Offensive: Conversions · Third down success
New York Jets — Third down success, 2026
- Value5
- Rank#21 of 32
- League average5.13
- Rank in 2025#23 of 32
What Third down success is
Third downs converted into a new set of downs. The count behind the rate.
Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
Through Week 6 of 2026, the Bengals lead at 6.80; the league average is 5.13.
League snapshot — 2026
All 32 teams, higher is better.
At a glance — 2026
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2026
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIN | 6.80 | 1.67 | 100% |
| 2 | NO | 6.60 | 1.47 | 96.8% |
| 3 | CHI | 6.20 | 1.07 | 93.5% |
| 4 | MIN | 6.20 | 1.07 | 90.3% |
| 5 | NYG | 6.20 | 1.07 | 87.1% |
| 6 | ARI | 6 | 0.87 | 83.9% |
| 7 | DAL | 6 | 0.87 | 80.6% |
| 8 | LAR | 6 | 0.87 | 77.4% |
| 9 | JAX | 5.60 | 0.47 | 74.2% |
| 10 | KC | 5.50 | 0.37 | 71% |
| 11 | BUF | 5.40 | 0.27 | 67.7% |
| 12 | LV | 5.40 | 0.27 | 64.5% |
| 13 | MIA | 5.40 | 0.27 | 61.3% |
| 14 | SF | 5.40 | 0.27 | 58.1% |
| 15 | TB | 5.40 | 0.27 | 54.8% |
| 16 | NE | 5.20 | 0.07 | 51.6% |
| 17 | ATL | 5 | -0.13 | 48.4% |
| 18 | HOU | 5 | -0.13 | 45.2% |
| 19 | IND | 5 | -0.13 | 41.9% |
| 20 | LAC | 5 | -0.13 | 38.7% |
| 21 | NYJ | 5 | -0.13 | 35.5% |
| 22 | PHI | 5 | -0.13 | 32.3% |
| 23 | CAR | 4.75 | -0.38 | 29% |
| 24 | DEN | 4.40 | -0.73 | 25.8% |
| 25 | DET | 4.40 | -0.73 | 22.6% |
| 26 | WAS | 4.40 | -0.73 | 19.4% |
| 27 | PIT | 4.20 | -0.93 | 16.1% |
| 28 | TEN | 4.20 | -0.93 | 12.9% |
| 29 | BAL | 4 | -1.13 | 9.7% |
| 30 | CLE | 3.80 | -1.33 | 6.5% |
| 31 | SEA | 3.60 | -1.53 | 3.2% |
| 32 | GB | 3.20 | -1.93 | 0% |
Does Third down success matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 850–728–37 ATS (53.9%) across 2020–2025, #105 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (155–109, 58.7%); its worst 2025 (134–135, 49.8%).
For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 140–114–2 | 55.1% |
| 2021 | 272 | 137–133–2 | 50.7% |
| 2022 | 271 | 155–109–7 | 58.7% |
| 2023 | 272 | 137–121–14 | 53.1% |
| 2024 | 272 | 147–116–9 | 55.9% |
| 2025 | 272 | 134–135–3 | 49.8% |
Third down success in 2026 vs 2025
Bengals lead at 6.80 — they ranked #6 last year. Packers are last at 3.20 — #3 last year.
The league average is 5.13, up 0.11 from 5.02 last year.
Biggest riser: Vikings, #32 → #4. Biggest faller: Packers, #3 → #32.
Spread between first and last: 3.60; 21 teams are within 0.87 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2026 vs 2025
| Rank | Team | 2026 | 2025 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 6.20 | 3.65 | +2.55 |
| 2 | LAR | 6 | 4.47 | +1.53 |
| 3 | NO | 6.60 | 5.18 | +1.42 |
| 4 | MIA | 5.40 | 4 | +1.40 |
| 5 | LV | 5.40 | 4.29 | +1.11 |
| 6 | CIN | 6.80 | 5.71 | +1.09 |
| 7 | NYG | 6.20 | 5.29 | +0.91 |
