NET: Score pct (Off − Def)
What Score pct (Off − Def) is
Share of the offense's drives that ended in points, minus the share of opponent drives that did. Possession efficiency on both sides of the ball.
Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.
In 2024 the Lions led at 16.68; the league average was 0.58.
League snapshot — 2024
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | 16.68 | 17 |
| 2 | BUF | 13.50 | 17 |
| 3 | GB | 13.36 | 17 |
| 4 | PHI | 13.15 | 17 |
| 5 | BAL | 11.11 | 17 |
| 6 | LAC | 10.75 | 17 |
| 7 | MIN | 10.09 | 17 |
| 8 | WAS | 7.91 | 17 |
| 9 | DEN | 7.61 | 17 |
| 10 | TB | 7.54 | 17 |
| 11 | KC | 6.85 | 17 |
| 12 | PIT | 6.29 | 17 |
| 13 | CIN | 5.45 | 17 |
| 14 | ARI | 2.87 | 17 |
| 15 | HOU | 1.74 | 17 |
| 16 | SEA | 1.59 | 17 |
| 17 | MIA | 0.97 | 17 |
| 18 | IND | -1.21 | 17 |
| 19 | ATL | -2.00 | 17 |
| 20 | SF | -2.94 | 17 |
| 21 | LAR | -3.60 | 17 |
| 22 | NO | -4.61 | 17 |
| 23 | DAL | -5.23 | 17 |
| 24 | TEN | -8.49 | 17 |
| 25 | NYG | -8.74 | 17 |
| 26 | LV | -9.65 | 17 |
| 27 | NYJ | -10.10 | 17 |
| 28 | CHI | -10.59 | 17 |
| 29 | CLE | -11.26 | 17 |
| 30 | NE | -11.41 | 17 |
| 31 | JAX | -11.97 | 17 |
| 32 | CAR | -17.11 | 17 |
At a glance — 2024
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2024
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | 16.68 | 16.10 | 100% |
| 2 | BUF | 13.50 | 12.92 | 96.8% |
| 3 | GB | 13.36 | 12.78 | 93.5% |
| 4 | PHI | 13.15 | 12.57 | 90.3% |
| 5 | BAL | 11.11 | 10.53 | 87.1% |
| 6 | LAC | 10.75 | 10.17 | 83.9% |
| 7 | MIN | 10.09 | 9.51 | 80.6% |
| 8 | WAS | 7.91 | 7.33 | 77.4% |
| 9 | DEN | 7.61 | 7.03 | 74.2% |
| 10 | TB | 7.54 | 6.96 | 71% |
| 11 | KC | 6.85 | 6.27 | 67.7% |
| 12 | PIT | 6.29 | 5.71 | 64.5% |
| 13 | CIN | 5.45 | 4.87 | 61.3% |
| 14 | ARI | 2.87 | 2.29 | 58.1% |
| 15 | HOU | 1.74 | 1.16 | 54.8% |
| 16 | SEA | 1.59 | 1.01 | 51.6% |
| 17 | MIA | 0.97 | 0.39 | 48.4% |
| 18 | IND | -1.21 | -1.79 | 45.2% |
| 19 | ATL | -2.00 | -2.58 | 41.9% |
| 20 | SF | -2.94 | -3.52 | 38.7% |
| 21 | LAR | -3.60 | -4.18 | 35.5% |
| 22 | NO | -4.61 | -5.19 | 32.3% |
| 23 | DAL | -5.23 | -5.81 | 29% |
| 24 | TEN | -8.49 | -9.07 | 25.8% |
| 25 | NYG | -8.74 | -9.32 | 22.6% |
| 26 | LV | -9.65 | -10.23 | 19.4% |
| 27 | NYJ | -10.10 | -10.68 | 16.1% |
| 28 | CHI | -10.59 | -11.17 | 12.9% |
| 29 | CLE | -11.26 | -11.84 | 9.7% |
| 30 | NE | -11.41 | -11.99 | 6.5% |
| 31 | JAX | -11.97 | -12.55 | 3.2% |
| 32 | CAR | -17.11 | -17.69 | 0% |
Does Score pct (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 943–635–37 ATS (59.8%) across 2020–2025, #10 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2025 (168–101, 62.5%); its worst 2023 (144–114, 55.8%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 158–96–2 | 62.2% |
| 2021 | 272 | 157–113–2 | 58.1% |
| 2022 | 271 | 154–110–7 | 58.3% |
| 2023 | 272 | 144–114–14 | 55.8% |
| 2024 | 272 | 162–101–9 | 61.6% |
| 2025 | 272 | 168–101–3 | 62.5% |
Score pct (Off − Def) in 2024 vs 2023
Lions lead at 16.68 — they ranked #10 last year. Panthers are last at -17.11 — #31 last year.
