Carolina Panthers

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

4.49

#26

Def EXP

-95.32

#22

Net EXP

-90.83

Record

8-9

Pythag 6.5 (+1.5)

Power Rating

96.9

#25

SRS

−3.65

#22

SoS Rank

pts: +0.4 (#12)

Pts / Game

18.3

Home 20.9 · Road 16.0

#27

Net Pts / G

−4.1

#23

Pts Allowed / G

22.4

Home 22.9 · Road 21.9

#15

Yds / Play

5.00

#26

Yds/Play Allowed

5.50

#20

3rd Down %

36.1%

#25

3rd Down % Allowed

47.1%

#31

Showing the 2025 season — the most recent with complete stats. 2026 appears here as its weeks complete.

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	311	391.22	-80.22	#27
Total Yards	5025	5,552.97	-527.97	#27
Yds / Play	5	5.33	-0.33	#26
1st Downs	306	328.63	-22.63	#24
Turnovers	23	19.66	+3.34	#25
Fumbles Lost	11	7.78	+3.22	#29
EXP Pts	4.49	58.31	-53.82	#26

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	380	391.22	-11.22	#15
Total Yards	5563	5,552.97	+10.03	#16
Yds / Play	5.50	5.33	+0.17	#20
1st Downs	325	328.63	-3.63	#14
Turnovers	21	19.66	+1.34	#10
Fumbles Lost	6	7.78	-1.78	#24
EXP Pts	-95.32	-58.31	-37.01	#22

Scoring Composition

Where Carolina Panthers's points come from. Total = 311 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.


Drives	165	177.88	-12.88	#31
Plays / Drive	6.30	6.05	+0.25	#8
Yds / Drive	30.30	31.19	-0.89	#21
Points / Drive	1.84	2.11	-0.27	#26
Score %	34.50	39.55	-5.05	#27
Turnover %	13.30	10.49	+2.81	#29

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Rush Att	461	456.28	+4.72	#18
Rush Yds	1977	1,988.06	-11.06	#19
Rush Y/A	4.30	4.34	-0.04	#17
Rush TD	9	15.94	-6.94	#28
EXP Pts Rush	-0.14	11.49	-11.63	#23

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	515	544.97	-29.97	#21
Pass Cmp	329	350.53	-21.53	#22
Cmp %	63.90	64.35	-0.45	#19
Pass Yds	3048	3,564.91	-516.91	#26
Yds / Att	5.90	6.56	-0.66	#27
Yds / Cmp	9.30	10.16	-0.86	#28
Adj Y/A	5.80	6.49	-0.69	#26
Adj NY/A	5.40	6.05	-0.65	#26
Pass TD	24	25.34	-1.34	#19
TD %	4.70	4.66	+0.04	#15
Pass Int	12	11.88	+0.13	#22
Int %	2.30	2.21	+0.09	#20
Sack %	6.40	6.91	-0.51	#15
Pass Rating	85.80	89.31	-3.51	#23
EXP Pts Pass	23.19	60.56	-37.37	#24

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.


3rd Down Att	205	214.38	-9.38	#24
3rd Down Made	74	84.69	-10.69	#26
4th Down Att	40	27.69	+12.31	#2
4th Down Made	27	15.28	+11.72	#1
Red Zone Att	45	54.41	-9.41	#26
Red Zone Scores	24	31.16	-7.16	#27

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.


Drives	162	177.88	-15.88	#2
Plays / Drive	6.50	6.05	+0.45	#29
Yds / Drive	34.40	31.21	+3.19	#28
Points / Drive	2.27	2.12	+0.16	#24
Score %	42.60	39.58	+3.02	#23
Turnover %	11.70	10.46	+1.24	#12

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Rush Att	479	456.28	+22.72	#25
Rush Yds	2096	1,988.06	+107.94	#20
Rush Y/A	4.40	4.35	+0.05	#23
Rush TD	20	15.94	+4.06	#27
EXP Pts Rush	-6.86	-11.49	+4.63	#17

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	507	544.97	-37.97	#27
Pass Cmp	336	350.53	-14.53	#10
Cmp %	66.30	64.33	+1.97	#23
Pass Yds	3467	3,564.91	-97.91	#15
Yds / Att	7.20	7.02	+0.18	#22
Yds / Cmp	10.90	10.92	-0.02	#18
Adj Y/A	6.70	6.98	-0.28	#13
Adj NY/A	5.90	6.06	-0.16	#15
Pass TD	20	25.34	-5.34	#9
TD %	3.90	4.66	-0.76	#11
Pass Int	15	12.26	+2.74	#8
Int %	3	2.24	+0.76	#6
Sack %	5.60	6.91	-1.31	#27
Pass Rating	88.20	91.44	-3.24	#11
EXP Pts Pass	-102.11	-60.56	-41.55	#24

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.