| 8 | ATL | 5 | 4.12 | +0.88 |
| 9 | DAL | 6 | 5.18 | +0.82 |
| 10 | KC | 5.50 | 4.82 | +0.68 |
| 11 | JAX | 5.60 | 5 | +0.60 |
| 12 | CHI | 6.20 | 5.71 | +0.49 |
| 13 | ARI | 6 | 5.59 | +0.41 |
| 14 | CAR | 4.75 | 4.35 | +0.40 |
| 15 | PHI | 5 | 4.65 | +0.35 |
| 16 | NYJ | 5 | 4.71 | +0.29 |
| 17 | WAS | 4.40 | 4.18 | +0.22 |
| 18 | NE | 5.20 | 5 | +0.20 |
| 19 | IND | 5 | 4.88 | +0.12 |
| 20 | HOU | 5 | 5.12 | −0.12 |
| 21 | TEN | 4.20 | 4.35 | −0.15 |
| 22 | BUF | 5.40 | 5.59 | −0.19 |
| 23 | TB | 5.40 | 5.59 | −0.19 |
| 24 | DET | 4.40 | 4.88 | −0.48 |
| 25 | SF | 5.40 | 6.24 | −0.84 |
| 26 | PIT | 4.20 | 5.06 | −0.86 |
| 27 | BAL | 4 | 4.88 | −0.88 |
| 28 | CLE | 3.80 | 4.76 | −0.96 |
| 29 | DEN | 4.40 | 5.82 | −1.42 |
| 30 | SEA | 3.60 | 5.06 | −1.46 |
| 31 | LAC | 5 | 6.76 | −1.76 |
| 32 | GB | 3.20 | 5.88 | −2.68 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAC | 5.90 | −0.12 | 6.19 | 5.88 | 6.82 | 5.35 | 5.29 | 6.76 | 5 |
| 2 | BUF | 5.83 | −0.12 | 5.81 | 6.18 | 6.06 | 6.53 | 5.24 | 5.59 | 5.40 |
| 3 | KC | 5.78 | −0.13 | 6 | 6.35 | 5.53 | 5.71 | 6.53 | 4.82 | 5.50 |
| 4 | DAL | 5.77 | −0.04 | 5.50 | 5.82 | 6.18 | 6.76 | 4.94 | 5.18 | 6 |
| 5 | TB | 5.76 | −0.00 | 5.38 | 6.18 | 5.47 | 5.82 | 6.47 | 5.59 | 5.40 |
| 6 | PHI | 5.59 | −0.11 | 5.13 | 5.94 | 6.06 | 6.35 | 6 | 4.65 | 5 |
| 7 | CIN | 5.58 | +0.26 | 4.81 | 5 | 6.06 | 4.82 | 5.88 | 5.71 | 6.80 |
| 8 | ARI | 5.37 | +0.08 | 5.06 | 6 | 4.82 | 5.18 | 4.94 | 5.59 | 6 |
| 9 | PIT | 5.37 | −0.27 | 6.06 | 5.59 | 6.24 | 5 | 5.41 | 5.06 | 4.20 |
| 10 | NO | 5.36 | +0.08 | 5.88 | 4.65 | 5.35 | 5.41 | 4.47 | 5.18 | 6.60 |
| 11 | SF | 5.28 | +0.13 | 4.94 | 4.82 | 5.59 | 5.06 | 4.94 | 6.24 | 5.40 |
| 12 | LAR | 5.26 | −0.09 | 6.13 | 5.29 | 4.88 | 5.71 | 4.35 | 4.47 | 6 |
| 13 | CHI | 5.21 | +0.24 | 4.44 | 4.47 | 5.41 | 5.76 | 4.47 | 5.71 | 6.20 |
| 14 | BAL | 5.15 | −0.25 | 6.38 | 4.82 | 5.41 | 5.12 | 5.41 | 4.88 | 4 |
| 15 | HOU | 5.06 | −0.03 | 5.31 | 5.65 | 3.94 | 5.24 | 5.18 | 5.12 | 5 |
| 16 | JAX | 5.04 | +0.04 | 5.25 | 4.53 | 5.29 | 5.12 | 4.47 | 5 | 5.60 |
| 17 | GB | 5.02 | −0.21 | 5.56 | 5.18 | 4.71 | 6.18 | 4.47 | 5.88 | 3.20 |
| 18 | NYG | 5.02 | +0.20 | 4.56 | 5.06 | 4.65 | 4.53 | 4.88 | 5.29 | 6.20 |
| 19 | ATL | 5.02 | −0.18 | 6.13 | 4.88 | 4.82 | 5.35 | 4.82 | 4.12 | 5 |
| 20 | DET | 5.01 | +0.01 | 4.94 | 4.35 | 5.12 | 5.59 | 5.82 | 4.88 | 4.40 |
| 21 | MIN | 4.99 | +0.05 | 4.63 | 5 | 5.47 | 5.18 | 4.82 | 3.65 | 6.20 |
| 22 | WAS | 4.94 | −0.16 | 5.56 | 5.18 | 4.82 | 4.59 | 5.88 | 4.18 | 4.40 |
| 23 | DEN | 4.92 | +0.03 | 5.13 | 4.94 | 4 | 4.76 | 5.35 | 5.82 | 4.40 |
| 24 | IND | 4.90 | +0.00 | 4.94 | 5.12 | 4.53 | 4.94 | 4.88 | 4.88 | 5 |
| 25 | LV | 4.89 | −0.06 | 5.69 | 4.59 | 5 | 4.65 | 4.65 | 4.29 | 5.40 |
| 26 | MIA | 4.81 | −0.05 | 4.88 | 5.65 | 4.18 | 5.06 | 4.53 | 4 | 5.40 |