The league average is 0.58, down 0.03 from 0.61 last year.
Biggest riser: Commanders, #32 → #8. Biggest faller: Cowboys, #1 → #23.
Spread between first and last: 33.79; 17 teams are within 9.14 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2024 vs 2023
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2024 vs 2023
| Rank | Team | 2024 | 2023 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WAS | 7.91 | -16.50 | +24.40 |
| 2 | MIN | 10.09 | -2.24 | +12.33 |
| 3 | DET | 16.68 | 4.45 | +12.23 |
| 4 | GB | 13.36 | 1.37 | +11.99 |
| 5 | LAC | 10.75 | -0.86 | +11.61 |
| 6 | DEN | 7.61 | -3.89 | +11.51 |
| 7 | ARI | 2.87 | -8.53 | +11.39 |
| 8 | PHI | 13.15 | 2.34 | +10.81 |
| 9 | PIT | 6.29 | -3.79 | +10.07 |
| 10 | CIN | 5.45 | -3.52 | +8.97 |
| 11 | TB | 7.54 | 1.47 | +6.08 |
| 12 | BUF | 13.50 | 8.83 | +4.68 |
| 13 | ATL | -2.00 | -5.58 | +3.58 |
| 14 | SEA | 1.59 | -1.45 | +3.05 |
| 15 | NYG | -8.74 | -11.13 | +2.39 |
| 16 | TEN | -8.49 | -10.18 | +1.69 |
| 17 | IND | -1.21 | -2.82 | +1.60 |
| 18 | NE | -11.41 | -10.02 | −1.39 |
| 19 | HOU | 1.74 | 3.81 | −2.08 |
| 20 | BAL | 11.11 | 15.15 | −4.04 |
| 21 | KC | 6.85 | 11.24 | −4.39 |
| 22 | NYJ | -10.10 | -4.83 | −5.27 |
| 23 | CAR | -17.11 | -11.70 | −5.41 |
| 24 | LV | -9.65 | -0.78 | −8.87 |
| 25 | LAR | -3.60 | 5.48 | −9.08 |
| 26 | NO | -4.61 | 5.42 | −10.03 |
| 27 | MIA | 0.97 | 11.94 | −10.97 |
| 28 | SF | -2.94 | 11.54 | −14.48 |
| 29 | JAX | -11.97 | 2.90 | −14.87 |
| 30 | CHI | -10.59 | 4.33 | −14.92 |
| 31 | CLE | -11.26 | 8.69 | −19.94 |
| 32 | DAL | -5.23 | 18.33 | −23.57 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 12.05 | −0.62 | 9.44 | 17.99 | 15.61 | 8.83 | 13.50 | 7.85 | 11.11 |
| 2 | KC | 9.04 | −1.00 | 11.83 | 11.23 | 9.83 | 11.24 | 6.85 | 4.12 | 8.19 |
| 3 | BAL | 8.12 | −1.05 | 15.18 | 4.93 | 4.20 | 15.15 | 11.11 | -0.16 | 6.43 |
| 4 | SF | 6.97 | +0.46 | -0.56 | 6.77 | 16.26 | 11.54 | -2.94 | 9.13 | 8.60 |
| 5 | DAL | 5.37 | −0.48 | -1.81 | 12.16 | 8.70 | 18.33 | -5.23 | -3.10 | 8.52 |
| 6 | SEA | 5.36 | +2.07 | 3.76 | 0.03 | 3.80 | -1.45 | 1.59 | 17.78 | 11.99 |
| 7 | GB | 5.22 | −0.81 | 10.44 | 8.41 | -1.33 | 1.37 | 13.36 | 1.99 | 2.30 |
| 8 | TB | 4.32 | −2.53 | 14.65 | 11.11 | -0.52 | 1.47 | 7.54 | 0.75 | -4.74 |
