Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

44.21

#19

Def EXP

-55.34

#15

Net EXP

-11.13

Record

8-9

Pythag 7.7 (+0.3)

Power Rating

98.3

#22

SRS

−1.32

#19

SoS Rank

pts: +0.5 (#9)

Pts / Game

22.4

Home 23.9 · Road 21.0

#18

Net Pts / G

−1.8

#19

Pts Allowed / G

24.2

Home 23.6 · Road 24.7

#20

Yds / Play

5.10

#25

Yds/Play Allowed

5.70

#25

3rd Down %

41.2%

#11

3rd Down % Allowed

39.5%

#15

Showing the 2025 season — the most recent with complete stats. 2026 appears here as its weeks complete.

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	380	391.22	-11.22	#18
Total Yards	5447	5,552.97	-105.97	#21
Yds / Play	5.10	5.33	-0.23	#25
1st Downs	332	328.63	+3.38	#17
Turnovers	16	19.66	-3.66	#9
Fumbles Lost	5	7.78	-2.78	#5
EXP Pts	44.21	58.31	-14.10	#19

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	411	391.22	+19.78	#20
Total Yards	5733	5,552.97	+180.03	#19
Yds / Play	5.70	5.33	+0.37	#25
1st Downs	315	328.63	-13.63	#11
Turnovers	23	19.66	+3.34	#9
Fumbles Lost	10	7.78	+2.22	#9
EXP Pts	-55.34	-58.31	+2.97	#15

Scoring Composition

Where Tampa Bay Buccaneers's points come from. Total = 380 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.


Drives	180	177.88	+2.13	#14
Plays / Drive	6.10	6.05	+0.05	#16
Yds / Drive	30.20	31.19	-0.99	#23
Points / Drive	2.05	2.11	-0.06	#19
Score %	39.40	39.55	-0.15	#17
Turnover %	8.90	10.49	-1.59	#10

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Rush Att	472	456.28	+15.72	#14
Rush Yds	1947	1,988.06	-41.06	#21
Rush Y/A	4.10	4.34	-0.24	#26
Rush TD	13	15.94	-2.94	#22
EXP Pts Rush	21.26	11.49	+9.77	#10

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	558	544.97	+13.03	#16
Pass Cmp	351	350.53	+0.47	#15
Cmp %	62.90	64.35	-1.45	#21
Pass Yds	3500	3,564.91	-64.91	#20
Yds / Att	6.30	6.56	-0.26	#23
Yds / Cmp	10	10.16	-0.16	#19
Adj Y/A	6.30	6.49	-0.19	#18
Adj NY/A	5.90	6.05	-0.15	#20
Pass TD	26	25.34	+0.66	#15
TD %	4.70	4.66	+0.04	#17
Pass Int	11	11.88	-0.88	#13
Int %	2	2.21	-0.21	#15
Sack %	6.40	6.91	-0.51	#14
Pass Rating	88	89.31	-1.31	#18
EXP Pts Pass	40.83	60.56	-19.73	#21

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.


3rd Down Att	228	214.38	+13.63	#7
3rd Down Made	94	84.69	+9.31	#8
4th Down Att	29	27.69	+1.31	#15
4th Down Made	13	15.28	-2.28	#23
Red Zone Att	50	54.41	-4.41	#23
Red Zone Scores	27	31.16	-4.16	#25

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.


Drives	179	177.88	+1.13	#18
Plays / Drive	5.80	6.05	-0.25	#7
Yds / Drive	31.80	31.21	+0.59	#17
Points / Drive	2.20	2.12	+0.09	#18
Score %	39.10	39.58	-0.48	#15
Turnover %	12.30	10.46	+1.84	#7

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Rush Att	396	456.28	-60.28	#2
Rush Yds	1684	1,988.06	-304.06	#5
Rush Y/A	4.30	4.35	-0.05	#15
Rush TD	16	15.94	+0.06	#16
EXP Pts Rush	4.71	-11.49	+16.20	#7

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	568	544.97	+23.03	#10
Pass Cmp	379	350.53	+28.47	#26
Cmp %	66.70	64.33	+2.37	#26
Pass Yds	4049	3,564.91	+484.09	#27
Yds / Att	7.60	7.02	+0.58	#26
Yds / Cmp	11.40	10.92	+0.48	#24
Adj Y/A	7.70	6.98	+0.72	#26
Adj NY/A	6.70	6.06	+0.64	#24
Pass TD	30	25.34	+4.66	#24
TD %	5.30	4.66	+0.64	#23
Pass Int	13	12.26	+0.74	#14
Int %	2.30	2.24	+0.06	#14
Sack %	6.10	6.91	-0.81	#24
Pass Rating	97.50	91.44	+6.06	#24
EXP Pts Pass	-82.85	-60.56	-22.29	#18

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.


