LAC at SEA

Week 4, 2026

Final

LAC 23, SEA 30

The game landed exactly on the number — a push.

What the site's algorithm makes of it

  • LAC 97.6 (24th by power rating)
  • SEA 105.8 (3rd by power rating)

Power ratings as stored for week 4, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.

It makes SEA the better side by 10.7.

Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.

Opened SEA -7

Now SEA -7

Line history: SEA -7 ×34 (Sep 29–Oct 13)

Scoring offense

Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.

Scoring defense

Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.

Passing

Bubble size is touchdowns.

Rushing

Bubble size is touchdowns.

Drives

Longer is better. 50 is the league median.

Conversions

Longer is better. 50 is the league median.

Betting record — 2026

SplitLACSEA
OverallSU 0-5 · ATS 0-4-1 · O/U 1-4SU 3-2 · ATS 1-2-2 · O/U 3-2
At homeSU 0-3 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 0-3SU 2-1 · ATS 0-1-2 · O/U 2-1
On the roadSU 0-2 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 1-1SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1
As favouriteSU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2SU 3-2 · ATS 1-2-2 · O/U 3-2
As underdogSU 0-3 · ATS 0-2-1 · O/U 1-2
In divisionSU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1
Out of divisionSU 0-3 · ATS 0-2-1 · O/U 1-2SU 2-1 · ATS 0-1-2 · O/U 2-1
Pick'em (±3)SU 1-1 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 1-1
Favoured by 3-7SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1
Favoured by 7+SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1SU 1-1 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 2-0
Dog by 3-7SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1
Dog by 7+SU 0-2 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 1-1

SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.

Season to date — 2026

MetricLACSEA
1st downs
Total8895
Passing4762
Rushing3229
From penalties1412
Efficiency
Third down25 of 6618 of 57
Fourth down2 of 82 of 6
Volume
Total yards1,5781,721
Total plays307294
Yards per play5.15.9
Drives6062
Passing
Passing yards9371,191
Completions85-16199-158
Yards per pass5.87.5
Touchdowns511
Interceptions75
Sacks (yards lost)17 (114)11 (81)
Rushing
Rushing yards641530
Attempts147139
Yards per rush4.43.8
Touchdowns44
Red zone
Scores8 of 1411 of 23
Penalties
Penalties (yards)47 (382)40 (373)
Turnovers
Total129
Fumbles lost56
Interceptions thrown75

Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.

When these two have met

  • 2026 wk 4 LAC 23, SEA 30 SEA won
  • 2022 wk 7 SEA 37, LAC 23 SEA won
  • 2018 wk 9 LAC 25, SEA 17 LAC won

Before the game

  • Biggest mismatch: SEA's offense (3rd) against LAC's defense (26th) in net yards per pass attempt.

The mismatch

  • SEA's offense ranks 3rd in net yards per pass attempt; LAC's defense ranks 26th against it.
  • SEA's offense ranks 4th in yards per pass attempt; LAC's defense ranks 27th against it.
  • SEA's offense ranks 4th in completion rate; LAC's defense ranks 26th against it.
  • LAC's offense ranks 10th in red-zone scoring rate; SEA's defense ranks T-24th against it.
  • LAC's offense ranks T-17th in fumbles lost; SEA's defense ranks T-24th against it.

Form and history

  • Week 4, 2026: LAC (0 wins, 3 losses), on a 3-game losing streak at SEA (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game losing streak.
  • Head-to-head: the series is level at 1–1 in games since 2018.

Starters and rest

  • Projected starters: Justin Herbert for LAC, Drew Lock for SEA.

Final — the recap is on this game's result page.

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