| 9 | LAR | 3.45 | −0.85 | 7.26 | 11.44 | -6.78 | 5.48 | -3.60 | 13.44 | -3.09 |
| 10 | IND | 2.46 | −0.70 | 9.45 | 8.20 | -5.56 | -2.82 | -1.21 | 6.47 | 2.66 |
| 11 | PHI | 2.33 | +0.01 | -9.67 | 6.25 | 10.23 | 2.34 | 13.15 | 1.33 | -7.31 |
| 12 | NE | 2.13 | −0.46 | -1.42 | 19.89 | 1.34 | -10.02 | -11.41 | 14.02 | 2.48 |
| 13 | CIN | 2.04 | +1.03 | -9.52 | 9.64 | 5.69 | -3.52 | 5.45 | 0.02 | 6.55 |
| 14 | MIN | 2.02 | +3.29 | -9.02 | 0.51 | -3.48 | -2.24 | 10.09 | 2.19 | 16.07 |
| 15 | DET | 1.97 | +3.69 | -8.76 | -14.03 | 2.38 | 4.45 | 16.68 | 4.70 | 8.39 |
| 16 | LAC | 0.65 | −0.14 | -4.07 | 1.74 | 1.77 | -0.86 | 10.75 | 7.25 | -12.04 |
| 17 | PIT | -0.37 | −0.79 | 7.74 | -4.23 | -2.62 | -3.79 | 6.29 | -1.79 | -4.20 |
| 18 | MIA | -0.84 | −3.30 | 11.48 | -6.30 | 1.10 | 11.94 | 0.97 | -4.85 | -20.21 |
| 19 | NO | -0.90 | −3.10 | 10.75 | 2.18 | -1.96 | 5.42 | -4.61 | -6.72 | -11.39 |
| 20 | HOU | -1.15 | +2.64 | -3.79 | -16.46 | -5.69 | 3.81 | 1.74 | 14.96 | -2.59 |
| 21 | CHI | -1.54 | +1.02 | 1.39 | -7.50 | -6.95 | 4.33 | -10.59 | 4.30 | 4.27 |
| 22 | DEN | -1.58 | +1.02 | -10.71 | 4.15 | -6.12 | -3.89 | 7.61 | 2.65 | -4.77 |
| 23 | JAX | -1.79 | +5.36 | -17.37 | -18.84 | 3.71 | 2.90 | -11.97 | 11.28 | 17.77 |
| 24 | LV | -2.18 | −0.33 | -2.32 | 0.42 | 3.10 | -0.78 | -9.65 | -15.62 | 9.56 |
| 25 | ATL | -2.80 | +0.30 | 3.90 | -10.14 | -3.86 | -5.58 | -2.00 | -3.70 | 1.75 |
| 26 | ARI | -3.55 | −2.85 | 3.71 | 9.83 | -8.64 | -8.53 | 2.87 | -11.64 | -12.43 |
| 27 | CLE | -4.14 | −0.91 | -2.75 | -5.49 | -3.29 | 8.69 | -11.26 | -7.86 | -7.02 |
| 28 | WAS | -4.99 | −1.16 | 1.92 | -6.72 | -1.71 | -16.50 | 7.91 | -9.64 | -10.17 |
| 29 | NYG | -5.51 | +2.23 | -7.84 | -12.84 | -3.33 | -11.13 | -8.74 | -2.86 | 8.14 |
| 30 | CAR | -5.94 | +0.64 | -5.24 | -7.77 | 0.89 | -11.70 | -17.11 | -6.46 | 5.83 |
| 31 | TEN | -7.72 | −3.98 | 3.77 | 2.08 | -5.58 | -10.18 | -8.49 | -13.86 | -21.78 |
| 32 | NYJ | -10.55 | +1.54 | -18.05 | -18.90 | -2.40 | -4.83 | -10.10 | -17.68 | -1.89 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | -8.76 | -14.03 | 2.38 | 4.45 | 16.68 | 4.70 | 8.39 |
| BUF | 9.44 | 17.99 | 15.61 | 8.83 | 13.50 | 7.85 | 11.11 |
| GB | 10.44 | 8.41 | -1.33 | 1.37 | 13.36 | 1.99 | 2.30 |
| PHI | -9.67 | 6.25 | 10.23 | 2.34 | 13.15 | 1.33 | -7.31 |
| BAL | 15.18 | 4.93 | 4.20 | 15.15 | 11.11 | -0.16 | 6.43 |