3rd Down Att	200	214.38	-14.38	#5
3rd Down Made	79	84.69	-5.69	#9
4th Down Att	30	27.69	+2.31	#21
4th Down Made	14	15.28	-1.28	#15
Red Zone Att	43	54.41	-11.41	#2
Red Zone Scores	30	31.16	-1.16	#17

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for TB 2025. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

84.0%

#19 of 32

PAT%

97.0%

#13 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

2 / 2

#3 of 32

Return Yards

1,775

#22 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

65 yd

FG %

84.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	6	0	100.0%
30-39	9	1	90.0%
40-49	6	2	75.0%
50-59	10	0	100.0%
60+	1	0	100.0%

Made FG distances

20–29232324252829(6)

30–39303333363636363739(9)

40–49414245484849(6)

50–5950525253545455555758(10)

60+65(1)

Missed FG distances

30–3938(1)

40–494449(2)

Blocked FG distances

30–3938(1)

40–4943(1)

50–5955(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

97.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

30–393639(2)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

291

Punt avg

11.2

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

1484

Kickoff avg

24.3

Total return yds

1775

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2815

Gross avg

43.3

Net yards

2529

Net avg

37.7

Long

62 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

44.6%

Touchbacks

TB %

6.2%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

205

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for TB 2025.

#22 of 32

#19 of 32

#15 of 32

#10 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for TB 2025. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-11.8

#24 of 32

Rush EPA

+0.8

#10 of 32

Recv EPA

+63.4

#26 of 32

CPOE

-2.48

#26 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for TB 2025 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,504

#12 of 32

Pass YAC

1,975

#8 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,504

#12 of 32

Recv YAC

1,975

#8 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for TB 2025. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#4 of 32

Penalty Yds

737

#5 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#4 of 32

Yds / Game

43.4

#5 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2025 vs 2024.


Kick Ret Yds	816	1484	668
Punt Net Yds	1866	2529	663
Punt Yds	2183	2815	632

5-Year Trajectory

TB Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2021 through 2025. Trending up, down, or holding steady?


2021	214.9	-14.3	+200.7
2022	3.0	-11.3	-8.3
2023	34.9	-23.2	+11.7
2024	199.1	-75.7	+123.4
2025	44.2	-55.3	-11.1

Last game — Week 18, 2025

W vs CAR · 16–14

TB failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for TB 2025.

Cmp %

62.9%

#21

Pass Yds/G

205.9

#20

Pass Rating

88.0

#18

Pass TD

#15

Pass Int

#13

Sack Rate

6.4%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. TB has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	8-9	5-12	29.4%	8-9	47.1%	-1.8	-3.0	20	+15.5
Home	8	4-4	1-7	12.5%	6-2	75.0%	+0.2	-3.5	11	+7.5
Away	9	4-5	4-5	44.4%	2-7	22.2%	-3.7	-2.5	20	+15.5
As favorite	11	6-5	3-8	27.3%	5-6	45.5%	+2.3	-2.1	20	+15.5
As underdog	6	2-4	2-4	33.3%	3-3	50.0%	-9.3	-4.6	3	+6.5
Division games	6	3-3	2-4	33.3%	2-4	33.3%	+2.8	-1.4	20	+15.5
Non-division	11	5-6	3-8	27.3%	6-5	54.5%	-4.4	-3.8	11	+7.5
Pick-em (≤3)	5	3-2	2-3	40.0%	1-4	20.0%	-0.4	-1.9	3	+3.5
Small favorite (3-7)	6	4-2	2-4	33.3%	3-3	50.0%	+5.3	+0.2	20	+15.5
Large favorite (7+)	1	0-1	0-1	—	1-0	—	-4.0	-11.5	—	-11.5
Small underdog (3-7)	4	1-3	1-3	—	3-1	—	-7.5	-2.8	3	+6.5
Large underdog (7+)	1	0-1	0-1	—	0-1	—	-27.0	-20.0	—	-20.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2025. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


