Offensive: Rushing · Exp pts rush
Expected points added by rushing. Values the situation, not just the yardage.
P + N
About this stat ↓League snapshot — 2025
- League leaderBUF 3.38
- League average-0.16
- Best to worst8.96
All 32 teams, higher is better.
At a glance — 2025
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
League leader
BUF · 3.38
League laggard
LV · -5.58
League average
-0.16
Spread (max − min)
8.96
All teams — 2025
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 3.38 | 3.54 | 100% |
| 2 | BAL | 2.87 | 3.03 | 96.8% |
| 3 | IND | 2.38 | 2.54 | 93.5% |
| 4 | CHI | 2.29 | 2.45 | 90.3% |
| 5 | NYG | 1.05 | 1.21 | 87.1% |
| 6 | LAR | 0.68 | 0.83 | 83.9% |
| 7 | KC | 0.67 | 0.82 | 80.6% |
| 8 | CIN | 0.54 | 0.69 | 77.4% |
| 9 | WAS | 0.54 | 0.69 | 74.2% |
| 10 | LAC | 0.50 | 0.66 | 71% |
| 11 | PIT | 0.44 | 0.59 | 67.7% |
| 12 | TB | 0.38 | 0.53 | 64.5% |
| 13 | NE | 0.21 | 0.37 | 61.3% |
| 14 | PHI | 0.15 | 0.30 | 58.1% |
| 15 | DAL | 0.13 | 0.29 | 54.8% |
| 16 | DEN | 0.01 | 0.17 | 51.6% |
| 17 | SF | -0.12 | 0.04 | 48.4% |
| 18 | JAX | -0.18 | -0.02 | 45.2% |
| 19 | GB | -0.28 | -0.13 | 41.9% |
| 20 | MIN | -0.35 | -0.19 | 38.7% |
| 21 | MIA | -0.65 | -0.49 | 35.5% |
| 22 | CAR | -0.69 | -0.53 | 32.3% |
| 23 | ATL | -0.86 | -0.70 | 29% |
| 24 | DET | -1.10 | -0.94 | 25.8% |
| 25 | CLE | -1.18 | -1.02 | 22.6% |
| 26 | TEN | -1.25 | -1.10 | 19.4% |
| 27 | ARI | -1.27 | -1.11 | 16.1% |
| 28 | SEA | -1.42 | -1.26 | 12.9% |
| 29 | NYJ | -1.63 | -1.47 | 9.7% |
| 30 | HOU | -2.12 | -1.97 | 6.5% |
| 31 | NO | -2.54 | -2.39 | 3.2% |
| 32 | LV | -5.58 | -5.42 | 0% |
Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024
Biggest movers from last season.
Biggest riser
MIA · +4.11
Biggest faller
WAS · −4.09
Most consistent
BUF · +0.06
League trend 2025 vs 2024
▲ 0.15
YoY by team — 2025 vs 2024
| Rank | Team | 2025 | 2024 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIA | -0.65 | -4.76 | +4.11 |
| 2 | CHI | 2.29 | -1.42 | +3.71 |
| 3 | IND | 2.38 | -1.12 | +3.51 |
| 4 | DAL | 0.13 | -2.81 | +2.95 |
| 5 | PIT | 0.44 | -1.87 | +2.31 |
| 6 | NYG | 1.05 | -1.09 | +2.14 |
| 7 | LAR | 0.68 | -1.15 | +1.83 |
| 8 | NE | 0.21 | -1.59 | +1.80 |
| 9 | TEN | -1.25 | -2.81 | +1.55 |
| 10 | LAC | 0.50 | -0.82 | +1.32 |
| 11 | MIN | -0.35 | -1.58 | +1.23 |
| 12 | CIN | 0.54 | -0.24 | +0.78 |
| 13 | JAX | -0.18 | -0.67 | +0.49 |
| 14 | CLE | -1.18 | -1.52 | +0.34 |
| 15 | DEN | 0.01 | -0.13 | +0.14 |
| 16 | BUF | 3.38 | 3.33 | +0.06 |
| 17 | SEA | -1.42 | -1.21 | −0.21 |
| 18 | KC | 0.67 | 0.93 | −0.27 |
| 19 | HOU | -2.12 | -1.82 | −0.30 |
| 20 | NYJ | -1.63 | -1.30 | −0.33 |
| 21 | LV | -5.58 | -5.17 | −0.40 |
| 22 | SF | -0.12 | 0.32 | −0.44 |
