Buffalo Bills — Targets, 2026

Value26
Rank#29 of 32
League average31.53
Rank in 2025#24 of 32

Buffalo Bills — every stat for 2026, ranked →

What Targets is

Targets: passes thrown toward the team's receivers, caught or not. It shows where an offense is trying to go with the ball, before the result.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

Through Week 6 of 2026, the Rams lead at 42; the league average is 31.53.

League snapshot — 2026

League leader

LAR · 42

League average

31.53

Best to worst

16.60

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	LAR	42	5
2	NO	39	5
3	ARI	38.80	5
4	DET	37.60	5
5	CIN	37.20	5
6	DAL	37.20	5
7	CAR	36.75	4
8	GB	36.20	5
9	PIT	34.80	5
10	LV	34.40	5
11	HOU	34.20	5
12	IND	33.20	5
13	NYG	32.60	5
14	CHI	32.20	5
15	WAS	30.40	5
16	NE	29.80	5
17	KC	29.50	4
18	CLE	29.40	5
19	DEN	29.40	5
20	TB	29.20	5
21	PHI	28.60	5
22	TEN	28.60	5
23	SEA	28.40	5
24	NYJ	27.80	5
25	LAC	27.60	5
26	JAX	27.40	5
27	SF	27.40	5
28	BAL	26.60	5
29	BUF	26	5
30	MIN	25.80	5
31	MIA	25.60	5
32	ATL	25.40	5

At a glance — 2026

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

LAR · 42

League laggard

ATL · 25.40

League average

31.53

Spread (max − min)

16.60

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	LAR	42	10.47	100%
2	NO	39	7.47	96.8%
3	ARI	38.80	7.27	93.5%
4	DET	37.60	6.07	90.3%
5	CIN	37.20	5.67	87.1%
6	DAL	37.20	5.67	83.9%
7	CAR	36.75	5.22	80.6%
8	GB	36.20	4.67	77.4%
9	PIT	34.80	3.27	74.2%
10	LV	34.40	2.87	71%
11	HOU	34.20	2.67	67.7%
12	IND	33.20	1.67	64.5%
13	NYG	32.60	1.07	61.3%
14	CHI	32.20	0.67	58.1%
15	WAS	30.40	-1.13	54.8%
16	NE	29.80	-1.73	51.6%
17	KC	29.50	-2.03	48.4%
18	CLE	29.40	-2.13	45.2%
19	DEN	29.40	-2.13	41.9%
20	TB	29.20	-2.33	38.7%
21	PHI	28.60	-2.93	35.5%
22	TEN	28.60	-2.93	32.3%
23	SEA	28.40	-3.13	29%
24	NYJ	27.80	-3.73	25.8%
25	LAC	27.60	-3.93	22.6%
26	JAX	27.40	-4.13	19.4%
27	SF	27.40	-4.13	16.1%
28	BAL	26.60	-4.93	12.9%
29	BUF	26	-5.53	9.7%
30	MIN	25.80	-5.73	6.5%
31	MIA	25.60	-5.93	3.2%
32	ATL	25.40	-6.13	0%

Does Targets matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 771–807–37 ATS (48.9%) across 2020–2025, #272 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (144–120, 54.5%); its worst 2024 (112–151, 42.6%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	134–120–2	52.8%
2021	272	129–141–2	47.8%
2022	271	144–120–7	54.5%
2023	272	122–136–14	47.3%
2024	272	112–151–9	42.6%
2025	272	130–139–3	48.3%

Targets in 2026 vs 2025

Rams lead at 42 — they ranked #5 last year. Falcons are last at 25.40 — #19 last year.

The league average is 31.53, up 1.00 from 30.53 last year.

Biggest riser: Packers, #29 → #8. Biggest faller: 49ers, #9 → #27.

