Week 5 results — 2026

Final scores, the closing line, and who covered.

Results for

Thursday 8 October

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers3-524
DALDallas Cowboys3-516
FinalTB covered
Vegas DAL -9.5DAL -10 → DAL -9.5Total 49.5
Power rating TB 98.3 (18th) · DAL 100.0 (14th)
Algorithm took TB — correct
TB 22.3 scored (20th) · 18.9 allowed (6th)DAL 27.4 scored (7th) · 26.6 allowed (27th)

Sunday 11 October

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-617
JAXJacksonville Jaguars5-219
FinalPHI covered
Vegas JAX -7.5JAX -3.5 → JAX -7.5Total 41.5
Power rating PHI 96.5 (29th) · JAX 104.2 (7th)
Algorithm took JAX — wrong
PHI 17.1 scored (30th) · 25.3 allowed (21st)JAX 28.0 scored (5th) · 15.9 allowed (2nd)
CHIChicago Bears5-27
GBGreen Bay Packers5-331
FinalGB covered
Vegas CHI -1.5Total 46.5
Power rating CHI 104.3 (5th) · GB 97.4 (25th)
Algorithm took CHI — wrong
CHI 25.7 scored (8th) · 20.4 allowed (9th)GB 21.4 scored (24th) · 20.5 allowed (10th)
CINCincinnati Bengals5-231
MIAMiami Dolphins1-624
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas CIN -7CIN -7.5 → CIN -7Total 44.5
Power rating CIN 101.8 (10th) · MIA 94.1 (32nd)
Algorithm took MIA — push
CIN 29.4 scored (2nd) · 22.6 allowed (14th)MIA 16.7 scored (31st) · 25.9 allowed (25th)
LVLas Vegas Raiders4-417
NENew England Patriots5-345
FinalNE covered
Vegas NE -3.5Total 45.5
Power rating LV 101.5 (11th) · NE 99.0 (15th)
Algorithm took LV — wrong
LV 27.6 scored (6th) · 28.8 allowed (31st)NE 23.0 scored (16th) · 20.3 allowed (8th)
MINMinnesota Vikings6-123
NONew Orleans Saints2-513
FinalMIN covered
Vegas MIN -2.5MIN -1.5 → MIN -2.5Total 41.5
Power rating MIN 101.5 (12th) · NO 97.4 (26th)
Algorithm took MIN — correct
MIN 20.0 scored (27th) · 13.3 allowed (1st)NO 23.1 scored (15th) · 27.7 allowed (29th)
CLECleveland Browns5-312
NYJNew York Jets2-617
FinalNYJ covered
Vegas NYJ -2.5NYJ -1.5 → NYJ -2.5Total 38.5
Power rating CLE 98.1 (20th) · NYJ 98.9 (16th)
Algorithm took NYJ — correct
CLE 17.4 scored (29th) · 21.6 allowed (13th)NYJ 21.3 scored (25th) · 23.5 allowed (16th)
INDIndianapolis Colts2-622
PITPittsburgh Steelers6-234
FinalPIT covered
Vegas PIT -3PIT -2.5 → PIT -3Total 41.5
Power rating IND 96.7 (28th) · PIT 97.8 (22nd)
Algorithm took PIT — correct
IND 20.1 scored (26th) · 27.8 allowed (30th)PIT 22.5 scored (18th) · 18.0 allowed (4th)
HOUHouston Texans2-526
TENTennessee Titans1-73
FinalHOU covered
Vegas HOU -6.5Total 37.5
Power rating HOU 98.2 (19th) · TEN 97.8 (23rd)
Algorithm took TEN — wrong
HOU 23.6 scored (13th) · 24.3 allowed (18th)TEN 18.0 scored (28th) · 24.9 allowed (19th)
NYGNew York Giants4-2-127
WASWashington Commanders2-4-127
FinalNYG covered
Vegas WAS -3.5WAS -3 → WAS -3.5Total 41.5
Power rating NYG 97.8 (21st) · WAS 96.3 (30th)
Algorithm took NYG — correct
NYG 23.3 scored (14th) · 23.0 allowed (15th)WAS 22.7 scored (17th) · 26.0 allowed (26th)
DENDenver Broncos6-223
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-717
FinalDEN covered
Vegas DEN -3.5Total 42.5
Power rating DEN 96.8 (27th) · LAC 97.6 (24th)
Algorithm took LAC — wrong
DEN 21.5 scored (22nd) · 20.6 allowed (11th)LAC 14.1 scored (32nd) · 25.0 allowed (20th)
DETDetroit Lions5-245
ARIArizona Cardinals3-521
FinalDET covered
Vegas DET -5.5Total 55.5
Power rating DET 98.5 (17th) · ARI 94.8 (31st)
Algorithm took ARI — wrong
DET 29.0 scored (3rd) · 25.7 allowed (23rd)ARI 21.9 scored (21st) · 29.8 allowed (32nd)
SFSan Francisco 49ers6-132
SEASeattle Seahawks4-329
FinalSF covered
Vegas SEA -3Total 46.5
Power rating SF 108.7 (1st) · SEA 105.4 (3rd)
Algorithm took SF — correct
SF 28.1 scored (4th) · 19.9 allowed (7th)SEA 24.0 scored (11th) · 17.9 allowed (3rd)
BALBaltimore Ravens4-430
ATLAtlanta Falcons3-523
FinalBAL covered
Vegas ATL -3.5BAL -3.5 → ATL -3.5Total 44.5
Power rating BAL 104.3 (4th) · ATL 101.3 (13th)
Algorithm took ATL — wrong
BAL 22.4 scored (19th) · 25.4 allowed (22nd)ATL 21.4 scored (23rd) · 23.6 allowed (17th)

Monday 12 October

BUFBuffalo Bills6-137
LARLos Angeles Rams4-434
FinalBUF covered
Vegas LAR -3.5LAR -2.5 → LAR -3.5Total 55.5
Power rating BUF 103.3 (8th) · LAR 104.2 (6th)
Algorithm took LAR — wrong
BUF 33.3 scored (1st) · 25.9 allowed (24th)LAR 24.3 scored (10th) · 21.0 allowed (12th)