What Pass adj net yds per att (Off − Def) is

Adjusted net yards per attempt minus the same allowed — touchdowns, interceptions and sacks all priced in on both sides of the ball. The most complete passing differential here.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P.

In 2023 the 49ers led at 4.00; the league average was 0.03.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader

SF · 4.00

League average

0.03

Best to worst

7.00

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	SF	4.00	17
2	BAL	3.10	17
3	DAL	2.00	17
4	BUF	1.70	17
5	MIA	1.60	17
6	KC	1.10	17
7	NO	1.00	17
8	HOU	0.80	17
9	DET	0.60	17
10	CLE	0.50	17
11	LAR	0.40	17
12	GB	0.30	17
13	TB	0.30	17
14	SEA	0.10	17
15	JAX	0.10	17
16	IND	0.00	17
17	MIN	0.00	17
18	PIT	-0.20	17
19	ATL	-0.60	17
20	DEN	-0.60	17
21	LV	-0.60	17
22	NYJ	-0.60	17
23	PHI	-0.60	17
24	CHI	-0.70	17
25	CIN	-0.80	17
26	LAC	-0.80	17
27	NYG	-1.30	17
28	TEN	-1.40	17
29	NE	-1.70	17
30	CAR	-1.90	17
31	ARI	-2.00	17
32	WAS	-3.00	17

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

SF · 4.00

League laggard

WAS · -3.00

League average

0.03

Spread (max − min)

7.00

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	SF	4.00	3.98	100%
2	BAL	3.10	3.08	96.8%
3	DAL	2.00	1.98	93.5%
4	BUF	1.70	1.68	90.3%
5	MIA	1.60	1.58	87.1%
6	KC	1.10	1.08	83.9%
7	NO	1.00	0.98	80.6%
8	HOU	0.80	0.78	77.4%
9	DET	0.60	0.58	74.2%
10	CLE	0.50	0.48	71%
11	LAR	0.40	0.38	67.7%
12	GB	0.30	0.28	64.5%
13	TB	0.30	0.28	61.3%
14	SEA	0.10	0.08	58.1%
15	JAX	0.10	0.07	54.8%
16	IND	0.00	-0.03	51.6%
17	MIN	0.00	-0.03	48.4%
18	PIT	-0.20	-0.23	45.2%
19	ATL	-0.60	-0.63	41.9%
20	DEN	-0.60	-0.63	38.7%
21	LV	-0.60	-0.63	35.5%
22	NYJ	-0.60	-0.63	32.3%
23	PHI	-0.60	-0.63	29%
24	CHI	-0.70	-0.73	25.8%
25	CIN	-0.80	-0.83	22.6%
26	LAC	-0.80	-0.83	19.4%
27	NYG	-1.30	-1.33	16.1%
28	TEN	-1.40	-1.43	12.9%
29	NE	-1.70	-1.73	9.7%
30	CAR	-1.90	-1.93	6.5%
31	ARI	-2.00	-2.03	3.2%
32	WAS	-3.00	-3.03	0%

Does Pass adj net yds per att (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 930–648–37 ATS (58.9%) across 2020–2025, #13 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (156–98, 61.4%); its worst 2021 (152–118, 56.3%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	156–98–2	61.4%
2021	272	152–118–2	56.3%
2022	271	155–109–7	58.7%
2023	272	149–109–14	57.8%
2024	272	155–108–9	58.9%
2025	272	163–106–3	60.6%

Pass adj net yds per att (Off − Def) in 2023 vs 2022

49ers lead at 4.00 — they ranked #2 last year. Commanders are last at -3.00 — #22 last year.

The league average is 0.03, up 0.04 from -0.02 last year.

Biggest riser: Rams, #29 → #11. Biggest faller: Eagles, #1 → #23.