3rd Down Att	210	214.38	-4.38	#13
3rd Down Made	99	84.69	+14.31	#31
4th Down Att	22	27.69	-5.69	#10
4th Down Made	14	15.28	-1.28	#17
Red Zone Att	58	54.41	+3.59	#23
Red Zone Scores	32	31.16	+0.84	#21

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for CAR 2025. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

83.0%

#22 of 32

PAT%

90.0%

#30 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

3 / 3

#1 of 32

Return Yards

1,480

#32 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

57 yd

FG %

83.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	6	0	100.0%
30-39	8	1	88.9%
40-49	8	0	100.0%
50-59	2	3	40.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–29252727282929(6)

30–393031333334353535(8)

40–494041414848484949(8)

50–595557(2)

Missed FG distances

30–3932(1)

50–59545557(3)

Blocked FG distances

40–4948(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

90.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

20–2928(1)

30–3933(1)

40–4949(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

176

Punt avg

7.3

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

1304

Kickoff avg

24.1

Total return yds

1480

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2642

Gross avg

47.2

Net yards

2269

Net avg

40.5

Long

68 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

48.2%

Touchbacks

TB %

5.4%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

313

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for CAR 2025.

#30 of 32

#23 of 32

#30 of 32

#25 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for CAR 2025. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-27.6

#27 of 32

Rush EPA

-19.4

#23 of 32

Recv EPA

+72.5

#22 of 32

CPOE

+1.42

#13 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for CAR 2025 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

3,450

#27 of 32

Pass YAC

1,629

#26 of 32

Recv Air Yds

3,450

#27 of 32

Recv YAC

1,630

#26 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for CAR 2025. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#4 of 32

Penalty Yds

762

#7 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#5 of 32

Yds / Game

44.8

#7 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2025 vs 2024.


All Purpose Yds	6624	6980	356
Kick Ret Yds	1060	1304	244
Penalties Yds	947	762	-185

5-Year Trajectory

CAR Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2021 through 2025. Trending up, down, or holding steady?


2021	-92.1	-9.1	-101.2
2022	-5.1	-52.0	-57.1
2023	-135.0	-56.7	-191.7
2024	-9.5	-220.5	-230.0
2025	4.5	-95.3	-90.8

Last game — Week 18, 2025

L at TB · 14–16

CAR covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for CAR 2025.

Cmp %

63.9%

#19

Pass Yds/G

179.3

#26

Pass Rating

85.8

#23

Pass TD

#19

Pass Int

#22

Sack Rate

6.4%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. CAR has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	8-9	10-7	58.8%	7-10	41.2%	-4.1	+0.3	30	+35.5
Home	8	5-3	5-3	62.5%	4-4	50.0%	-2.0	+1.9	30	+35.5
Away	9	3-6	5-4	55.6%	3-6	33.3%	-5.9	-1.1	7	+15.5
As favorite	2	0-2	0-2	—	0-2	—	-6.5	-10.5	—	-5.5
As underdog	15	8-7	10-5	66.7%	7-8	46.7%	-3.7	+1.8	30	+35.5
Division games	6	3-3	4-2	66.7%	1-5	16.7%	+3.5	+4.8	30	+35.5
Non-division	11	5-6	6-5	54.5%	6-5	54.5%	-8.2	-2.1	7	+15.5
Pick-em (≤3)	6	4-2	5-1	83.3%	2-4	33.3%	+1.8	+3.4	7	+8.5
Small favorite (3-7)	1	0-1	0-1	—	0-1	—	-10.0	-15.5	—	-15.5
Small underdog (3-7)	5	2-3	2-3	40.0%	2-3	40.0%	-5.8	-0.5	30	+35.5
Large underdog (7+)	5	2-3	3-2	60.0%	3-2	60.0%	-8.2	+0.6	3	+15.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2025. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


