What Pass TD (Off − Def) is

Passing touchdowns scored minus passing touchdowns allowed.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2023 the Cowboys led at 0.88; the league average was 0.00.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader

DAL · 0.88

League average

0.00

Best to worst

1.76

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	DAL	0.88	17
2	SF	0.76	17
3	BUF	0.65	17
4	GB	0.65	17
5	HOU	0.59	17
6	BAL	0.53	17
7	KC	0.53	17
8	MIN	0.41	17
9	NO	0.35	17
10	TB	0.29	17
11	CIN	0.24	17
12	MIA	0.18	17
13	DET	0.12	17
14	LAR	0.12	17
15	SEA	0.12	17
16	CLE	0.06	17
17	DEN	-0.06	17
18	LV	-0.06	17
19	LAC	-0.12	17
20	IND	-0.18	17
21	NE	-0.18	17
22	JAX	-0.29	17
23	CAR	-0.35	17
24	NYG	-0.35	17
25	TEN	-0.35	17
26	ATL	-0.41	17
27	NYJ	-0.47	17
28	PIT	-0.59	17
29	PHI	-0.65	17
30	CHI	-0.71	17
31	ARI	-0.82	17
32	WAS	-0.88	17

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

DAL · 0.88

League laggard

WAS · -0.88

League average

0.00

Spread (max − min)

1.76

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	DAL	0.88	0.88	100%
2	SF	0.76	0.76	96.8%
3	BUF	0.65	0.65	93.5%
4	GB	0.65	0.65	90.3%
5	HOU	0.59	0.59	87.1%
6	BAL	0.53	0.53	83.9%
7	KC	0.53	0.53	80.6%
8	MIN	0.41	0.41	77.4%
9	NO	0.35	0.35	74.2%
10	TB	0.29	0.29	71%
11	CIN	0.24	0.24	67.7%
12	MIA	0.18	0.18	64.5%
13	DET	0.12	0.12	61.3%
14	LAR	0.12	0.12	58.1%
15	SEA	0.12	0.12	54.8%
16	CLE	0.06	0.06	51.6%
17	DEN	-0.06	-0.06	48.4%
18	LV	-0.06	-0.06	45.2%
19	LAC	-0.12	-0.12	41.9%
20	IND	-0.18	-0.18	38.7%
21	NE	-0.18	-0.18	35.5%
22	JAX	-0.29	-0.29	32.3%
23	CAR	-0.35	-0.35	29%
24	NYG	-0.35	-0.35	25.8%
25	TEN	-0.35	-0.35	22.6%
26	ATL	-0.41	-0.41	19.4%
27	NYJ	-0.47	-0.47	16.1%
28	PIT	-0.59	-0.59	12.9%
29	PHI	-0.65	-0.65	9.7%
30	CHI	-0.71	-0.71	6.5%
31	ARI	-0.82	-0.82	3.2%
32	WAS	-0.88	-0.88	0%

Does Pass TD (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 863–715–37 ATS (54.7%) across 2020–2025, #83 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (144–110, 56.7%); its worst 2023 (128–130, 49.6%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	144–110–2	56.7%
2021	272	144–126–2	53.3%
2022	271	148–116–7	56.1%
2023	272	128–130–14	49.6%
2024	272	148–115–9	56.3%
2025	272	151–118–3	56.1%

Pass TD (Off − Def) in 2023 vs 2022

Cowboys lead at 0.88 — they ranked #8 last year. Commanders are last at -0.88 — #21 last year.

The league average is 0.00, down 0.00 from 0.00 last year.

Biggest riser: Buccaneers, #23 → #10. Biggest faller: Eagles, #14 → #29.

