What Rush Y/A (Off − Def) is

Yards per carry minus yards per carry allowed. Running efficiency both ways — and noisy on both halves, because long runs move it.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2023 the Dolphins led at 1.25; the league average was -0.01.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader

MIA · 1.25

League average

-0.01

Best to worst

2.24

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	MIA	1.25	17
2	DET	0.92	17
3	CHI	0.71	17
4	SF	0.67	17
5	NE	0.61	17
6	BAL	0.44	17
7	TEN	0.34	17
8	ARI	0.29	17
9	IND	0.24	17
10	MIN	0.21	17
11	HOU	0.20	17
12	NYJ	0.15	17
13	ATL	0.10	17
14	LAR	0.09	17
15	PHI	0.01	17
16	WAS	-0.06	17
17	DAL	-0.07	17
18	GB	-0.10	17
19	CAR	-0.14	17
20	KC	-0.16	17
21	PIT	-0.17	17
22	BUF	-0.25	17
23	LAC	-0.31	17
24	TB	-0.38	17
25	CLE	-0.42	17
26	SEA	-0.43	17
27	LV	-0.49	17
28	JAX	-0.54	17
29	NYG	-0.60	17
30	CIN	-0.71	17
31	NO	-0.80	17
32	DEN	-0.99	17

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

MIA · 1.25

League laggard

DEN · -0.99

League average

-0.01

Spread (max − min)

2.24

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	MIA	1.25	1.26	100%
2	DET	0.92	0.94	96.8%
3	CHI	0.71	0.72	93.5%
4	SF	0.67	0.68	90.3%
5	NE	0.61	0.63	87.1%
6	BAL	0.44	0.45	83.9%
7	TEN	0.34	0.36	80.6%
8	ARI	0.29	0.30	77.4%
9	IND	0.24	0.25	74.2%
10	MIN	0.21	0.22	71%
11	HOU	0.20	0.22	67.7%
12	NYJ	0.15	0.17	64.5%
13	ATL	0.10	0.11	61.3%
14	LAR	0.09	0.10	58.1%
15	PHI	0.01	0.03	54.8%
16	WAS	-0.06	-0.05	51.6%
17	DAL	-0.07	-0.06	48.4%
18	GB	-0.10	-0.09	45.2%
19	CAR	-0.14	-0.13	41.9%
20	KC	-0.16	-0.15	38.7%
21	PIT	-0.17	-0.16	35.5%
22	BUF	-0.25	-0.24	32.3%
23	LAC	-0.31	-0.30	29%
24	TB	-0.38	-0.37	25.8%
25	CLE	-0.42	-0.40	22.6%
26	SEA	-0.43	-0.42	19.4%
27	LV	-0.49	-0.48	16.1%
28	JAX	-0.54	-0.53	12.9%
29	NYG	-0.60	-0.59	9.7%
30	CIN	-0.71	-0.70	6.5%
31	NO	-0.80	-0.79	3.2%
32	DEN	-0.99	-0.97	0%

Does Rush Y/A (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 807–771–37 ATS (51.1%) across 2020–2025, #219 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (146–118, 55.3%); its worst 2021 (125–145, 46.3%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	133–121–2	52.4%
2021	272	125–145–2	46.3%
2022	271	146–118–7	55.3%
2023	272	126–132–14	48.8%
2024	272	138–125–9	52.5%
2025	272	139–130–3	51.7%

Rush Y/A (Off − Def) in 2023 vs 2022

Dolphins lead at 1.25 — they ranked #12 last year. Broncos are last at -0.99 — #14 last year.

The league average is -0.01, down 0.01 from 0.00 last year.

Biggest riser: Lions, #29 → #2. Biggest faller: Jaguars, #5 → #28.

