Offensive: Passing · Pass td perc
What Pass td perc is
Touchdown rate: passing touchdowns divided by pass attempts, as a percentage. The share of throws that scored — a rate rather than a count, and noisy in small samples because touchdowns are rare events.
Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.
Through Week 8 of 2026, the Jaguars lead at 8.42; the league average is 4.59.
League snapshot — 2026
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAX | 8.42 | 7 |
| 2 | CIN | 7.46 | 7 |
| 3 | SF | 7.08 | 7 |
| 4 | LV | 6.40 | 8 |
| 5 | NE | 6.22 | 8 |
| 6 | DET | 6.05 | 7 |
| 7 | SEA | 5.29 | 7 |
| 8 | BUF | 5.26 | 7 |
| 9 | KC | 5.15 | 7 |
| 10 | GB | 5.11 | 8 |
| 11 | NYJ | 4.96 | 8 |
| 12 | LAR | 4.87 | 8 |
| 13 | NO | 4.74 | 7 |
| 14 | WAS | 4.72 | 7 |
| 15 | CAR | 4.71 | 7 |
| 16 | DAL | 4.59 | 8 |
| 17 | NYG | 4.51 | 7 |
| 18 | PIT | 4.47 | 8 |
| 19 | HOU | 4.42 | 7 |
| 20 | ATL | 4.39 | 8 |
| 21 | BAL | 4.37 | 8 |
| 22 | MIN | 4.10 | 7 |
| 23 | ARI | 3.95 | 8 |
| 24 | PHI | 3.72 | 8 |
| 25 | DEN | 3.56 | 8 |
| 26 | MIA | 3.24 | 7 |
| 27 | CHI | 2.90 | 7 |
| 28 | TB | 2.88 | 8 |
| 29 | CLE | 2.77 | 8 |
| 30 | TEN | 2.40 | 8 |
| 31 | LAC | 2.35 | 7 |
| 32 | IND | 1.85 | 8 |
At a glance — 2026
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2026
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAX | 8.42 | 3.83 | 100% |
| 2 | CIN | 7.46 | 2.87 | 96.8% |
| 3 | SF | 7.08 | 2.48 | 93.5% |
| 4 | LV | 6.40 | 1.81 | 90.3% |
| 5 | NE | 6.22 | 1.63 | 87.1% |
| 6 | DET | 6.05 | 1.46 | 83.9% |
| 7 | SEA | 5.29 | 0.70 | 80.6% |
| 8 | BUF | 5.26 | 0.67 | 77.4% |
| 9 | KC | 5.15 | 0.56 | 74.2% |
| 10 | GB | 5.11 | 0.52 | 71% |
| 11 | NYJ | 4.96 | 0.37 | 67.7% |
| 12 | LAR | 4.87 | 0.28 | 64.5% |
| 13 | NO | 4.74 | 0.15 | 61.3% |
| 14 | WAS | 4.72 | 0.13 | 58.1% |
| 15 | CAR | 4.71 | 0.12 | 54.8% |
| 16 | DAL | 4.59 | 0.00 | 51.6% |
| 17 | NYG | 4.51 | -0.08 | 48.4% |
| 18 | PIT | 4.47 | -0.12 | 45.2% |
| 19 | HOU | 4.42 | -0.17 | 41.9% |
| 20 | ATL | 4.39 | -0.20 | 38.7% |
| 21 | BAL | 4.37 | -0.22 | 35.5% |
| 22 | MIN | 4.10 | -0.49 | 32.3% |
| 23 | ARI | 3.95 | -0.64 | 29% |
| 24 | PHI | 3.72 | -0.87 | 25.8% |
| 25 | DEN | 3.56 | -1.03 | 22.6% |
| 26 | MIA | 3.24 | -1.35 | 19.4% |
| 27 | CHI | 2.90 | -1.69 | 16.1% |
| 28 | TB | 2.88 | -1.71 | 12.9% |
| 29 | CLE | 2.77 | -1.82 | 9.7% |
| 30 | TEN | 2.40 | -2.19 | 6.5% |
| 31 | LAC | 2.35 | -2.24 | 3.2% |
| 32 | IND | 1.85 | -2.74 | 0% |
Does Pass td perc matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 875–703–37 ATS (55.4%) across 2020–2025, #60 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2023 (146–112, 56.6%); its worst 2025 (147–122, 54.6%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 140–114–2 | 55.1% |
| 2021 | 272 | 148–122–2 | 54.8% |
| 2022 | 271 | 147–117–7 | 55.7% |
| 2023 | 272 | 146–112–14 | 56.6% |
| 2024 | 272 | 147–116–9 | 55.9% |
| 2025 | 272 | 147–122–3 | 54.6% |
Pass td perc in 2026 vs 2025
Jaguars lead at 8.42 — they ranked #11 last year. Colts are last at 1.85 — #19 last year.
