Offensive: Rushing · Exp pts rush
Expected points added by rushing. Values the situation, not just the yardage.
P + N
About this stat ↓League snapshot — 2021
- League leaderIND 2.93
- League average-0.41
- Best to worst6.77
All 32 teams, higher is better.
At a glance — 2021
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
League leader
IND · 2.93
League laggard
HOU · -3.85
League average
-0.41
Spread (max − min)
6.77
All teams — 2021
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IND | 2.93 | 3.34 | 100% |
| 2 | PHI | 2.86 | 3.27 | 96.8% |
| 3 | BUF | 2.36 | 2.77 | 93.5% |
| 4 | CLE | 2.32 | 2.73 | 90.3% |
| 5 | KC | 1.73 | 2.14 | 87.1% |
| 6 | SEA | 1.47 | 1.88 | 83.9% |
| 7 | GB | 1.31 | 1.72 | 80.6% |
| 8 | TB | 0.99 | 1.40 | 77.4% |
| 9 | NE | 0.84 | 1.25 | 74.2% |
| 10 | BAL | 0.74 | 1.15 | 71% |
| 11 | TEN | 0.54 | 0.95 | 67.7% |
| 12 | ARI | 0.32 | 0.73 | 64.5% |
| 13 | LAC | 0.14 | 0.55 | 61.3% |
| 14 | SF | -0.05 | 0.36 | 58.1% |
| 15 | NYJ | -0.64 | -0.23 | 54.8% |
| 16 | DAL | -0.71 | -0.30 | 51.6% |
| 17 | WAS | -0.71 | -0.30 | 48.4% |
| 18 | CAR | -0.79 | -0.38 | 45.2% |
| 19 | PIT | -0.83 | -0.42 | 41.9% |
| 20 | CHI | -0.85 | -0.44 | 38.7% |
| 21 | CIN | -1.25 | -0.84 | 35.5% |
| 22 | JAX | -1.29 | -0.88 | 32.3% |
| 23 | DEN | -1.37 | -0.96 | 29% |
| 24 | LAR | -1.66 | -1.25 | 25.8% |
| 25 | MIN | -1.94 | -1.53 | 22.6% |
| 26 | NYG | -2.05 | -1.64 | 19.4% |
| 27 | DET | -2.24 | -1.83 | 16.1% |
| 28 | NO | -2.29 | -1.88 | 12.9% |
| 29 | LV | -2.46 | -2.05 | 9.7% |
| 30 | MIA | -3.29 | -2.88 | 6.5% |
| 31 | ATL | -3.37 | -2.96 | 3.2% |
| 32 | HOU | -3.85 | -3.44 | 0% |
Year-over-year — 2021 vs 2020
Biggest movers from last season.
Biggest riser
LAC · +3.29
Biggest faller
BAL · −4.18
Most consistent
DET · −0.02
League trend 2021 vs 2020
▼ -0.17
YoY by team — 2021 vs 2020
| Rank | Team | 2021 | 2020 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAC | 0.14 | -3.16 | +3.29 |
| 2 | IND | 2.93 | -0.33 | +3.26 |
| 3 | PHI | 2.86 | -0.24 | +3.10 |
| 4 | BUF | 2.36 | -0.16 | +2.51 |
| 5 | CLE | 2.32 | 0.35 | +1.97 |
| 6 | NYJ | -0.64 | -2.53 | +1.89 |
| 7 | PIT | -0.83 | -2.60 | +1.77 |
| 8 | SF | -0.05 | -1.75 | +1.70 |
| 9 | CIN | -1.25 | -2.87 | +1.62 |
| 10 | KC | 1.73 | 0.46 | +1.27 |
| 11 | TB | 0.99 | -0.11 | +1.10 |
| 12 | DEN | -1.37 | -1.95 | +0.57 |
| 13 | SEA | 1.47 | 0.99 | +0.48 |
| 14 | DAL | -0.71 | -0.96 | +0.25 |
| 15 | LAR | -1.66 | -1.70 | +0.04 |
| 16 | DET | -2.24 | -2.22 | −0.02 |
| 17 | CHI | -0.85 | -0.39 | −0.45 |
| 18 | JAX | -1.29 | -0.76 | −0.53 |
| 19 | CAR | -0.79 | -0.26 | −0.54 |
| 20 | GB | 1.31 | 2.33 | −1.03 |
| 21 | ATL | -3.37 | -2.35 | −1.03 |
| 22 | WAS | -0.71 | 0.35 | −1.05 |
| 23 | NE | 0.84 | 2.34 | −1.50 |
