SF at SEA
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 5, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes SF the better side by 0.8.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened SEA -3
Now SEA -3
Line history: SEA -3 ×5 (Oct 4–Oct 5) · SEA -2.5 ×2 (Oct 5–Oct 5) · SEA -3 ×2 (Oct 6–Oct 6)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | SF | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 4-0 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 2-2 | SU 3-1 · ATS 1-1-2 · O/U 2-2 |
| At home | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 | SU 2-0 · ATS 0-0-2 · O/U 1-1 |
| On the road | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 |
| As favourite | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 | SU 3-1 · ATS 1-1-2 · O/U 2-2 |
| As underdog | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | |
| In division | SU 2-0 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| Out of division | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 2-1 · ATS 0-1-2 · O/U 2-1 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 1-0 · ATS 0-0-1 · O/U 0-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 2-0 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 | SU 1-1 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 2-0 |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | SF | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 88 | 81 |
| Passing | 50 | 53 |
| Rushing | 34 | 24 |
| From penalties | 6 | 12 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 23 of 40 | 15 of 45 |
| Fourth down | 1 of 2 | 2 of 5 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,556 | 1,437 |
| Total plays | 222 | 234 |
| Yards per play | 7.0 | 6.1 |
| Drives | 38 | 47 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,007 | 996 |
| Completions | 79-113 | 81-124 |
| Yards per pass | 8.9 | 8.0 |
| Touchdowns | 11 | 10 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 3 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 0 (0) | 6 (48) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 549 | 441 |
| Attempts | 115 | 113 |
| Yards per rush | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| Touchdowns | 5 | 3 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 12 of 18 | 9 of 20 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 17 (173) | 35 (327) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 1 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 1 | 3 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2025 wk 18 SEA 13, SF 3 SEA won
- 2025 wk 1 SF 17, SEA 13 SF won
- 2024 wk 11 SEA 20, SF 17 SEA won
- 2024 wk 6 SF 36, SEA 24 SF won
- 2023 wk 14 SEA 16, SF 28 SF won
- 2023 wk 12 SF 31, SEA 13 SF won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: SEA's offense (7th) against SF's defense (30th) in yards after catch.
The mismatch
- SEA's offense ranks 7th in yards after catch; SF's defense ranks 30th against it.
- SF's offense ranks 1st in touchdown rate per pass; SEA's defense ranks T-18th against it.
- SF's offense ranks 5th in red-zone scoring rate; SEA's defense ranks 22nd against it.
- SF's offense ranks T-4th in fumbles lost; SEA's defense ranks T-23rd against it.
- SEA's offense ranks 11th in sack rate (taken); SF's defense ranks 26th against it.
- SEA's offense ranks 16th in share of drives ending in a turnover; SF's defense ranks 27th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: SF (4 wins, 0 losses), on a 4-game winning streak at SEA (3 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 8–8 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Brock Purdy for SF, Drew Lock for SEA.