The league average is 4.59, down 0.03 from 4.62 last year.
Biggest riser: Raiders, #26 → #4. Biggest faller: Eagles, #9 → #24.
Spread between first and last: 6.56; 21 teams are within 1.48 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2026 vs 2025
| Rank | Team | 2026 | 2025 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAX | 8.42 | 5.13 | +3.28 |
| 2 | LV | 6.40 | 3.87 | +2.53 |
| 3 | NYJ | 4.96 | 3.01 | +1.95 |
| 4 | CIN | 7.46 | 5.59 | +1.87 |
| 5 | NO | 4.74 | 3.21 | +1.54 |
| 6 | SF | 7.08 | 5.70 | +1.38 |
| 7 | KC | 5.15 | 3.92 | +1.23 |
| 8 | ATL | 4.39 | 3.47 | +0.92 |
| 9 | WAS | 4.72 | 4.02 | +0.70 |
| 10 | NYG | 4.51 | 3.97 | +0.54 |
| 11 | MIN | 4.10 | 3.69 | +0.41 |
| 12 | HOU | 4.42 | 4.09 | +0.33 |
| 13 | SEA | 5.29 | 5.18 | +0.11 |
| 14 | CAR | 4.71 | 4.63 | +0.08 |
| 15 | NE | 6.22 | 6.16 | +0.06 |
| 16 | DET | 6.05 | 6.01 | +0.03 |
| 17 | CLE | 2.77 | 2.86 | −0.09 |
| 18 | GB | 5.11 | 5.30 | −0.18 |
| 19 | TEN | 2.40 | 2.63 | −0.23 |
| 20 | PIT | 4.47 | 4.71 | −0.24 |
| 21 | DAL | 4.59 | 4.94 | −0.35 |
| 22 | DEN | 3.56 | 4.05 | −0.49 |
| 23 | BUF | 5.26 | 5.75 | −0.49 |
| 24 | ARI | 3.95 | 4.45 | −0.50 |
| 25 | BAL | 4.37 | 5.42 | −1.06 |
| 26 | PHI | 3.72 | 5.21 | −1.49 |
| 27 | MIA | 3.24 | 4.77 | −1.53 |
| 28 | TB | 2.88 | 4.61 | −1.73 |
| 29 | CHI | 2.90 | 4.84 | −1.94 |
| 30 | LAC | 2.35 | 4.57 | −2.22 |
| 31 | IND | 1.85 | 4.52 | −2.67 |
| 32 | LAR | 4.87 | 7.69 | −2.82 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GB | 6.02 | −0.48 | 9.13 | 6.55 | 4.77 | 5.48 | 5.80 | 5.30 | 5.11 |
| 2 | BUF | 5.71 | −0.14 | 6.70 | 5.46 | 6.09 | 4.97 | 5.76 | 5.75 | 5.26 |
| 3 | CIN | 5.63 | +0.42 | 3.27 | 6.45 | 5.69 | 4.38 | 6.57 | 5.59 | 7.46 |
| 4 | SF | 5.58 | +0.28 | 4.36 | 5.04 | 5.86 | 6.72 | 4.31 | 5.70 | 7.08 |
| 5 | BAL | 5.39 | +0.07 | 6.63 | 3.40 | 3.89 | 5.45 | 8.56 | 5.42 | 4.37 |
| 6 | DET | 5.34 | +0.39 | 4.61 | 3.84 | 4.92 | 4.91 | 7.07 | 6.01 | 6.05 |
| 7 | SEA | 5.19 | −0.31 | 7.08 | 6.04 | 5.22 | 3.98 | 3.52 | 5.18 | 5.29 |
| 8 | KC | 5.12 | −0.31 | 6.32 | 5.47 | 6.27 | 4.41 | 4.32 | 3.92 | 5.15 |
| 9 | MIN | 5.09 | −0.34 | 6.68 | 5.60 | 4.44 | 4.75 | 6.38 | 3.69 | 4.10 |
