What Pass adj yds per att is

Adjusted yards per attempt: passing yards, plus 20 yards for each touchdown and minus 45 for each interception, divided by attempts. It is yards per attempt with scoring and turnovers priced in, but without sacks — the net version adds those.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2018 the Chiefs led at 9.45; the league average was 6.89.

League snapshot — 2018

League leader

KC · 9.45

League average

6.89

Best to worst

5.01

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	KC	9.45	16
2	SEA	8.37	16
3	LAR	8.26	16
4	NO	8.25	16
5	LAC	8.23	16
6	ATL	8.19	16
7	HOU	7.75	16
8	TB	7.65	16
9	NE	7.45	16
10	IND	7.38	16
11	PIT	7.34	16
12	GB	7.17	16
13	NYG	7.15	16
14	PHI	7.14	16
15	CLE	7.06	16
16	MIN	6.97	16
17	SF	6.94	16
18	CHI	6.94	16
19	CAR	6.80	16
20	DAL	6.78	16
21	MIA	6.72	16
22	LV	6.60	16
23	DET	6.39	16
24	TEN	6.28	16
25	BAL	6.27	16
26	CIN	6.04	16
27	DEN	5.95	16
28	WAS	5.46	16
29	NYJ	5.42	16
30	JAX	5.04	16
31	BUF	4.72	16
32	ARI	4.44	16

At a glance — 2018

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

KC · 9.45

League laggard

ARI · 4.44

League average

6.89

Spread (max − min)

5.01

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	KC	9.45	2.56	100%
2	SEA	8.37	1.48	96.8%
3	LAR	8.26	1.37	93.5%
4	NO	8.25	1.36	90.3%
5	LAC	8.23	1.34	87.1%
6	ATL	8.19	1.30	83.9%
7	HOU	7.75	0.85	80.6%
8	TB	7.65	0.76	77.4%
9	NE	7.45	0.56	74.2%
10	IND	7.38	0.49	71%
11	PIT	7.34	0.44	67.7%
12	GB	7.17	0.27	64.5%
13	NYG	7.15	0.25	61.3%
14	PHI	7.14	0.25	58.1%
15	CLE	7.06	0.17	54.8%
16	MIN	6.97	0.08	51.6%
17	SF	6.94	0.05	48.4%
18	CHI	6.94	0.04	45.2%
19	CAR	6.80	-0.09	41.9%
20	DAL	6.78	-0.11	38.7%
21	MIA	6.72	-0.18	35.5%
22	LV	6.60	-0.29	32.3%
23	DET	6.39	-0.50	29%
24	TEN	6.28	-0.62	25.8%
25	BAL	6.27	-0.62	22.6%
26	CIN	6.04	-0.85	19.4%
27	DEN	5.95	-0.94	16.1%
28	WAS	5.46	-1.44	12.9%
29	NYJ	5.42	-1.48	9.7%
30	JAX	5.04	-1.86	6.5%
31	BUF	4.72	-2.18	3.2%
32	ARI	4.44	-2.46	0%

Does Pass adj yds per att matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 887–691–37 ATS (56.2%) across 2020–2025, #35 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2024 (160–103, 60.8%); its worst 2020 (133–121, 52.4%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	133–121–2	52.4%
2021	272	149–121–2	55.2%
2022	271	149–115–7	56.4%
2023	272	145–113–14	56.2%
2024	272	160–103–9	60.8%
2025	272	151–118–3	56.1%