Spread between first and last: 7.00; 23 teams are within 1.43 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

BAL · +3.50

Biggest faller

PHI · −3.40

Most consistent

NO · 0.00

League trend 2023 vs 2022

▲ 0.04

Rank	Team	2023	2022	Δ
1	BAL	3.10	-0.40	+3.50
2	IND	0.00	-1.90	+1.90
3	CHI	-0.70	-2.60	+1.90
4	LAR	0.40	-1.30	+1.70
5	SF	4.00	2.30	+1.70
6	HOU	0.80	-0.90	+1.70
7	DAL	2.00	0.80	+1.20
8	CLE	0.50	-0.30	+0.80
9	MIA	1.60	0.90	+0.70
10	PIT	-0.20	-0.90	+0.70
11	ATL	-0.60	-1.10	+0.50
12	LV	-0.60	-1.10	+0.50
13	MIN	0.00	-0.50	+0.50
14	GB	0.30	0.20	+0.10
15	DET	0.60	0.50	+0.10
16	TB	0.30	0.20	+0.10
17	NO	1.00	1.00	0.00
18	ARI	-2.00	-1.90	−0.10
19	BUF	1.70	1.80	−0.10
20	JAX	0.10	0.30	−0.20
21	TEN	-1.40	-1.10	−0.30
22	SEA	0.10	0.70	−0.60
23	NYJ	-0.60	0.10	−0.70
24	DEN	-0.60	0.10	−0.70
25	NYG	-1.30	-0.50	−0.80
26	CAR	-1.90	-0.90	−1.00
27	LAC	-0.80	0.20	−1.00
28	KC	1.10	2.10	−1.00
29	CIN	-0.80	0.90	−1.70
30	NE	-1.70	0.50	−2.20
31	WAS	-3.00	-0.60	−2.40
32	PHI	-0.60	2.80	−3.40

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

SF · 1.86

Multi-year laggard

CHI · -1.43

Biggest improver

DET · +0.65/yr

Biggest decliner

TB · −0.58/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	SF	1.86	+0.23	0.40	1.40	2.30	4.00	1.10	-0.30	4.10
2	BUF	1.81	−0.21	2.20	2.50	1.80	1.70	1.90	2.20	0.40
3	GB	1.74	+0.06	2.80	2.10	0.20	0.30	2.20	1.50	3.10
4	KC	1.16	−0.05	2.00	0.50	2.10	1.10	0.00	-0.40	2.80
5	SEA	1.14	+0.43	0.70	0.40	0.70	0.10	-0.10	2.80	3.40
6	LAR	0.99	+0.08	1.60	2.00	-1.30	0.40	0.10	2.70	1.40
7	BAL	0.97	+0.47	0.80	-2.30	-0.40	3.10	3.20	-0.10	2.50
8	MIN	0.47	+0.07	0.20	1.20	-0.50	0.00	1.90	-1.20	1.70
9	TB	0.34	−0.58	1.80	2.10	0.20	0.30	0.60	-0.80	-1.80
10	PHI	0.30	+0.19	-2.60	0.30	2.80	-0.60	2.10	1.50	-1.40
11	NO	0.29	−0.50	1.80	0.60	1.00	1.00	-0.30	-0.20	-1.90
12	DET	0.21	+0.65	-2.10	-2.10	0.50	0.60	2.20	1.30	1.10
13	HOU	0.19	+0.32	0.30	-1.50	-0.90	0.80	0.10	1.60	0.90
14	NE	0.14	+0.09	-1.00	2.20	0.50	-1.70	-1.90	2.30	0.60
15	DEN	0.11	+0.27	-1.40	0.30	0.10	-0.60	0.90	1.30	0.20
16	LAC	0.11	−0.21	0.50	0.50	0.20	-0.80	1.70	1.00	-2.30
17	CIN	0.09	+0.17	-1.90	1.20	0.90	-0.80	1.20	-1.20	1.20
18	PIT	0.01	−0.14	1.60	-0.40	-0.90	-0.20	0.50	-0.10	-0.40
19	DAL	-0.01	−0.43	-1.10	2.40	0.80	2.00	-1.00	-1.00	-2.20
20	MIA	-0.44	−0.50	-0.10	-0.30	0.90	1.60	0.00	-1.70	-3.50
21	JAX	-0.51	+0.64	-2.60	-2.40	0.30	0.10	-2.10	1.50	1.60
22	CLE	-0.61	−0.29	0.50	0.00	-0.30	0.50	-3.30	-1.50	-0.20
23	ATL	-0.64	+0.13	-0.80	-1.20	-1.10	-0.60	-0.40	0.70	-1.10
24	IND	-0.66	−0.42	0.90	0.40	-1.90	0.00	-1.10	0.40	-3.30
25	LV	-0.69	−0.21	0.30	0.20	-1.10	-0.60	-1.40	-2.20	0.00
26	CAR	-0.93	+0.31	-0.60	-2.10	-0.90	-1.90	-2.20	-0.50	1.70
27	NYG	-0.99	+0.20	-1.20	-1.60	-0.50	-1.30	-2.40	-0.30	0.40
28	WAS	-1.10	−0.06	-0.10	-1.70	-0.60	-3.00	0.40	-1.70	-1.00
29	ARI	-1.14	−0.57	0.50	0.80	-1.90	-2.00	-0.10	-1.10	-4.20
30	TEN	-1.29	−0.57	0.90	-0.40	-1.10	-1.40	-1.30	-3.20	-2.50
31	NYJ	-1.31	+0.31	-2.70	-2.90	0.10	-0.60	0.00	-4.30	1.20
32	CHI	-1.43	+0.15	-1.30	-2.30	-2.60	-0.70	-1.50	0.70	-2.30

