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NFL 2024 – WEEK 14 Games, Power Ratings, Spreads & Predictions

NFL 2024 – WEEK 14 Power Ratings, Spreads & Predictions

The Algorithm had a decent week going 9 – 7 in week 13.  This brings the season record to 96 – 94 – 5.   It was a huge week for Favorites straight up as they went 14 -2, but only 9 – 7 against the spread.

And the spread errors keep shrinking as the Algorithm gets in line with Vegas.  This week the biggest spread error as less than 3.5 points.  We have a classic 0.01 Algorithm selection in taking the Rams over the Bills, and a more pedestrian 0.09 error in the pick of Arizona over Seattle.

The two biggest errors this week are NY Giants getting +5 from New Orleans(error -3.44), and NY Jets getting +6.5 vs Miami(error 3.37).  I can’t think of a parlay I would like less than Giants/Jets, but silicon can do some strange things.

Best of luck this week!

NFL Week 13 vs. Spread

Favorites 9 – 7
Season 110 – 80 – 5

Home 8 – 8
Season 87 – 98 – 5

Neutal Games – 5 (Team Listed Home is 4 – 1)

NFL Week 13 Straight Up

Favorites 14 – 2
Season 125 – 54

Home 8 – 8
Season 96 – 94

Neutal Games – 5 (Favorite is 3 -2)

NFL 2024 Week 14 Picks

2024 Algorithm Record: 96 – 94 – 5

Home Rating Spread Rating Away Vegas Spread Algorithm Pick Spread Error
@ Detroit 110.12 -5.45 104.67 Green Bay -3.5 Detroit -1.95
@ Tennessee 99.65 -5 94.21 Jacksonville -3.5 Tennessee -1.94
@ Miami 101.76 -3.13 98.63 NY Jets -6.5 NY Jets 3.37
@ Minnesota 106.14 -6.39 99.75 Atlanta -5 Minnesota -1.39
@ NY Giants 97.71 1.56 99.27 New Orleans 5 NY Giants -3.44
@ Philadelphia 108.12 -14.42 93.7 Carolina -12 Philadelphia -2.42
@ Pittsburgh 103.98 -9.24 94.74 Cleveland -6 Pittsburgh -3.24
@ Tampa Bay 103.9 -7.89 96.01 Las Vegas -7 Tampa Bay -0.89
@ Arizona 103.7 -3.09 100.61 Seattle -3 Arizona -0.09
@ LA Rams 100.77 4.49 105.26 Buffalo 4.5 LA Rams -0.01
@ San Francisco 104.47 -7 97.62 Chicago -4.5 San Francisco -2.35
@ Kansas City 104 -1.96 102.04 LA Chargers -4 LA Chargers 2.04
@ Dallas 97.18 3.15 100.33 Cincinnati 5.5 Dallas -2.35