Defensive: Conversions · Red zone scores (allowed)
Green Bay Packers — Red zone scores (allowed), 2026
- Value2.80
- Rank#20 of 32
- League average2.52
- Rank in 2025#11 of 32
What Red zone scores (allowed) is
Red-zone touchdowns allowed: opponent trips inside the 20 that ended in a touchdown. The count behind the rate.
Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
Through Week 6 of 2026, the Vikings lead at 1; the league average is 2.52.
League snapshot — 2026
All 32 teams, lower is better.
At a glance — 2026
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2026
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 1 | -1.52 | 100% |
| 2 | JAX | 1.40 | -1.12 | 96.8% |
| 3 | SF | 1.60 | -0.92 | 93.5% |
| 4 | KC | 1.75 | -0.77 | 90.3% |
| 5 | PIT | 1.80 | -0.72 | 87.1% |
| 6 | TB | 1.80 | -0.72 | 83.9% |
| 7 | CIN | 2 | -0.52 | 80.6% |
| 8 | NYJ | 2 | -0.52 | 77.4% |
| 9 | SEA | 2 | -0.52 | 74.2% |
| 10 | TEN | 2 | -0.52 | 71% |
| 11 | BAL | 2.20 | -0.32 | 67.7% |
| 12 | CHI | 2.20 | -0.32 | 64.5% |
| 13 | CLE | 2.20 | -0.32 | 61.3% |
| 14 | HOU | 2.20 | -0.32 | 58.1% |
| 15 | NE | 2.20 | -0.32 | 54.8% |
| 16 | ATL | 2.40 | -0.12 | 51.6% |
| 17 | DEN | 2.40 | -0.12 | 48.4% |
| 18 | LAR | 2.40 | -0.12 | 45.2% |
| 19 | PHI | 2.60 | 0.08 | 41.9% |
| 20 | GB | 2.80 | 0.28 | 38.7% |
| 21 | LAC | 2.80 | 0.28 | 35.5% |
| 22 | NYG | 2.80 | 0.28 | 32.3% |
| 23 | CAR | 3 | 0.48 | 29% |
| 24 | IND | 3 | 0.48 | 25.8% |
| 25 | MIA | 3 | 0.48 | 22.6% |
| 26 | DAL | 3.20 | 0.68 | 19.4% |
| 27 | LV | 3.40 | 0.88 | 16.1% |
| 28 | WAS | 3.40 | 0.88 | 12.9% |
| 29 | BUF | 3.60 | 1.08 | 9.7% |
| 30 | NO | 3.60 | 1.08 | 6.5% |
| 31 | ARI | 4 | 1.48 | 3.2% |
| 32 | DET | 4 | 1.48 | 0% |
Does Red zone scores (allowed) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 864–714–37 ATS (54.8%) across 2020–2025, #80 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2020 (161–93, 63.4%); its worst 2021 (136–134, 50.4%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 161–93–2 | 63.4% |
| 2021 | 272 | 136–134–2 | 50.4% |
| 2022 | 271 | 153–111–7 | 58.0% |
| 2023 | 272 | 134–124–14 | 51.9% |
| 2024 | 272 | 139–124–9 | 52.9% |
| 2025 | 272 | 141–128–3 | 52.4% |
Red zone scores (allowed) in 2026 vs 2025
Vikings lead at 1 — they ranked #1 last year. Lions are last at 4 — #25 last year.
The league average is 2.52, up 0.09 from 2.43 last year.
Biggest riser: Jets, #31 → #8. Biggest faller: Saints, #10 → #30.