Spread between first and last: 2.24; 22 teams are within 0.50 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

DET · +1.64

Biggest faller

JAX · −1.11

Most consistent

DAL · +0.03

League trend 2023 vs 2022

▼ -0.01

Rank	Team	2023	2022	Δ
1	DET	0.92	-0.72	+1.64
2	HOU	0.20	-1.35	+1.55
3	LAC	-0.31	-1.65	+1.34
4	MIA	1.25	0.19	+1.06
5	TB	-0.38	-1.10	+0.72
6	MIN	0.21	-0.41	+0.61
7	ARI	0.29	-0.22	+0.51
8	NE	0.61	0.21	+0.41
9	LAR	0.09	-0.24	+0.33
10	WAS	-0.06	-0.38	+0.32
11	CHI	0.71	0.47	+0.23
12	GB	-0.10	-0.31	+0.21
13	NYJ	0.15	-0.04	+0.19
14	IND	0.24	0.11	+0.13
15	PHI	0.01	-0.05	+0.06
16	DAL	-0.07	-0.09	+0.03
17	PIT	-0.17	-0.01	−0.16
18	NYG	-0.60	-0.38	−0.22
19	ATL	0.10	0.44	−0.34
20	CIN	-0.71	-0.37	−0.34
21	SEA	-0.43	-0.05	−0.38
22	CLE	-0.42	-0.02	−0.40
23	CAR	-0.14	0.28	−0.42
24	KC	-0.16	0.36	−0.52
25	NO	-0.80	-0.24	−0.55
26	SF	0.67	1.30	−0.63
27	TEN	0.34	1.04	−0.69
28	LV	-0.49	0.27	−0.76
29	BAL	0.44	1.31	−0.87
30	DEN	-0.99	0.10	−1.08
31	BUF	-0.25	0.85	−1.10
32	JAX	-0.54	0.57	−1.11

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BAL · 1.16

Multi-year laggard

CIN · -0.74

Biggest improver

HOU · +0.24/yr

Biggest decliner

NO · −0.27/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BAL	1.16	+0.05	1.00	0.99	1.31	0.44	2.20	1.07	1.10
2	SF	0.49	−0.03	0.36	0.33	1.30	0.67	0.30	-0.52	0.97
3	TEN	0.32	−0.13	0.62	0.45	1.04	0.34	-0.41	-0.08	0.28
4	BUF	0.29	+0.12	-0.42	0.56	0.85	-0.25	0.03	-0.17	1.45
5	SEA	0.28	−0.15	0.93	1.24	-0.05	-0.43	-0.27	0.40	0.12
6	PHI	0.27	−0.15	0.74	0.91	-0.05	0.01	0.63	-0.13	-0.20
7	KC	0.27	+0.23	-0.05	-0.24	0.36	-0.16	-0.16	0.20	1.93
8	TB	0.22	+0.18	0.52	0.04	-1.10	-0.38	0.98	-0.14	1.61
9	IND	0.22	−0.19	0.62	0.70	0.11	0.24	0.46	0.66	-1.29
10	NE	0.18	+0.03	0.13	-0.14	0.21	0.61	0.02	0.22	0.19
11	JAX	0.13	+0.11	-0.24	0.16	0.57	-0.54	-0.22	0.05	1.15
12	MIA	0.12	+0.23	-0.58	-0.84	0.19	1.25	-0.32	-0.05	1.21
13	CHI	0.07	−0.01	0.04	-0.16	0.47	0.71	-0.74	-0.17	0.33
14	WAS	0.06	+0.11	-0.21	0.16	-0.38	-0.06	0.19	-0.05	0.81
15	ATL	0.06	+0.23	-0.66	-0.61	0.44	0.10	-0.01	-0.13	1.29
16	DET	0.06	+0.10	-0.33	0.01	-0.72	0.92	0.12	0.26	0.15
17	MIN	0.00	+0.03	0.29	-0.42	-0.41	0.21	0.01	0.50	-0.19
18	LAR	0.00	−0.06	0.51	0.05	-0.24	0.09	-0.72	0.31	-0.02
19	NYJ	-0.02	−0.05	0.12	-0.12	-0.04	0.15	0.19	0.17	-0.63
20	ARI	-0.05	−0.02	0.09	-0.40	-0.22	0.29	0.62	-0.08	-0.63
21	CLE	-0.06	−0.22	0.52	0.85	-0.02	-0.42	-0.41	-0.27	-0.69
22	GB	-0.13	−0.07	0.22	-0.44	-0.31	-0.10	0.78	-0.05	-1.01
23	PIT	-0.19	+0.22	-0.68	-1.13	-0.01	-0.17	-0.01	0.07	0.60
24	DEN	-0.21	−0.04	-0.44	0.18	0.10	-0.99	0.29	0.55	-1.12
25	CAR	-0.31	−0.09	-0.56	-0.03	0.28	-0.14	-0.58	-0.11	-1.04
26	NO	-0.33	−0.27	0.73	0.18	-0.24	-0.80	-0.51	-0.29	-1.37
27	LAC	-0.41	+0.20	-0.67	-0.32	-1.65	-0.31	-0.64	0.13	0.61
28	HOU	-0.47	+0.24	-0.94	-1.23	-1.35	0.20	0.06	-0.09	0.05
29	DAL	-0.47	−0.08	-0.85	-0.03	-0.09	-0.07	-0.86	-0.12	-1.29
30	NYG	-0.58	−0.24	0.32	-0.46	-0.38	-0.60	-0.41	-1.02	-1.50
31	LV	-0.60	−0.23	-0.39	-0.29	0.27	-0.49	-0.76	-0.32	-2.21
32	CIN	-0.74	−0.09	-1.06	-0.30	-0.37	-0.71	-0.29	-1.05	-1.41