Spread between first and last: 16.60; 19 teams are within 4.58 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

GB · +9.14

Biggest faller

ATL · −5.13

Most consistent

NYJ · +0.04

League trend 2026 vs 2025

▲ 1.00

Rank	Team	2026	2025	Δ
1	GB	36.20	27.06	+9.14
2	CAR	36.75	28.24	+8.51
3	LAR	42	34.18	+7.82
4	NO	39	33.24	+5.76
5	LV	34.40	29.06	+5.34
6	DET	37.60	32.35	+5.25
7	WAS	30.40	25.41	+4.99
8	PIT	34.80	30.71	+4.09
9	NYG	32.60	29.59	+3.01
10	BAL	26.60	23.94	+2.66
11	ARI	38.80	36.29	+2.51
12	IND	33.20	31.18	+2.02
13	HOU	34.20	32.53	+1.67
14	SEA	28.40	26.76	+1.64
15	DAL	37.20	35.71	+1.49
16	NE	29.80	28.35	+1.45
17	CIN	37.20	35.76	+1.44
18	PHI	28.60	27.29	+1.31
19	CHI	32.20	31.29	+0.91
20	NYJ	27.80	27.76	+0.04
21	CLE	29.40	30.71	−1.31
22	MIA	25.60	27.18	−1.58
23	MIN	25.80	27.53	−1.73
24	BUF	26	28.18	−2.18
25	TEN	28.60	31.18	−2.58
26	TB	29.20	31.82	−2.62
27	KC	29.50	32.29	−2.79
28	LAC	27.60	32	−4.40
29	JAX	27.40	32.18	−4.78
30	DEN	29.40	34.35	−4.95
31	SF	27.40	32.35	−4.95
32	ATL	25.40	30.53	−5.13

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

DAL · 36.17

Multi-year laggard

BAL · 27.43

Biggest improver

NO · +1.21/yr

Biggest decliner

LAC · −2.03/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	DAL	36.17	−0.11	38.56	37.47	32.06	35.59	36.59	35.71	37.20
2	TB	35.58	−2.00	37.88	42.12	42.59	32.35	33.12	31.82	29.20
3	CIN	35.57	+0.47	35.38	31.76	37.13	34.82	36.94	35.76	37.20
4	ARI	34.65	+0.47	34.06	33.53	37.35	31.76	30.76	36.29	38.80
5	KC	34.64	−1.39	38.19	37.47	36.12	35.24	33.65	32.29	29.50
6	LAC	34.57	−2.03	38.19	38.76	40.41	36.12	28.88	32	27.60
7	LAR	34.51	+0.70	35.13	35.41	30.41	32.65	31.82	34.18	42
8	DET	33.70	+0.12	35.13	33.24	33.12	33.76	30.71	32.35	37.60
9	PIT	33.20	−1.37	40.75	38.41	32.24	28.47	27.06	30.71	34.80
10	JAX	32.94	−1.24	36.56	34.29	33.76	35.71	30.71	32.18	27.40
11	LV	32.93	−0.20	32.69	35.47	32.82	31.24	34.82	29.06	34.40
12	HOU	32.66	+0.25	32.81	30.76	32.82	33.29	32.18	32.53	34.20
13	NO	32.19	+1.21	31.75	27.88	29	34.06	30.41	33.24	39
14	IND	31.78	−0.09	33.44	29.53	34.06	32.12	28.94	31.18	33.20
15	BUF	31.74	−1.84	35.75	36.65	34.44	32.06	29.12	28.18	26
16	MIN	31.63	−1.21	30.31	34	37.71	35.65	30.41	27.53	25.80
17	NYJ	31.58	−0.58	28.94	34.18	34.59	33.12	34.65	27.76	27.80
18	MIA	31.57	−1.48	34.19	35.24	33.06	32.29	33.41	27.18	25.60
19	CLE	31.55	+0.39	29.19	29.35	29.82	35.12	37.29	30.71	29.40
20	GB	31.45	−0.10	31.31	33.53	31.76	33	27.29	27.06	36.20
21	DEN	31.38	−0.12	33.31	30.41	31.82	28.06	32.29	34.35	29.40
22	WAS	31.32	−1.07	35.81	31.41	31.24	35.35	29.65	25.41	30.40
23	CAR	31.25	+0.20	32.94	33.82	25.12	31.41	30.47	28.24	36.75
24	NYG	30.93	+0.02	31.25	33.18	28.76	28.53	32.59	29.59	32.60
25	SEA	30.68	−0.60	33.56	27.88	32.53	32.18	33.47	26.76	28.40
26	CHI	30.24	−0.16	37.25	30.82	21.12	28.06	30.94	31.29	32.20
27	ATL	30.21	−1.18	37.81	32.59	23.53	29.88	31.71	30.53	25.40
28	SF	30.16	−0.53	34.63	29.24	29.65	27.71	30.18	32.35	27.40
29	NE	29.56	+0.17	26.25	30.82	30.47	31.82	29.41	28.35	29.80
30	PHI	29.09	−0.89	35.06	27.53	29.71	30.88	24.59	27.29	28.60
31	TEN	29.05	+0.11	29.25	30.71	25.65	28.12	29.82	31.18	28.60
32	BAL	27.43	−0.56	24.50	34.76	27.35	28	26.88	23.94	26.60