ATL	Atlanta Falcons	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	+1.0	-2.8
NO	New Orleans Saints	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	+8.0	+2.0
CAR	Carolina Panthers	2	1-1	0-2	0-2	-0.5	-3.5
HOU	Houston Texans	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+1.0	+3.5
NYJ	New York Jets	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+2.0	-4.5
PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-6.0	-2.5
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+3.0	+6.5
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+11.0	+7.5
DET	Detroit Lions	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-15.0	-9.0
NE	New England Patriots	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-5.0	-7.5
BUF	Buffalo Bills	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-12.0	-6.0
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-27.0	-20.0
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+3.0	-1.5
MIA	Miami Dolphins	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-3.0	-8.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	4	3-1	2-2	2-2	50%
Oct	4	3-1	3-1	2-2	75%
Nov	4	1-3	0-4	2-2	0%
Dec	4	0-4	0-4	2-2	0%
Jan	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Sat	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	0%
Sun	13	6-7	4-9	7-6	31%
Mon	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	50%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	6-2	5-3	4-4	62%
Second half (W10+)	9	2-7	0-9	4-5	0%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	10	4-6	1-9	6-4	10%
Turf	7	4-3	4-3	2-5	57%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	3-3	2-4	2-4	33%
Same conference	6	3-3	2-4	3-3	33%
Inter-conference	5	2-3	1-4	3-2	20%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Cool (40-59°F)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Mild (60-74°F)	4	2-2	1-3	2-2	25%
Warm (75°F+)	6	3-3	1-5	4-2	17%
Indoor	5	3-2	3-2	0-5	60%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	10	5-5	2-8	7-3	20%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Indoor	5	3-2	3-2	0-5	60%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	1
ATS	L	9
O/U	U	3

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	3
Longest SU loss streak	4
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	9
Longest O streak	4
Longest U streak	3

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	7	3-4	2-5	5-2	29%
After a loss	9	4-5	2-7	3-6	22%
On 2+ winning streak	3	1-2	0-3	2-1	0%
On 2+ losing streak	5	2-3	0-5	0-5	0%
vs winning opp.	7	2-5	2-5	5-2	29%
vs losing opp.	7	4-3	2-5	3-4	29%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	12	5-7	2-10	8-4	17%
Dome	3	1-2	1-2	0-3	33%
Retractable (closed)	2	2-0	2-0	0-2	100%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	4-4	1-7	6-2	12%
Domestic road	9	4-5	4-5	2-7	44%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	4-4	1-7	6-2	12%
Short (<500)	3	2-1	2-1	0-3	67%
Medium (500-1500)	4	1-3	1-3	1-3	25%
Long (1500+)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Standard (5-7d)	11	6-5	3-8	6-5	27%
Long week (8-10d)	3	1-2	1-2	0-3	33%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-24 G

OctATS 3-14 G

NovATS 0-44 G

DecATS 0-44 G

JanATS 0-11 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SatATS 0-11 G

SunATS 4-913 G

MonATS 1-12 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 5-38 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 0-99 G

By surface

GrassATS 1-910 G

TurfATS 4-37 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-46 G

Same conferenceATS 2-46 G

Inter-conferenceATS 1-45 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 2-1012 G

DomeATS 1-23 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 2-02 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 1-78 G

Domestic roadATS 4-59 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 1-78 G

Short (<500)ATS 2-13 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-34 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-12 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 3-811 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-23 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 3-47 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 0-11 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-34 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 1-45 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 7.0 ptsBias -3.0 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	8-9	0.495 #20	20.8	23.6	32.51	-58.96
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	8-9	0.522 #9	18.3	22.4	4.49	-95.32
New Orleans Saints (NO)	6-11	0.495 #19	18.0	22.5	-19.68	4.59
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	8-9	0.529 #6	22.4	24.2	44.21	-55.34

Insights

A look at how the 2025 Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive ryoe per attempt allowed (1st of 32), defensive epa per rush allowed (3rd of 32), and defensive qb pressure rate (3rd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive ryoe per attempt (30th of 32), defensive stuffed rate forced (30th of 32), and offensive yards after contact per carry (30th of 32).

Rivalries

Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers have met 16 times in the regular season. The series is even at 8 apiece. The most lopsided meeting was a 23-point win for Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2021.
Carolina Panthers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers have met 16 times in the regular season. Tampa Bay Buccaneers leads the series 12 to 4. The most lopsided meeting was a 34-point win for Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2024.
New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers have met 16 times in the regular season. New Orleans Saints leads the series 9 to 7. The most lopsided meeting was a 35-point win for New Orleans Saints in 2020.

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Rivalries

Other teams in NFC South

Neighboring teams in Power Rankings