ATL	Atlanta Falcons	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	+16.5	+21.5
NO	New Orleans Saints	2	0-2	0-2	0-2	-6.5	-10.5
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2	1-1	2-0	0-2	+0.5	+3.5
JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-16.0	-11.5
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-5.0	+2.0
NE	New England Patriots	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-29.0	-23.5
MIA	Miami Dolphins	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+3.0	+4.5
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+3.0	+6.0
NYJ	New York Jets	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+7.0	+8.5
BUF	Buffalo Bills	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-31.0	-24.0
GB	Green Bay Packers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+3.0	+15.5
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-11.0	-3.5
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+3.0	+13.0
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-17.0	-10.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	4	1-3	2-2	2-2	50%
Oct	4	3-1	3-1	3-1	75%
Nov	5	3-2	3-2	2-3	60%
Dec	3	1-2	1-2	0-3	33%
Jan	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	100%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sat	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	100%
Sun	15	8-7	9-6	7-8	60%
Mon	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	5-4	6-3	5-4	67%
Second half (W10+)	8	3-5	4-4	2-6	50%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	13	6-7	8-5	5-8	62%
Turf	4	2-2	2-2	2-2	50%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	3-3	4-2	1-5	67%
Same conference	6	3-3	4-2	3-3	67%
Inter-conference	5	2-3	2-3	3-2	40%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	4	2-2	2-2	1-3	50%
Mild (60-74°F)	6	3-3	4-2	2-4	67%
Warm (75°F+)	4	2-2	2-2	2-2	50%
Indoor	3	1-2	2-1	2-1	67%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	4	1-3	1-3	1-3	25%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	7	4-3	5-2	3-4	71%
Windy (≥15 mph)	3	2-1	2-1	1-2	67%
Indoor	3	1-2	2-1	2-1	67%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	2
ATS	W	1
O/U	U	4

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	3
Longest SU loss streak	2
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	1
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	8	2-6	2-6	3-5	25%
After a loss	8	6-2	8-0	4-4	100%
On 2+ winning streak	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
On 2+ losing streak	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
vs winning opp.	6	2-4	3-3	3-3	50%
vs losing opp.	7	3-4	4-3	3-4	57%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	14	7-7	8-6	5-9	57%
Dome	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Retractable (closed)	2	1-1	2-0	2-0	100%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	5-3	5-3	4-4	62%
Domestic road	9	3-6	5-4	3-6	56%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	5-3	5-3	4-4	62%
Short (<500)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Medium (500-1500)	5	2-3	3-2	1-4	60%
Long (1500+)	2	0-2	1-1	1-1	50%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Standard (5-7d)	14	8-6	10-4	7-7	71%
Long week (8-10d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-24 G

OctATS 3-14 G

NovATS 3-25 G

DecATS 1-23 G

JanATS 1-01 G

By day of week

SatATS 1-01 G

SunATS 9-615 G

MonATS 0-11 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 6-39 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 4-48 G

By surface

GrassATS 8-513 G

TurfATS 2-24 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 4-26 G

Same conferenceATS 4-26 G

Inter-conferenceATS 2-35 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 8-614 G

DomeATS 0-11 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 2-02 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 5-38 G

Domestic roadATS 5-49 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 5-38 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-12 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 3-25 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-12 G

By rest days

Standard (5-7d)ATS 10-414 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 0-11 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 1-56 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-01 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 5-05 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 3-25 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 11.4 ptsBias +0.3 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	8-9	0.495 #20	20.8	23.6	32.51	-58.96
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	8-9	0.522 #9	18.3	22.4	4.49	-95.32
New Orleans Saints (NO)	6-11	0.495 #19	18.0	22.5	-19.68	4.59
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	8-9	0.529 #6	22.4	24.2	44.21	-55.34

Insights

A look at how the 2025 Carolina Panthers ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive avg wr separation (3rd of 32), offensive stuffed rate (6th of 32), and defensive rush success rate allowed (7th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive qb pressure rate (32nd of 32), defensive qb pressure rate (32nd of 32), and offensive yac over expected (28th of 32). Notably, offensive avg wr separation (3rd) yet offensive yac over expected (28th).

Rivalries

Atlanta Falcons and Carolina Panthers have met 16 times in the regular season. Atlanta Falcons leads the series 9 to 7. The most lopsided meeting was a 30-point win for Carolina Panthers in 2025.
Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints have met 16 times in the regular season. New Orleans Saints leads the series 11 to 5. The most lopsided meeting was a 37-point win for New Orleans Saints in 2024.
Carolina Panthers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers have met 16 times in the regular season. Tampa Bay Buccaneers leads the series 12 to 4. The most lopsided meeting was a 34-point win for Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2024.

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Rivalries

Other teams in NFC South

Neighboring teams in Power Rankings