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
LAR	35.13	35.41	30.41	32.65	31.82	34.18	42
NO	31.75	27.88	29	34.06	30.41	33.24	39
ARI	34.06	33.53	37.35	31.76	30.76	36.29	38.80
DET	35.13	33.24	33.12	33.76	30.71	32.35	37.60
CIN	35.38	31.76	37.13	34.82	36.94	35.76	37.20
DAL	38.56	37.47	32.06	35.59	36.59	35.71	37.20
CAR	32.94	33.82	25.12	31.41	30.47	28.24	36.75
GB	31.31	33.53	31.76	33	27.29	27.06	36.20
PIT	40.75	38.41	32.24	28.47	27.06	30.71	34.80
LV	32.69	35.47	32.82	31.24	34.82	29.06	34.40
HOU	32.81	30.76	32.82	33.29	32.18	32.53	34.20
IND	33.44	29.53	34.06	32.12	28.94	31.18	33.20
NYG	31.25	33.18	28.76	28.53	32.59	29.59	32.60
CHI	37.25	30.82	21.12	28.06	30.94	31.29	32.20
WAS	35.81	31.41	31.24	35.35	29.65	25.41	30.40
NE	26.25	30.82	30.47	31.82	29.41	28.35	29.80
KC	38.19	37.47	36.12	35.24	33.65	32.29	29.50
CLE	29.19	29.35	29.82	35.12	37.29	30.71	29.40
DEN	33.31	30.41	31.82	28.06	32.29	34.35	29.40
TB	37.88	42.12	42.59	32.35	33.12	31.82	29.20
PHI	35.06	27.53	29.71	30.88	24.59	27.29	28.60
TEN	29.25	30.71	25.65	28.12	29.82	31.18	28.60
SEA	33.56	27.88	32.53	32.18	33.47	26.76	28.40
NYJ	28.94	34.18	34.59	33.12	34.65	27.76	27.80
LAC	38.19	38.76	40.41	36.12	28.88	32	27.60
JAX	36.56	34.29	33.76	35.71	30.71	32.18	27.40
SF	34.63	29.24	29.65	27.71	30.18	32.35	27.40
BAL	24.50	34.76	27.35	28	26.88	23.94	26.60
BUF	35.75	36.65	34.44	32.06	29.12	28.18	26
MIN	30.31	34	37.71	35.65	30.41	27.53	25.80
MIA	34.19	35.24	33.06	32.29	33.41	27.18	25.60
ATL	37.81	32.59	23.53	29.88	31.71	30.53	25.40

Targets since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Steelers (42.25), 2019 Falcons (40.94), 2020 Steelers (40.75), 2021 Buccaneers (42.12), 2022 Buccaneers (42.59), 2023 Chargers (36.12), 2024 Browns (37.29), 2025 Cardinals (36.29), 2026 Rams (42).

Steelers have led this stat 2 of 9 seasons.

The best season on record is Buccaneers 2022 at 42.59; the worst Bears 2022 at 21.12.

The league average has fallen from 33.54 in 2018 to 31.53 in 2026.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_receiving_targets
Side: offensive
Family: Receiving
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.