.94 | 1.79 | 2.03 | 2.32 | 2.66 | 2.10 |
| TEN | 2.57 | 1.86 | 1.87 | 2.04 | 2.40 | 2.53 | 2.10 |
| ATL | 2.34 | 2.54 | 2.26 | 1.89 | 2.38 | 2.20 | 2.14 |
| BAL | 1.76 | 1.98 | 1.78 | 1.41 | 1.92 | 2.19 | 2.16 |
| CAR | 2.45 | 2.02 | 1.90 | 2.21 | 2.83 | 2.24 | 2.18 |
| LAR | 1.57 | 1.99 | 2.17 | 1.97 | 2.23 | 1.90 | 2.18 |
| LV | 2.81 | 2.35 | 2.27 | 1.77 | 2.28 | 2.39 | 2.22 |
| IND | 2.08 | 1.97 | 2.11 | 2.01 | 2.12 | 2.31 | 2.46 |
| WAS | 1.72 | 2.37 | 1.72 | 2.66 | 2.21 | 2.64 | 2.53 |
| BUF | 2.21 | 1.53 | 1.65 | 1.69 | 2.11 | 2.06 | 2.61 |
| NO | 1.86 | 1.68 | 1.82 | 1.65 | 2.13 | 2.08 | 2.65 |
| DAL | 2.54 | 1.73 | 1.70 | 1.75 | 2.35 | 2.87 | 2.72 |
| DET | 2.98 | 2.52 | 2.37 | 2.09 | 1.87 | 2.19 | 2.74 |
| MIA | 1.83 | 1.92 | 2.12 | 2.03 | 1.98 | 2.38 | 2.75 |
| ARI | 2.06 | 2.01 | 2.31 | 2.53 | 2.22 | 2.67 | 3.00 |
Points avg (allowed) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (1.50), 2019 Patriots (1.14).
The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at 1.14; the worst Dolphins 2019 at 2.60.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- def_drives_points_avg
- Side
- defensive
- Family
- Drive Averages
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- lower is better
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.