| 10 | TB | 5.08 | −0.37 | 6.69 | 5.87 | 3.43 | 4.90 | 7.14 | 4.61 | 2.88 |
| 11 | DAL | 4.86 | −0.06 | 3.90 | 6.13 | 5.03 | 5.83 | 3.59 | 4.94 | 4.59 |
| 12 | LAR | 4.86 | +0.26 | 3.38 | 6.72 | 3.01 | 4.42 | 3.91 | 7.69 | 4.87 |
| 13 | NO | 4.58 | −0.28 | 5.35 | 5.71 | 4.67 | 4.61 | 3.78 | 3.21 | 4.74 |
| 14 | PHI | 4.41 | +0.12 | 3.64 | 4.02 | 4.66 | 4.26 | 5.35 | 5.21 | 3.72 |
| 15 | JAX | 4.38 | +0.67 | 4.01 | 1.97 | 4.15 | 3.53 | 3.44 | 5.13 | 8.42 |
| 16 | LV | 4.33 | +0.09 | 5.07 | 3.65 | 4.75 | 3.58 | 2.98 | 3.87 | 6.40 |
| 17 | HOU | 4.26 | −0.15 | 6.00 | 3.84 | 3.43 | 4.52 | 3.51 | 4.09 | 4.42 |
| 18 | MIA | 4.25 | −0.06 | 4.26 | 3.40 | 5.12 | 5.28 | 3.69 | 4.77 | 3.24 |
| 19 | LAC | 4.19 | −0.32 | 4.92 | 5.57 | 3.65 | 3.79 | 4.48 | 4.57 | 2.35 |
| 20 | NE | 4.19 | +0.49 | 2.72 | 4.47 | 3.49 | 2.87 | 3.38 | 6.16 | 6.22 |
| 21 | DEN | 4.12 | +0.08 | 3.74 | 3.68 | 3.15 | 5.43 | 5.25 | 4.05 | 3.56 |
| 22 | WAS | 4.10 | +0.28 | 2.65 | 3.79 | 4.28 | 3.76 | 5.48 | 4.02 | 4.72 |
| 23 | ARI | 3.89 | −0.04 | 4.68 | 4.55 | 2.53 | 3.20 | 3.87 | 4.45 | 3.95 |
| 24 | CHI | 3.86 | −0.06 | 4.22 | 2.93 | 4.97 | 3.68 | 3.47 | 4.84 | 2.90 |
| 25 | PIT | 3.82 | +0.08 | 5.30 | 3.44 | 2.09 | 2.56 | 4.19 | 4.71 | 4.47 |
| 26 | ATL | 3.80 | −0.00 | 4.28 | 3.48 | 4.08 | 3.19 | 3.74 | 3.47 | 4.39 |
| 27 | TEN | 3.77 | −0.55 | 6.76 | 4.10 | 3.50 | 2.83 | 4.13 | 2.63 | 2.40 |
| 28 | IND | 3.66 | −0.27 | 4.33 | 5.14 | 2.80 | 3.11 | 3.88 | 4.52 | 1.85 |
| 29 | CLE | 3.60 | −0.39 | 5.38 | 4.02 | 3.51 | 3.83 | 2.84 | 2.86 | 2.77 |
| 30 | CAR | 3.47 | +0.38 | 2.90 | 2.33 | 3.49 | 2.21 | 4.01 | 4.63 | 4.71 |
| 31 | NYJ | 3.39 | +0.26 | 3.19 | 3.29 | 2.39 | 1.82 | 5.06 | 3.01 | 4.96 |
| 32 | NYG | 3.13 | +0.31 | 2.30 | 2.52 | 3.24 | 2.88 | 2.51 | 3.97 | 4.51 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 4.01 | 1.97 | 4.15 | 3.53 | 3.44 | 5.13 | 8.42 |
| CIN | 3.27 | 6.45 | 5.69 | 4.38 | 6.57 | 5.59 | 7.46 |
| SF | 4.36 | 5.04 | 5.86 | 6.72 | 4.31 | 5.70 | 7.08 |
| LV | 5.07 | 3.65 | 4.75 | 3.58 | 2.98 | 3.87 | 6.40 |
| NE | 2.72 | 4.47 | 3.49 | 2.87 | 3.38 | 6.16 | 6.22 |
| DET | 4.61 | 3.84 | 4.92 | 4.91 | 7.07 | 6.01 | 6.05 |
| SEA | 7.08 | 6.04 | 5.22 | 3.98 | 3.52 | 5.18 | 5.29 |