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SF	0.40	1.40	2.30	4.00	1.10	-0.30	4.10
BAL	0.80	-2.30	-0.40	3.10	3.20	-0.10	2.50
DAL	-1.10	2.40	0.80	2.00	-1.00	-1.00	-2.20
BUF	2.20	2.50	1.80	1.70	1.90	2.20	0.40
MIA	-0.10	-0.30	0.90	1.60	0.00	-1.70	-3.50
KC	2.00	0.50	2.10	1.10	0.00	-0.40	2.80
NO	1.80	0.60	1.00	1.00	-0.30	-0.20	-1.90
HOU	0.30	-1.50	-0.90	0.80	0.10	1.60	0.90
DET	-2.10	-2.10	0.50	0.60	2.20	1.30	1.10
CLE	0.50	0.00	-0.30	0.50	-3.30	-1.50	-0.20
LAR	1.60	2.00	-1.30	0.40	0.10	2.70	1.40
GB	2.80	2.10	0.20	0.30	2.20	1.50	3.10
TB	1.80	2.10	0.20	0.30	0.60	-0.80	-1.80
SEA	0.70	0.40	0.70	0.10	-0.10	2.80	3.40
JAX	-2.60	-2.40	0.30	0.10	-2.10	1.50	1.60
IND	0.90	0.40	-1.90	0.00	-1.10	0.40	-3.30
MIN	0.20	1.20	-0.50	0.00	1.90	-1.20	1.70
PIT	1.60	-0.40	-0.90	-0.20	0.50	-0.10	-0.40
ATL	-0.80	-1.20	-1.10	-0.60	-0.40	0.70	-1.10
DEN	-1.40	0.30	0.10	-0.60	0.90	1.30	0.20
LV	0.30	0.20	-1.10	-0.60	-1.40	-2.20	0.00
NYJ	-2.70	-2.90	0.10	-0.60	0.00	-4.30	1.20
PHI	-2.60	0.30	2.80	-0.60	2.10	1.50	-1.40
CHI	-1.30	-2.30	-2.60	-0.70	-1.50	0.70	-2.30
CIN	-1.90	1.20	0.90	-0.80	1.20	-1.20	1.20
LAC	0.50	0.50	0.20	-0.80	1.70	1.00	-2.30
NYG	-1.20	-1.60	-0.50	-1.30	-2.40	-0.30	0.40
TEN	0.90	-0.40	-1.10	-1.40	-1.30	-3.20	-2.50
NE	-1.00	2.20	0.50	-1.70	-1.90	2.30	0.60
CAR	-0.60	-2.10	-0.90	-1.90	-2.20	-0.50	1.70
ARI	0.50	0.80	-1.90	-2.00	-0.10	-1.10	-4.20
WAS	-0.10	-1.70	-0.60	-3.00	0.40	-1.70	-1.00

Pass adj net yds per att (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (2.60), 2019 Chiefs (2.90), 2020 Packers (2.80), 2021 Bills (2.50), 2022 Eagles (2.80), 2023 49ers (4.00).

Chiefs have led this stat 2 of 6 seasons.

The best season on record is 49ers 2023 at 4.00; the worst Commanders 2023 at -3.00.

The league average has risen from -0.03 in 2018 to 0.03 in 2023.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_pass_adj_net_yds_per_att
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P only
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.