What Fumbles is

Fumbles by ball carriers on running plays, recovered or not. Forcing a fumble is a skill; recovering one is mostly luck, so the gross count is the part a team actually controls.

Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P.

In 2018 the Bengals led at 0.69; the league average was 1.25.

League snapshot — 2018

League leader

CIN · 0.69

League average

1.25

Best to worst

1.25

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	CIN	0.69	16
2	NE	0.69	16
3	DET	0.88	16
4	MIN	0.94	16
5	NYG	1	16
6	IND	1.06	16
7	LAC	1.06	16
8	LAR	1.06	16
9	MIA	1.06	16
10	DEN	1.13	16
11	KC	1.13	16
12	NO	1.13	16
13	SEA	1.13	16
14	TEN	1.13	16
15	WAS	1.13	16
16	CLE	1.19	16
17	HOU	1.19	16
18	CAR	1.25	16
19	PIT	1.31	16
20	GB	1.38	16
21	ARI	1.44	16
22	BUF	1.44	16
23	CHI	1.44	16
24	DAL	1.44	16
25	TB	1.44	16
26	ATL	1.50	16
27	LV	1.50	16
28	NYJ	1.50	16
29	BAL	1.56	16
30	JAX	1.63	16
31	PHI	1.81	16
32	SF	1.94	16

At a glance — 2018

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

NE · 0.69

League laggard

SF · 1.94

League average

1.25

Spread (max − min)

1.25

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	CIN	0.69	-0.57	100%
2	NE	0.69	-0.57	96.8%
3	DET	0.88	-0.38	93.5%
4	MIN	0.94	-0.32	90.3%
5	NYG	1	-0.25	87.1%
6	IND	1.06	-0.19	83.9%
7	LAC	1.06	-0.19	80.6%
8	LAR	1.06	-0.19	77.4%
9	MIA	1.06	-0.19	74.2%
10	DEN	1.13	-0.13	71%
11	KC	1.13	-0.13	67.7%
12	NO	1.13	-0.13	64.5%
13	SEA	1.13	-0.13	61.3%
14	TEN	1.13	-0.13	58.1%
15	WAS	1.13	-0.13	54.8%
16	CLE	1.19	-0.07	51.6%
17	HOU	1.19	-0.07	48.4%
18	CAR	1.25	0.00	45.2%
19	PIT	1.31	0.06	41.9%
20	GB	1.38	0.12	38.7%
21	ARI	1.44	0.18	35.5%
22	BUF	1.44	0.18	32.3%
23	CHI	1.44	0.18	29%
24	DAL	1.44	0.18	25.8%
25	TB	1.44	0.18	22.6%
26	ATL	1.50	0.25	19.4%
27	LV	1.50	0.25	16.1%
28	NYJ	1.50	0.25	12.9%
29	BAL	1.56	0.31	9.7%
30	JAX	1.63	0.37	6.5%
31	PHI	1.81	0.56	3.2%
32	SF	1.94	0.68	0%

Does Fumbles matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 837–741–37 ATS (53.0%) across 2020–2025, #132 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (154–110, 58.3%); its worst 2021 (124–146, 45.9%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	141–113–2	55.5%
2021	272	124–146–2	45.9%
2022	271	154–110–7	58.3%
2023	272	136–122–14	52.7%
2024	272	145–118–9	55.1%
2025	272	137–132–3	50.9%