| BUF | 6.70 | 5.46 | 6.09 | 4.97 | 5.76 | 5.75 | 5.26 |
| KC | 6.32 | 5.47 | 6.27 | 4.41 | 4.32 | 3.92 | 5.15 |
| GB | 9.13 | 6.55 | 4.77 | 5.48 | 5.80 | 5.30 | 5.11 |
| NYJ | 3.19 | 3.29 | 2.39 | 1.82 | 5.06 | 3.01 | 4.96 |
| LAR | 3.38 | 6.72 | 3.01 | 4.42 | 3.91 | 7.69 | 4.87 |
| NO | 5.35 | 5.71 | 4.67 | 4.61 | 3.78 | 3.21 | 4.74 |
| WAS | 2.65 | 3.79 | 4.28 | 3.76 | 5.48 | 4.02 | 4.72 |
| CAR | 2.90 | 2.33 | 3.49 | 2.21 | 4.01 | 4.63 | 4.71 |
| DAL | 3.90 | 6.13 | 5.03 | 5.83 | 3.59 | 4.94 | 4.59 |
| NYG | 2.30 | 2.52 | 3.24 | 2.88 | 2.51 | 3.97 | 4.51 |
| PIT | 5.30 | 3.44 | 2.09 | 2.56 | 4.19 | 4.71 | 4.47 |
| HOU | 6.00 | 3.84 | 3.43 | 4.52 | 3.51 | 4.09 | 4.42 |
| ATL | 4.28 | 3.48 | 4.08 | 3.19 | 3.74 | 3.47 | 4.39 |
| BAL | 6.63 | 3.40 | 3.89 | 5.45 | 8.56 | 5.42 | 4.37 |
| MIN | 6.68 | 5.60 | 4.44 | 4.75 | 6.38 | 3.69 | 4.10 |
| ARI | 4.68 | 4.55 | 2.53 | 3.20 | 3.87 | 4.45 | 3.95 |
| PHI | 3.64 | 4.02 | 4.66 | 4.26 | 5.35 | 5.21 | 3.72 |
| DEN | 3.74 | 3.68 | 3.15 | 5.43 | 5.25 | 4.05 | 3.56 |
| MIA | 4.26 | 3.40 | 5.12 | 5.28 | 3.69 | 4.77 | 3.24 |
| CHI | 4.22 | 2.93 | 4.97 | 3.68 | 3.47 | 4.84 | 2.90 |
| TB | 6.69 | 5.87 | 3.43 | 4.90 | 7.14 | 4.61 | 2.88 |
| CLE | 5.38 | 4.02 | 3.51 | 3.83 | 2.84 | 2.86 | 2.77 |
| TEN | 6.76 | 4.10 | 3.50 | 2.83 | 4.13 | 2.63 | 2.40 |
| LAC | 4.92 | 5.57 | 3.65 | 3.79 | 4.48 | 4.57 | 2.35 |
| IND | 4.33 | 5.14 | 2.80 | 3.11 | 3.88 | 4.52 | 1.85 |
Pass td perc since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (8.56), 2019 Ravens (8.39), 2020 Packers (9.13), 2021 Rams (6.72), 2022 Chiefs (6.27), 2023 49ers (6.72), 2024 Ravens (8.56), 2025 Rams (7.69), 2026 Jaguars (8.42).
Chiefs have led this stat 2 of 9 seasons.
The best season on record is Packers 2020 at 9.13; the worst Jets 2023 at 1.82.
Week to week — Week 6 to Week 7
Since Week 6: Rams up 8 (#18 → #10), Falcons up 7 (#19 → #12), Jets up 7 (#23 → #16); Chiefs down 12 (#7 → #19), Giants down 8 (#12 → #20), Eagles down 5 (#17 → #22).
21 teams moved by two places or fewer.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- off_passing_pass_td_perc
- Side
- offensive
- Family
- Passing
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.