| 24 | NYG | -2.05 | -0.52 | −1.53 |
| 25 | ARI | 0.32 | 2.11 | −1.79 |
| 26 | MIA | -3.29 | -1.48 | −1.81 |
| 27 | LV | -2.46 | -0.17 | −2.29 |
| 28 | HOU | -3.85 | -1.33 | −2.52 |
| 29 | MIN | -1.94 | 0.91 | −2.85 |
| 30 | TEN | 0.54 | 3.54 | −3.00 |
| 31 | NO | -2.29 | 1.80 | −4.09 |
| 32 | BAL | 0.74 | 4.92 | −4.18 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2019–2025)
Multi-year leader
BAL · 2.96
Multi-year laggard
LV · -2.66
Biggest improver
BUF · +0.68/yr
Biggest decliner
LV · −0.74/yr
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 2.96 | −0.35 | 5.31 | 4.92 | 0.74 | 2.15 | 1.19 | 3.52 | 2.87 |
| 2 | BUF | 1.89 | +0.68 | -0.51 | -0.16 | 2.36 | 2.15 | 2.64 | 3.33 | 3.38 |
| 3 | PHI | 1.49 | +0.45 | -1.79 | -0.24 | 2.86 | 4.37 | 1.07 | 4.01 | 0.15 |
| 4 | KC | 0.82 | +0.12 | -0.55 | 0.46 | 1.73 | 1.87 | 0.62 | 0.93 | 0.67 |
| 5 | ARI | 0.67 | −0.24 | 0.92 | 2.11 | 0.32 | -0.38 | 1.43 | 1.52 | -1.27 |
| 6 | GB | 0.61 | −0.25 | 0.21 | 2.33 | 1.31 | 1.06 | -1.07 | 0.72 | -0.28 |
| 7 | CHI | 0.10 | +0.65 | -3.73 | -0.39 | -0.85 | 3.32 | 1.48 | -1.42 | 2.29 |
| 8 | WAS | 0.04 | +0.62 | -2.33 | 0.35 | -0.71 | -1.66 | -0.51 | 4.62 | 0.54 |
| 9 | IND | -0.05 | −0.14 | 1.55 | -0.33 | 2.93 | -3.78 | -1.98 | -1.12 | 2.38 |
| 10 | SF | -0.14 | +0.33 | -1.17 | -1.75 | -0.05 | -0.23 | 2.03 | 0.32 | -0.12 |
| 11 | CLE | -0.27 | −0.30 | -1.30 | 0.35 | 2.32 | 2.06 | -2.62 | -1.52 | -1.18 |
| 12 | TEN | -0.28 | −0.69 | 0.44 | 3.54 | 0.54 | -1.58 | -0.87 | -2.81 | -1.25 |
| 13 | NE | -0.40 | −0.21 | -1.42 | 2.34 | 0.84 | -0.97 | -2.21 | -1.59 | 0.21 |
| 14 | SEA | -0.42 | −0.20 | -1.82 | 0.99 | 1.47 | -0.03 | -0.91 | -1.21 | -1.42 |
| 15 | DAL | -0.47 | −0.17 | 0.88 | -0.96 | -0.71 | -0.45 | 0.62 | -2.81 | 0.13 |
| 16 | CAR | -0.59 | +0.14 | -1.86 | -0.26 | -0.79 | 0.83 | -1.80 | 0.45 | -0.69 |
| 17 | NYG | -0.77 | +0.13 | -1.17 | -0.52 | -2.05 | 2.25 | -3.89 | -1.09 | 1.05 |
| 18 | TB | -0.97 | +0.31 | -2.51 | -0.11 | 0.99 | -4.47 | -3.06 | 1.97 | 0.38 |
| 19 | CIN | -1.00 | +0.47 | -2.03 | -2.87 | -1.25 | -0.04 | -1.10 | -0.24 | 0.54 |
| 20 | LAR | -1.09 | +0.56 | -3.45 | -1.70 | -1.66 | -0.82 | 0.44 | -1.15 | 0.68 |
| 21 | MIN | -1.15 | −0.09 | -1.05 | 0.91 | -1.94 | -2.36 | -1.67 | -1.58 | -0.35 |
| 22 | DEN | -1.21 | +0.30 | -1.67 | -1.95 | -1.37 | -1.78 | -1.56 | -0.13 | 0.01 |
| 23 | DET | -1.24 | +0.58 | -3.28 | -2.22 | -2.24 | -1.25 | -0.10 | 1.51 | -1.10 |
| 24 | NO | -1.25 | −0.27 | -1.05 | 1.80 | -2.29 | -2.69 | -2.04 | 0.07 | -2.54 |
| 25 | JAX | -1.25 | +0.05 | -1.28 | -0.76 | -1.29 | -1.30 | -3.29 | -0.67 | -0.18 |
| 26 | LAC | -1.37 | +0.31 | -2.20 | -3.16 | 0.14 | -0.17 | -3.86 | -0.82 | 0.50 |