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

LAR · 0.81

Multi-year laggard

MIA · 1.38

Biggest improver

ARI · −0.23/yr

Biggest decliner

LAC · +0.18/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	LAR	0.81	−0.05	1.19	0.71	0.94	0.65	0.76	0.65	0.80
2	DET	0.94	+0.03	0.81	1	0.94	1.06	0.71	0.65	1.40
3	CIN	0.96	−0.03	1.25	1.06	0.69	0.59	1.41	0.71	1
4	HOU	0.99	−0.09	1.31	1.06	1.29	1	0.82	0.47	1
5	KC	1.04	−0.10	1.19	1.35	1.24	1.18	0.59	1	0.75
6	TB	1.07	+0.09	0.75	0.71	1	1.24	1.53	1.06	1.20
7	SF	1.08	−0.07	1.25	1.35	0.94	0.94	1.53	0.76	0.80
8	PIT	1.11	−0.06	1.38	1.12	0.94	1.24	1.29	1	0.80
9	DAL	1.11	−0.06	1.19	1.53	0.82	0.76	1.71	1.18	0.60
10	ARI	1.12	−0.23	1.38	1.76	1.47	1.24	1.24	0.76	0
11	JAX	1.13	−0.03	1	1.24	1.12	1.65	1.12	0.82	1
12	SEA	1.15	+0.14	0.88	1	1.12	0.47	1.24	1.53	1.80
13	LV	1.17	−0.08	1.50	1.71	1	0.82	1.06	0.71	1.40
14	CAR	1.18	−0.01	0.81	1.18	1.71	1.41	1	1.18	1
15	DEN	1.19	+0.03	1.44	0.71	1.53	1.24	0.82	0.59	2
16	BAL	1.20	−0.10	1.56	1.24	1.24	1.35	1.12	1.29	0.60
17	ATL	1.20	−0.02	1	1.41	1.24	1.41	1.24	1.12	1
18	NYJ	1.20	+0.15	0.50	0.82	1.24	1.88	1.18	1	1.80
19	NO	1.20	+0.01	1.69	0.82	1.35	0.76	0.94	1.06	1.80
20	IND	1.21	+0.01	0.50	1.24	2.18	1.24	1.18	1.18	1
21	MIN	1.22	−0.03	1.38	1.24	1.06	1.53	1	1.35	1
22	LAC	1.25	+0.18	1	0.59	1.12	1.47	1.18	1	2.40
23	PHI	1.28	−0.13	1.94	1.29	1.35	1.29	1.12	0.94	1
24	GB	1.28	+0.15	0.69	1.06	1.47	1.35	1.06	1.12	2.20
25	WAS	1.28	−0.06	1.50	1.47	1.24	1.18	1.18	1.41	1
26	BUF	1.28	+0.04	1.13	1.41	1.50	1.18	0.65	1.12	2
27	NYG	1.29	+0.03	1.25	1.35	1.12	1.41	1.29	0.82	1.80
28	CLE	1.30	+0.05	1.44	1.18	0.88	1.59	1.18	0.82	2
29	TEN	1.30	+0.05	0.94	1.47	1.35	1.12	1.65	1	1.60
30	NE	1.34	+0.06	1.19	1.18	1.35	1.12	1.76	1.18	1.60
31	CHI	1.36	−0.05	1.25	1.47	1.94	1.41	1.12	0.94	1.40
32	MIA	1.38	+0.06	1.06	1.71	0.94	1.41	1.65	1.12	1.80

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
ARI	1.38	1.76	1.47	1.24	1.24	0.76	0
BAL	1.56	1.24	1.24	1.35	1.12	1.29	0.60
DAL	1.19	1.53	0.82	0.76	1.71	1.18	0.60
KC	1.19	1.35	1.24	1.18	0.59	1	0.75
LAR	1.19	0.71	0.94	0.65	0.76	0.65	0.80
PIT	1.38	1.12	0.94	1.24	1.29	1	0.80
SF	1.25	1.35	0.94	0.94	1.53	0.76	0.80
ATL	1	1.41	1.24	1.41	1.24	1.12	1
CAR	0.81	1.18	1.71	1.41	1	1.18	1
CIN	1.25	1.06	0.69	0.59	1.41	0.71	1
HOU	1.31	1.06	1.29	1	0.82	0.47	1
IND	0.50	1.24	2.18	1.24	1.18	1.18	1
JAX	1	1.24	1.12	1.65	1.12	0.82	1
MIN	1.38	1.24	1.06	1.53	1	1.35	1
PHI	1.94	1.29	1.35	1.29	1.12	0.94	1
WAS	1.50	1.47	1.24	1.18	1.18	1.41	1
TB	0.75	0.71	1	1.24	1.53	1.06	1.20
CHI	1.25	1.47	1.94	1.41	1.12	0.94	1.40
DET	0.81	1	0.94	1.06	0.71	0.65	1.40
LV	1.50	1.71	1	0.82	1.06	0.71	1.40
NE	1.19	1.18	1.35	1.12	1.76	1.18	1.60
TEN	0.94	1.47	1.35	1.12	1.65	1	1.60
MIA	1.06	1.71	0.94	1.41	1.65	1.12	1.80
NO	1.69	0.82	1.35	0.76	0.94	1.06	1.80
NYG	1.25	1.35	1.12	1.41	1.29	0.82	1.80
NYJ	0.50	0.82	1.24	1.88	1.18	1	1.80
SEA	0.88	1	1.12	0.47	1.24	1.53	1.80
BUF	1.13	1.41	1.50	1.18	0.65	1.12	2
CLE	1.44	1.18	0.88	1.59	1.18	0.82	2
DEN	1.44	0.71	1.53	1.24	0.82	0.59	2
GB	0.69	1.06	1.47	1.35	1.06	1.12	2.20
LAC	1	0.59	1.12	1.47	1.18	1	2.40

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_rushing_fumbles
Side: offensive
Family: Rushing
Data source: P only
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.