Spread between first and last: 1.76; 20 teams are within 0.48 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

BAL · +0.59

Biggest faller

CIN · −0.89

Most consistent

MIA · 0

League trend 2023 vs 2022

▼ 0.00

Rank	Team	2023	2022	Δ
1	BAL	0.53	-0.06	+0.59
2	DAL	0.88	0.29	+0.59
3	LAR	0.12	-0.41	+0.53
4	TB	0.29	-0.18	+0.47
5	PIT	-0.59	-1	+0.41
6	TEN	-0.35	-0.76	+0.41
7	GB	0.65	0.29	+0.35
8	NE	-0.18	-0.53	+0.35
9	HOU	0.59	0.29	+0.29
10	IND	-0.18	-0.47	+0.29
11	CAR	-0.35	-0.53	+0.18
12	SF	0.76	0.59	+0.18
13	ATL	-0.41	-0.53	+0.12
14	CLE	0.06	-0.06	+0.12
15	KC	0.53	0.47	+0.06
16	DEN	-0.06	-0.12	+0.06
17	MIA	0.18	0.18	0
18	MIN	0.41	0.41	0
19	NO	0.35	0.41	−0.06
20	DET	0.12	0.18	−0.06
21	ARI	-0.82	-0.71	−0.12
22	NYG	-0.35	-0.24	−0.12
23	BUF	0.65	0.88	−0.23
24	LAC	-0.12	0.12	−0.24
25	LV	-0.06	0.18	−0.24
26	SEA	0.12	0.41	−0.29
27	JAX	-0.29	0	−0.29
28	NYJ	-0.47	0	−0.47
29	CHI	-0.71	-0.18	−0.53
30	WAS	-0.88	-0.12	−0.76
31	PHI	-0.65	0.18	−0.82
32	CIN	0.24	1.13	−0.89

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

GB · 0.60

Multi-year laggard

ATL · -0.61

Biggest improver

CAR · +0.25/yr

Biggest decliner

BUF · −0.33/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	GB	0.60	−0.11	1.56	0.47	0.29	0.65	0.29	0.12	0.80
2	KC	0.56	+0.03	0.69	0.59	0.47	0.53	0.12	0.29	1.25
3	BUF	0.50	−0.33	1.06	1.41	0.88	0.65	0.12	0.59	-1.20
4	CIN	0.47	+0.17	-0.81	0.59	1.13	0.24	0.76	0.18	1.20
5	SF	0.45	+0.16	0	0.06	0.59	0.76	-0.12	0.24	1.60
6	MIN	0.38	+0.01	0.31	0.29	0.41	0.41	0.65	0.18	0.40
7	SEA	0.36	−0.08	1.06	0.35	0.41	0.12	-0.29	0.29	0.60
8	LAR	0.32	−0.02	0.19	1.41	-0.41	0.12	-0.41	1.18	0.20
9	TB	0.27	−0.20	0.81	1	-0.18	0.29	0.82	-0.24	-0.60
10	BAL	0.23	+0.10	0.31	-0.59	-0.06	0.53	0.82	0	0.60
11	NO	0.18	−0.05	0	0.53	0.41	0.35	0.12	-0.35	0.20
12	LAC	0.13	−0.07	0.13	0.65	0.12	-0.12	-0.06	0.59	-0.40
13	DAL	0.12	−0.07	-0.56	0.94	0.29	0.88	-0.29	-0.24	-0.20
14	DEN	0.06	+0.04	0	-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	0.47	0.41	-0.20
15	HOU	0.04	−0.01	0.19	-0.35	0.29	0.59	-0.65	0.24	0
16	DET	0.03	+0.12	-0.69	-0.47	0.18	0.12	1.24	0.24	-0.40
17	PHI	0.00	+0.16	-0.31	-0.47	0.18	-0.65	0.12	0.71	0.40
18	PIT	-0.03	+0.04	0.81	-0.06	-1	-0.59	-0.12	-0.24	1
19	JAX	-0.10	+0.24	-0.56	-0.71	0	-0.29	-0.59	0.24	1.20
20	LV	-0.11	+0.01	0	-0.35	0.18	-0.06	-0.59	-0.18	0.20
21	NE	-0.13	+0.12	-0.63	0.18	-0.53	-0.18	-0.53	0.35	0.40
22	MIA	-0.25	−0.24	0.19	-0.12	0.18	0.18	0	-0.35	-1.80
23	CAR	-0.27	+0.25	-0.75	-0.71	-0.53	-0.35	-0.76	0.24	1
24	CLE	-0.32	−0.05	-0.25	-0.47	-0.06	0.06	-0.41	-0.53	-0.60
25	CHI	-0.34	+0.03	-0.13	-0.88	-0.18	-0.71	0.18	-0.24	-0.40
26	IND	-0.36	−0.10	0	-0.29	-0.47	-0.18	-0.41	0.06	-1.20
27	NYJ	-0.36	+0.09	-1.13	-0.47	0	-0.47	0.76	-1.24	0
28	NYG	-0.38	+0.09	-0.63	-0.71	-0.24	-0.35	-0.47	-0.24	0
29	ARI	-0.39	−0.08	0.06	-0.18	-0.71	-0.82	0.06	-0.12	-1
30	TEN	-0.43	−0.06	-0.19	-0.12	-0.76	-0.35	-0.29	-0.88	-0.40
31	WAS	-0.55	−0.09	-0.31	-0.76	-0.12	-0.88	0.24	-0.82	-1.20
32	ATL	-0.61	−0.06	-0.44	-0.65	-0.53	-0.41	-0.76	-0.47	-1