| 27 | PIT | -1.51 | +0.67 | -5.48 | -2.60 | -0.83 | 1.01 | -1.21 | -1.87 | 0.44 |
| 28 | ATL | -1.52 | +0.33 | -2.14 | -2.35 | -3.37 | 1.05 | -3.41 | 0.43 | -0.86 |
| 29 | MIA | -1.97 | +0.19 | -3.50 | -1.48 | -3.29 | -0.20 | 0.13 | -4.76 | -0.65 |
| 30 | NYJ | -2.14 | +0.22 | -3.96 | -2.53 | -0.64 | -0.98 | -3.94 | -1.30 | -1.63 |
| 31 | HOU | -2.33 | −0.31 | 0.58 | -1.33 | -3.85 | -4.27 | -3.49 | -1.82 | -2.12 |
| 32 | LV | -2.66 | −0.74 | -2.08 | -0.17 | -2.46 | -0.32 | -2.81 | -5.17 | -5.58 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 1.55 | -0.33 | 2.93 | -3.78 | -1.98 | -1.12 | 2.38 |
| PHI | -1.79 | -0.24 | 2.86 | 4.37 | 1.07 | 4.01 | 0.15 |
| BUF | -0.51 | -0.16 | 2.36 | 2.15 | 2.64 | 3.33 | 3.38 |
| CLE | -1.30 | 0.35 | 2.32 | 2.06 | -2.62 | -1.52 | -1.18 |
| KC | -0.55 | 0.46 | 1.73 | 1.87 | 0.62 | 0.93 | 0.67 |
| SEA | -1.82 | 0.99 | 1.47 | -0.03 | -0.91 | -1.21 | -1.42 |
| GB | 0.21 | 2.33 | 1.31 | 1.06 | -1.07 | 0.72 | -0.28 |
| TB | -2.51 | -0.11 | 0.99 | -4.47 | -3.06 | 1.97 | 0.38 |
| NE | -1.42 | 2.34 | 0.84 | -0.97 | -2.21 | -1.59 | 0.21 |
| BAL | 5.31 | 4.92 | 0.74 | 2.15 | 1.19 | 3.52 | 2.87 |
| TEN | 0.44 | 3.54 | 0.54 | -1.58 | -0.87 | -2.81 | -1.25 |
| ARI | 0.92 | 2.11 | 0.32 | -0.38 | 1.43 | 1.52 | -1.27 |
| LAC | -2.20 | -3.16 | 0.14 | -0.17 | -3.86 | -0.82 | 0.50 |
| SF | -1.17 | -1.75 | -0.05 | -0.23 | 2.03 | 0.32 | -0.12 |
| NYJ | -3.96 | -2.53 | -0.64 | -0.98 | -3.94 | -1.30 | -1.63 |
| DAL | 0.88 | -0.96 | -0.71 | -0.45 | 0.62 | -2.81 | 0.13 |
| WAS | -2.33 | 0.35 | -0.71 | -1.66 | -0.51 | 4.62 | 0.54 |
| CAR | -1.86 | -0.26 | -0.79 | 0.83 | -1.80 | 0.45 | -0.69 |
| PIT | -5.48 | -2.60 | -0.83 | 1.01 | -1.21 | -1.87 | 0.44 |
| CHI | -3.73 | -0.39 | -0.85 | 3.32 | 1.48 | -1.42 | 2.29 |
| CIN | -2.03 | -2.87 | -1.25 | -0.04 | -1.10 | -0.24 | 0.54 |
| JAX | -1.28 | -0.76 | -1.29 | -1.30 | -3.29 | -0.67 | -0.18 |
| DEN | -1.67 | -1.95 | -1.37 | -1.78 | -1.56 | -0.13 | 0.01 |
| LAR | -3.45 | -1.70 | -1.66 | -0.82 | 0.44 | -1.15 | 0.68 |
| MIN | -1.05 | 0.91 | -1.94 | -2.36 | -1.67 | -1.58 | -0.35 |
| NYG | -1.17 | -0.52 | -2.05 | 2.25 | -3.89 | -1.09 | 1.05 |
| DET | -3.28 | -2.22 | -2.24 | -1.25 | -0.10 | 1.51 | -1.10 |
| NO | -1.05 | 1.80 | -2.29 | -2.69 | -2.04 | 0.07 | -2.54 |
| LV | -2.08 | -0.17 | -2.46 | -0.32 | -2.81 | -5.17 | -5.58 |
| MIA | -3.50 | -1.48 | -3.29 | -0.20 | 0.13 | -4.76 | -0.65 |
| ATL | -2.14 | -2.35 | -3.37 | 1.05 | -3.41 | 0.43 | -0.86 |
| HOU | 0.58 | -1.33 | -3.85 | -4.27 | -3.49 | -1.82 | -2.12 |
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2021.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- off_rushing_exp_pts_rush
- Side
- offensive
- Family
- Rushing
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.