| 23 | BAL | 2.87 | 3.52 | −0.64 |
| 24 | GB | -0.28 | 0.72 | −1.00 |
| 25 | CAR | -0.69 | 0.45 | −1.14 |
| 26 | ATL | -0.86 | 0.43 | −1.29 |
| 27 | TB | 0.38 | 1.97 | −1.59 |
| 28 | NO | -2.54 | 0.07 | −2.61 |
| 29 | DET | -1.10 | 1.51 | −2.61 |
| 30 | ARI | -1.27 | 1.52 | −2.78 |
| 31 | PHI | 0.15 | 4.01 | −3.87 |
| 32 | WAS | 0.54 | 4.62 | −4.09 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2019–2025)
Multi-year leader
BAL · 2.96
Multi-year laggard
LV · -2.66
Biggest improver
BUF · +0.68/yr
Biggest decliner
LV · −0.74/yr
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 2.96 | −0.35 | 5.31 | 4.92 | 0.74 | 2.15 | 1.19 | 3.52 | 2.87 |
| 2 | BUF | 1.89 | +0.68 | -0.51 | -0.16 | 2.36 | 2.15 | 2.64 | 3.33 | 3.38 |
| 3 | PHI | 1.49 | +0.45 | -1.79 | -0.24 | 2.86 | 4.37 | 1.07 | 4.01 | 0.15 |
| 4 | KC | 0.82 | +0.12 | -0.55 | 0.46 | 1.73 | 1.87 | 0.62 | 0.93 | 0.67 |
| 5 | ARI | 0.67 | −0.24 | 0.92 | 2.11 | 0.32 | -0.38 | 1.43 | 1.52 | -1.27 |
| 6 | GB | 0.61 | −0.25 | 0.21 | 2.33 | 1.31 | 1.06 | -1.07 | 0.72 | -0.28 |
| 7 | CHI | 0.10 | +0.65 | -3.73 | -0.39 | -0.85 | 3.32 | 1.48 | -1.42 | 2.29 |
| 8 | WAS | 0.04 | +0.62 | -2.33 | 0.35 | -0.71 | -1.66 | -0.51 | 4.62 | 0.54 |
| 9 | IND | -0.05 | −0.14 | 1.55 | -0.33 | 2.93 | -3.78 | -1.98 | -1.12 | 2.38 |
| 10 | SF | -0.14 | +0.33 | -1.17 | -1.75 | -0.05 | -0.23 | 2.03 | 0.32 | -0.12 |
| 11 | CLE | -0.27 | −0.30 | -1.30 | 0.35 | 2.32 | 2.06 | -2.62 | -1.52 | -1.18 |
| 12 | TEN | -0.28 | −0.69 | 0.44 | 3.54 | 0.54 | -1.58 | -0.87 | -2.81 | -1.25 |
| 13 | NE | -0.40 | −0.21 | -1.42 | 2.34 | 0.84 | -0.97 | -2.21 | -1.59 | 0.21 |
| 14 | SEA | -0.42 | −0.20 | -1.82 | 0.99 | 1.47 | -0.03 | -0.91 | -1.21 | -1.42 |
| 15 | DAL | -0.47 | −0.17 | 0.88 | -0.96 | -0.71 | -0.45 | 0.62 | -2.81 | 0.13 |
| 16 | CAR | -0.59 | +0.14 | -1.86 | -0.26 | -0.79 | 0.83 | -1.80 | 0.45 | -0.69 |
| 17 | NYG | -0.77 | +0.13 | -1.17 | -0.52 | -2.05 | 2.25 | -3.89 | -1.09 | 1.05 |
| 18 | TB | -0.97 | +0.31 | -2.51 | -0.11 | 0.99 | -4.47 | -3.06 | 1.97 | 0.38 |
| 19 | CIN | -1.00 | +0.47 | -2.03 | -2.87 | -1.25 | -0.04 | -1.10 | -0.24 | 0.54 |
| 20 | LAR | -1.09 | +0.56 | -3.45 | -1.70 | -1.66 | -0.82 | 0.44 | -1.15 | 0.68 |
| 21 | MIN | -1.15 | −0.09 | -1.05 | 0.91 | -1.94 | -2.36 | -1.67 | -1.58 | -0.35 |
| 22 | DEN | -1.21 | +0.30 | -1.67 | -1.95 | -1.37 | -1.78 | -1.56 | -0.13 | 0.01 |
| 23 | DET | -1.24 | +0.58 | -3.28 | -2.22 | -2.24 | -1.25 | -0.10 | 1.51 | -1.10 |
| 24 | NO | -1.25 | −0.27 | -1.05 | 1.80 | -2.29 | -2.69 | -2.04 | 0.07 | -2.54 |
| 25 | JAX | -1.25 | +0.05 | -1.28 | -0.76 | -1.29 | -1.30 | -3.29 | -0.67 | -0.18 |
| 26 | LAC | -1.37 | +0.31 | -2.20 | -3.16 | 0.14 | -0.17 | -3.86 | -0.82 | 0.50 |
