Defensive: Scoring · Two pt md (allowed)
What Two pt md (allowed) is
Two-point conversions opponents made against this team. Small counts and large variance.
Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
In 2024 the Bears led at 0; the league average was 0.10.
League snapshot — 2024
All 32 teams, lower is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 0 | 17 |
| 2 | CLE | 0 | 17 |
| 3 | LAC | 0 | 17 |
| 4 | TB | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | ARI | 0.06 | 17 |
| 6 | DAL | 0.06 | 17 |
| 7 | DET | 0.06 | 17 |
| 8 | GB | 0.06 | 17 |
| 9 | JAX | 0.06 | 17 |
| 10 | KC | 0.06 | 17 |
| 11 | LAR | 0.06 | 17 |
| 12 | LV | 0.06 | 17 |
| 13 | NYG | 0.06 | 17 |
| 14 | TEN | 0.06 | 17 |
| 15 | WAS | 0.06 | 17 |
| 16 | BAL | 0.12 | 17 |
| 17 | BUF | 0.12 | 17 |
| 18 | CIN | 0.12 | 17 |
| 19 | HOU | 0.12 | 17 |
| 20 | NE | 0.12 | 17 |
| 21 | NYJ | 0.12 | 17 |
| 22 | PIT | 0.12 | 17 |
| 23 | SEA | 0.12 | 17 |
| 24 | SF | 0.12 | 17 |
| 25 | ATL | 0.18 | 17 |
| 26 | CAR | 0.18 | 17 |
| 27 | DEN | 0.18 | 17 |
| 28 | IND | 0.18 | 17 |
| 29 | MIA | 0.18 | 17 |
| 30 | NO | 0.18 | 17 |
| 31 | MIN | 0.24 | 17 |
| 32 | PHI | 0.24 | 17 |
At a glance — 2024
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2024
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 0 | -0.10 | 100% |
| 2 | CLE | 0 | -0.10 | 96.8% |
| 3 | LAC | 0 | -0.10 | 93.5% |
| 4 | TB | 0 | -0.10 | 90.3% |
| 5 | ARI | 0.06 | -0.04 | 87.1% |
| 6 | DAL | 0.06 | -0.04 | 83.9% |
| 7 | DET | 0.06 | -0.04 | 80.6% |
| 8 | GB | 0.06 | -0.04 | 77.4% |
| 9 | JAX | 0.06 | -0.04 | 74.2% |
| 10 | KC | 0.06 | -0.04 | 71% |
| 11 | LAR | 0.06 | -0.04 | 67.7% |
| 12 | LV | 0.06 | -0.04 | 64.5% |
| 13 | NYG | 0.06 | -0.04 | 61.3% |
| 14 | TEN | 0.06 | -0.04 | 58.1% |
| 15 | WAS | 0.06 | -0.04 | 54.8% |
| 16 | BAL | 0.12 | 0.02 | 51.6% |
| 17 | BUF | 0.12 | 0.02 | 48.4% |
| 18 | CIN | 0.12 | 0.02 | 45.2% |
| 19 | HOU | 0.12 | 0.02 | 41.9% |
| 20 | NE | 0.12 | 0.02 | 38.7% |
| 21 | NYJ | 0.12 | 0.02 | 35.5% |
| 22 | PIT | 0.12 | 0.02 | 32.3% |
| 23 | SEA | 0.12 | 0.02 | 29% |
| 24 | SF | 0.12 | 0.02 | 25.8% |
| 25 | ATL | 0.18 | 0.08 | 22.6% |
| 26 | CAR | 0.18 | 0.08 | 19.4% |
| 27 | DEN | 0.18 | 0.08 | 16.1% |
| 28 | IND | 0.18 | 0.08 | 12.9% |
| 29 | MIA | 0.18 | 0.08 | 9.7% |
| 30 | NO | 0.18 | 0.08 | 6.5% |
| 31 | MIN | 0.24 | 0.13 | 3.2% |
| 32 | PHI | 0.24 | 0.13 | 0% |
Does Two pt md (allowed) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 793–785–37 ATS (50.3%) across 2020–2025, #243 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (146–118, 55.3%); its worst 2023 (114–144, 44.2%).
For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 138–116–2 | 54.3% |
| 2021 | 272 | 131–139–2 | 48.5% |
| 2022 | 271 | 146–118–7 | 55.3% |
| 2023 | 272 | 114–144–14 | 44.2% |
| 2024 | 272 | 127–136–9 | 48.3% |
| 2025 | 272 | 137–132–3 | 50.9% |
Two pt md (allowed) in 2024 vs 2023
Bears lead at 0 — they ranked #17 last year. Eagles are last at 0.24 — #28 last year.
The league average is 0.10, down 0.03 from 0.13 last year.
Biggest riser: Buccaneers, #25 → #4. Biggest faller: Colts, #1 → #28.