Spread between first and last: 3; 22 teams are within 0.74 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2026 vs 2025
| Rank | Team | 2026 | 2025 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NO | 3.60 | 2.18 | +1.42 |
| 2 | DET | 4 | 2.76 | +1.24 |
| 3 | BUF | 3.60 | 2.53 | +1.07 |
| 4 | ARI | 4 | 3.06 | +0.94 |
| 5 | LAC | 2.80 | 1.88 | +0.92 |
| 6 | LV | 3.40 | 2.59 | +0.81 |
| 7 | DEN | 2.40 | 1.71 | +0.69 |
| 8 | PHI | 2.60 | 1.94 | +0.66 |
| 9 | CAR | 3 | 2.35 | +0.65 |
| 10 | IND | 3 | 2.35 | +0.65 |
| 11 | GB | 2.80 | 2.24 | +0.56 |
| 12 | LAR | 2.40 | 2 | +0.40 |
| 13 | WAS | 3.40 | 3 | +0.40 |
| 14 | SEA | 2 | 1.71 | +0.29 |
| 15 | HOU | 2.20 | 2 | +0.20 |
| 16 | MIA | 3 | 2.82 | +0.18 |
| 17 | NYG | 2.80 | 2.71 | +0.09 |
| 18 | NE | 2.20 | 2.12 | +0.08 |
| 19 | ATL | 2.40 | 2.35 | +0.05 |
| 20 | KC | 1.75 | 1.88 | −0.13 |
| 21 | CLE | 2.20 | 2.35 | −0.15 |
| 22 | BAL | 2.20 | 2.41 | −0.21 |
| 23 | DAL | 3.20 | 3.47 | −0.27 |
| 24 | PIT | 1.80 | 2.35 | −0.55 |
| 25 | CHI | 2.20 | 2.76 | −0.56 |
| 26 | MIN | 1 | 1.65 | −0.65 |
| 27 | JAX | 1.40 | 2.24 | −0.84 |
| 28 | SF | 1.60 | 2.47 | −0.87 |
| 29 | TB | 1.80 | 2.71 | −0.91 |
| 30 | CIN | 2 | 3 | −1 |
| 31 | TEN | 2 | 3 | −1 |
| 32 | NYJ | 2 | 3.29 | −1.29 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 2.12 | +0.01 | 2.13 | 2.59 | 1.82 | 1.41 | 2.29 | 2.41 | 2.20 |
| 2 | PIT | 2.14 | −0.05 | 2.19 | 2.47 | 2.12 | 1.88 | 2.18 | 2.35 | 1.80 |
| 3 | LAR | 2.16 | +0.08 | 1.81 | 2.06 | 2.06 | 2.24 | 2.53 | 2 | 2.40 |
| 4 | MIN | 2.16 | −0.31 | 3.13 | 2.59 | 2.47 | 2.18 | 2.12 | 1.65 | 1 |
| 5 | DEN | 2.16 | −0.05 | 2.75 | 1.94 | 1.82 | 2.65 | 1.88 | 1.71 | 2.40 |
| 6 | NE | 2.18 | +0.02 | 2.44 | 1.71 | 2.24 | 1.94 | 2.59 | 2.12 | 2.20 |
| 7 | KC | 2.19 | −0.17 | 2.75 | 2.53 | 2.53 | 1.71 | 2.18 | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| 8 | SF | 2.21 | −0.05 | 2.38 | 2.53 | 1.82 | 1.76 | 2.94 | 2.47 | 1.60 |
| 9 | TB | 2.26 | −0.03 | 2.44 | 2.18 | 2.41 | 2 | 2.29 | 2.71 | 1.80 |
| 10 | SEA | 2.27 | −0.12 | 2.56 | 2.35 | 2.53 | 2.65 | 2.12 | 1.71 | 2 |
| 11 | NO | 2.32 | +0.16 | 2.44 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 2.35 | 2.18 | 3.60 |
| 12 | GB | 2.38 | +0.01 | 2.44 | 2.59 | 2.35 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 2.24 | 2.80 |
| 13 | BUF | 2.44 | +0.17 | 2.75 | 1.76 | 1.94 | 1.94 | 2.53 | 2.53 | 3.60 |
| 14 | PHI | 2.44 | −0.10 | 2.94 | 2.71 | 2.18 | 2.88 | 1.82 | 1.94 | 2.60 |
| 15 | LAC | 2.47 | −0.10 | 2.88 | 2.82 | 2.47 | 2.59 | 1.82 | 1.88 | 2.80 |
| 16 | CIN | 2.48 | −0.01 | 2.81 | 2.41 | 1.88 | 2.35 | 2.94 | 3 | 2 |
| 17 | NYG | 2.50 | +0.08 | 2.31 | 2.47 | 2.18 | 2.65 | 2.35 | 2.71 | 2.80 |
| 18 | TEN | 2.50 | −0.07 | 3.38 | 2.24 | 2.29 | 1.76 | 2.82 | 3 | 2 |
| 19 | MIA | 2.51 | +0.09 | 2.38 | 2.29 | 2.53 | 2.53 | 2 | 2.82 | 3 |
| 20 | HOU | 2.51 | −0.20 | 3.38 | 3.12 | 2.29 | 2.12 | 2.47 | 2 | 2.20 |
| 21 | CHI | 2.52 | −0.05 | 2.44 | 2.65 | 3.18 | 2.29 | 2.12 | 2.76 | 2.20 |
| 22 | CLE | 2.52 | −0.09 | 3.06 | 2.47 | 2.47 | 2.24 | 2.88 | 2.35 | 2.20 |
| 23 | JAX | 2.53 | −0.26 | 3.56 | 2.88 | 2.29 | 2.53 | 2.82 | 2.24 | 1.40 |
| 24 | NYJ | 2.54 | −0.10 | 3.13 | 3.35 | 1.71 | 1.94 | 2.35 | 3.29 | 2 |