| 27 | PIT | -1.51 | +0.67 | -5.48 | -2.60 | -0.83 | 1.01 | -1.21 | -1.87 | 0.44 |
| 28 | ATL | -1.52 | +0.33 | -2.14 | -2.35 | -3.37 | 1.05 | -3.41 | 0.43 | -0.86 |
| 29 | MIA | -1.97 | +0.19 | -3.50 | -1.48 | -3.29 | -0.20 | 0.13 | -4.76 | -0.65 |
| 30 | NYJ | -2.14 | +0.22 | -3.96 | -2.53 | -0.64 | -0.98 | -3.94 | -1.30 | -1.63 |
| 31 | HOU | -2.33 | −0.31 | 0.58 | -1.33 | -3.85 | -4.27 | -3.49 | -1.82 | -2.12 |
| 32 | LV | -2.66 | −0.74 | -2.08 | -0.17 | -2.46 | -0.32 | -2.81 | -5.17 | -5.58 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | -0.51 | -0.16 | 2.36 | 2.15 | 2.64 | 3.33 | 3.38 |
| BAL | 5.31 | 4.92 | 0.74 | 2.15 | 1.19 | 3.52 | 2.87 |
| IND | 1.55 | -0.33 | 2.93 | -3.78 | -1.98 | -1.12 | 2.38 |
| CHI | -3.73 | -0.39 | -0.85 | 3.32 | 1.48 | -1.42 | 2.29 |
| NYG | -1.17 | -0.52 | -2.05 | 2.25 | -3.89 | -1.09 | 1.05 |
| LAR | -3.45 | -1.70 | -1.66 | -0.82 | 0.44 | -1.15 | 0.68 |
| KC | -0.55 | 0.46 | 1.73 | 1.87 | 0.62 | 0.93 | 0.67 |
| CIN | -2.03 | -2.87 | -1.25 | -0.04 | -1.10 | -0.24 | 0.54 |
| WAS | -2.33 | 0.35 | -0.71 | -1.66 | -0.51 | 4.62 | 0.54 |
| LAC | -2.20 | -3.16 | 0.14 | -0.17 | -3.86 | -0.82 | 0.50 |
| PIT | -5.48 | -2.60 | -0.83 | 1.01 | -1.21 | -1.87 | 0.44 |
| TB | -2.51 | -0.11 | 0.99 | -4.47 | -3.06 | 1.97 | 0.38 |
| NE | -1.42 | 2.34 | 0.84 | -0.97 | -2.21 | -1.59 | 0.21 |
| PHI | -1.79 | -0.24 | 2.86 | 4.37 | 1.07 | 4.01 | 0.15 |
| DAL | 0.88 | -0.96 | -0.71 | -0.45 | 0.62 | -2.81 | 0.13 |
| DEN | -1.67 | -1.95 | -1.37 | -1.78 | -1.56 | -0.13 | 0.01 |
| SF | -1.17 | -1.75 | -0.05 | -0.23 | 2.03 | 0.32 | -0.12 |
| JAX | -1.28 | -0.76 | -1.29 | -1.30 | -3.29 | -0.67 | -0.18 |
| GB | 0.21 | 2.33 | 1.31 | 1.06 | -1.07 | 0.72 | -0.28 |
| MIN | -1.05 | 0.91 | -1.94 | -2.36 | -1.67 | -1.58 | -0.35 |
| MIA | -3.50 | -1.48 | -3.29 | -0.20 | 0.13 | -4.76 | -0.65 |
| CAR | -1.86 | -0.26 | -0.79 | 0.83 | -1.80 | 0.45 | -0.69 |
| ATL | -2.14 | -2.35 | -3.37 | 1.05 | -3.41 | 0.43 | -0.86 |
| DET | -3.28 | -2.22 | -2.24 | -1.25 | -0.10 | 1.51 | -1.10 |
| CLE | -1.30 | 0.35 | 2.32 | 2.06 | -2.62 | -1.52 | -1.18 |
| TEN | 0.44 | 3.54 | 0.54 | -1.58 | -0.87 | -2.81 | -1.25 |
| ARI | 0.92 | 2.11 | 0.32 | -0.38 | 1.43 | 1.52 | -1.27 |
| SEA | -1.82 | 0.99 | 1.47 | -0.03 | -0.91 | -1.21 | -1.42 |
| NYJ | -3.96 | -2.53 | -0.64 | -0.98 | -3.94 | -1.30 | -1.63 |
| HOU | 0.58 | -1.33 | -3.85 | -4.27 | -3.49 | -1.82 | -2.12 |
| NO | -1.05 | 1.80 | -2.29 | -2.69 | -2.04 | 0.07 | -2.54 |
| LV | -2.08 | -0.17 | -2.46 | -0.32 | -2.81 | -5.17 | -5.58 |
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- off_rushing_exp_pts_rush
- Side
- offensive
- Family
- Rushing
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.