Week 4 results — 2026

Final scores, the closing line, and who covered.

Results for

Thursday 1 October

PITPittsburgh Steelers4-224
CLECleveland Browns4-227
FinalCLE covered
Vegas PIT -2.5Total 38.5
Power rating PIT 97.8 (22nd) · CLE 97.5 (26th)
Algorithm took CLE — correct
PIT 22.8 scored (17th) · 21.3 allowed (12th)CLE 17.7 scored (28th) · 20.3 allowed (7th)

Sunday 4 October

INDIndianapolis Colts2-430
WASWashington Commanders1-4-113
FinalIND covered
Vegas IND -4.5IND -3.5 → IND -4.5Total 46.5
Power rating IND 95.6 (30th) · WAS 96.2 (28th)
Algorithm took WAS — wrong
IND 24.0 scored (15th) · 27.3 allowed (27th)WAS 22.0 scored (21st) · 28.7 allowed (29th)
TENTennessee Titans1-518
BALBaltimore Ravens4-224
FinalTEN covered
Vegas BAL -11.5Total 42.5
Power rating TEN 98.5 (19th) · BAL 103.8 (5th)
Algorithm took TEN — correct
TEN 14.0 scored (32nd) · 21.5 allowed (13th)BAL 26.0 scored (7th) · 22.0 allowed (15th)
NENew England Patriots4-229
BUFBuffalo Bills5-126
FinalNE covered
Vegas BUF -7Total 49.5
Power rating NE 98.9 (18th) · BUF 103.6 (6th)
Algorithm took BUF — wrong
NE 22.7 scored (18th) · 18.8 allowed (5th)BUF 32.8 scored (1st) · 28.5 allowed (28th)
NYJNew York Jets2-412
CHIChicago Bears4-223
FinalCHI covered
Vegas CHI -3.5Total 43.5
Power rating NYJ 100.4 (13th) · CHI 103.4 (7th)
Algorithm took CHI — correct
NYJ 18.7 scored (27th) · 20.3 allowed (8th)CHI 25.0 scored (12th) · 19.8 allowed (6th)
JAXJacksonville Jaguars4-222
CINCincinnati Bengals3-217
FinalJAX covered
Vegas CIN -2.5Total 51.5
Power rating JAX 104.7 (4th) · CIN 101.9 (10th)
Algorithm took JAX — correct
JAX 25.7 scored (8th) · 17.3 allowed (3rd)CIN 25.6 scored (9th) · 21.8 allowed (14th)
DALDallas Cowboys2-434
HOUHouston Texans2-430
FinalDAL covered
Vegas HOU -3HOU -2.5 → HOU -3Total 48.5
Power rating DAL 100.1 (14th) · HOU 97.8 (23rd)
Algorithm took DAL — correct
DAL 25.2 scored (11th) · 26.5 allowed (25th)HOU 24.0 scored (14th) · 23.8 allowed (20th)
ARIArizona Cardinals2-424
NYGNew York Giants3-2-136
FinalNYG covered
Vegas ARI -2.5ARI -1.5 → ARI -2.5Total 44.5
Power rating ARI 94.8 (31st) · NYG 96.2 (29th)
Algorithm took NYG — correct
ARI 21.0 scored (24th) · 29.7 allowed (31st)NYG 22.7 scored (19th) · 23.3 allowed (19th)
LARLos Angeles Rams2-424
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-420
FinalLAR covered
Vegas LAR -3.5LAR -3 → LAR -3.5Total 42.5
Power rating LAR 102.8 (8th) · PHI 98.2 (21st)
Algorithm took PHI — wrong
LAR 22.5 scored (20th) · 23.0 allowed (17th)PHI 17.7 scored (29th) · 22.8 allowed (16th)
GBGreen Bay Packers4-217
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers1-514
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas GB -3GB -3.5 → GB -3Total 38.5
Power rating GB 97.0 (27th) · TB 98.3 (20th)
Algorithm took TB — correct
GB 21.2 scored (23rd) · 20.8 allowed (11th)TB 19.8 scored (25th) · 23.0 allowed (18th)
MIAMiami Dolphins0-510
MINMinnesota Vikings5-015
FinalMIA covered
Vegas MIN -10MIN -11.5 → MIN -10Total 38.5
Power rating MIA 93.4 (32nd) · MIN 101.4 (11th)
Algorithm took MIA — correct
MIA 14.0 scored (31st) · 26.4 allowed (24th)MIN 21.8 scored (22nd) · 12.8 allowed (1st)
KCKansas City Chiefs5-030
LVLas Vegas Raiders3-327
FinalLV covered
Vegas KC -4.5Total 47.5
Power rating KC 106.3 (2nd) · LV 102.4 (9th)
Algorithm took LV — correct
KC 28.0 scored (5th) · 16.6 allowed (2nd)LV 27.0 scored (6th) · 27.0 allowed (26th)
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-623
SEASeattle Seahawks3-330
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas SEA -7Total 42.5
Power rating LAC 97.6 (24th) · SEA 105.8 (3rd)
Algorithm took SEA — push
LAC 15.0 scored (30th) · 25.2 allowed (22nd)SEA 24.7 scored (13th) · 20.3 allowed (9th)
DENDenver Broncos4-214
SFSan Francisco 49ers6-024
FinalSF covered
Vegas SF -3Total 48.5
Power rating DEN 97.6 (25th) · SF 109.1 (1st)
Algorithm took SF — correct
DEN 19.0 scored (26th) · 20.8 allowed (10th)SF 29.5 scored (3rd) · 18.3 allowed (4th)
DETDetroit Lions3-226
CARCarolina Panthers3-232
FinalCAR covered
Vegas DET -4.5DET -3.5 → DET -4.5Total 52.5
Power rating DET 99.3 (16th) · CAR 101.2 (12th)
Algorithm took CAR — correct
DET 32.8 scored (2nd) · 29.6 allowed (30th)CAR 29.2 scored (4th) · 24.6 allowed (21st)

Monday 5 October

ATLAtlanta Falcons2-445
NONew Orleans Saints2-424
FinalATL covered
Vegas NO -1.5NO -3 → NO -1.5Total 47.5
Power rating ATL 99.4 (15th) · NO 99.3 (17th)
Algorithm took ATL — correct
ATL 23.7 scored (16th) · 25.5 allowed (23rd)NO 25.3 scored (10th) · 29.7 allowed (32nd)