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
MIA	-0.58	-0.84	0.19	1.25	-0.32	-0.05	1.21
DET	-0.33	0.01	-0.72	0.92	0.12	0.26	0.15
CHI	0.04	-0.16	0.47	0.71	-0.74	-0.17	0.33
SF	0.36	0.33	1.30	0.67	0.30	-0.52	0.97
NE	0.13	-0.14	0.21	0.61	0.02	0.22	0.19
BAL	1.00	0.99	1.31	0.44	2.20	1.07	1.10
TEN	0.62	0.45	1.04	0.34	-0.41	-0.08	0.28
ARI	0.09	-0.40	-0.22	0.29	0.62	-0.08	-0.63
IND	0.62	0.70	0.11	0.24	0.46	0.66	-1.29
MIN	0.29	-0.42	-0.41	0.21	0.01	0.50	-0.19
HOU	-0.94	-1.23	-1.35	0.20	0.06	-0.09	0.05
NYJ	0.12	-0.12	-0.04	0.15	0.19	0.17	-0.63
ATL	-0.66	-0.61	0.44	0.10	-0.01	-0.13	1.29
LAR	0.51	0.05	-0.24	0.09	-0.72	0.31	-0.02
PHI	0.74	0.91	-0.05	0.01	0.63	-0.13	-0.20
WAS	-0.21	0.16	-0.38	-0.06	0.19	-0.05	0.81
DAL	-0.85	-0.03	-0.09	-0.07	-0.86	-0.12	-1.29
GB	0.22	-0.44	-0.31	-0.10	0.78	-0.05	-1.01
CAR	-0.56	-0.03	0.28	-0.14	-0.58	-0.11	-1.04
KC	-0.05	-0.24	0.36	-0.16	-0.16	0.20	1.93
PIT	-0.68	-1.13	-0.01	-0.17	-0.01	0.07	0.60
BUF	-0.42	0.56	0.85	-0.25	0.03	-0.17	1.45
LAC	-0.67	-0.32	-1.65	-0.31	-0.64	0.13	0.61
TB	0.52	0.04	-1.10	-0.38	0.98	-0.14	1.61
CLE	0.52	0.85	-0.02	-0.42	-0.41	-0.27	-0.69
SEA	0.93	1.24	-0.05	-0.43	-0.27	0.40	0.12
LV	-0.39	-0.29	0.27	-0.49	-0.76	-0.32	-2.21
JAX	-0.24	0.16	0.57	-0.54	-0.22	0.05	1.15
NYG	0.32	-0.46	-0.38	-0.60	-0.41	-1.02	-1.50
CIN	-1.06	-0.30	-0.37	-0.71	-0.29	-1.05	-1.41
NO	0.73	0.18	-0.24	-0.80	-0.51	-0.29	-1.37
DEN	-0.44	0.18	0.10	-0.99	0.29	0.55	-1.12

Rush Y/A (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Texans (0.85), 2019 Ravens (1.10), 2020 Ravens (1.00), 2021 Seahawks (1.24), 2022 Ravens (1.31), 2023 Dolphins (1.25).

Ravens have led this stat 3 of 6 seasons.

The best season on record is Ravens 2022 at 1.31; the worst Chargers 2022 at -1.65.

The league average has fallen from 0.01 in 2018 to -0.01 in 2023.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_rush_yds_per_att
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.