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
DAL	-0.56	0.94	0.29	0.88	-0.29	-0.24	-0.20
SF	0	0.06	0.59	0.76	-0.12	0.24	1.60
BUF	1.06	1.41	0.88	0.65	0.12	0.59	-1.20
GB	1.56	0.47	0.29	0.65	0.29	0.12	0.80
HOU	0.19	-0.35	0.29	0.59	-0.65	0.24	0
BAL	0.31	-0.59	-0.06	0.53	0.82	0	0.60
KC	0.69	0.59	0.47	0.53	0.12	0.29	1.25
MIN	0.31	0.29	0.41	0.41	0.65	0.18	0.40
NO	0	0.53	0.41	0.35	0.12	-0.35	0.20
TB	0.81	1	-0.18	0.29	0.82	-0.24	-0.60
CIN	-0.81	0.59	1.13	0.24	0.76	0.18	1.20
MIA	0.19	-0.12	0.18	0.18	0	-0.35	-1.80
DET	-0.69	-0.47	0.18	0.12	1.24	0.24	-0.40
LAR	0.19	1.41	-0.41	0.12	-0.41	1.18	0.20
SEA	1.06	0.35	0.41	0.12	-0.29	0.29	0.60
CLE	-0.25	-0.47	-0.06	0.06	-0.41	-0.53	-0.60
DEN	0	-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	0.47	0.41	-0.20
LV	0	-0.35	0.18	-0.06	-0.59	-0.18	0.20
LAC	0.13	0.65	0.12	-0.12	-0.06	0.59	-0.40
IND	0	-0.29	-0.47	-0.18	-0.41	0.06	-1.20
NE	-0.63	0.18	-0.53	-0.18	-0.53	0.35	0.40
JAX	-0.56	-0.71	0	-0.29	-0.59	0.24	1.20
CAR	-0.75	-0.71	-0.53	-0.35	-0.76	0.24	1
NYG	-0.63	-0.71	-0.24	-0.35	-0.47	-0.24	0
TEN	-0.19	-0.12	-0.76	-0.35	-0.29	-0.88	-0.40
ATL	-0.44	-0.65	-0.53	-0.41	-0.76	-0.47	-1
NYJ	-1.13	-0.47	0	-0.47	0.76	-1.24	0
PIT	0.81	-0.06	-1	-0.59	-0.12	-0.24	1
PHI	-0.31	-0.47	0.18	-0.65	0.12	0.71	0.40
CHI	-0.13	-0.88	-0.18	-0.71	0.18	-0.24	-0.40
ARI	0.06	-0.18	-0.71	-0.82	0.06	-0.12	-1
WAS	-0.31	-0.76	-0.12	-0.88	0.24	-0.82	-1.20

Pass TD (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (1.25), 2019 Ravens (1.38), 2020 Packers (1.56), 2021 Bills (1.41), 2022 Bengals (1.13), 2023 Cowboys (0.88).

The best season on record is Packers 2020 at 1.56; the worst Cardinals 2019 at -1.13.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_pass_td
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.