| 25 | ATL | 2.55 | −0.11 | 3.06 | 3 | 2.35 | 2.06 | 2.65 | 2.35 | 2.40 |
| 26 | IND | 2.60 | +0.04 | 2.56 | 2.47 | 2.65 | 2.47 | 2.71 | 2.35 | 3 |
| 27 | CAR | 2.73 | +0.05 | 2.81 | 2.41 | 2.47 | 2.59 | 3.47 | 2.35 | 3 |
| 28 | DAL | 2.75 | +0.12 | 3.31 | 2.18 | 1.88 | 2.06 | 3.12 | 3.47 | 3.20 |
| 29 | LV | 2.77 | −0.00 | 3.25 | 2.82 | 2.65 | 2.12 | 2.53 | 2.59 | 3.40 |
| 30 | WAS | 2.78 | +0.16 | 2.25 | 2.82 | 2.12 | 3.18 | 2.71 | 3 | 3.40 |
| 31 | ARI | 2.85 | +0.19 | 2.44 | 2.35 | 2.94 | 3 | 2.18 | 3.06 | 4 |
| 32 | DET | 3.03 | −0.04 | 4.06 | 2.94 | 2.82 | 2.53 | 2.12 | 2.76 | 4 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 3.13 | 2.59 | 2.47 | 2.18 | 2.12 | 1.65 | 1 |
| JAX | 3.56 | 2.88 | 2.29 | 2.53 | 2.82 | 2.24 | 1.40 |
| SF | 2.38 | 2.53 | 1.82 | 1.76 | 2.94 | 2.47 | 1.60 |
| KC | 2.75 | 2.53 | 2.53 | 1.71 | 2.18 | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| PIT | 2.19 | 2.47 | 2.12 | 1.88 | 2.18 | 2.35 | 1.80 |
| TB | 2.44 | 2.18 | 2.41 | 2 | 2.29 | 2.71 | 1.80 |
| CIN | 2.81 | 2.41 | 1.88 | 2.35 | 2.94 | 3 | 2 |
| NYJ | 3.13 | 3.35 | 1.71 | 1.94 | 2.35 | 3.29 | 2 |
| SEA | 2.56 | 2.35 | 2.53 | 2.65 | 2.12 | 1.71 | 2 |
| TEN | 3.38 | 2.24 | 2.29 | 1.76 | 2.82 | 3 | 2 |
| BAL | 2.13 | 2.59 | 1.82 | 1.41 | 2.29 | 2.41 | 2.20 |
| CHI | 2.44 | 2.65 | 3.18 | 2.29 | 2.12 | 2.76 | 2.20 |
| CLE | 3.06 | 2.47 | 2.47 | 2.24 | 2.88 | 2.35 | 2.20 |
| HOU | 3.38 | 3.12 | 2.29 | 2.12 | 2.47 | 2 | 2.20 |
| NE | 2.44 | 1.71 | 2.24 | 1.94 | 2.59 | 2.12 | 2.20 |
| ATL | 3.06 | 3 | 2.35 | 2.06 | 2.65 | 2.35 | 2.40 |
| DEN | 2.75 | 1.94 | 1.82 | 2.65 | 1.88 | 1.71 | 2.40 |
| LAR | 1.81 | 2.06 | 2.06 | 2.24 | 2.53 | 2 | 2.40 |
| PHI | 2.94 | 2.71 | 2.18 | 2.88 | 1.82 | 1.94 | 2.60 |
| GB | 2.44 | 2.59 | 2.35 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 2.24 | 2.80 |
| LAC | 2.88 | 2.82 | 2.47 | 2.59 | 1.82 | 1.88 | 2.80 |
| NYG | 2.31 | 2.47 | 2.18 | 2.65 | 2.35 | 2.71 | 2.80 |
| CAR | 2.81 | 2.41 | 2.47 | 2.59 | 3.47 | 2.35 | 3 |
| IND | 2.56 | 2.47 | 2.65 | 2.47 | 2.71 | 2.35 | 3 |
| MIA | 2.38 | 2.29 | 2.53 | 2.53 | 2 | 2.82 | 3 |
| DAL | 3.31 | 2.18 | 1.88 | 2.06 | 3.12 | 3.47 | 3.20 |
| LV | 3.25 | 2.82 | 2.65 | 2.12 | 2.53 | 2.59 | 3.40 |
| WAS | 2.25 | 2.82 | 2.12 | 3.18 | 2.71 | 3 | 3.40 |
| BUF | 2.75 | 1.76 | 1.94 | 1.94 | 2.53 | 2.53 | 3.60 |
| NO | 2.44 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 2.35 | 2.18 | 3.60 |
| ARI | 2.44 | 2.35 | 2.94 | 3 | 2.18 | 3.06 | 4 |
| DET | 4.06 | 2.94 | 2.82 | 2.53 | 2.12 | 2.76 | 4 |
Red zone scores (allowed) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (1.75), 2019 Patriots (1.31), 2020 Rams (1.81), 2021 Patriots (1.71), 2022 Jets (1.71), 2023 Ravens (1.41), 2024 Chargers (1.82), 2025 Vikings (1.65), 2026 Vikings (1).
Patriots have led this stat 2 of 9 seasons.
The best season on record is Vikings 2026 at 1; the worst Lions 2020 at 4.06.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- def_team_conversions_red_zone_scores
- Side
- defensive
- Family
- Conversions
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- lower is better
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.