| 27 | TEN | 4.81 | −0.23 | 5.25 | 6.06 | 4.76 | 4.29 | 4.76 | 4.35 | 4.20 |
| 28 | NE | 4.77 | +0.01 | 4.81 | 5.41 | 4.47 | 4 | 4.53 | 5 | 5.20 |
| 29 | CLE | 4.75 | −0.24 | 5.63 | 4.94 | 5.18 | 4.76 | 4.18 | 4.76 | 3.80 |
| 30 | CAR | 4.60 | −0.03 | 4.88 | 4.94 | 3.82 | 5 | 4.47 | 4.35 | 4.75 |
| 31 | NYJ | 4.59 | +0.08 | 4.38 | 4.59 | 4.88 | 3.65 | 4.94 | 4.71 | 5 |
| 32 | SEA | 4.49 | −0.08 | 4.88 | 4.29 | 4.47 | 4.47 | 4.65 | 5.06 | 3.60 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 4.81 | 5 | 6.06 | 4.82 | 5.88 | 5.71 | 6.80 |
| NO | 5.88 | 4.65 | 5.35 | 5.41 | 4.47 | 5.18 | 6.60 |
| CHI | 4.44 | 4.47 | 5.41 | 5.76 | 4.47 | 5.71 | 6.20 |
| MIN | 4.63 | 5 | 5.47 | 5.18 | 4.82 | 3.65 | 6.20 |
| NYG | 4.56 | 5.06 | 4.65 | 4.53 | 4.88 | 5.29 | 6.20 |
| ARI | 5.06 | 6 | 4.82 | 5.18 | 4.94 | 5.59 | 6 |
| DAL | 5.50 | 5.82 | 6.18 | 6.76 | 4.94 | 5.18 | 6 |
| LAR | 6.13 | 5.29 | 4.88 | 5.71 | 4.35 | 4.47 | 6 |
| JAX | 5.25 | 4.53 | 5.29 | 5.12 | 4.47 | 5 | 5.60 |
| KC | 6 | 6.35 | 5.53 | 5.71 | 6.53 | 4.82 | 5.50 |
| BUF | 5.81 | 6.18 | 6.06 | 6.53 | 5.24 | 5.59 | 5.40 |
| LV | 5.69 | 4.59 | 5 | 4.65 | 4.65 | 4.29 | 5.40 |
| MIA | 4.88 | 5.65 | 4.18 | 5.06 | 4.53 | 4 | 5.40 |
| SF | 4.94 | 4.82 | 5.59 | 5.06 | 4.94 | 6.24 | 5.40 |
| TB | 5.38 | 6.18 | 5.47 | 5.82 | 6.47 | 5.59 | 5.40 |
| NE | 4.81 | 5.41 | 4.47 | 4 | 4.53 | 5 | 5.20 |
| ATL | 6.13 | 4.88 | 4.82 | 5.35 | 4.82 | 4.12 | 5 |
| HOU | 5.31 | 5.65 | 3.94 | 5.24 | 5.18 | 5.12 | 5 |
| IND | 4.94 | 5.12 | 4.53 | 4.94 | 4.88 | 4.88 | 5 |
| LAC | 6.19 | 5.88 | 6.82 | 5.35 | 5.29 | 6.76 | 5 |
| NYJ | 4.38 | 4.59 | 4.88 | 3.65 | 4.94 | 4.71 | 5 |
| PHI | 5.13 | 5.94 | 6.06 | 6.35 | 6 | 4.65 | 5 |
| CAR | 4.88 | 4.94 | 3.82 | 5 | 4.47 | 4.35 | 4.75 |
| DEN | 5.13 | 4.94 | 4 | 4.76 | 5.35 | 5.82 | 4.40 |
| DET | 4.94 | 4.35 | 5.12 | 5.59 | 5.82 | 4.88 | 4.40 |
| WAS | 5.56 | 5.18 | 4.82 | 4.59 | 5.88 | 4.18 | 4.40 |
| PIT | 6.06 | 5.59 | 6.24 | 5 | 5.41 | 5.06 | 4.20 |
| TEN | 5.25 | 6.06 | 4.76 | 4.29 | 4.76 | 4.35 | 4.20 |
| BAL | 6.38 | 4.82 | 5.41 | 5.12 | 5.41 | 4.88 | 4 |
| CLE | 5.63 | 4.94 | 5.18 | 4.76 | 4.18 | 4.76 | 3.80 |
| SEA | 4.88 | 4.29 | 4.47 | 4.47 | 4.65 | 5.06 | 3.60 |
| GB | 5.56 | 5.18 | 4.71 | 6.18 | 4.47 | 5.88 | 3.20 |
Third down success since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Colts (6.56), 2019 Eagles (6.50), 2020 Ravens (6.38), 2021 Chiefs (6.35), 2022 Chargers (6.82), 2023 Cowboys (6.76), 2024 Chiefs (6.53), 2025 Chargers (6.76), 2026 Bengals (6.80).
Chiefs have led this stat 2 of 9 seasons.
The best season on record is Chargers 2022 at 6.82; the worst Packers 2026 at 3.20.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- off_team_conversions_third_down_success
- Side
- offensive
- Family
- Conversions
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.