NFL 2024 – WEEK 10 Power Ratings, Spreads & Predictions
NFL 2024 – WEEK 10 Power Ratings, Spreads & Predictions
The Algorithm cratered to 4 – 10 – 1 in Week 9 , That puts the season record at 64 – 69 – 5.
Looking at the spread data we can see home teams are having a rough go of it so far in 2024. Straight up home teams are 69 – 65 (there have been 4 Neutral field games, the favorites are 3 – 1 on Neutral fields). Against the spread, home teams are a dismal 58 – 71 – 5 (the teams listed as home in those games are 4 – 0). Thus is you simply avoided neutral fields and bet on away teams all season your winning % would be 55%, high enough to turn a decent profit.
NFL Week 9 vs. Spread
Favorites 9 – 5 – 1
Season 77- 56 – 5
Home 7 – 7 – 1
Season 58 – 71 – 5
Neutal Games – 4 (Team Listed Home is 4 – 0)
NFL Week 9 Straight Up
Favorites 12 – 3
Season 95 – 43
Home 10 – 5
Season 69 – 65
Neutal Games – 4 (Favorite is 3 -1)
NFL 2024 Week 10 Picks
Season ATS – 64- 69 – 5
| Home | Rating | Spread | Rating | Away | Vegas Spread | Algorithm Pick | Spread Error |
| Baltimore | 108.9 | -7.56 | 101.34 | Cincinnati | -6 | Baltimore | -1.56 |
| Carolina | 94.38 | 1.68 | 96.06 | NY Giants | 6.5 | Carolina | -4.82 |
| Chicago | 101.86 | -8.4 | 93.46 | New England | -6 | Chicago | -2.4 |
| Indianapolis | 101.46 | 3.47 | 104.93 | Buffalo | 4.5 | Indianapolis | -1.03 |
| Kansas City | 105.07 | -4.1 | 100.97 | Denver | -9 | Denver | 4.9 |
| New Orleans | 100.84 | 0.49 | 101.33 | Atlanta | 3.5 | New Orleans | -3.01 |
| Tampa Bay | 103.49 | 0.77 | 104.26 | San Francisco | 6.5 | Tampa Bay | -5.73 |
| Washington | 106.82 | -4.45 | 102.37 | Pittsburgh | -2 | Washington | -2.45 |
| Jacksonville | 98.7 | 4.81 | 103.51 | Minnesota | 4 | Minnesota | 0.81 |
| LA Chargers | 105.34 | -7.72 | 97.62 | Tennessee | -7.5 | LA Chargers | -0.22 |
| Dallas | 95.60 | 8.19 | 103.79 | Philadelphia | 7.5 | Philadelphia | 0.69 |
| Arizona | 102.29 | -1.3 | 100.99 | NY Jets | -1 | Arizona | -0.3 |
| Houston | 103.56 | 1.77 | 105.33 | Detroit | 3.5 | Houston | -1.73 |
| LA Rams | 100.28 | -2.94 | 97.34 | Miami | -1.5 | LA Rams | -1.44 |