| LAC | -4.07 | 1.74 | 1.77 | -0.86 | 10.75 | 7.25 | -12.04 |
| MIN | -9.02 | 0.51 | -3.48 | -2.24 | 10.09 | 2.19 | 16.07 |
| WAS | 1.92 | -6.72 | -1.71 | -16.50 | 7.91 | -9.64 | -10.17 |
| DEN | -10.71 | 4.15 | -6.12 | -3.89 | 7.61 | 2.65 | -4.77 |
| TB | 14.65 | 11.11 | -0.52 | 1.47 | 7.54 | 0.75 | -4.74 |
| KC | 11.83 | 11.23 | 9.83 | 11.24 | 6.85 | 4.12 | 8.19 |
| PIT | 7.74 | -4.23 | -2.62 | -3.79 | 6.29 | -1.79 | -4.20 |
| CIN | -9.52 | 9.64 | 5.69 | -3.52 | 5.45 | 0.02 | 6.55 |
| ARI | 3.71 | 9.83 | -8.64 | -8.53 | 2.87 | -11.64 | -12.43 |
| HOU | -3.79 | -16.46 | -5.69 | 3.81 | 1.74 | 14.96 | -2.59 |
| SEA | 3.76 | 0.03 | 3.80 | -1.45 | 1.59 | 17.78 | 11.99 |
| MIA | 11.48 | -6.30 | 1.10 | 11.94 | 0.97 | -4.85 | -20.21 |
| IND | 9.45 | 8.20 | -5.56 | -2.82 | -1.21 | 6.47 | 2.66 |
| ATL | 3.90 | -10.14 | -3.86 | -5.58 | -2.00 | -3.70 | 1.75 |
| SF | -0.56 | 6.77 | 16.26 | 11.54 | -2.94 | 9.13 | 8.60 |
| LAR | 7.26 | 11.44 | -6.78 | 5.48 | -3.60 | 13.44 | -3.09 |
| NO | 10.75 | 2.18 | -1.96 | 5.42 | -4.61 | -6.72 | -11.39 |
| DAL | -1.81 | 12.16 | 8.70 | 18.33 | -5.23 | -3.10 | 8.52 |
| TEN | 3.77 | 2.08 | -5.58 | -10.18 | -8.49 | -13.86 | -21.78 |
| NYG | -7.84 | -12.84 | -3.33 | -11.13 | -8.74 | -2.86 | 8.14 |
| LV | -2.32 | 0.42 | 3.10 | -0.78 | -9.65 | -15.62 | 9.56 |
| NYJ | -18.05 | -18.90 | -2.40 | -4.83 | -10.10 | -17.68 | -1.89 |
| CHI | 1.39 | -7.50 | -6.95 | 4.33 | -10.59 | 4.30 | 4.27 |
| CLE | -2.75 | -5.49 | -3.29 | 8.69 | -11.26 | -7.86 | -7.02 |
| NE | -1.42 | 19.89 | 1.34 | -10.02 | -11.41 | 14.02 | 2.48 |
| JAX | -17.37 | -18.84 | 3.71 | 2.90 | -11.97 | 11.28 | 17.77 |
| CAR | -5.24 | -7.77 | 0.89 | -11.70 | -17.11 | -6.46 | 5.83 |
Score pct (Off − Def) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Saints (16.15), 2019 Ravens (18.65), 2020 Ravens (15.18), 2021 Patriots (19.89), 2022 49ers (16.26), 2023 Cowboys (18.33), 2024 Lions (16.68).
Ravens have led this stat 2 of 7 seasons.
The best season on record is Patriots 2021 at 19.89; the worst Jets 2021 at -18.90.
The league average has fallen from 0.65 in 2018 to 0.58 in 2024.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2024.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_score_pct
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.