Spread between first and last: 0.24; 20 teams are within 0.06 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2024 vs 2023
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2024 vs 2023
| Rank | Team | 2024 | 2023 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IND | 0.18 | 0 | +0.18 |
| 2 | ATL | 0.18 | 0.06 | +0.12 |
| 3 | CAR | 0.18 | 0.06 | +0.12 |
| 4 | MIN | 0.24 | 0.12 | +0.12 |
| 5 | DEN | 0.18 | 0.12 | +0.06 |
| 6 | MIA | 0.18 | 0.12 | +0.06 |
| 7 | NO | 0.18 | 0.12 | +0.06 |
| 8 | LV | 0.06 | 0 | +0.06 |
| 9 | SEA | 0.12 | 0.06 | +0.06 |
| 10 | SF | 0.12 | 0.06 | +0.06 |
| 11 | ARI | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 12 | BAL | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0 |
| 13 | BUF | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0 |
| 14 | DAL | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 15 | DET | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 16 | JAX | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 17 | LAC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | NYG | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 19 | NYJ | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0 |
| 20 | PHI | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0 |
| 21 | TEN | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 22 | CLE | 0 | 0.06 | −0.06 |
| 23 | CIN | 0.12 | 0.18 | −0.06 |
| 24 | CHI | 0 | 0.12 | −0.12 |
| 25 | KC | 0.06 | 0.18 | −0.12 |
| 26 | WAS | 0.06 | 0.18 | −0.12 |
| 27 | GB | 0.06 | 0.24 | −0.18 |
| 28 | TB | 0 | 0.18 | −0.18 |
| 29 | LAR | 0.06 | 0.29 | −0.24 |
| 30 | HOU | 0.12 | 0.35 | −0.24 |
| 31 | NE | 0.12 | 0.35 | −0.24 |
| 32 | PIT | 0.12 | 0.35 | −0.24 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 2 | TB | 0.07 | −0.02 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | TEN | 0.08 | −0.02 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 4 | WAS | 0.08 | +0.00 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0 |
| 5 | ARI | 0.08 | +0.01 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 | 0.20 |
| 6 | DEN | 0.08 | −0.02 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | JAX | 0.08 | −0.01 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0 |
| 8 | LAC | 0.09 | −0.03 | 0.19 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 |
| 9 | MIA | 0.09 | +0.01 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0 |
| 10 | NYG | 0.10 | +0.03 | 0.06 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| 11 | SF | 0.10 | +0.01 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| 12 | CLE | 0.10 | −0.02 | 0.31 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 |
| 13 | PHI | 0.10 | +0.01 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.12 | 0 |
| 14 | NE | 0.10 | −0.01 | 0.13 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 15 | CAR | 0.10 | +0.02 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.25 |
| 16 | NO | 0.11 | −0.01 | 0.13 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0 |
| 17 | PIT | 0.11 | −0.00 | 0.13 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0 |
| 18 | LV | 0.11 | −0.04 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 19 | KC | 0.11 | +0.02 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.25 |
| 20 | CHI | 0.11 | +0.02 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| 21 | DAL | 0.12 | −0.03 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0 |
| 22 | CIN | 0.13 | +0.02 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| 23 | IND | 0.14 | −0.02 | 0.13 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0 |
| 24 | MIN | 0.14 | −0.03 | 0.19 | 0.29 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 25 | DET | 0.15 | −0.01 | 0.31 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| 26 | HOU | 0.15 | −0.02 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.35 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0 |
| 27 | BUF | 0.16 | −0.01 | 0.31 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| 28 | SEA | 0.16 | −0.00 | 0.19 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| 29 | BAL | 0.18 | +0.04 | 0.25 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.60 |
| 30 | ATL | 0.19 | −0.01 | 0.13 | 0.35 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| 31 | GB | 0.20 | +0.01 | 0.31 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.40 |
| 32 | LAR | 0.20 | +0.06 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.29 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.60 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 0 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| CLE | 0.31 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 |
| LAC | 0.19 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 |
| TB | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ARI | 0 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 | 0.20 |
| DAL | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0 |
| DET | 0.31 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| GB | 0.31 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.40 |
| JAX | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0 |
| KC | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.25 |
| LV | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 |
| LAR | 0 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.29 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.60 |
| NYG | 0.06 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| TEN | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 |
| WAS | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0 |
| BAL | 0.25 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.60 |
| BUF | 0.31 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| CIN | 0 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| HOU | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.35 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0 |
| NE | 0.13 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0 |
| NYJ | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0 |
| PIT | 0.13 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0 |
| SF | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| SEA | 0.19 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| ATL | 0.13 | 0.35 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| CAR | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.25 |
| DEN | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 |
| IND | 0.13 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0 |
| NO | 0.13 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0 |
| MIN | 0.19 | 0.29 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0 |
| PHI | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.12 | 0 |
Two pt md (allowed) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Broncos (0), 2019 Cardinals (0), 2020 Cardinals (0), 2021 Dolphins (0), 2022 Jets (0), 2023 Colts (0), 2024 Bears (0).
Cardinals have led this stat 2 of 7 seasons.
The best season on record is Broncos 2018 at 0; the worst Falcons 2021 at 0.35.
The league average has fallen from 0.13 in 2018 to 0.10 in 2024.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2024.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- def_team_scoring_two_pt_md
- Side
- defensive
- Family
- Scoring
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- lower is better
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.