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

SF · 8.10

Multi-year laggard

NYG · 5.53

Biggest improver

BAL · +0.55/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −0.42/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	SF	8.10	+0.22	6.81	8.17	8.12	9.34	7.36	7.02	9.89
2	GB	7.90	−0.15	9.38	8.03	6.79	7.29	8.43	7.75	7.63
3	DET	7.63	+0.38	6.98	5.84	7.58	7.48	8.74	8.13	8.62
4	BAL	7.60	+0.55	6.82	5.60	5.87	7.99	10.24	7.21	9.44
5	BUF	7.52	+0.09	8.12	6.68	7.16	6.92	8.18	7.57	8.03
6	KC	7.30	−0.19	8.40	7.53	8.33	6.31	6.19	6.04	8.32
7	SEA	7.28	+0.02	7.35	7.81	7.10	6.59	6.39	8.16	7.58
8	LAR	7.01	+0.11	6.58	7.89	5.46	6.85	7.14	8.39	6.75
9	DAL	7.00	+0.01	6.54	7.97	6.53	7.39	5.86	7.47	7.21
10	CIN	6.90	+0.07	5.59	7.98	7.31	6.35	7.59	6.09	7.41
11	HOU	6.82	+0.02	8.74	5.65	5.15	7.54	6.07	6.74	7.86
12	TB	6.81	−0.33	7.84	7.55	6.21	6.90	7.72	6.46	5.01
13	MIN	6.76	−0.38	8.12	7.57	6.62	6.37	7.78	4.77	6.08
14	PHI	6.60	+0.11	4.82	6.81	7.62	6.41	7.86	7.28	5.43
15	LAC	6.60	−0.35	7.44	7.24	6.63	6.51	7.56	6.31	4.48
16	NO	6.58	−0.26	7.41	6.45	7.06	6.96	6.59	6.29	5.28
17	MIA	6.43	−0.22	6.62	5.79	7.60	7.89	6.31	5.88	4.94
18	JAX	6.43	+0.38	5.70	5.00	6.69	6.44	6.02	6.81	8.31
19	NE	6.37	+0.22	5.53	7.19	6.08	4.62	5.54	8.98	6.62
20	ATL	6.33	−0.06	6.91	5.98	6.51	5.88	6.45	6.53	6.02
21	LV	6.32	−0.25	7.79	7.03	6.38	5.51	5.56	4.80	7.17
22	PIT	6.30	+0.09	6.50	5.90	5.48	6.36	6.84	6.50	6.49
23	IND	6.18	−0.23	7.37	6.87	4.90	6.51	5.82	6.95	4.83
24	ARI	6.13	−0.25	6.89	7.60	4.97	5.44	6.94	6.29	4.78
25	DEN	6.04	+0.06	4.71	6.77	6.10	6.46	6.59	6.18	5.47
26	WAS	6.02	+0.21	5.17	6.02	5.80	5.07	7.33	6.41	6.36
27	TEN	6.00	−0.42	8.26	6.30	5.72	6.09	5.32	5.07	5.26
28	CAR	5.80	+0.23	6.38	4.53	6.07	4.66	5.22	5.71	8.04
29	CLE	5.78	−0.32	7.56	6.25	6.22	5.23	4.35	4.48	6.40
30	CHI	5.78	+0.18	5.80	5.18	5.16	5.57	5.67	7.10	5.98
31	NYJ	5.57	+0.22	5.24	5.13	5.77	4.33	6.57	4.50	7.44
32	NYG	5.53	+0.15	5.42	4.38	6.26	5.13	5.43	6.09	5.99

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SF	6.81	8.17	8.12	9.34	7.36	7.02	9.89
BAL	6.82	5.60	5.87	7.99	10.24	7.21	9.44
DET	6.98	5.84	7.58	7.48	8.74	8.13	8.62
KC	8.40	7.53	8.33	6.31	6.19	6.04	8.32
JAX	5.70	5.00	6.69	6.44	6.02	6.81	8.31
CAR	6.38	4.53	6.07	4.66	5.22	5.71	8.04
BUF	8.12	6.68	7.16	6.92	8.18	7.57	8.03
HOU	8.74	5.65	5.15	7.54	6.07	6.74	7.86
GB	9.38	8.03	6.79	7.29	8.43	7.75	7.63
SEA	7.35	7.81	7.10	6.59	6.39	8.16	7.58
NYJ	5.24	5.13	5.77	4.33	6.57	4.50	7.44
CIN	5.59	7.98	7.31	6.35	7.59	6.09	7.41
DAL	6.54	7.97	6.53	7.39	5.86	7.47	7.21
LV	7.79	7.03	6.38	5.51	5.56	4.80	7.17
LAR	6.58	7.89	5.46	6.85	7.14	8.39	6.75
NE	5.53	7.19	6.08	4.62	5.54	8.98	6.62
PIT	6.50	5.90	5.48	6.36	6.84	6.50	6.49
CLE	7.56	6.25	6.22	5.23	4.35	4.48	6.40
WAS	5.17	6.02	5.80	5.07	7.33	6.41	6.36
MIN	8.12	7.57	6.62	6.37	7.78	4.77	6.08
ATL	6.91	5.98	6.51	5.88	6.45	6.53	6.02
NYG	5.42	4.38	6.26	5.13	5.43	6.09	5.99
CHI	5.80	5.18	5.16	5.57	5.67	7.10	5.98
DEN	4.71	6.77	6.10	6.46	6.59	6.18	5.47
PHI	4.82	6.81	7.62	6.41	7.86	7.28	5.43
NO	7.41	6.45	7.06	6.96	6.59	6.29	5.28
TEN	8.26	6.30	5.72	6.09	5.32	5.07	5.26
TB	7.84	7.55	6.21	6.90	7.72	6.46	5.01
MIA	6.62	5.79	7.60	7.89	6.31	5.88	4.94
IND	7.37	6.87	4.90	6.51	5.82	6.95	4.83
ARI	6.89	7.60	4.97	5.44	6.94	6.29	4.78
LAC	7.44	7.24	6.63	6.51	7.56	6.31	4.48

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_passing_pass_adj_yds_per_att
Side: offensive
Family: Passing
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.